CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Elon Musk	1000+	$0.205	81%	+297%	19.1%	escalable	$3,149
Ted Cruz	120-139	$0.120	38%	+217%	7.4%	moderado	$306
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	100-119	$0.120	26%	+117%	4.0%	moderado	$129
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.315	58%	+83%	9.5%	escalable	$260
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	80-99	$0.135	24%	+75%	2.9%	moderado	$5,056
The White House	160-179	$0.135	22%	+61%	2.4%	moderado	$883
Elon Musk	<40	$0.105	15%	+39%	1.1%	moderado	$15,670
Donald Trump	160-179	$0.115	15%	+34%	1.1%	moderado	$1,038
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.470	60%	+28%	6.3%	escalable	$6,082
Ted Cruz	120-139	$0.215	27%	+27%	1.8%	escalable	$192
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	80-99	$0.325	41%	+26%	3.1%	escalable	$1,616
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.425	53%	+25%	4.7%	escalable	$2,050

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,161 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.4%Sobre-dispersion: 25.55x39 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 19% del periodo

lleva 146 · proyeccion 1141.9 ± 159.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.205	81%	+297%	19.1%	escalable	$3,149

Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 304.6 ± 88.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
400-419	$0.002	4%	+2876%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$4,902
380-399	$0.003	6%	+2176%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$3,065
420-439	$0.002	3%	+2117%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$2,252
440-459	$0.002	2%	+1470%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$5,976
360-379	$0.005	7%	+1153%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$1,652
500+	$0.002	1%	+805%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$18,990
340-359	$0.011	8%	+656%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$2,600
320-339	$0.013	9%	+594%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$2,032
300-319	$0.019	9%	+362%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$2,750
280-299	$0.037	9%	+137%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$4,035
80-99	$0.003	0%	+87%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$15,390

Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 78 · proyeccion 255.6 ± 67.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
360-379	$0.002	3%	+1801%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$22,812
340-359	$0.003	4%	+1698%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$24,439
320-339	$0.004	6%	+1522%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$25,319
380-399	$0.002	2%	+1005%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$22,427
300-319	$0.009	9%	+910%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$30,927
280-299	$0.018	10%	+495%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$19,294
120-139	$0.006	2%	+219%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$42,924
260-279	$0.045	12%	+157%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$16,041
140-159	$0.028	3%	+25%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$29,401
240-259	$0.105	12%	+12%	0.3%	moderado	$19,423

Elon Musk # tweets August 8 - August 10, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 139.4 ± 59.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
165-189	$0.002	14%	+8992%	3.4%	cautela (no operable)	$583
140-164	$0.003	16%	+6392%	4.0%	cautela (no operable)	$583
190-214	$0.002	10%	+6326%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$152
215-239	$0.002	6%	+3720%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$181
240+	$0.002	5%	+3009%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$452
115-139	$0.009	16%	+1610%	3.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,115
90-114	$0.055	14%	+149%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,464

Elon Musk # tweets August 6 - August 8, 2026? 50% del periodo

lleva 12 · proyeccion 78.1 ± 41.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-164	$0.002	5%	+3212%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$12,889
115-139	$0.007	12%	+1502%	2.8%	cautela (no operable)	$18,217
90-114	$0.045	20%	+346%	4.1%	cautela (no operable)	$18,107
<40	$0.105	15%	+39%	1.1%	moderado	$15,670

Elon Musk # tweets July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 181 · proyeccion 205.5 ± 25.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
240-259	$0.004	7%	+1495%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$194,814
220-239	$0.032	20%	+538%	4.4%	cautela (no operable)	$178,004

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,296 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.6%Sobre-dispersion: 12.37x23 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 151.4 ± 43.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.006	3%	+425%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$22
80-99	$0.013	7%	+396%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$34
140-159	$0.050	18%	+265%	3.5%	cautela (no operable)	$0
120-139	$0.045	16%	+258%	3.0%	cautela (no operable)	$10
100-119	$0.045	12%	+156%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$10
40-59	$0.006	1%	+100%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$871
160-179	$0.155	17%	+8%	0.4%	moderado	$0

White House # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 76 · proyeccion 151.8 ± 30.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.005	20%	+3866%	4.9%	cautela (no operable)	$358
140-159	$0.017	26%	+1402%	6.1%	cautela (no operable)	$832
100-119	$0.007	10%	+1357%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$438
80-99	$0.003	3%	+1058%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$384
60-79	$0.002	1%	+422%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$358
160-179	$0.135	22%	+61%	2.4%	moderado	$883

White House # posts July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 176 · proyeccion 183.8 ± 9.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.056	32%	+477%	7.1%	cautela (no operable)	$6,507

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,032 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.2%Sobre-dispersion: 14.45x29 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 148.4 ± 46.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.007	4%	+485%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$251
40-59	$0.007	2%	+158%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$169
80-99	$0.051	8%	+53%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$507
20-39	$0.004	1%	+48%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$245
160-179	$0.115	15%	+34%	1.1%	moderado	$1,038
180-199	$0.100	12%	+16%	0.5%	moderado	$671

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 90 · proyeccion 179.4 ± 35.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.002	1%	+593%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$4,534
120-139	$0.060	9%	+43%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$1,206
160-179	$0.175	21%	+21%	1.1%	moderado	$1,617
100-119	$0.030	3%	+16%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$2,438
180-199	$0.190	21%	+11%	0.6%	moderado	$2,060

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 211 · proyeccion 220.5 ± 11.7

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,433 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.8%Sobre-dispersion: 5.55x22 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 117.0 ± 25.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.215	27%	+27%	1.8%	escalable	$192
60-79	$0.052	6%	+13%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$52

Ted Cruz # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 76 · proyeccion 137.3 ± 18.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.120	38%	+217%	7.4%	moderado	$306
100-119	$0.125	15%	+18%	0.6%	moderado	$190

Ted Cruz # posts July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 123 · proyeccion 129.6 ± 6.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.849	90%	+6%	8.6%	escalable	$3,529

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,630 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.9%Sobre-dispersion: 3.05x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 91.0 ± 16.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.120	26%	+117%	4.0%	moderado	$129
80-99	$0.370	45%	+22%	3.2%	escalable	$311

Zelenskyy # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 28 · proyeccion 77.9 ± 12.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.325	41%	+26%	3.1%	escalable	$1,616

Zelenskyy # posts July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 67 · proyeccion 75.8 ± 5.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.135	24%	+75%	2.9%	moderado	$5,056

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 793 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.8%Sobre-dispersion: 2.9x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 42.0 ± 11.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
<20	$0.006	2%	+247%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$590
40-59	$0.425	53%	+25%	4.7%	escalable	$2,050

NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 13 · proyeccion 36.4 ± 8.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.585	62%	+7%	2.4%	escalable	$2,862

NYC Mayor # posts July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 31 · proyeccion 32.8 ± 2.3

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 448 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 22.1%Sobre-dispersion: 5.41x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 25.1 ± 11.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.315	58%	+83%	9.5%	escalable	$260

CZ # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 6 · proyeccion 19.4 ± 8.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.004	1%	+107%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$487

CZ # posts July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 18 · proyeccion 20.5 ± 3.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.470	60%	+28%	6.3%	escalable	$6,082

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 149 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 16.9%Sobre-dispersion: 13.08x9 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 8.1 ± 10.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.033	13%	+308%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$20
20-24	$0.026	8%	+200%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$20
10-14	$0.085	18%	+111%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$138

Khamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 4.6 ± 7.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.010	7%	+636%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$1,212
10-14	$0.051	16%	+216%	2.9%	cautela (no operable)	$2,056
20-24	$0.010	2%	+122%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$1,126
25-29	$0.004	0%	+28%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,117

Khamenei # posts July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 7 · proyeccion 7.6 ± 2.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.030	23%	+679%	5.2%	cautela (no operable)	$3,599