CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.100	19%	+94%	2.6%	moderado	$6,894
Ted Cruz	100-119	$0.140	26%	+89%	3.6%	moderado	$1,463
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	60-79	$0.425	61%	+44%	8.2%	escalable	$3,148
Elon Musk	180-199	$0.105	14%	+37%	1.1%	moderado	$78,436

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,442 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.5%Sobre-dispersion: 25.62x41 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 61% del periodo

lleva 436 · proyeccion 947.0 ± 114.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.018	32%	+1696%	7.8%	cautela (no operable)	$7,528
960-999	$0.014	13%	+852%	3.0%	cautela (no operable)	$11,332
920-959	$0.028	14%	+404%	2.9%	cautela (no operable)	$5,907
880-919	$0.085	13%	+50%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$5,911

Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 99 · proyeccion 206.5 ± 52.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
240-259	$0.002	11%	+7130%	2.7%	cautela (no operable)	$79,140
260-279	$0.002	7%	+4842%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$79,922
220-239	$0.007	14%	+1732%	3.3%	cautela (no operable)	$68,326
200-219	$0.029	15%	+412%	3.1%	cautela (no operable)	$66,289
100-119	$0.018	3%	+60%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$196,720
180-199	$0.105	14%	+37%	1.1%	moderado	$78,436

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,599 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.1%Sobre-dispersion: 11.31x25 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 92 · proyeccion 151.9 ± 26.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.005	8%	+1435%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,780
120-139	$0.046	21%	+352%	4.3%	cautela (no operable)	$2,003

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,271 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.6%Sobre-dispersion: 14.21x30 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 62 · proyeccion 102.3 ± 23.9

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,697 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 11.0%Sobre-dispersion: 6.02x23 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 81 · proyeccion 127.8 ± 16.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.017	4%	+166%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$512
100-119	$0.140	26%	+89%	3.6%	moderado	$1,463

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,726 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.4%Sobre-dispersion: 3.23x21 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 30 · proyeccion 65.1 ± 10.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.036	9%	+142%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$1,445
60-79	$0.425	61%	+44%	8.2%	escalable	$3,148

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 850 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.6%Sobre-dispersion: 2.85x21 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 20 · proyeccion 34.0 ± 6.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.100	19%	+94%	2.6%	moderado	$6,894

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 464 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 20.9%Sobre-dispersion: 5.31x21 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 6 · proyeccion 16.1 ± 7.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.040	32%	+702%	7.3%	cautela (no operable)	$2,719

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 151 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 15.2%Sobre-dispersion: 11.35x10 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 3.1 ± 6.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
5-9	$0.038	27%	+592%	5.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,067
15-19	$0.004	3%	+466%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$574
10-14	$0.025	11%	+359%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$674