CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	100-119	$0.102	41%	+300%	8.5%	moderado	$425
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.225	57%	+152%	11.1%	escalable	$968
Ali Khamenei	5-9	$0.125	29%	+130%	4.7%	moderado	$1,100
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.250	57%	+127%	10.6%	escalable	$2,173
The White House	180-199	$0.155	33%	+112%	5.2%	moderado	$8,230
Ted Cruz	120-139	$0.185	35%	+91%	5.2%	moderado	$2,149
Donald Trump	120-139	$0.128	24%	+88%	3.2%	moderado	$2,860
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.110	18%	+63%	2.0%	moderado	$6,528
Donald Trump	200+	$0.175	28%	+61%	3.2%	moderado	$575
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.280	38%	+36%	3.5%	escalable	$5,036
Donald Trump	120-139	$0.145	19%	+34%	1.4%	moderado	$879
Elon Musk	200-219	$0.132	17%	+32%	1.2%	moderado	$93,104

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,272 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.5%Sobre-dispersion: 25.64x40 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 39% del periodo

lleva 277 · proyeccion 1042.4 ± 140.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.045	62%	+1278%	15.1%	cautela (no operable)	$5,141
960-999	$0.019	10%	+427%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$8,278
920-959	$0.034	9%	+156%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$3,598

Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 357.7 ± 95.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
400-419	$0.002	7%	+4692%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$1,994
500+	$0.002	7%	+4523%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$17,054
420-439	$0.002	6%	+4090%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$1,673
360-379	$0.004	8%	+2258%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$2,640
380-399	$0.004	8%	+2149%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,210
340-359	$0.006	8%	+1175%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,532
320-339	$0.007	8%	+1038%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$4,359
300-319	$0.012	7%	+511%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$2,727
280-299	$0.023	6%	+181%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$4,817

Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 39 · proyeccion 270.4 ± 77.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
340-359	$0.003	6%	+1937%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$11,805
360-379	$0.003	5%	+1713%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$15,320
320-339	$0.004	8%	+1612%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$11,234
380-399	$0.002	3%	+1472%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$19,607
300-319	$0.013	9%	+599%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$19,795
280-299	$0.025	10%	+309%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$17,642
260-279	$0.048	10%	+115%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$9,864
100-119	$0.006	1%	+82%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$42,094
240-259	$0.085	10%	+17%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$6,513
120-139	$0.018	2%	+12%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$25,734

Elon Musk # tweets August 13 - August 15, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 121.3 ± 55.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
165-189	$0.002	11%	+7134%	2.7%	cautela (no operable)	$4,876
140-164	$0.003	15%	+6010%	3.8%	cautela (no operable)	$9,728
115-139	$0.007	18%	+2253%	4.3%	cautela (no operable)	$5,047
90-114	$0.046	17%	+264%	3.2%	cautela (no operable)	$13,387

Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 125 · proyeccion 205.0 ± 45.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
260-279	$0.003	6%	+2473%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$103,970
240-259	$0.004	11%	+2313%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$129,563
120-139	$0.004	4%	+891%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$227,407
220-239	$0.030	15%	+404%	3.1%	cautela (no operable)	$87,549
200-219	$0.132	17%	+32%	1.2%	moderado	$93,104

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,440 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.3%Sobre-dispersion: 11.53x24 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 190.7 ± 46.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.005	4%	+601%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$154
120-139	$0.021	7%	+248%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$154
80-99	$0.005	2%	+210%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$254
160-179	$0.055	15%	+178%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$266
140-159	$0.060	12%	+92%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$132
60-79	$0.005	1%	+14%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$290

White House # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 52 · proyeccion 166.5 ± 36.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.006	19%	+2898%	4.7%	cautela (no operable)	$2,324
160-179	$0.033	22%	+565%	4.7%	cautela (no operable)	$2,123

White House # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 149 · proyeccion 194.6 ± 22.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.002	5%	+3548%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$2,800
180-199	$0.155	33%	+112%	5.2%	moderado	$8,230

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,152 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.2%Sobre-dispersion: 14.44x29 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 170.7 ± 49.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.002	1%	+462%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$449
60-79	$0.006	2%	+216%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$100
80-99	$0.020	4%	+113%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$232
200+	$0.175	28%	+61%	3.2%	moderado	$575

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 24 · proyeccion 135.9 ± 40.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.005	5%	+932%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$758
40-59	$0.004	2%	+484%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$1,443
80-99	$0.025	10%	+309%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,439
100-119	$0.079	16%	+101%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,324
120-139	$0.145	19%	+34%	1.4%	moderado	$879

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 118 · proyeccion 149.6 ± 21.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.128	24%	+88%	3.2%	moderado	$2,860

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,551 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.8%Sobre-dispersion: 5.5x22 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 146.3 ± 28.4

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

Ted Cruz # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 41 · proyeccion 130.4 ± 22.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.003	1%	+238%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$793
80-99	$0.050	7%	+42%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$269
120-139	$0.300	35%	+16%	1.7%	escalable	$89

Ted Cruz # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 109 · proyeccion 143.2 ± 13.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.017	4%	+151%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$907
120-139	$0.185	35%	+91%	5.2%	moderado	$2,149

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,673 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.1%Sobre-dispersion: 3.08x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 104.1 ± 17.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.018	17%	+821%	3.9%	cautela (no operable)	$244
140-159	$0.005	2%	+358%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$274
100-119	$0.102	41%	+300%	8.5%	moderado	$425

Zelenskyy # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 15 · proyeccion 78.6 ± 14.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.051	7%	+29%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$160

Zelenskyy # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 47 · proyeccion 69.9 ± 8.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.105	13%	+21%	0.6%	moderado	$1,514
60-79	$0.670	77%	+14%	7.2%	escalable	$1,915

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 818 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.8%Sobre-dispersion: 2.93x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 51.1 ± 12.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.075	24%	+215%	4.3%	cautela (no operable)	$1,845
80-99	$0.005	1%	+84%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$702
40-59	$0.470	58%	+24%	5.3%	escalable	$2,145

NYC Mayor # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 4 · proyeccion 36.8 ± 9.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.280	38%	+36%	3.5%	escalable	$5,036

NYC Mayor # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 23 · proyeccion 34.2 ± 5.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.110	18%	+63%	2.0%	moderado	$6,528

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 452 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 21.3%Sobre-dispersion: 5.42x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 29.8 ± 12.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.011	21%	+1844%	5.1%	cautela (no operable)	$256
20-39	$0.225	57%	+152%	11.1%	escalable	$968
60-79	$0.005	1%	+78%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$215

CZ # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 4 · proyeccion 22.3 ± 10.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.250	57%	+127%	10.6%	escalable	$2,173

CZ # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 4 · proyeccion 11.8 ± 6.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.011	12%	+988%	2.8%	cautela (no operable)	$1,020

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 150 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 15.3%Sobre-dispersion: 12.33x10 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 9.9 ± 11.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.050	15%	+195%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$40
20-24	$0.053	10%	+85%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$30
10-14	$0.135	18%	+30%	1.2%	moderado	$211
25-29	$0.052	5%	+5%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$30

Khamenei # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 6.6 ± 9.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-24	$0.005	5%	+946%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$278
10-14	$0.029	18%	+543%	4.0%	cautela (no operable)	$316
15-19	$0.024	11%	+384%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$269

Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 1 · proyeccion 3.7 ± 5.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.038	13%	+232%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$601
5-9	$0.125	29%	+130%	4.7%	moderado	$1,100
15-19	$0.017	3%	+59%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$408