CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Elon Musk	1000+	$0.135	71%	+427%	16.6%	moderado	$4,281
The White House	140-159	$0.106	32%	+205%	6.1%	moderado	$7,640
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	100-119	$0.125	32%	+156%	5.6%	moderado	$74
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.260	58%	+124%	10.9%	escalable	$1,186
The White House	140-159	$0.110	22%	+105%	3.2%	moderado	$1,317
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.340	59%	+73%	9.4%	escalable	$2,969
Ted Cruz	100-119	$0.205	34%	+64%	4.1%	escalable	$352
Elon Musk	200-219	$0.145	23%	+61%	2.6%	moderado	$119,715
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.170	22%	+29%	1.5%	moderado	$216
Donald Trump	140-159	$0.180	22%	+25%	1.4%	moderado	$986
Ted Cruz	120-139	$0.280	34%	+22%	2.1%	escalable	$421
The White House	180-199	$0.140	16%	+15%	0.6%	moderado	$9,607

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,235 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.5%Sobre-dispersion: 25.56x40 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 32% del periodo

lleva 227 · proyeccion 1081.7 ± 147.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.135	71%	+427%	16.6%	moderado	$4,281
960-999	$0.050	8%	+70%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$3,782

Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 319.1 ± 90.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
400-419	$0.002	5%	+3468%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$6,386
380-399	$0.003	7%	+2505%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$1,728
360-379	$0.004	8%	+1578%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$1,558
500+	$0.002	2%	+1424%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$21,626
340-359	$0.005	8%	+1415%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,375
320-339	$0.009	9%	+930%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$2,122
300-319	$0.015	9%	+466%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$3,029
280-299	$0.025	8%	+241%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$6,802
80-99	$0.003	0%	+41%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$15,831
260-279	$0.055	8%	+38%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$656

Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 75 · proyeccion 241.9 ± 65.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
320-339	$0.002	5%	+3220%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$45,301
300-319	$0.004	7%	+1687%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$40,171
280-299	$0.007	9%	+1235%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$30,594
100-119	$0.002	2%	+957%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$67,885
260-279	$0.017	11%	+575%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$18,613
240-259	$0.045	12%	+169%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$14,467
120-139	$0.020	3%	+40%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$67,238
220-239	$0.105	12%	+14%	0.4%	moderado	$14,667

Elon Musk # tweets August 10 - August 12, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 82.2 ± 45.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-164	$0.003	7%	+2669%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$1,295
165-189	$0.002	3%	+1673%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$1,549
115-139	$0.009	13%	+1318%	3.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,171
90-114	$0.037	20%	+430%	4.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,191

Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 159 · proyeccion 199.3 ± 32.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.002	8%	+4984%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$237,117
240-259	$0.003	7%	+2894%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$109,371
220-239	$0.015	16%	+928%	3.6%	cautela (no operable)	$107,659
200-219	$0.145	23%	+61%	2.6%	moderado	$119,715

Elon Musk # tweets August 8 - August 10, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 43 · proyeccion 45.1 ± 7.3

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,354 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.3%Sobre-dispersion: 11.9x24 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 169.6 ± 44.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.007	12%	+1602%	2.8%	cautela (no operable)	$120
100-119	$0.006	7%	+1119%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$120
80-99	$0.005	4%	+572%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$149
60-79	$0.006	2%	+156%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$169
140-159	$0.072	16%	+120%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$268

White House # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 53 · proyeccion 154.2 ± 34.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.003	10%	+3946%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$453
80-99	$0.004	4%	+828%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$724
140-159	$0.110	22%	+105%	3.2%	moderado	$1,317
120-139	$0.160	18%	+11%	0.5%	moderado	$721

White House # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 138 · proyeccion 163.6 ± 17.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.004	8%	+2124%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$3,236
140-159	$0.106	32%	+205%	6.1%	moderado	$7,640
180-199	$0.140	16%	+15%	0.6%	moderado	$9,607

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,099 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.2%Sobre-dispersion: 14.43x29 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 165.1 ± 48.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.002	0%	+140%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$567
40-59	$0.004	1%	+127%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$331
200+	$0.215	24%	+12%	0.8%	escalable	$1,147

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 64 · proyeccion 148.8 ± 35.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.009	6%	+484%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,623
60-79	$0.004	2%	+361%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$2,317
100-119	$0.034	12%	+258%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$1,710
140-159	$0.180	22%	+25%	1.4%	moderado	$986
120-139	$0.175	19%	+11%	0.6%	moderado	$1,531

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 158 · proyeccion 184.0 ± 19.4

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,496 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.8%Sobre-dispersion: 5.54x22 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 128.9 ± 26.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.021	3%	+31%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$511
140-159	$0.170	22%	+29%	1.5%	moderado	$216

Ted Cruz # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 46 · proyeccion 119.8 ± 20.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.205	34%	+64%	4.1%	escalable	$352
60-79	$0.017	2%	+28%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$124
120-139	$0.280	34%	+22%	2.1%	escalable	$421

Ted Cruz # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 140 · proyeccion 157.7 ± 9.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.002	3%	+2110%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$1,275
180-199	$0.005	1%	+147%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,899
140-159	$0.490	54%	+10%	2.5%	escalable	$3,384

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,654 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.1%Sobre-dispersion: 3.06x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 94.9 ± 17.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.125	32%	+156%	5.6%	moderado	$74
120-139	$0.040	7%	+78%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$90

Zelenskyy # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 24 · proyeccion 78.0 ± 12.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.370	41%	+10%	1.4%	escalable	$812

Zelenskyy # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 54 · proyeccion 67.4 ± 6.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.082	11%	+31%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$2,771

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 809 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.8%Sobre-dispersion: 2.92x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 45.8 ± 11.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.340	59%	+73%	9.4%	escalable	$2,969
60-79	$0.084	12%	+40%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$811
<20	$0.009	1%	+20%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$635

NYC Mayor # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 15 · proyeccion 39.2 ± 8.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
<20	$0.005	1%	+74%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,660
40-59	$0.445	48%	+7%	1.5%	escalable	$4,199

NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 30 · proyeccion 35.8 ± 4.1

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 448 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 22.1%Sobre-dispersion: 5.41x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 26.4 ± 12.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.009	13%	+1481%	3.2%	cautela (no operable)	$354
20-39	$0.260	58%	+124%	10.9%	escalable	$1,186

CZ # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 15.4 ± 9.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.055	32%	+490%	7.1%	cautela (no operable)	$918

CZ # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 6 · proyeccion 9.8 ± 4.5

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 149 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 16.9%Sobre-dispersion: 13.08x9 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 8.6 ± 10.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
30-34	$0.006	2%	+187%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$12
15-19	$0.055	14%	+149%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$0
20-24	$0.035	9%	+140%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$12
10-14	$0.090	18%	+97%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$0

Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 4.6 ± 7.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.029	16%	+451%	3.4%	cautela (no operable)	$397
15-19	$0.029	7%	+152%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$206
20-24	$0.011	2%	+91%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$195

Khamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 1.1 ± 3.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
5-9	$0.075	18%	+133%	2.7%	cautela (no operable)	$5,320
10-14	$0.009	1%	+58%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$3,015