CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Elon Musk	40-64	$0.140	45%	+222%	9.1%	moderado	$75,206
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	60-79	$0.110	31%	+178%	5.5%	moderado	$1,671
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.215	54%	+152%	10.4%	escalable	$854
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	100-119	$0.196	41%	+107%	6.5%	moderado	$385
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.125	24%	+94%	3.4%	moderado	$5,910
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.325	61%	+86%	10.4%	escalable	$1,962
Donald Trump	200+	$0.185	32%	+72%	4.1%	moderado	$575
Ted Cruz	120-139	$0.230	36%	+57%	4.3%	escalable	$1,895
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.155	24%	+52%	2.4%	moderado	$970
Donald Trump	100-119	$0.115	16%	+37%	1.2%	moderado	$1,274
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.300	41%	+36%	3.9%	escalable	$5,036
The White House	180-199	$0.225	30%	+33%	2.4%	escalable	$6,803

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,272 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.5%Sobre-dispersion: 25.64x40 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 39% del periodo

lleva 257 · proyeccion 1037.4 ± 141.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.055	61%	+1001%	14.6%	cautela (no operable)	$4,942
960-999	$0.013	10%	+728%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$5,505
920-959	$0.040	9%	+124%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$2,693
880-919	$0.045	7%	+56%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$2,939

Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 372.7 ± 97.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
500+	$0.002	10%	+6393%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$14,615
400-419	$0.002	8%	+4962%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,474
420-439	$0.002	7%	+4492%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$1,653
380-399	$0.003	8%	+3112%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$790
360-379	$0.004	8%	+1710%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$2,448
340-359	$0.005	8%	+1340%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,310
320-339	$0.008	7%	+824%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$4,159
300-319	$0.013	7%	+409%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$2,515
280-299	$0.022	6%	+152%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$4,487

Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 19 · proyeccion 265.4 ± 79.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
360-379	$0.002	4%	+2744%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$5,522
340-359	$0.003	6%	+2195%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$9,258
320-339	$0.004	7%	+1970%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$8,204
300-319	$0.005	9%	+1462%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$14,897
280-299	$0.011	10%	+732%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$12,887
260-279	$0.022	10%	+344%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$5,525
80-99	$0.003	1%	+250%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$39,608
240-259	$0.055	10%	+78%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$4,646
220-239	$0.085	9%	+6%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$2,458

Elon Musk # tweets August 13 - August 15, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 136.3 ± 59.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-164	$0.002	16%	+10683%	4.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,601
165-189	$0.002	13%	+8740%	3.3%	cautela (no operable)	$1,618
115-139	$0.007	17%	+2106%	4.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,541
90-114	$0.041	14%	+250%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$1,061

Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 105 · proyeccion 200.0 ± 49.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
260-279	$0.002	6%	+3926%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$87,526
240-259	$0.003	10%	+3811%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$76,860
100-119	$0.002	3%	+1938%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$225,431
220-239	$0.011	13%	+1071%	3.1%	cautela (no operable)	$64,147
200-219	$0.024	16%	+571%	3.4%	cautela (no operable)	$60,314
180-199	$0.095	16%	+65%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$87,381

Elon Musk # tweets August 10 - August 12, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 30 · proyeccion 40.3 ± 16.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
65-89	$0.003	7%	+2585%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$129,948
40-64	$0.140	45%	+222%	9.1%	moderado	$75,206

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,434 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.3%Sobre-dispersion: 11.55x24 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 203.7 ± 48.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.022	5%	+134%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$22
140-159	$0.040	9%	+121%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$0
80-99	$0.005	1%	+93%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$102
160-179	$0.080	13%	+60%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$108
100-119	$0.019	3%	+34%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$22
200+	$0.435	53%	+23%	4.4%	escalable	$220

White House # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 34 · proyeccion 161.6 ± 38.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.021	20%	+882%	4.6%	cautela (no operable)	$1,329
140-159	$0.026	20%	+639%	4.3%	cautela (no operable)	$1,370

White House # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 131 · proyeccion 189.7 ± 26.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.004	10%	+2307%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$2,751
160-179	$0.011	22%	+1944%	5.4%	cautela (no operable)	$3,780
180-199	$0.225	30%	+33%	2.4%	escalable	$6,803

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,149 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.2%Sobre-dispersion: 14.42x29 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 175.7 ± 50.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.006	2%	+169%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$80
200+	$0.185	32%	+72%	4.1%	moderado	$575
80-99	$0.025	4%	+48%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$222
40-59	$0.005	1%	+29%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$442
160-179	$0.135	16%	+16%	0.6%	moderado	$326

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 19 · proyeccion 135.7 ± 41.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.004	2%	+531%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$1,412
60-79	$0.009	5%	+465%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$702
80-99	$0.020	10%	+416%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,389
100-119	$0.115	16%	+37%	1.2%	moderado	$1,274
120-139	$0.150	19%	+27%	1.2%	moderado	$657

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 113 · proyeccion 149.4 ± 22.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.061	24%	+288%	4.7%	cautela (no operable)	$2,775

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,551 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.8%Sobre-dispersion: 5.5x22 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 154.4 ± 29.1

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

Ted Cruz # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 32 · proyeccion 129.5 ± 23.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.003	1%	+373%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$713
80-99	$0.045	8%	+83%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$269
140-159	$0.155	24%	+52%	2.4%	moderado	$970

Ted Cruz # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 100 · proyeccion 142.2 ± 15.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.018	7%	+274%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$827
120-139	$0.230	36%	+57%	4.3%	escalable	$1,895

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,669 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.1%Sobre-dispersion: 3.07x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 112.4 ± 18.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.005	7%	+1237%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$234
120-139	$0.037	28%	+644%	6.3%	cautela (no operable)	$204
100-119	$0.196	41%	+107%	6.5%	moderado	$385
160-179	$0.005	1%	+10%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$226

Zelenskyy # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 7 · proyeccion 78.8 ± 14.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.050	8%	+57%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$146
60-79	$0.385	42%	+10%	1.5%	escalable	$488
40-59	$0.085	9%	+9%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$32

Zelenskyy # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 39 · proyeccion 70.1 ± 9.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.135	17%	+24%	0.9%	moderado	$1,449
60-79	$0.620	69%	+12%	4.8%	escalable	$1,422

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 816 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.8%Sobre-dispersion: 2.93x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 53.9 ± 12.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.005	2%	+272%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$686
60-79	$0.110	31%	+178%	5.5%	moderado	$1,671
40-59	$0.475	55%	+15%	3.4%	escalable	$2,064

NYC Mayor # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 2 · proyeccion 37.5 ± 10.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.300	41%	+36%	3.9%	escalable	$5,036

NYC Mayor # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 21 · proyeccion 35.0 ± 6.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.125	24%	+94%	3.4%	moderado	$5,910

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 448 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 22.1%Sobre-dispersion: 5.41x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 32.2 ± 13.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.016	27%	+1589%	6.5%	cautela (no operable)	$217
60-79	$0.005	2%	+246%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$163
20-39	$0.215	54%	+152%	10.4%	escalable	$854

CZ # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 4 · proyeccion 24.5 ± 10.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.325	61%	+86%	10.4%	escalable	$1,962

CZ # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 4 · proyeccion 13.5 ± 7.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.011	20%	+1747%	4.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,020

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 150 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 15.3%Sobre-dispersion: 12.33x10 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 10.4 ± 11.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.049	15%	+205%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$40
20-24	$0.047	10%	+121%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$30
25-29	$0.039	6%	+55%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$30
10-14	$0.140	17%	+24%	1.0%	moderado	$104

Khamenei # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 7.1 ± 9.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-24	$0.005	6%	+1115%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$278
10-14	$0.058	18%	+218%	3.4%	cautela (no operable)	$316
30-34	$0.005	1%	+31%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$278
15-19	$0.102	12%	+19%	0.6%	moderado	$269

Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 1 · proyeccion 4.2 ± 6.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.026	15%	+461%	3.1%	cautela (no operable)	$575
15-19	$0.017	4%	+152%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$381
5-9	$0.230	28%	+22%	1.7%	escalable	$1,057