CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Donald Trump	140-159	$0.100	27%	+170%	4.7%	moderado	$3,316
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.285	58%	+103%	10.3%	escalable	$1,223
Ted Cruz	120-139	$0.190	37%	+97%	5.7%	moderado	$111
The White House	180-199	$0.195	38%	+97%	5.9%	moderado	$11,651
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.320	58%	+80%	9.5%	escalable	$3,753
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	80-99	$0.355	48%	+35%	4.8%	escalable	$852
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	80-99	$0.325	43%	+33%	3.9%	escalable	$566
Elon Musk	65-89	$0.165	21%	+30%	1.5%	moderado	$13,431
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.175	21%	+21%	1.1%	moderado	$254
Ted Cruz	120-139	$0.245	29%	+20%	1.6%	escalable	$222
Ted Cruz	120-139	$0.149	17%	+16%	0.7%	moderado	$2,738
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.320	36%	+12%	1.4%	escalable	$5,337

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,301 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.5%Sobre-dispersion: 25.7x40 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 42% del periodo

lleva 290 · proyeccion 1015.0 ± 136.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.055	55%	+891%	13.0%	cautela (no operable)	$5,355
960-999	$0.019	11%	+478%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$8,638
920-959	$0.054	10%	+85%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$4,043
880-919	$0.075	8%	+9%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$3,445

Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 317.7 ± 90.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
400-419	$0.002	5%	+3415%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$2,554
360-379	$0.003	7%	+2893%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$3,293
380-399	$0.004	6%	+1739%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$1,680
320-339	$0.005	9%	+1489%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$5,118
340-359	$0.005	8%	+1406%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,959
500+	$0.002	2%	+1376%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$18,263
300-319	$0.011	9%	+698%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$7,475
280-299	$0.021	8%	+309%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$5,061
260-279	$0.045	8%	+70%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$1,544
80-99	$0.004	0%	+5%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$16,013

Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 52 · proyeccion 243.8 ± 70.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
320-339	$0.002	5%	+3505%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$16,510
340-359	$0.002	4%	+2352%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$20,244
300-319	$0.004	7%	+1734%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$29,656
280-299	$0.005	9%	+1569%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$24,902
360-379	$0.002	2%	+1439%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$23,217
260-279	$0.009	11%	+1016%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$19,416
240-259	$0.022	11%	+402%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$10,720
100-119	$0.004	2%	+309%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$47,799
220-239	$0.075	11%	+48%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$9,293

Elon Musk # tweets August 13 - August 15, 2026? 50% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 81.7 ± 45.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-164	$0.002	7%	+4454%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$11,031
115-139	$0.005	13%	+2329%	3.2%	cautela (no operable)	$10,968
165-189	$0.002	3%	+1642%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$9,305
90-114	$0.029	20%	+586%	4.3%	cautela (no operable)	$17,699
65-89	$0.165	21%	+30%	1.5%	moderado	$13,431

Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 138 · proyeccion 178.4 ± 32.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
220-239	$0.002	7%	+4720%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$154,533
200-219	$0.013	16%	+1096%	3.6%	cautela (no operable)	$157,912
180-199	$0.075	23%	+207%	4.2%	cautela (no operable)	$186,424

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,473 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.3%Sobre-dispersion: 11.4x24 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 167.6 ± 43.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.005	8%	+1280%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$180
120-139	$0.011	12%	+1032%	2.9%	cautela (no operable)	$154
80-99	$0.005	4%	+585%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$296
140-159	$0.025	17%	+579%	3.6%	cautela (no operable)	$150
60-79	$0.005	2%	+177%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$329
160-179	$0.095	18%	+90%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$286

White House # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 81 · proyeccion 172.2 ± 32.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.002	19%	+12671%	4.8%	cautela (no operable)	$2,542
160-179	$0.008	24%	+2934%	5.9%	cautela (no operable)	$2,860

White House # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 178 · proyeccion 200.3 ± 15.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
180-199	$0.195	38%	+97%	5.9%	moderado	$11,651

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,182 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.4%Sobre-dispersion: 14.32x29 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 156.0 ± 47.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.002	1%	+816%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$509
60-79	$0.006	3%	+395%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$100
80-99	$0.043	6%	+45%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$232
120-139	$0.135	14%	+6%	0.2%	moderado	$103

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 57 · proyeccion 153.7 ± 37.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.003	2%	+481%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$1,887
80-99	$0.009	5%	+451%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,648
100-119	$0.044	11%	+142%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$1,361
120-139	$0.095	17%	+82%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$988

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 151 · proyeccion 167.3 ± 15.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.100	27%	+170%	4.7%	moderado	$3,316
160-179	$0.450	48%	+7%	1.5%	escalable	$3,922

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,576 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.9%Sobre-dispersion: 5.48x22 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 127.5 ± 26.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.005	3%	+439%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$18
140-159	$0.175	21%	+21%	1.1%	moderado	$254
120-139	$0.245	29%	+20%	1.6%	escalable	$222

Ted Cruz # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 65 · proyeccion 135.3 ± 19.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.066	18%	+167%	3.0%	cautela (no operable)	$553
120-139	$0.190	37%	+97%	5.7%	moderado	$111
140-159	$0.275	31%	+12%	1.1%	escalable	$1,045

Ted Cruz # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 133 · proyeccion 148.1 ± 9.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.085	10%	+22%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$2,619
120-139	$0.149	17%	+16%	0.7%	moderado	$2,738

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,688 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.1%Sobre-dispersion: 3.08x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 93.8 ± 17.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.009	6%	+625%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$266
100-119	$0.055	30%	+452%	6.6%	cautela (no operable)	$447
80-99	$0.325	43%	+33%	3.9%	escalable	$566

Zelenskyy # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 28 · proyeccion 81.3 ± 12.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.355	48%	+35%	4.8%	escalable	$852
100-119	$0.069	8%	+11%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$160

Zelenskyy # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 60 · proyeccion 72.6 ± 6.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.056	13%	+140%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,840

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 823 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.8%Sobre-dispersion: 2.93x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 44.7 ± 11.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.320	58%	+80%	9.5%	escalable	$3,753

NYC Mayor # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 10 · proyeccion 36.4 ± 8.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
<20	$0.013	3%	+101%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$2,977
40-59	$0.320	36%	+12%	1.4%	escalable	$5,337

NYC Mayor # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 29 · proyeccion 33.9 ± 3.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.045	7%	+57%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$6,972

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 453 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 21.3%Sobre-dispersion: 5.45x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 25.8 ± 11.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.011	12%	+1056%	2.8%	cautela (no operable)	$256
20-39	$0.285	58%	+103%	10.3%	escalable	$1,223

CZ # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 9 · proyeccion 23.3 ± 8.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.595	63%	+6%	2.4%	escalable	$2,605

CZ # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 9 · proyeccion 12.9 ± 4.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.011	7%	+546%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$1,020

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 150 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 15.3%Sobre-dispersion: 12.33x10 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 9.1 ± 10.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.051	14%	+181%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$40
10-14	$0.085	18%	+112%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$325
20-24	$0.071	9%	+26%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$30

Khamenei # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 5.8 ± 8.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.015	18%	+1093%	4.2%	cautela (no operable)	$391
20-24	$0.005	4%	+679%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$283
15-19	$0.016	10%	+519%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$274
25-29	$0.008	1%	+36%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$272

Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 1 · proyeccion 2.9 ± 4.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
5-9	$0.043	28%	+561%	6.3%	cautela (no operable)	$1,353
10-14	$0.022	8%	+256%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$637