CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Elon Musk	1000+	$0.165	77%	+366%	18.1%	moderado	$3,568
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.140	42%	+201%	8.2%	moderado	$2,174
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	100-119	$0.155	41%	+162%	7.4%	moderado	$24
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.225	47%	+108%	7.9%	escalable	$777
Ali Khamenei	5-9	$0.120	24%	+97%	3.3%	moderado	$4,106
Donald Trump	200+	$0.235	45%	+92%	7.1%	escalable	$1,010
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.325	56%	+74%	8.9%	escalable	$22
Donald Trump	160-179	$0.160	27%	+67%	3.2%	moderado	$2,296
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.325	49%	+52%	6.3%	escalable	$3,079
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	100-119	$0.150	22%	+45%	2.0%	moderado	$331
Donald Trump	140-159	$0.145	19%	+33%	1.4%	moderado	$835
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	80-99	$0.330	44%	+33%	4.0%	escalable	$1,991

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,204 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.5%Sobre-dispersion: 25.56x40 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 26% del periodo

lleva 194 · proyeccion 1112.6 ± 153.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.165	77%	+366%	18.1%	moderado	$3,568

Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 381.5 ± 98.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
500+	$0.002	12%	+7642%	2.9%	cautela (no operable)	$17,252
420-439	$0.002	7%	+4681%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$3,969
380-399	$0.004	8%	+1687%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$355
400-419	$0.004	8%	+1622%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$4,629
360-379	$0.007	8%	+968%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$625
340-359	$0.009	8%	+800%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$663
320-339	$0.011	7%	+569%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$1,046
300-319	$0.013	6%	+358%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$471
280-299	$0.026	5%	+97%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$3,149

Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 42 · proyeccion 270.6 ± 76.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
360-379	$0.002	5%	+2166%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$29,777
380-399	$0.002	3%	+1986%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$33,459
340-359	$0.003	6%	+1944%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$29,841
320-339	$0.005	8%	+1450%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$26,883
300-319	$0.009	9%	+864%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$20,684
100-119	$0.002	1%	+662%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$51,461
280-299	$0.018	10%	+477%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$17,594
260-279	$0.044	10%	+134%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$9,584
120-139	$0.013	2%	+53%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$31,179
240-259	$0.095	10%	+6%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$7,006

Elon Musk # tweets August 10 - August 12, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 143.9 ± 60.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
165-189	$0.003	14%	+4601%	3.5%	cautela (no operable)	$597
140-164	$0.004	16%	+3497%	4.0%	cautela (no operable)	$582
190-214	$0.003	10%	+3364%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$129
215-239	$0.005	6%	+1196%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$126
115-139	$0.015	16%	+947%	3.6%	cautela (no operable)	$80
90-114	$0.060	13%	+115%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$206

Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 126 · proyeccion 228.1 ± 51.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
300-319	$0.002	4%	+2853%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$73,950
320-339	$0.002	2%	+1379%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$55,216
280-299	$0.005	8%	+1283%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$57,404
260-279	$0.017	11%	+580%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$66,464
140-159	$0.009	5%	+408%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$92,689
240-259	$0.052	14%	+174%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$60,996
220-239	$0.135	16%	+15%	0.6%	moderado	$58,307

Elon Musk # tweets August 8 - August 10, 2026? 50% del periodo

lleva 10 · proyeccion 73.9 ± 40.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-164	$0.002	4%	+2551%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$10,708
115-139	$0.006	11%	+1519%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$18,559
90-114	$0.035	19%	+449%	4.1%	cautela (no operable)	$22,676
65-89	$0.195	24%	+24%	1.5%	moderado	$17,600

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,337 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.3%Sobre-dispersion: 11.94x24 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 187.3 ± 47.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.015	8%	+418%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$70
100-119	$0.011	4%	+301%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$60
80-99	$0.005	2%	+270%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$97
140-159	$0.037	12%	+226%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$216
60-79	$0.005	1%	+43%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$127
160-179	$0.135	16%	+16%	0.6%	moderado	$387

White House # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 33 · proyeccion 152.0 ± 37.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.004	18%	+4922%	4.3%	cautela (no operable)	$361
100-119	$0.004	11%	+3112%	2.7%	cautela (no operable)	$426
140-159	$0.019	21%	+999%	4.8%	cautela (no operable)	$581

White House # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 118 · proyeccion 161.4 ± 22.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.004	14%	+2903%	3.3%	cautela (no operable)	$1,627
140-159	$0.042	30%	+620%	6.7%	cautela (no operable)	$4,033

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,061 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.2%Sobre-dispersion: 14.45x29 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 193.1 ± 52.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
200+	$0.235	45%	+92%	7.1%	escalable	$1,010
180-199	$0.125	15%	+20%	0.7%	moderado	$447
160-179	$0.125	14%	+9%	0.3%	moderado	$474

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 30 · proyeccion 143.0 ± 40.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.002	1%	+844%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$563
60-79	$0.004	4%	+757%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$461
80-99	$0.021	8%	+285%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$588
100-119	$0.085	14%	+64%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$1,060
20-39	$0.003	0%	+36%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$5,641
140-159	$0.145	19%	+33%	1.4%	moderado	$835

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 124 · proyeccion 178.2 ± 28.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.011	7%	+495%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$1,993
140-159	$0.060	17%	+181%	2.9%	cautela (no operable)	$2,669
160-179	$0.160	27%	+67%	3.2%	moderado	$2,296

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,481 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.8%Sobre-dispersion: 5.54x22 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 146.1 ± 28.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.055	20%	+261%	3.8%	cautela (no operable)	$0
140-159	$0.090	27%	+203%	5.0%	cautela (no operable)	$0
180-199	$0.045	9%	+100%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$0
120-139	$0.180	23%	+30%	1.6%	moderado	$0
200+	$0.025	3%	+19%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$40

Ted Cruz # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 31 · proyeccion 121.8 ± 22.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.066	13%	+97%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$376
60-79	$0.018	3%	+49%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$97

Ted Cruz # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 125 · proyeccion 159.7 ± 13.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.011	7%	+541%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$841
140-159	$0.140	42%	+201%	8.2%	moderado	$2,174

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,650 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.1%Sobre-dispersion: 3.06x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 112.4 ± 18.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.068	28%	+310%	5.7%	cautela (no operable)	$20
100-119	$0.155	41%	+162%	7.4%	moderado	$24
140-159	$0.032	7%	+108%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$12

Zelenskyy # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 18 · proyeccion 88.9 ± 14.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.150	22%	+45%	2.0%	moderado	$331

Zelenskyy # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 48 · proyeccion 78.3 ± 9.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.018	3%	+40%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$552
80-99	$0.330	44%	+33%	4.0%	escalable	$1,991

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 802 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.8%Sobre-dispersion: 2.92x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 52.4 ± 12.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.065	27%	+315%	5.5%	cautela (no operable)	$713
40-59	$0.430	57%	+32%	6.0%	escalable	$1,275

NYC Mayor # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 9 · proyeccion 39.8 ± 9.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
<20	$0.008	2%	+101%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,140
40-59	$0.325	49%	+52%	6.3%	escalable	$3,079

NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 24 · proyeccion 36.4 ± 6.0

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 448 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 22.1%Sobre-dispersion: 5.41x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 30.3 ± 12.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.040	23%	+463%	4.8%	cautela (no operable)	$0
20-39	$0.325	56%	+74%	8.9%	escalable	$22

CZ # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 19.3 ± 10.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.005	2%	+341%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$187
20-39	$0.225	47%	+108%	7.9%	escalable	$777

CZ # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 6 · proyeccion 13.7 ± 6.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.055	18%	+233%	3.4%	cautela (no operable)	$2,924

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 149 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 16.9%Sobre-dispersion: 13.08x9 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 9.4 ± 11.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
30-34	$0.006	2%	+282%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$12
20-24	$0.040	9%	+139%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$10
15-19	$0.060	14%	+136%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$0
25-29	$0.041	5%	+25%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$70
10-14	$0.140	17%	+24%	1.0%	moderado	$0

Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 5.3 ± 8.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.029	9%	+215%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$83
10-14	$0.055	17%	+214%	3.1%	cautela (no operable)	$199
20-24	$0.013	3%	+174%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$82

Khamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 1.9 ± 5.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.027	6%	+111%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$2,367
5-9	$0.120	24%	+97%	3.3%	moderado	$4,106