CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Ted Cruz	120-139	$0.200	38%	+91%	5.7%	escalable	$251
Elon Musk	180-199	$0.135	26%	+90%	3.5%	moderado	$198,797
Ali Khamenei	5-9	$0.172	32%	+85%	4.4%	moderado	$1,383
The White House	180-199	$0.235	43%	+84%	6.5%	escalable	$11,751
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.320	57%	+77%	9.1%	escalable	$3,753
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.355	58%	+62%	8.6%	escalable	$1,223
Ali Khamenei	10-14	$0.125	18%	+46%	1.6%	moderado	$325
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	80-99	$0.315	45%	+42%	4.8%	escalable	$571
Ted Cruz	120-139	$0.235	29%	+25%	1.9%	escalable	$222
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.525	65%	+25%	6.8%	escalable	$2,605
Elon Musk	140-159	$0.110	14%	+24%	0.7%	moderado	$264,574
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	80-99	$0.360	43%	+18%	2.6%	escalable	$881

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,301 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.5%Sobre-dispersion: 25.7x40 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 42% del periodo

lleva 301 · proyeccion 1021.0 ± 136.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.050	56%	+1026%	13.5%	cautela (no operable)	$5,355
960-999	$0.019	11%	+472%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$8,638
920-959	$0.052	10%	+86%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$4,043

Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 312.8 ± 89.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
400-419	$0.002	5%	+3216%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$2,609
360-379	$0.003	7%	+2810%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$3,308
380-399	$0.004	6%	+1662%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$1,680
320-339	$0.005	9%	+1487%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$5,118
340-359	$0.005	8%	+1385%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,959
500+	$0.002	2%	+1142%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$18,278
300-319	$0.011	9%	+745%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$7,675
280-299	$0.021	9%	+319%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$5,061
260-279	$0.045	8%	+76%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,544
80-99	$0.004	0%	+16%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$21,548

Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 63 · proyeccion 249.9 ± 69.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
320-339	$0.002	6%	+3870%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$16,510
340-359	$0.002	4%	+2641%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$20,244
300-319	$0.004	8%	+1886%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$29,886
280-299	$0.005	10%	+1673%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$25,345
360-379	$0.002	3%	+1642%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$23,217
260-279	$0.011	11%	+950%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$19,663
80-99	$0.002	1%	+436%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$50,811
100-119	$0.004	2%	+328%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$48,497
240-259	$0.044	11%	+158%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$14,279
120-139	$0.017	3%	+51%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$49,634
220-239	$0.085	11%	+29%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$10,191

Elon Musk # tweets August 13 - August 15, 2026? 50% del periodo

lleva 11 · proyeccion 87.8 ± 44.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-164	$0.002	8%	+5236%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$11,183
165-189	$0.002	3%	+1969%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$9,658
115-139	$0.008	15%	+1795%	3.6%	cautela (no operable)	$13,787
90-114	$0.055	21%	+283%	4.1%	cautela (no operable)	$21,762

Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 149 · proyeccion 184.5 ± 30.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
220-239	$0.002	9%	+5820%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$159,578
200-219	$0.018	19%	+965%	4.3%	cautela (no operable)	$171,213
180-199	$0.135	26%	+90%	3.5%	moderado	$198,797
140-159	$0.110	14%	+24%	0.7%	moderado	$264,574

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,473 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.3%Sobre-dispersion: 11.4x24 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 163.8 ± 43.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.005	8%	+1433%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$180
120-139	$0.011	13%	+1122%	3.1%	cautela (no operable)	$154
80-99	$0.005	4%	+680%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$296
140-159	$0.025	17%	+608%	3.8%	cautela (no operable)	$150
60-79	$0.005	2%	+221%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$329
160-179	$0.095	18%	+91%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$286

White House # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 83 · proyeccion 170.3 ± 31.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.006	20%	+2998%	4.9%	cautela (no operable)	$2,607
160-179	$0.010	25%	+2386%	6.0%	cautela (no operable)	$2,875

White House # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 180 · proyeccion 198.5 ± 14.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
180-199	$0.235	43%	+84%	6.5%	escalable	$11,751

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,182 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.4%Sobre-dispersion: 14.32x29 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 154.2 ± 47.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.002	1%	+876%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$509
60-79	$0.006	3%	+424%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$100
80-99	$0.043	7%	+52%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$232
120-139	$0.135	15%	+9%	0.3%	moderado	$103
20-39	$0.005	1%	+5%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$281

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 59 · proyeccion 153.8 ± 36.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.003	2%	+454%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$1,887
80-99	$0.013	5%	+287%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,648
100-119	$0.033	11%	+220%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,361
120-139	$0.070	17%	+147%	2.8%	cautela (no operable)	$1,041

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 153 · proyeccion 167.5 ± 14.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.040	26%	+559%	5.8%	cautela (no operable)	$3,401
180-199	$0.175	19%	+8%	0.4%	moderado	$5,517

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,576 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.9%Sobre-dispersion: 5.48x22 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 125.7 ± 26.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.005	3%	+565%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$18
120-139	$0.235	29%	+25%	1.9%	escalable	$222
140-159	$0.180	20%	+12%	0.6%	moderado	$254
40-59	$0.005	1%	+6%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$88

Ted Cruz # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 66 · proyeccion 134.6 ± 19.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.064	18%	+189%	3.2%	cautela (no operable)	$553
120-139	$0.200	38%	+91%	5.7%	escalable	$251
140-159	$0.275	30%	+9%	0.9%	escalable	$1,045

Ted Cruz # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 134 · proyeccion 147.3 ± 8.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.025	18%	+619%	4.0%	cautela (no operable)	$2,824

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,688 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.1%Sobre-dispersion: 3.08x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 91.2 ± 16.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.006	4%	+573%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$271
100-119	$0.050	26%	+435%	5.7%	cautela (no operable)	$452
80-99	$0.315	45%	+42%	4.8%	escalable	$571

Zelenskyy # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 28 · proyeccion 78.7 ± 12.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.038	5%	+24%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$160
80-99	$0.360	43%	+18%	2.6%	escalable	$881

Zelenskyy # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 60 · proyeccion 70.0 ± 5.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.011	4%	+282%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$2,043

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 823 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.8%Sobre-dispersion: 2.93x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 43.9 ± 11.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.320	57%	+77%	9.1%	escalable	$3,753

NYC Mayor # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 10 · proyeccion 35.7 ± 8.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.290	33%	+12%	1.3%	escalable	$5,377

NYC Mayor # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 29 · proyeccion 33.2 ± 3.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.021	3%	+67%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$7,003

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 453 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 21.3%Sobre-dispersion: 5.45x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 25.2 ± 11.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.011	11%	+951%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$256
20-39	$0.355	58%	+62%	8.6%	escalable	$1,223

CZ # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 10 · proyeccion 23.8 ± 8.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.525	65%	+25%	6.8%	escalable	$2,605

CZ # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 10 · proyeccion 13.3 ± 4.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.004	7%	+1544%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$1,032

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 150 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 15.3%Sobre-dispersion: 12.33x10 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 8.4 ± 10.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.051	14%	+171%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$40
10-14	$0.125	18%	+46%	1.6%	moderado	$325

Khamenei # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 1 · proyeccion 6.1 ± 7.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-24	$0.005	4%	+606%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$283
10-14	$0.036	19%	+418%	4.0%	cautela (no operable)	$391
15-19	$0.033	10%	+200%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$274

Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 2 · proyeccion 3.2 ± 3.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.020	5%	+148%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$637
5-9	$0.172	32%	+85%	4.4%	moderado	$1,383