CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	80-99	$0.225	41%	+82%	5.9%	escalable	$982
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.325	53%	+63%	7.6%	escalable	$1,325
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	80-99	$0.165	25%	+49%	2.4%	moderado	$960
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.275	38%	+36%	3.5%	escalable	$1,458
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.330	45%	+35%	4.3%	escalable	$4,155
Donald Trump	100-119	$0.124	15%	+17%	0.6%	moderado	$501
Ted Cruz	160-179	$0.330	38%	+16%	1.9%	escalable	$549
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.295	34%	+15%	1.6%	escalable	$5,592
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.465	53%	+15%	3.2%	escalable	$2,996

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,354 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.5%Sobre-dispersion: 25.71x40 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 45% del periodo

lleva 339 · proyeccion 1011.9 ± 131.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.065	54%	+727%	12.6%	cautela (no operable)	$6,419
960-999	$0.033	12%	+255%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$9,257
920-959	$0.063	10%	+65%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$4,424

Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 2 · proyeccion 267.7 ± 82.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
320-339	$0.004	7%	+1723%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$8,379
360-379	$0.003	5%	+1711%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$25,307
340-359	$0.004	6%	+1590%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$6,759
300-319	$0.006	8%	+1313%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$10,512
80-99	$0.002	1%	+535%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$30,505
280-299	$0.015	9%	+500%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$10,893
260-279	$0.037	10%	+160%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$2,484
240-259	$0.075	9%	+25%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$2,059

Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 101 · proyeccion 240.8 ± 60.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
320-339	$0.002	4%	+2888%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$27,171
300-319	$0.003	7%	+2666%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$42,512
340-359	$0.002	3%	+1634%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$30,670
120-139	$0.002	2%	+1501%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$80,302
280-299	$0.006	10%	+1370%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$41,823
260-279	$0.021	12%	+450%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$42,944
240-259	$0.070	13%	+86%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$30,838
140-159	$0.025	4%	+65%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$64,190

Elon Musk # tweets August 13 - August 15, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 49 · proyeccion 78.7 ± 27.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
115-139	$0.005	8%	+1424%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$49,567
90-114	$0.086	25%	+190%	4.5%	cautela (no operable)	$68,727

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,514 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.1%Sobre-dispersion: 11.36x25 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 15 · proyeccion 151.5 ± 39.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.005	17%	+3340%	4.2%	cautela (no operable)	$458
140-159	$0.006	20%	+3236%	4.9%	cautela (no operable)	$521
100-119	$0.005	11%	+2196%	2.8%	cautela (no operable)	$484
80-99	$0.005	6%	+1091%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$600
160-179	$0.025	18%	+610%	4.0%	cautela (no operable)	$678
60-79	$0.005	2%	+380%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$634
20-39	$0.002	0%	+22%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$273

White House # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 121 · proyeccion 180.9 ± 26.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.006	15%	+2391%	3.6%	cautela (no operable)	$2,769
160-179	$0.011	27%	+2376%	6.6%	cautela (no operable)	$3,431

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,212 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.6%Sobre-dispersion: 14.22x30 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 5 · proyeccion 138.7 ± 43.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.015	10%	+526%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$370
40-59	$0.005	2%	+364%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$619
20-39	$0.002	1%	+316%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$417
100-119	$0.124	15%	+17%	0.6%	moderado	$501

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 84 · proyeccion 158.1 ± 32.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.004	3%	+693%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$4,331
100-119	$0.025	8%	+233%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$1,493
120-139	$0.080	17%	+107%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$1,156

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,621 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 11.0%Sobre-dispersion: 6.01x23 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 14 · proyeccion 120.6 ± 25.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.050	28%	+460%	6.1%	cautela (no operable)	$819

Ted Cruz # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 111 · proyeccion 159.8 ± 17.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.002	1%	+507%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$771
140-159	$0.275	38%	+36%	3.5%	escalable	$1,458
120-139	$0.085	11%	+28%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$709
160-179	$0.330	38%	+16%	1.9%	escalable	$549

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,699 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.4%Sobre-dispersion: 3.21x21 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 3 · proyeccion 80.3 ± 15.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.029	11%	+264%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$479
120-139	$0.004	1%	+82%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$271
80-99	$0.225	41%	+82%	5.9%	escalable	$982

Zelenskyy # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 35 · proyeccion 72.2 ± 10.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.165	25%	+49%	2.4%	moderado	$960
40-59	$0.095	12%	+28%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$120

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 831 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.8%Sobre-dispersion: 2.93x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 1 · proyeccion 38.7 ± 10.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.005	2%	+377%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$2,394
40-59	$0.330	45%	+35%	4.3%	escalable	$4,155
<20	$0.026	3%	+27%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,228

NYC Mayor # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 17 · proyeccion 36.4 ± 7.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
<20	$0.003	1%	+315%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$3,231
40-59	$0.295	34%	+15%	1.6%	escalable	$5,592

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 458 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 21.6%Sobre-dispersion: 5.41x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 21.7 ± 10.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.005	5%	+910%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$408
20-39	$0.325	53%	+63%	7.6%	escalable	$1,325

CZ # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 10 · proyeccion 20.2 ± 7.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.465	53%	+15%	3.2%	escalable	$2,996

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 151 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 15.2%Sobre-dispersion: 11.35x10 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 6.4 ± 8.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.005	11%	+2065%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$280
10-14	$0.085	19%	+120%	2.8%	cautela (no operable)	$372

Khamenei # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 1 · proyeccion 4.1 ± 6.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.009	14%	+1584%	3.4%	cautela (no operable)	$737
15-19	$0.007	4%	+382%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$528
20-24	$0.002	0%	+213%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$527