CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Elon Musk	1000+	$0.205	79%	+286%	18.5%	escalable	$3,421
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	100-119	$0.105	21%	+98%	2.9%	moderado	$129
Elon Musk	200-219	$0.145	28%	+92%	3.9%	moderado	$243,374
Ted Cruz	100-119	$0.170	30%	+76%	3.9%	moderado	$135
Ali Khamenei	10-14	$0.105	18%	+70%	2.1%	moderado	$138
Donald Trump	180-199	$0.130	21%	+58%	2.2%	moderado	$2,276
Donald Trump	160-179	$0.145	22%	+54%	2.3%	moderado	$1,879
Elon Musk	65-89	$0.185	26%	+40%	2.3%	moderado	$14,336
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.415	58%	+40%	7.0%	escalable	$2,217
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.425	56%	+32%	5.9%	escalable	$260
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.420	53%	+26%	4.6%	escalable	$2,062
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	80-99	$0.370	46%	+23%	3.4%	escalable	$319

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,164 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.4%Sobre-dispersion: 25.57x39 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 23% del periodo

lleva 149 · proyeccion 1128.3 ± 158.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.205	79%	+286%	18.5%	escalable	$3,421

Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 288.2 ± 85.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
400-419	$0.002	3%	+2190%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$4,902
380-399	$0.003	5%	+1756%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$3,565
420-439	$0.002	2%	+1506%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$2,252
360-379	$0.005	6%	+979%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$1,986
440-459	$0.002	2%	+967%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$6,976
320-339	$0.011	8%	+687%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$2,587
340-359	$0.011	7%	+585%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$4,144
500+	$0.002	1%	+362%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$19,634
300-319	$0.019	9%	+361%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$2,800
280-299	$0.035	9%	+169%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$4,992
80-99	$0.003	1%	+158%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$19,806
260-279	$0.065	9%	+39%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$1,824
100-119	$0.010	1%	+7%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$5,145

Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 81 · proyeccion 242.3 ± 64.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
320-339	$0.004	5%	+1317%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$27,758
300-319	$0.005	7%	+1207%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$34,929
340-359	$0.003	3%	+1143%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$26,938
360-379	$0.002	2%	+1079%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$23,492
280-299	$0.011	9%	+723%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$27,192
380-399	$0.002	1%	+509%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$25,519
260-279	$0.028	11%	+312%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$26,296
120-139	$0.011	3%	+155%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$54,596
240-259	$0.065	12%	+89%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$20,947

Elon Musk # tweets August 8 - August 10, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 123.1 ± 56.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
165-189	$0.002	11%	+7366%	2.8%	cautela (no operable)	$583
140-164	$0.003	15%	+6090%	3.8%	cautela (no operable)	$583
115-139	$0.012	18%	+1366%	4.2%	cautela (no operable)	$2,143
90-114	$0.055	16%	+199%	2.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,478

Elon Musk # tweets August 6 - August 8, 2026? 50% del periodo

lleva 15 · proyeccion 64.8 ± 35.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
115-139	$0.002	6%	+4146%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$33,856
90-114	$0.021	16%	+656%	3.6%	cautela (no operable)	$21,359
65-89	$0.185	26%	+40%	2.3%	moderado	$14,336

Elon Musk # tweets July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 184 · proyeccion 192.3 ± 14.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
220-239	$0.006	3%	+361%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$226,959
200-219	$0.145	28%	+92%	3.9%	moderado	$243,374

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,296 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.6%Sobre-dispersion: 12.37x23 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 150.6 ± 43.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.004	12%	+3251%	2.9%	cautela (no operable)	$10
120-139	$0.005	16%	+3157%	4.0%	cautela (no operable)	$10
80-99	$0.009	7%	+660%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$34
140-159	$0.025	18%	+618%	4.0%	cautela (no operable)	$0
60-79	$0.005	3%	+546%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$22
160-179	$0.150	17%	+11%	0.5%	moderado	$0

White House # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 76 · proyeccion 151.1 ± 30.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.005	20%	+3941%	5.0%	cautela (no operable)	$358
100-119	$0.006	10%	+1513%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$438
140-159	$0.017	26%	+1411%	6.1%	cautela (no operable)	$867
80-99	$0.003	4%	+1097%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$384
60-79	$0.002	1%	+305%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$358

White House # posts July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 176 · proyeccion 183.1 ± 9.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.072	34%	+378%	7.3%	cautela (no operable)	$6,946
200+	$0.035	4%	+15%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$12,951

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,032 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.2%Sobre-dispersion: 14.45x29 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 143.2 ± 45.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.005	5%	+770%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$271
40-59	$0.005	2%	+292%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$289
80-99	$0.043	9%	+106%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$517
20-39	$0.004	1%	+79%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$272
160-179	$0.135	15%	+9%	0.4%	moderado	$1,086

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 90 · proyeccion 174.2 ± 34.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.002	1%	+755%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$4,620
100-119	$0.013	4%	+226%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$2,701
120-139	$0.040	10%	+157%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$1,395
180-199	$0.130	21%	+58%	2.2%	moderado	$2,276
160-179	$0.145	22%	+54%	2.3%	moderado	$1,879

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 211 · proyeccion 215.3 ± 7.9

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,446 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.8%Sobre-dispersion: 5.55x22 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 115.3 ± 25.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.170	30%	+76%	3.9%	moderado	$135
60-79	$0.051	6%	+27%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$65
120-139	$0.215	26%	+23%	1.6%	escalable	$205

Ted Cruz # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 89 · proyeccion 148.2 ± 18.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.055	26%	+371%	5.4%	cautela (no operable)	$410
100-119	$0.043	5%	+22%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$209
140-159	$0.345	42%	+21%	2.8%	escalable	$1,302

Ted Cruz # posts July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 136 · proyeccion 140.5 ± 5.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.415	58%	+40%	7.0%	escalable	$2,217

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,630 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.9%Sobre-dispersion: 3.05x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 87.6 ± 16.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.105	21%	+98%	2.9%	moderado	$129
80-99	$0.370	46%	+23%	3.4%	escalable	$319

Zelenskyy # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 28 · proyeccion 74.6 ± 11.9

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

Zelenskyy # posts July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 67 · proyeccion 72.4 ± 4.1

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 793 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.8%Sobre-dispersion: 2.9x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 41.7 ± 11.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
<20	$0.006	2%	+259%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$590
40-59	$0.420	53%	+26%	4.6%	escalable	$2,062

NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 13 · proyeccion 36.2 ± 8.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.295	34%	+16%	1.7%	escalable	$2,600

NYC Mayor # posts July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 31 · proyeccion 32.6 ± 2.1

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 448 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 22.1%Sobre-dispersion: 5.41x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 23.5 ± 11.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.425	56%	+32%	5.9%	escalable	$260

CZ # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 6 · proyeccion 17.8 ± 8.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.003	0%	+13%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$487
20-39	$0.375	41%	+10%	1.6%	escalable	$2,434

CZ # posts July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 18 · proyeccion 18.9 ± 2.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.345	38%	+11%	1.4%	escalable	$6,196

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 149 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 16.9%Sobre-dispersion: 13.08x9 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 8.0 ± 10.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.040	13%	+231%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$21
20-24	$0.026	8%	+193%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$20
10-14	$0.105	18%	+70%	2.1%	moderado	$138

Khamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 4.6 ± 7.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.009	7%	+713%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$1,214
10-14	$0.032	16%	+408%	3.4%	cautela (no operable)	$2,066
20-24	$0.010	2%	+120%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$1,126
25-29	$0.004	0%	+10%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,117

Khamenei # posts July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 7 · proyeccion 7.5 ± 2.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.050	23%	+358%	4.7%	cautela (no operable)	$3,620