CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.150	50%	+234%	10.3%	moderado	$2,267
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.215	58%	+170%	11.6%	escalable	$1,081
Donald Trump	140-159	$0.140	31%	+119%	4.8%	moderado	$3,276
Elon Musk	180-199	$0.105	23%	+116%	3.4%	moderado	$176,182
Ali Khamenei	10-14	$0.100	18%	+79%	2.2%	moderado	$325
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.330	59%	+78%	9.6%	escalable	$3,389
Ted Cruz	120-139	$0.215	36%	+67%	4.6%	escalable	$89
Donald Trump	120-139	$0.110	18%	+61%	1.9%	moderado	$959
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.155	23%	+47%	2.1%	moderado	$46
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.290	40%	+38%	3.9%	escalable	$5,225
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	80-99	$0.350	47%	+35%	4.7%	escalable	$828
Ted Cruz	120-139	$0.225	29%	+30%	2.2%	escalable	$40

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,301 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.5%Sobre-dispersion: 25.7x40 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 42% del periodo

lleva 290 · proyeccion 1019.7 ± 136.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.045	56%	+1142%	13.4%	cautela (no operable)	$5,161
960-999	$0.015	11%	+618%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$8,638
920-959	$0.054	10%	+81%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$4,038
880-919	$0.075	8%	+6%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$3,445

Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 322.5 ± 91.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
400-419	$0.002	6%	+3600%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$2,534
360-379	$0.003	8%	+2964%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$3,293
380-399	$0.004	7%	+1808%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$1,680
500+	$0.002	3%	+1629%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$18,243
340-359	$0.005	8%	+1422%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,959
320-339	$0.006	9%	+1354%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$5,118
300-319	$0.011	9%	+687%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$7,475
280-299	$0.021	8%	+300%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$5,061
260-279	$0.045	7%	+64%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$1,540

Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 52 · proyeccion 248.6 ± 71.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
340-359	$0.002	4%	+2642%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$15,163
320-339	$0.003	6%	+2252%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$14,230
360-379	$0.002	3%	+1673%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$19,713
300-319	$0.005	8%	+1454%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$25,656
280-299	$0.011	9%	+804%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$23,287
260-279	$0.015	11%	+639%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$15,373
100-119	$0.004	2%	+377%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$46,893
240-259	$0.045	11%	+149%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$9,864
220-239	$0.085	11%	+27%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$8,703
120-139	$0.024	3%	+18%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$40,956

Elon Musk # tweets August 13 - August 15, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 86.5 ± 47.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-164	$0.003	8%	+3159%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$10,531
165-189	$0.002	3%	+2206%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$8,750
115-139	$0.007	15%	+1844%	3.5%	cautela (no operable)	$9,174
90-114	$0.034	20%	+483%	4.2%	cautela (no operable)	$17,214

Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 138 · proyeccion 183.2 ± 34.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
220-239	$0.002	9%	+6179%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$147,800
200-219	$0.015	17%	+1015%	4.0%	cautela (no operable)	$149,326
180-199	$0.105	23%	+116%	3.4%	moderado	$176,182

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,473 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.3%Sobre-dispersion: 11.4x24 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 171.6 ± 44.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.005	7%	+1133%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$180
120-139	$0.011	11%	+941%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$154
140-159	$0.025	16%	+546%	3.4%	cautela (no operable)	$150
80-99	$0.005	3%	+497%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$296
60-79	$0.005	1%	+137%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$329
160-179	$0.090	18%	+98%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$286

White House # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 74 · proyeccion 169.2 ± 32.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.002	20%	+13269%	5.0%	cautela (no operable)	$2,525
160-179	$0.011	24%	+2172%	5.8%	cautela (no operable)	$2,843

White House # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 171 · proyeccion 197.3 ± 17.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
180-199	$0.345	40%	+16%	2.0%	escalable	$11,542

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,182 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.4%Sobre-dispersion: 14.32x29 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 158.8 ± 47.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.002	1%	+733%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$509
60-79	$0.006	3%	+354%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$100
80-99	$0.037	6%	+59%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$232
200+	$0.165	20%	+19%	0.9%	moderado	$674
120-139	$0.125	14%	+10%	0.4%	moderado	$103

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 52 · proyeccion 151.4 ± 37.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.003	2%	+596%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$1,887
80-99	$0.011	6%	+409%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,648
100-119	$0.037	11%	+205%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,361
120-139	$0.110	18%	+61%	1.9%	moderado	$959

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 146 · proyeccion 165.1 ± 16.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.140	31%	+119%	4.8%	moderado	$3,276

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,576 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.9%Sobre-dispersion: 5.48x22 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 130.2 ± 26.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.155	23%	+47%	2.1%	moderado	$46
120-139	$0.225	29%	+30%	2.2%	escalable	$40

Ted Cruz # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 64 · proyeccion 137.0 ± 20.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.062	16%	+157%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$533
120-139	$0.215	36%	+67%	4.6%	escalable	$89
140-159	$0.275	32%	+16%	1.6%	escalable	$1,041

Ted Cruz # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 132 · proyeccion 149.7 ± 9.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.030	15%	+387%	3.0%	cautela (no operable)	$2,683

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,688 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.1%Sobre-dispersion: 3.08x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 95.8 ± 17.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.009	8%	+822%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$266
100-119	$0.058	33%	+475%	7.2%	cautela (no operable)	$447
80-99	$0.325	41%	+27%	3.3%	escalable	$566
140-159	$0.005	1%	+8%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$291

Zelenskyy # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 26 · proyeccion 81.3 ± 13.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.350	47%	+35%	4.7%	escalable	$828
100-119	$0.066	8%	+21%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$160

Zelenskyy # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 58 · proyeccion 72.6 ± 6.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.005	3%	+361%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$4,651
80-99	$0.054	15%	+179%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$1,677

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 823 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.8%Sobre-dispersion: 2.93x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 45.6 ± 11.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.330	59%	+78%	9.6%	escalable	$3,389

NYC Mayor # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 10 · proyeccion 37.4 ± 9.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
<20	$0.011	2%	+100%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$2,917
40-59	$0.290	40%	+38%	3.9%	escalable	$5,225

NYC Mayor # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 29 · proyeccion 34.9 ± 4.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.090	13%	+46%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$6,822

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 453 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 21.3%Sobre-dispersion: 5.45x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 26.3 ± 12.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.011	13%	+1105%	3.1%	cautela (no operable)	$256
20-39	$0.215	58%	+170%	11.6%	escalable	$1,081

CZ # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 5 · proyeccion 19.9 ± 9.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.150	50%	+234%	10.3%	moderado	$2,267

CZ # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 5 · proyeccion 9.4 ± 4.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.011	2%	+70%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,020

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 150 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 15.3%Sobre-dispersion: 12.33x10 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 9.3 ± 10.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.051	14%	+183%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$40
10-14	$0.100	18%	+79%	2.2%	moderado	$325
20-24	$0.062	9%	+49%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$30

Khamenei # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 6.0 ± 8.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-24	$0.005	4%	+745%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$283
10-14	$0.025	18%	+622%	4.0%	cautela (no operable)	$336
15-19	$0.015	10%	+586%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$274

Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 1 · proyeccion 3.1 ± 5.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
5-9	$0.053	29%	+437%	6.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,353
10-14	$0.022	9%	+306%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$637