CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Elon Musk	1000+	$0.165	76%	+360%	17.8%	moderado	$3,536
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	100-119	$0.120	40%	+231%	7.9%	moderado	$12
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.160	45%	+179%	8.5%	moderado	$2,088
Donald Trump	200+	$0.225	52%	+132%	9.6%	escalable	$906
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.215	49%	+129%	8.8%	escalable	$777
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.335	56%	+66%	8.3%	escalable	$22
Ali Khamenei	5-9	$0.155	25%	+61%	2.8%	moderado	$4,026
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.125	20%	+61%	2.2%	moderado	$3,026
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	100-119	$0.130	20%	+51%	1.9%	moderado	$286
Donald Trump	160-179	$0.160	24%	+50%	2.4%	moderado	$2,208
Elon Musk	65-89	$0.165	23%	+37%	1.8%	moderado	$7,700
The White House	160-179	$0.140	19%	+34%	1.4%	moderado	$675

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,185 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.5%Sobre-dispersion: 25.56x40 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 26% del periodo

lleva 179 · proyeccion 1107.4 ± 154.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.165	76%	+360%	17.8%	moderado	$3,536

Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 391.3 ± 100.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
500+	$0.002	14%	+9218%	3.5%	cautela (no operable)	$11,998
400-419	$0.002	8%	+5123%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$760
420-439	$0.002	7%	+4838%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$210
360-379	$0.005	8%	+1314%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$482
340-359	$0.011	7%	+564%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$563
320-339	$0.011	7%	+472%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$1,046
300-319	$0.015	6%	+280%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$451
280-299	$0.024	5%	+98%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$2,288
380-399	$0.056	8%	+44%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$255

Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 27 · proyeccion 265.4 ± 78.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
340-359	$0.003	6%	+2191%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$26,716
360-379	$0.002	4%	+2007%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$25,854
380-399	$0.002	3%	+1836%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$32,063
320-339	$0.006	7%	+1022%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$22,786
300-319	$0.011	9%	+729%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$15,708
80-99	$0.002	1%	+444%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$44,777
280-299	$0.021	10%	+374%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$14,885
100-119	$0.005	1%	+180%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$43,453
260-279	$0.058	10%	+77%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$7,011
240-259	$0.085	10%	+17%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$5,695
120-139	$0.019	2%	+16%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$22,923

Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 111 · proyeccion 222.9 ± 53.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
300-319	$0.003	4%	+1524%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$65,897
320-339	$0.002	2%	+1288%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$47,730
280-299	$0.006	7%	+960%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$52,667
120-139	$0.004	3%	+721%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$97,854
260-279	$0.021	10%	+374%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$61,209
240-259	$0.048	13%	+174%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$49,178
220-239	$0.115	15%	+28%	0.9%	moderado	$49,692
140-159	$0.049	6%	+21%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$63,125

Elon Musk # tweets August 8 - August 10, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 73.7 ± 43.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-164	$0.002	5%	+3002%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$5,204
115-139	$0.009	11%	+1046%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$8,721
90-114	$0.042	18%	+339%	3.7%	cautela (no operable)	$10,372
65-89	$0.165	23%	+37%	1.8%	moderado	$7,700

Elon Musk # tweets August 6 - August 8, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 45 · proyeccion 45.4 ± 3.2

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,326 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.3%Sobre-dispersion: 11.94x24 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 193.9 ± 48.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.005	2%	+194%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$97
140-159	$0.056	11%	+93%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$216
120-139	$0.041	7%	+66%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$70
160-179	$0.095	14%	+53%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$176
60-79	$0.005	1%	+11%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$97

White House # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 28 · proyeccion 153.7 ± 38.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.004	17%	+4707%	4.1%	cautela (no operable)	$361
100-119	$0.004	11%	+2978%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$426
140-159	$0.023	20%	+780%	4.6%	cautela (no operable)	$581
160-179	$0.140	19%	+34%	1.4%	moderado	$675

White House # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 113 · proyeccion 163.1 ± 24.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.007	27%	+3554%	6.7%	cautela (no operable)	$3,462
120-139	$0.004	13%	+2786%	3.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,466

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,060 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.2%Sobre-dispersion: 14.45x29 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 202.4 ± 54.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
200+	$0.225	52%	+132%	9.6%	escalable	$906
180-199	$0.115	14%	+24%	0.8%	moderado	$261
160-179	$0.110	12%	+11%	0.3%	moderado	$279

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 24 · proyeccion 146.2 ± 42.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.003	1%	+460%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$453
100-119	$0.045	13%	+184%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,050
80-99	$0.042	8%	+83%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$578
60-79	$0.025	4%	+44%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$451
140-159	$0.150	19%	+25%	1.1%	moderado	$785
20-39	$0.004	0%	+22%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$3,128

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 118 · proyeccion 181.3 ± 30.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.018	6%	+260%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,887
140-159	$0.065	15%	+134%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$2,518
160-179	$0.160	24%	+50%	2.4%	moderado	$2,208

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,472 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.8%Sobre-dispersion: 5.55x22 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 151.1 ± 29.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.055	22%	+305%	4.4%	cautela (no operable)	$0
140-159	$0.090	27%	+200%	4.9%	cautela (no operable)	$0
180-199	$0.045	12%	+158%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$0
200+	$0.025	5%	+86%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$40
120-139	$0.185	21%	+12%	0.7%	moderado	$0

Ted Cruz # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 23 · proyeccion 119.1 ± 23.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.065	15%	+138%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$376
60-79	$0.018	4%	+112%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$97
100-119	$0.235	31%	+31%	2.4%	escalable	$215

Ted Cruz # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 117 · proyeccion 157.0 ± 14.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.011	11%	+936%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$841
140-159	$0.160	45%	+179%	8.5%	moderado	$2,088

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,643 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.1%Sobre-dispersion: 3.06x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 113.9 ± 18.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.045	30%	+560%	6.6%	cautela (no operable)	$12
100-119	$0.120	40%	+231%	7.9%	moderado	$12
140-159	$0.033	8%	+136%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$12

Zelenskyy # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 15 · proyeccion 87.6 ± 14.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.130	20%	+51%	1.9%	moderado	$286
40-59	$0.024	3%	+24%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,104

Zelenskyy # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 45 · proyeccion 77.1 ± 9.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.310	39%	+26%	2.9%	escalable	$1,781

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 798 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.5%Sobre-dispersion: 2.94x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 54.9 ± 12.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.070	33%	+372%	7.0%	cautela (no operable)	$713
40-59	$0.430	53%	+23%	4.3%	escalable	$1,275

NYC Mayor # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 4 · proyeccion 37.3 ± 9.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.008	1%	+58%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,565
40-59	$0.320	40%	+25%	3.0%	escalable	$2,872
<20	$0.029	4%	+23%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,140

NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 19 · proyeccion 33.9 ± 6.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.125	20%	+61%	2.2%	moderado	$3,026

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 448 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 22.1%Sobre-dispersion: 5.41x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 31.1 ± 13.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.041	24%	+505%	5.3%	cautela (no operable)	$0
20-39	$0.335	56%	+66%	8.3%	escalable	$22

CZ # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 20.1 ± 10.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.002	3%	+2019%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$172
20-39	$0.215	49%	+129%	8.8%	escalable	$777

CZ # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 6 · proyeccion 14.5 ± 6.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.095	23%	+142%	3.7%	cautela (no operable)	$2,717

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 149 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 16.9%Sobre-dispersion: 13.08x9 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 9.8 ± 11.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-24	$0.040	10%	+151%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$10
15-19	$0.060	14%	+139%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$0
25-29	$0.041	6%	+39%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$70
10-14	$0.130	17%	+32%	1.2%	moderado	$0

Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 5.8 ± 8.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-24	$0.013	4%	+235%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$82
10-14	$0.059	18%	+199%	3.1%	cautela (no operable)	$199
15-19	$0.034	10%	+197%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$83

Khamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 2.3 ± 5.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.025	8%	+241%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$2,119
15-19	$0.006	1%	+115%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,321
5-9	$0.155	25%	+61%	2.8%	moderado	$4,026