CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	60-79	$0.290	64%	+122%	12.4%	escalable	$3,108
Elon Musk	1000+	$0.380	76%	+101%	15.5%	escalable	$33,446
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.130	24%	+86%	3.2%	moderado	$10
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.167	27%	+62%	3.1%	moderado	$179
Ted Cruz	160-179	$0.105	16%	+51%	1.5%	moderado	$10
Donald Trump	140-159	$0.255	38%	+50%	4.3%	escalable	$8,160
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.430	63%	+47%	8.8%	escalable	$0
Donald Trump	120-139	$0.140	20%	+45%	1.8%	moderado	$2,984
The White House	180-199	$0.115	16%	+42%	1.4%	moderado	$265
Ali Khamenei	5-9	$0.263	35%	+35%	3.1%	escalable	$722
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	60-79	$0.290	37%	+26%	2.7%	escalable	$778
Donald Trump	100-119	$0.170	19%	+14%	0.7%	moderado	$2,213

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 12,965 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.0%Sobre-dispersion: 24.85x48 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026? 26% del periodo

lleva 206 · proyeccion 1107.0 ± 149.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.380	76%	+101%	15.5%	escalable	$33,446

Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 314.1 ± 88.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
420-439	$0.002	4%	+1826%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$12,520
440-459	$0.002	3%	+1298%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$15,848
380-399	$0.006	6%	+945%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$6,201
360-379	$0.007	7%	+888%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$8,311
400-419	$0.005	5%	+817%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$10,955
500+	$0.002	2%	+796%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$32,512
480-499	$0.002	1%	+744%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$12,936
460-479	$0.003	2%	+672%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$15,607
340-359	$0.015	8%	+455%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$8,662
320-339	$0.040	9%	+125%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$13,981
300-319	$0.050	9%	+82%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$5,219
80-99	$0.003	0%	+44%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$10,445
100-119	$0.004	1%	+39%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$12,387
280-299	$0.074	9%	+16%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$6,645

Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 44 · proyeccion 236.2 ± 69.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.002	5%	+3410%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$40,973
160-179	$0.003	7%	+2314%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$50,002
180-199	$0.009	9%	+865%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$76,403
200-219	$0.013	11%	+754%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$65,109
220-239	$0.021	11%	+445%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$39,096
240-259	$0.037	11%	+201%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$31,801
260-279	$0.071	10%	+44%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$31,204

Elon Musk # tweets October 8 - October 10, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 87.3 ± 46.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
165-189	$0.003	3%	+1286%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$17,483
140-164	$0.009	8%	+769%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$5,480
115-139	$0.050	15%	+200%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$4,572
<40	$0.045	12%	+172%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$15,001

Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 145 · proyeccion 192.9 ± 34.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.002	18%	+12044%	4.5%	cautela (no operable)	$318,442
220-239	$0.002	13%	+8709%	3.3%	cautela (no operable)	$256,908
200-219	$0.003	20%	+8054%	5.0%	cautela (no operable)	$289,200
180-199	$0.004	23%	+6382%	5.6%	cautela (no operable)	$346,222
240-259	$0.042	6%	+47%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$201,324

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 6,138 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 6.8%Sobre-dispersion: 12.15x32 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 193.7 ± 48.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.006	11%	+1569%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$55
120-139	$0.009	7%	+625%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$35
100-119	$0.011	4%	+252%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$25
160-179	$0.074	14%	+94%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$177
80-99	$0.010	2%	+68%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$53
180-199	$0.115	16%	+42%	1.4%	moderado	$265
60-79	$0.005	1%	+17%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$80

White House # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 24 · proyeccion 134.5 ± 36.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.005	20%	+3864%	4.8%	cautela (no operable)	$447
100-119	$0.005	17%	+3329%	4.2%	cautela (no operable)	$198
120-139	$0.010	21%	+2032%	5.1%	cautela (no operable)	$275
80-99	$0.005	10%	+1962%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$265
60-79	$0.004	5%	+1225%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$478
40-59	$0.005	2%	+212%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$278

White House # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 133 · proyeccion 168.3 ± 20.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.005	37%	+7305%	9.2%	cautela (no operable)	$666
180-199	$0.004	23%	+4972%	5.6%	cautela (no operable)	$3,933

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 5,465 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.5%Sobre-dispersion: 13.75x37 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 166.8 ± 47.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.055	8%	+49%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$0
80-99	$0.040	5%	+16%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$0

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 16 · proyeccion 122.8 ± 38.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.009	3%	+304%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$647
60-79	$0.036	8%	+119%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$792
120-139	$0.140	20%	+45%	1.8%	moderado	$2,984
180-199	$0.033	5%	+44%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$2,450
100-119	$0.170	19%	+14%	0.7%	moderado	$2,213

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 118 · proyeccion 140.6 ± 17.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.010	11%	+957%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$2,623
160-179	$0.045	13%	+185%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$4,325
140-159	$0.255	38%	+50%	4.3%	escalable	$8,160

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 3,591 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 11.8%Sobre-dispersion: 6.77x30 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 139.1 ± 30.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.130	24%	+86%	3.2%	moderado	$10
160-179	$0.105	16%	+51%	1.5%	moderado	$10

Ted Cruz # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 18 · proyeccion 96.8 ± 23.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.005	17%	+3379%	4.2%	cautela (no operable)	$133
40-59	$0.011	5%	+306%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$22
20-39	$0.005	1%	+23%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$20

Ted Cruz # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 71 · proyeccion 93.7 ± 12.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.008	55%	+6814%	13.7%	cautela (no operable)	$3,844
60-79	$0.005	12%	+2352%	3.0%	cautela (no operable)	$648
100-119	$0.080	30%	+278%	6.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,293

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 2,433 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.6%Sobre-dispersion: 6.68x28 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 102.3 ± 26.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.005	4%	+677%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$57
120-139	$0.075	18%	+137%	2.8%	cautela (no operable)	$162
160-179	$0.005	1%	+131%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$36
140-159	$0.029	6%	+113%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$115

Zelenskyy # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 3 · proyeccion 63.6 ± 20.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.010	10%	+911%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$659
40-59	$0.043	30%	+614%	6.8%	cautela (no operable)	$822
60-79	$0.290	37%	+26%	2.7%	escalable	$778

Zelenskyy # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 51 · proyeccion 68.5 ± 10.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.005	20%	+3876%	4.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,865
60-79	$0.290	64%	+122%	12.4%	escalable	$3,108

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 1,094 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.2%Sobre-dispersion: 2.57x28 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 45.2 ± 10.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.005	9%	+1565%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$513
40-59	$0.085	61%	+617%	14.3%	cautela (no operable)	$270

NYC Mayor # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 7 · proyeccion 34.4 ± 8.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.167	27%	+62%	3.1%	moderado	$179
<20	$0.029	4%	+28%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$453

NYC Mayor # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 27 · proyeccion 34.0 ± 4.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.036	10%	+164%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$1,148

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 658 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 19.0%Sobre-dispersion: 4.34x28 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 28.3 ± 11.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.430	63%	+47%	8.8%	escalable	$0

CZ # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 6 · proyeccion 22.5 ± 8.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.555	62%	+11%	3.4%	escalable	$95

CZ # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 20 · proyeccion 25.2 ± 4.8

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 158 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 15.0%Sobre-dispersion: 16.61x10 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 7.1 ± 10.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.014	16%	+1076%	3.8%	cautela (no operable)	$92
15-19	$0.011	12%	+1055%	2.8%	cautela (no operable)	$19
20-24	$0.016	7%	+353%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$126
25-29	$0.014	4%	+152%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$105
30-34	$0.011	1%	+33%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$30
5-9	$0.172	18%	+6%	0.3%	moderado	$218

Khamenei # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 3 · proyeccion 7.5 ± 8.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-24	$0.002	6%	+3816%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$319
15-19	$0.005	13%	+2443%	3.1%	cautela (no operable)	$400
10-14	$0.009	20%	+1998%	4.8%	cautela (no operable)	$369
25-29	$0.015	2%	+36%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$318

Khamenei # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 4 · proyeccion 5.7 ± 5.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.005	19%	+3640%	4.6%	cautela (no operable)	$612
15-19	$0.004	4%	+850%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$567
5-9	$0.263	35%	+35%	3.1%	escalable	$722