CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.140	30%	+113%	4.6%	moderado	$141
The White House	180-199	$0.120	24%	+102%	3.5%	moderado	$1,598
Ali Khamenei	5-9	$0.281	46%	+64%	6.3%	escalable	$742
Donald Trump	140-159	$0.275	41%	+49%	4.7%	escalable	$11,445
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.555	81%	+45%	14.2%	escalable	$95
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.130	19%	+45%	1.7%	moderado	$10
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.435	63%	+44%	8.5%	escalable	$0
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	60-79	$0.225	31%	+36%	2.6%	escalable	$818
The White House	180-199	$0.119	16%	+34%	1.2%	moderado	$285
Elon Musk	1000+	$0.755	96%	+28%	21.4%	escalable	$37,552
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.165	20%	+19%	1.0%	moderado	$179
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.388	46%	+18%	2.8%	escalable	$240

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 13,139 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.1%Sobre-dispersion: 24.47x48 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026? 26% del periodo

lleva 381 · proyeccion 1265.0 ± 147.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.755	96%	+28%	21.4%	escalable	$37,552

Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 291.3 ± 84.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.004	1%	+168%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$15,991
360-379	$0.026	6%	+132%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$11,517
80-99	$0.003	1%	+120%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$11,297
380-399	$0.024	5%	+100%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$12,695
340-359	$0.042	7%	+77%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$10,769
420-439	$0.015	2%	+66%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$16,613
400-419	$0.021	4%	+65%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$16,676
320-339	$0.052	9%	+64%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$17,460
120-139	$0.011	2%	+44%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$7,516
300-319	$0.074	9%	+24%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$8,357
440-459	$0.013	2%	+22%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$22,100
280-299	$0.087	9%	+8%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$9,197

Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 216 · proyeccion 382.6 ± 63.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
240-259	$0.003	1%	+381%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$70,991
260-279	$0.012	3%	+119%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$54,310
440-459	$0.044	7%	+62%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$63,142
280-299	$0.030	4%	+45%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$71,605
320-339	$0.065	9%	+37%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$54,254
300-319	$0.052	6%	+24%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$49,439
400-419	$0.100	11%	+14%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$48,994
340-359	$0.100	11%	+10%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$36,839
420-439	$0.089	10%	+6%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$38,197

Elon Musk # tweets October 10 - October 12, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 130.7 ± 56.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-164	$0.035	16%	+366%	3.3%	cautela (no operable)	$2
240+	$0.006	3%	+353%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$142
115-139	$0.045	17%	+288%	3.4%	cautela (no operable)	$2
165-189	$0.033	13%	+287%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$12
190-214	$0.026	8%	+202%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$12
215-239	$0.026	4%	+62%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$12

Elon Musk # tweets October 8 - October 10, 2026? 50% del periodo

lleva 56 · proyeccion 117.6 ± 38.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-64	$0.020	6%	+218%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$32,125
140-164	$0.152	17%	+14%	0.6%	moderado	$23,429
115-139	$0.219	25%	+12%	0.8%	escalable	$19,048
65-89	$0.140	15%	+6%	0.3%	moderado	$21,898

Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 320 · proyeccion 342.3 ± 23.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
360-379	$0.166	17%	+5%	0.3%	moderado	$225,541

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 6,225 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 6.8%Sobre-dispersion: 11.62x32 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 169.0 ± 44.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.006	16%	+2398%	3.9%	cautela (no operable)	$75
120-139	$0.009	12%	+1172%	2.8%	cautela (no operable)	$45
100-119	$0.011	7%	+601%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$45
80-99	$0.010	4%	+267%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$53
60-79	$0.005	2%	+172%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$80
160-179	$0.075	18%	+138%	2.8%	cautela (no operable)	$217
180-199	$0.119	16%	+34%	1.2%	moderado	$285

White House # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 97 · proyeccion 181.6 ± 31.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.002	23%	+15418%	5.8%	cautela (no operable)	$258
140-159	$0.015	15%	+904%	3.4%	cautela (no operable)	$468
100-119	$0.003	2%	+675%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$198
120-139	$0.010	7%	+558%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$275
180-199	$0.120	24%	+102%	3.5%	moderado	$1,598
80-99	$0.003	0%	+54%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$265

White House # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 224 · proyeccion 233.0 ± 10.2

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 5,472 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.3%Sobre-dispersion: 13.65x38 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 152.6 ± 45.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.005	3%	+516%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$785
160-179	$0.095	16%	+71%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,824
180-199	$0.075	13%	+68%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$1,327
40-59	$0.011	1%	+34%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$778
140-159	$0.150	17%	+15%	0.7%	moderado	$2,348

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 27 · proyeccion 119.9 ± 35.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.005	3%	+559%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$647
160-179	$0.070	9%	+22%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$3,714
60-79	$0.075	8%	+10%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,477
120-139	$0.195	21%	+10%	0.6%	moderado	$3,601

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 129 · proyeccion 137.7 ± 10.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.275	41%	+49%	4.7%	escalable	$11,445

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 3,650 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.1%Sobre-dispersion: 6.57x31 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 124.4 ± 28.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.130	19%	+45%	1.7%	moderado	$10

Ted Cruz # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 72 · proyeccion 135.0 ± 20.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.140	30%	+113%	4.6%	moderado	$141
60-79	$0.003	0%	+23%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$133

Ted Cruz # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 132 · proyeccion 138.8 ± 6.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.388	46%	+18%	2.8%	escalable	$240

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 2,433 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.6%Sobre-dispersion: 6.68x28 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 93.1 ± 24.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.005	7%	+1226%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$68
120-139	$0.060	11%	+90%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$162
140-159	$0.015	3%	+78%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$120
20-39	$0.011	1%	+23%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$71
80-99	$0.290	31%	+6%	0.7%	escalable	$484

Zelenskyy # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 3 · proyeccion 54.5 ± 18.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.020	18%	+798%	4.1%	cautela (no operable)	$837
<20	$0.005	3%	+461%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$723
40-59	$0.072	40%	+447%	8.7%	cautela (no operable)	$838
60-79	$0.225	31%	+36%	2.6%	escalable	$818

Zelenskyy # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 51 · proyeccion 59.4 ± 7.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.003	50%	+19971%	12.5%	cautela (no operable)	$3,107
60-79	$0.011	49%	+4573%	12.1%	cautela (no operable)	$3,843

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 1,098 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.2%Sobre-dispersion: 2.58x28 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 39.8 ± 10.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.060	49%	+709%	11.3%	cautela (no operable)	$270
60-79	$0.005	3%	+368%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$513

NYC Mayor # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 11 · proyeccion 33.1 ± 7.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
<20	$0.025	4%	+47%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$453
40-59	$0.165	20%	+19%	1.0%	moderado	$179

NYC Mayor # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 31 · proyeccion 32.7 ± 2.1

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 671 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 19.5%Sobre-dispersion: 4.29x28 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 25.5 ± 10.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.045	9%	+100%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$0
20-39	$0.435	63%	+44%	8.5%	escalable	$0

CZ # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 15 · proyeccion 28.6 ± 7.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.555	81%	+45%	14.2%	escalable	$95

CZ # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 31 · proyeccion 33.2 ± 3.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.012	2%	+74%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$320

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 159 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 15.0%Sobre-dispersion: 16.64x10 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 5.9 ± 9.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.005	17%	+2908%	4.0%	cautela (no operable)	$274
15-19	$0.005	11%	+1852%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$265
20-24	$0.005	5%	+887%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$280
25-29	$0.005	2%	+288%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$274
5-9	$0.059	20%	+239%	3.7%	cautela (no operable)	$320
30-34	$0.005	1%	+19%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$236

Khamenei # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 3 · proyeccion 6.3 ± 7.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.005	10%	+1822%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$400
10-14	$0.011	20%	+1791%	4.8%	cautela (no operable)	$371
20-24	$0.010	3%	+199%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$336

Khamenei # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 4 · proyeccion 4.4 ± 2.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.011	3%	+153%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$1,331
5-9	$0.281	46%	+64%	6.3%	escalable	$742