CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Elon Musk	1000+	$0.135	71%	+428%	16.7%	moderado	$4,239
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.100	36%	+262%	7.3%	moderado	$827
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	100-119	$0.125	39%	+215%	7.7%	moderado	$74
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.315	58%	+85%	9.7%	escalable	$792
Ali Khamenei	10-14	$0.100	18%	+76%	2.1%	moderado	$0
Elon Musk	200-219	$0.125	21%	+66%	2.4%	moderado	$98,793
Ted Cruz	100-119	$0.210	34%	+61%	4.1%	escalable	$348
Donald Trump	160-179	$0.165	25%	+51%	2.5%	moderado	$3,275
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.400	60%	+49%	8.1%	escalable	$1,395
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.170	24%	+38%	2.0%	moderado	$216
Donald Trump	200+	$0.210	29%	+37%	2.5%	escalable	$1,147
Elon Musk	40-64	$0.375	46%	+22%	3.3%	escalable	$44,274

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,229 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.5%Sobre-dispersion: 25.56x40 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 32% del periodo

lleva 215 · proyeccion 1083.2 ± 149.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.135	71%	+428%	16.7%	moderado	$4,239
960-999	$0.069	8%	+22%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$3,782

Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 332.3 ± 92.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
420-439	$0.002	5%	+3208%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$4,079
380-399	$0.003	7%	+2752%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$1,728
400-419	$0.003	6%	+2336%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$5,320
500+	$0.002	3%	+2218%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$20,321
360-379	$0.005	8%	+1348%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,113
320-339	$0.009	9%	+916%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,747
340-359	$0.011	8%	+709%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,175
300-319	$0.015	8%	+441%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$2,246
280-299	$0.027	8%	+188%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$5,812
260-279	$0.055	7%	+25%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$611
80-99	$0.003	0%	+9%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$14,839

Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 63 · proyeccion 242.9 ± 67.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
340-359	$0.002	3%	+2192%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$41,737
320-339	$0.003	5%	+1987%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$41,718
300-319	$0.004	7%	+1716%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$38,985
280-299	$0.009	9%	+930%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$26,123
260-279	$0.025	11%	+326%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$14,918
100-119	$0.005	2%	+212%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$62,583
240-259	$0.055	12%	+112%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$12,559

Elon Musk # tweets August 10 - August 12, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 95.2 ± 49.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-164	$0.003	10%	+4082%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$682
165-189	$0.002	5%	+3372%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$849
115-139	$0.011	16%	+1455%	3.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,061
90-114	$0.040	20%	+396%	4.1%	cautela (no operable)	$675

Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 147 · proyeccion 200.4 ± 36.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
260-279	$0.002	4%	+2471%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$100,016
240-259	$0.004	9%	+1898%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$99,049
280-299	$0.002	1%	+728%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$96,659
220-239	$0.022	16%	+600%	3.5%	cautela (no operable)	$88,654
140-159	$0.014	8%	+504%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$177,280
200-219	$0.125	21%	+66%	2.4%	moderado	$98,793

Elon Musk # tweets August 8 - August 10, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 31 · proyeccion 46.2 ± 19.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
65-89	$0.011	16%	+1441%	3.8%	cautela (no operable)	$75,323
90-114	$0.002	1%	+803%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$64,084
40-64	$0.375	46%	+22%	3.3%	escalable	$44,274

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,354 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.3%Sobre-dispersion: 11.9x24 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 172.7 ± 45.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.006	11%	+1762%	2.7%	cautela (no operable)	$120
100-119	$0.006	7%	+1019%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$120
80-99	$0.005	3%	+506%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$149
140-159	$0.057	15%	+169%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$268
60-79	$0.006	1%	+128%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$169

White House # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 49 · proyeccion 153.3 ± 35.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.003	11%	+3407%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$453
120-139	$0.007	18%	+2455%	4.3%	cautela (no operable)	$656
140-159	$0.044	22%	+405%	4.7%	cautela (no operable)	$1,250

White House # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 134 · proyeccion 162.7 ± 18.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.007	9%	+1254%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$2,890
140-159	$0.054	33%	+498%	7.2%	cautela (no operable)	$6,750

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,098 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.2%Sobre-dispersion: 14.42x29 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 171.7 ± 49.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.002	0%	+89%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$567
40-59	$0.005	1%	+62%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$331
200+	$0.210	29%	+37%	2.5%	escalable	$1,147

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 62 · proyeccion 153.3 ± 36.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.005	5%	+776%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,092
60-79	$0.004	2%	+361%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$2,117
100-119	$0.033	11%	+224%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,710
140-159	$0.180	22%	+20%	1.1%	moderado	$959
120-139	$0.160	18%	+10%	0.5%	moderado	$1,531

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 156 · proyeccion 188.4 ± 21.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.009	8%	+775%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$3,903
160-179	$0.165	25%	+51%	2.5%	moderado	$3,275

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,493 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.8%Sobre-dispersion: 5.55x22 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 131.9 ± 27.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.170	24%	+38%	2.0%	moderado	$216
60-79	$0.021	2%	+8%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$511

Ted Cruz # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 42 · proyeccion 118.8 ± 20.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.210	34%	+61%	4.1%	escalable	$348
80-99	$0.091	15%	+60%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$417
60-79	$0.018	3%	+47%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$124
120-139	$0.285	33%	+15%	1.5%	escalable	$412

Ted Cruz # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 136 · proyeccion 156.7 ± 10.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.002	5%	+3513%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$976
140-159	$0.485	55%	+13%	3.1%	escalable	$2,794

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,652 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.1%Sobre-dispersion: 3.06x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 101.7 ± 17.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.125	39%	+215%	7.7%	moderado	$74
120-139	$0.049	14%	+188%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$40

Zelenskyy # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 20 · proyeccion 80.6 ± 13.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.405	45%	+11%	1.9%	escalable	$664

Zelenskyy # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 50 · proyeccion 70.1 ± 7.8

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 809 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.8%Sobre-dispersion: 2.92x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 46.8 ± 11.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.080	14%	+72%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$811
40-59	$0.400	60%	+49%	8.1%	escalable	$1,395
<20	$0.009	1%	+8%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$635

NYC Mayor # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 14 · proyeccion 39.2 ± 8.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
<20	$0.004	1%	+170%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,463
40-59	$0.420	48%	+14%	2.5%	escalable	$4,187

NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 29 · proyeccion 35.8 ± 4.5

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 448 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 22.1%Sobre-dispersion: 5.41x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 27.3 ± 12.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.011	15%	+1243%	3.6%	cautela (no operable)	$20
20-39	$0.315	58%	+85%	9.7%	escalable	$792

CZ # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 16.4 ± 9.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.100	36%	+262%	7.3%	moderado	$827
40-59	$0.006	1%	+15%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$400

CZ # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 6 · proyeccion 10.7 ± 5.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.030	4%	+34%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$3,179

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 149 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 16.9%Sobre-dispersion: 13.08x9 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 8.9 ± 10.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
30-34	$0.006	2%	+218%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$12
10-14	$0.100	18%	+76%	2.1%	moderado	$0
15-19	$0.090	14%	+54%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$0
25-29	$0.043	5%	+6%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$70

Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 4.8 ± 8.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.035	17%	+383%	3.4%	cautela (no operable)	$319
15-19	$0.026	8%	+201%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$128
20-24	$0.022	3%	+18%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$117

Khamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 1.4 ± 4.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
5-9	$0.095	20%	+114%	3.0%	cautela (no operable)	$5,177
10-14	$0.013	3%	+102%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$2,952