CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Elon Musk	1000+	$0.155	73%	+374%	17.1%	moderado	$4,207
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	100-119	$0.125	41%	+227%	8.1%	moderado	$74
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.135	42%	+210%	8.2%	moderado	$777
Donald Trump	160-179	$0.105	24%	+128%	3.8%	moderado	$2,389
Ted Cruz	100-119	$0.155	31%	+101%	4.6%	moderado	$340
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.325	58%	+77%	9.3%	escalable	$743
Ali Khamenei	10-14	$0.105	17%	+66%	1.9%	moderado	$0
Donald Trump	200+	$0.250	38%	+51%	4.2%	escalable	$1,030
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.180	27%	+47%	2.6%	moderado	$216
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.430	59%	+38%	7.2%	escalable	$1,350
The White House	140-159	$0.157	22%	+37%	1.7%	moderado	$954
Donald Trump	120-139	$0.130	17%	+32%	1.2%	moderado	$1,468

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,219 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.5%Sobre-dispersion: 25.56x40 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 204 · proyeccion 1093.8 ± 150.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.155	73%	+374%	17.1%	moderado	$4,207
960-999	$0.065	8%	+22%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$2,903

Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 353.5 ± 95.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
500+	$0.002	6%	+4047%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$20,143
420-439	$0.002	6%	+3961%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$3,979
400-419	$0.003	7%	+2719%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$5,258
380-399	$0.004	8%	+2128%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,062
360-379	$0.007	8%	+1002%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$983
340-359	$0.009	8%	+830%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$965
320-339	$0.010	8%	+712%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$1,528
300-319	$0.017	8%	+356%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$1,434
280-299	$0.028	7%	+139%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$4,588

Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 52 · proyeccion 252.9 ± 71.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
340-359	$0.002	4%	+2902%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$39,141
320-339	$0.003	6%	+1998%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$40,516
300-319	$0.004	8%	+1710%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$27,116
380-399	$0.002	2%	+1118%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$33,965
280-299	$0.011	10%	+829%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$23,695
260-279	$0.027	11%	+300%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$12,563
100-119	$0.005	2%	+176%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$57,909
240-259	$0.075	11%	+48%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$8,936
120-139	$0.019	3%	+30%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$51,155

Elon Musk # tweets August 10 - August 12, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 116.2 ± 54.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
165-189	$0.002	10%	+6466%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$711
140-164	$0.003	15%	+5772%	3.6%	cautela (no operable)	$662
115-139	$0.011	18%	+1595%	4.2%	cautela (no operable)	$160
90-114	$0.045	18%	+290%	3.4%	cautela (no operable)	$321

Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 136 · proyeccion 210.4 ± 43.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
280-299	$0.002	4%	+2299%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$93,612
260-279	$0.004	7%	+1534%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$85,381
240-259	$0.018	12%	+598%	2.7%	cautela (no operable)	$84,783
140-159	$0.018	7%	+298%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$115,883
220-239	$0.055	17%	+200%	2.9%	cautela (no operable)	$76,826

Elon Musk # tweets August 8 - August 10, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 20 · proyeccion 56.2 ± 30.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
90-114	$0.009	11%	+1183%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$54,084
65-89	$0.065	26%	+293%	5.1%	cautela (no operable)	$49,044

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,338 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.3%Sobre-dispersion: 11.94x24 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 180.7 ± 46.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.005	9%	+1604%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$120
100-119	$0.005	5%	+874%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$120
80-99	$0.005	3%	+364%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$139
60-79	$0.005	1%	+84%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$169
140-159	$0.076	14%	+80%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$268

White House # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 37 · proyeccion 149.5 ± 36.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.004	19%	+5216%	4.6%	cautela (no operable)	$414
100-119	$0.003	12%	+3912%	2.9%	cautela (no operable)	$453
140-159	$0.157	22%	+37%	1.7%	moderado	$954

White House # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 122 · proyeccion 158.9 ± 21.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.004	15%	+3590%	3.6%	cautela (no operable)	$1,770
140-159	$0.081	33%	+312%	6.9%	cautela (no operable)	$5,155

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,083 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.2%Sobre-dispersion: 14.42x29 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 183.3 ± 51.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
200+	$0.250	38%	+51%	4.2%	escalable	$1,030
20-39	$0.002	0%	+24%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$567
160-179	$0.125	15%	+19%	0.7%	moderado	$474
60-79	$0.012	1%	+14%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$197
180-199	$0.140	15%	+9%	0.4%	moderado	$555

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 50 · proyeccion 152.8 ± 38.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.007	5%	+628%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$671
60-79	$0.005	2%	+315%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$917
40-59	$0.002	1%	+304%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,343
100-119	$0.035	11%	+220%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,353
120-139	$0.130	17%	+32%	1.2%	moderado	$1,468
140-159	$0.170	20%	+20%	1.0%	moderado	$936
160-179	$0.165	19%	+13%	0.7%	moderado	$1,339

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 144 · proyeccion 188.0 ± 25.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.105	24%	+128%	3.8%	moderado	$2,389
140-159	$0.055	10%	+86%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$3,031

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,487 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.8%Sobre-dispersion: 5.55x22 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 140.1 ± 27.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.050	16%	+229%	3.0%	cautela (no operable)	$0
140-159	$0.180	27%	+47%	2.6%	moderado	$216
180-199	$0.045	6%	+38%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$0
120-139	$0.200	26%	+31%	1.9%	escalable	$0

Ted Cruz # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 36 · proyeccion 121.0 ± 21.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.155	31%	+101%	4.6%	moderado	$340
80-99	$0.089	13%	+49%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$412
60-79	$0.018	3%	+43%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$124
120-139	$0.285	33%	+16%	1.6%	escalable	$368

Ted Cruz # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 130 · proyeccion 158.9 ± 12.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.011	6%	+465%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$946
140-159	$0.385	46%	+19%	2.9%	escalable	$2,631

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,651 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.1%Sobre-dispersion: 3.06x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 104.4 ± 17.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.049	17%	+255%	3.3%	cautela (no operable)	$40
100-119	$0.125	41%	+227%	8.1%	moderado	$74

Zelenskyy # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 19 · proyeccion 81.9 ± 13.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.090	10%	+10%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$452
80-99	$0.435	47%	+7%	1.4%	escalable	$640

Zelenskyy # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 49 · proyeccion 71.4 ± 8.3

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 804 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.8%Sobre-dispersion: 2.92x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 49.4 ± 12.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.074	19%	+163%	3.3%	cautela (no operable)	$753
40-59	$0.430	59%	+38%	7.2%	escalable	$1,350

NYC Mayor # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 12 · proyeccion 39.8 ± 9.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
<20	$0.005	1%	+143%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,369
40-59	$0.405	50%	+23%	3.9%	escalable	$3,583

NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 27 · proyeccion 36.4 ± 5.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.630	72%	+15%	6.3%	escalable	$5,009

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 448 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 22.1%Sobre-dispersion: 5.41x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 28.8 ± 12.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.024	19%	+685%	4.2%	cautela (no operable)	$0
20-39	$0.325	58%	+77%	9.3%	escalable	$743

CZ # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 17.8 ± 9.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.135	42%	+210%	8.2%	moderado	$777
40-59	$0.006	1%	+126%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$358

CZ # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 6 · proyeccion 12.1 ± 5.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.029	10%	+243%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$3,084

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 149 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 16.9%Sobre-dispersion: 13.08x9 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 9.2 ± 11.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
30-34	$0.005	2%	+289%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$12
15-19	$0.045	14%	+212%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$0
20-24	$0.049	9%	+88%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$11
10-14	$0.105	17%	+66%	1.9%	moderado	$0
25-29	$0.043	5%	+14%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$70

Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 5.1 ± 8.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.018	9%	+370%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$118
10-14	$0.040	17%	+332%	3.4%	cautela (no operable)	$234
20-24	$0.017	3%	+81%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$117

Khamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 1.7 ± 4.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
5-9	$0.075	23%	+202%	4.1%	cautela (no operable)	$4,142
10-14	$0.017	4%	+171%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$2,415