CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	100-119	$0.105	38%	+257%	7.5%	moderado	$0
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	60-79	$0.115	33%	+184%	6.0%	moderado	$1,496
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.195	52%	+166%	10.1%	moderado	$704
Donald Trump	200+	$0.185	41%	+121%	6.8%	moderado	$421
Ted Cruz	120-139	$0.185	32%	+75%	4.2%	moderado	$43
The White House	200+	$0.355	55%	+55%	7.6%	escalable	$20
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.150	23%	+52%	2.3%	moderado	$254
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	80-99	$0.180	25%	+40%	2.2%	moderado	$1,190
Donald Trump	100-119	$0.118	16%	+33%	1.1%	moderado	$1,187
Ali Khamenei	15-19	$0.112	15%	+32%	1.0%	moderado	$20
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.315	40%	+27%	3.1%	escalable	$4,974
Ali Khamenei	10-14	$0.140	17%	+24%	1.0%	moderado	$84

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,259 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.5%Sobre-dispersion: 25.61x40 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 35% del periodo

lleva 248 · proyeccion 1045.0 ± 142.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.065	62%	+862%	15.0%	cautela (no operable)	$4,775
960-999	$0.020	10%	+401%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$4,322
920-959	$0.039	8%	+118%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$2,663
880-919	$0.060	7%	+11%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$2,814

Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 389.1 ± 99.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
500+	$0.002	13%	+8864%	3.3%	cautela (no operable)	$6,808
420-439	$0.002	7%	+4803%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$1,253
440-459	$0.002	7%	+4333%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$1,868
380-399	$0.003	8%	+3092%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$790
400-419	$0.003	8%	+3026%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$790
360-379	$0.005	8%	+1323%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$892
340-359	$0.005	7%	+1241%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$1,310
320-339	$0.011	7%	+536%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$778
300-319	$0.015	6%	+275%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,970
280-299	$0.022	5%	+121%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$4,358

Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 10 · proyeccion 272.6 ± 82.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
340-359	$0.003	6%	+2406%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$8,476
360-379	$0.002	5%	+2321%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$4,544
320-339	$0.004	8%	+1809%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$7,654
300-319	$0.007	9%	+1070%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$10,868
440-459	$0.002	1%	+538%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$14,032
280-299	$0.017	10%	+476%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$10,641
80-99	$0.002	1%	+442%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$33,477
260-279	$0.030	10%	+223%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$5,024
240-259	$0.065	9%	+44%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$4,168

Elon Musk # tweets August 13 - August 15, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 152.5 ± 62.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-164	$0.002	16%	+10470%	3.9%	cautela (no operable)	$611
165-189	$0.002	15%	+9696%	3.6%	cautela (no operable)	$611
190-214	$0.002	12%	+7652%	2.9%	cautela (no operable)	$88
240+	$0.002	8%	+5356%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$946
215-239	$0.002	8%	+5139%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$859
115-139	$0.009	15%	+1619%	3.5%	cautela (no operable)	$776
90-114	$0.037	11%	+206%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$180

Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 96 · proyeccion 207.2 ± 53.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
260-279	$0.003	8%	+2930%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$53,621
240-259	$0.004	11%	+2320%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$52,724
100-119	$0.004	3%	+711%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$117,047
220-239	$0.021	14%	+534%	2.9%	cautela (no operable)	$38,076
200-219	$0.085	15%	+75%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$37,747

Elon Musk # tweets August 10 - August 12, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 21 · proyeccion 47.5 ± 26.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
90-114	$0.002	5%	+2310%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$49,146
65-89	$0.021	20%	+892%	4.7%	cautela (no operable)	$57,392
40-64	$0.295	36%	+23%	2.4%	escalable	$35,827

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,413 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.3%Sobre-dispersion: 11.7x24 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 205.8 ± 49.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.028	5%	+78%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$22
80-99	$0.006	1%	+69%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$102
200+	$0.355	55%	+55%	7.6%	escalable	$20

White House # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 27 · proyeccion 157.0 ± 39.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.009	20%	+2238%	4.8%	cautela (no operable)	$1,078
160-179	$0.030	19%	+542%	4.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,324

White House # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 124 · proyeccion 185.1 ± 26.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.002	4%	+1748%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,369
140-159	$0.008	13%	+1464%	3.0%	cautela (no operable)	$2,721
160-179	$0.040	25%	+520%	5.4%	cautela (no operable)	$3,731

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,132 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.2%Sobre-dispersion: 14.44x29 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 187.4 ± 52.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
200+	$0.185	41%	+121%	6.8%	moderado	$421
60-79	$0.006	1%	+101%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$80

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 5 · proyeccion 133.6 ± 43.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.004	3%	+707%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$1,347
20-39	$0.002	1%	+595%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$2,024
60-79	$0.009	6%	+587%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$497
80-99	$0.050	11%	+119%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$1,272
100-119	$0.118	16%	+33%	1.1%	moderado	$1,187
120-139	$0.150	18%	+22%	1.0%	moderado	$547

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 99 · proyeccion 147.3 ± 26.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.044	11%	+150%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$2,329
120-139	$0.205	24%	+16%	1.0%	escalable	$2,518
160-179	$0.190	21%	+11%	0.6%	moderado	$2,172

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,524 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.8%Sobre-dispersion: 5.53x22 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 160.1 ± 29.8

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

Ted Cruz # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 25 · proyeccion 128.9 ± 24.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.050	9%	+80%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$244
120-139	$0.185	32%	+75%	4.2%	moderado	$43
140-159	$0.150	23%	+52%	2.3%	moderado	$254

Ted Cruz # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 93 · proyeccion 141.7 ± 16.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.050	8%	+66%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$823
120-139	$0.315	36%	+14%	1.6%	escalable	$1,652

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,669 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.1%Sobre-dispersion: 3.07x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 116.9 ± 18.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.060	33%	+449%	7.2%	cautela (no operable)	$0
100-119	$0.105	38%	+257%	7.5%	moderado	$0
140-159	$0.045	10%	+132%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$30

Zelenskyy # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 5 · proyeccion 81.3 ± 15.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.050	7%	+47%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$20
100-119	$0.090	11%	+24%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$146

Zelenskyy # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 37 · proyeccion 72.6 ± 10.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.180	25%	+40%	2.2%	moderado	$1,190

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 814 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.8%Sobre-dispersion: 2.92x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 54.7 ± 12.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.002	2%	+1533%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$619
60-79	$0.115	33%	+184%	6.0%	moderado	$1,496
40-59	$0.485	53%	+10%	2.4%	escalable	$2,015

NYC Mayor # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 1 · proyeccion 37.3 ± 10.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.315	40%	+27%	3.1%	escalable	$4,974

NYC Mayor # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 20 · proyeccion 34.6 ± 6.5

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 448 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 22.1%Sobre-dispersion: 5.41x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 33.7 ± 13.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.016	31%	+1815%	7.4%	cautela (no operable)	$212
60-79	$0.005	3%	+406%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$158
20-39	$0.195	52%	+166%	10.1%	moderado	$704

CZ # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 22.1 ± 10.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.006	6%	+817%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$609
20-39	$0.090	54%	+497%	12.3%	cautela (no operable)	$1,405

CZ # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 11.1 ± 7.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.011	14%	+1160%	3.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,012

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 150 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 15.3%Sobre-dispersion: 12.33x10 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 10.4 ± 11.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.112	15%	+32%	1.0%	moderado	$20
10-14	$0.140	17%	+24%	1.0%	moderado	$84

Khamenei # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 7.1 ± 9.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.085	18%	+117%	2.7%	cautela (no operable)	$272
20-24	$0.041	6%	+50%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$253
30-34	$0.005	1%	+31%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$253

Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 1 · proyeccion 4.2 ± 6.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.066	15%	+125%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$575
15-19	$0.029	4%	+50%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$381
5-9	$0.235	28%	+20%	1.5%	escalable	$1,025