CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	60-79	$0.165	33%	+102%	5.0%	moderado	$806
Elon Musk	1000+	$0.455	77%	+70%	14.5%	escalable	$35,159
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.130	22%	+69%	2.6%	moderado	$10
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.166	27%	+64%	3.2%	moderado	$179
The White House	180-199	$0.115	17%	+45%	1.5%	moderado	$265
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.440	63%	+43%	8.5%	escalable	$0
Donald Trump	140-159	$0.335	39%	+17%	2.1%	escalable	$10,796
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.555	64%	+15%	4.7%	escalable	$95
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	80-99	$0.260	30%	+14%	1.3%	escalable	$484
Ted Cruz	160-179	$0.105	12%	+13%	0.4%	moderado	$10
Donald Trump	140-159	$0.150	16%	+9%	0.4%	moderado	$1,928
Donald Trump	120-139	$0.195	21%	+6%	0.3%	moderado	$3,217

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 12,974 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 11.9%Sobre-dispersion: 24.86x48 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026? 26% del periodo

lleva 220 · proyeccion 1110.1 ± 148.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.455	77%	+70%	14.5%	escalable	$35,159

Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 303.3 ± 86.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
420-439	$0.007	3%	+327%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$14,599
440-459	$0.006	2%	+272%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$18,774
400-419	$0.012	4%	+263%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$14,290
360-379	$0.021	7%	+235%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$9,075
460-479	$0.004	1%	+229%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$19,421
480-499	$0.003	1%	+210%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$20,932
380-399	$0.018	6%	+203%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$10,811
340-359	$0.035	8%	+124%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$10,014
100-119	$0.004	1%	+120%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$14,672
80-99	$0.003	0%	+79%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$10,856
320-339	$0.050	9%	+77%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$16,516
300-319	$0.081	9%	+14%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$8,072

Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 58 · proyeccion 239.5 ± 67.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.003	7%	+2200%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$57,106
180-199	$0.005	9%	+1534%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$83,914
200-219	$0.013	11%	+724%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$83,530
220-239	$0.018	12%	+569%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$54,780
240-259	$0.020	12%	+485%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$46,058
260-279	$0.056	11%	+93%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$39,060

Elon Musk # tweets October 10 - October 12, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 145.7 ± 60.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-164	$0.030	16%	+446%	3.4%	cautela (no operable)	$0
115-139	$0.030	16%	+423%	3.3%	cautela (no operable)	$0
165-189	$0.030	14%	+380%	2.9%	cautela (no operable)	$0
190-214	$0.030	11%	+256%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$0
240+	$0.026	6%	+129%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$10
215-239	$0.030	7%	+123%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$0

Elon Musk # tweets October 8 - October 10, 2026? 50% del periodo

lleva 3 · proyeccion 79.6 ± 43.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
165-189	$0.006	2%	+208%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$19,420
190-214	$0.002	0%	+146%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$7,338
<40	$0.065	15%	+124%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$20,926
140-164	$0.036	6%	+62%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$10,808
115-139	$0.092	13%	+37%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$10,110

Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 159 · proyeccion 196.2 ± 30.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
180-199	$0.002	25%	+12477%	6.2%	cautela (no operable)	$402,181
160-179	$0.002	18%	+11730%	4.4%	cautela (no operable)	$364,097
200-219	$0.002	24%	+11652%	5.8%	cautela (no operable)	$359,568
240-259	$0.002	6%	+3817%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$315,812

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 6,138 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 6.8%Sobre-dispersion: 12.15x32 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 181.9 ± 47.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.006	13%	+1952%	3.2%	cautela (no operable)	$55
120-139	$0.009	9%	+862%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$35
100-119	$0.011	5%	+399%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$25
80-99	$0.010	3%	+152%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$53
160-179	$0.075	16%	+116%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$177
60-79	$0.005	1%	+84%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$80
180-199	$0.115	17%	+45%	1.5%	moderado	$265

White House # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 34 · proyeccion 132.7 ± 34.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.005	18%	+3557%	4.5%	cautela (no operable)	$198
120-139	$0.010	23%	+2164%	5.5%	cautela (no operable)	$275
80-99	$0.005	11%	+2035%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$265
140-159	$0.015	20%	+1251%	4.8%	cautela (no operable)	$468
60-79	$0.005	4%	+801%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$484
40-59	$0.005	1%	+175%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$278

White House # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 143 · proyeccion 166.5 ± 16.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.005	44%	+8699%	10.9%	cautela (no operable)	$666
180-199	$0.004	19%	+4229%	4.8%	cautela (no operable)	$3,948

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 5,466 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.5%Sobre-dispersion: 13.77x37 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 160.5 ± 47.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.005	3%	+384%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$724
40-59	$0.005	1%	+97%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$717
180-199	$0.075	14%	+86%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$1,105
160-179	$0.095	17%	+74%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,644
140-159	$0.150	16%	+9%	0.4%	moderado	$1,928

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 20 · proyeccion 120.6 ± 37.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.006	4%	+493%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$647
60-79	$0.041	8%	+106%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$871
120-139	$0.195	21%	+6%	0.3%	moderado	$3,217

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 122 · proyeccion 138.4 ± 15.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.335	39%	+17%	2.1%	escalable	$10,796

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 3,591 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 11.8%Sobre-dispersion: 6.77x30 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 131.2 ± 29.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.130	22%	+69%	2.6%	moderado	$10
160-179	$0.105	12%	+13%	0.4%	moderado	$10

Ted Cruz # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 18 · proyeccion 88.9 ± 21.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.005	24%	+4776%	6.0%	cautela (no operable)	$133
40-59	$0.011	8%	+574%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$22
20-39	$0.005	1%	+125%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$20

Ted Cruz # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 71 · proyeccion 85.9 ± 10.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.009	65%	+7124%	16.2%	cautela (no operable)	$3,844
60-79	$0.005	26%	+5052%	6.3%	cautela (no operable)	$648
100-119	$0.050	9%	+75%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,293

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 2,433 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.6%Sobre-dispersion: 6.68x28 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 96.0 ± 25.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.005	6%	+1028%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$62
120-139	$0.075	13%	+78%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$162
140-159	$0.021	4%	+71%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$120
80-99	$0.260	30%	+14%	1.3%	escalable	$484

Zelenskyy # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 3 · proyeccion 57.3 ± 19.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.019	15%	+695%	3.4%	cautela (no operable)	$677
40-59	$0.072	37%	+411%	8.0%	cautela (no operable)	$838
<20	$0.010	2%	+123%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$723
60-79	$0.165	33%	+102%	5.0%	moderado	$806

Zelenskyy # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 51 · proyeccion 62.2 ± 8.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.004	37%	+8184%	9.2%	cautela (no operable)	$2,865
60-79	$0.033	60%	+1746%	14.7%	cautela (no operable)	$3,694

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 1,094 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.2%Sobre-dispersion: 2.57x28 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 42.5 ± 10.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.005	5%	+837%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$513
40-59	$0.060	56%	+834%	13.3%	cautela (no operable)	$270

NYC Mayor # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 10 · proyeccion 34.7 ± 8.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.166	27%	+64%	3.2%	moderado	$179
<20	$0.025	3%	+15%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$453

NYC Mayor # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 30 · proyeccion 34.3 ± 3.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.037	6%	+54%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$1,148

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 661 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 19.2%Sobre-dispersion: 4.35x28 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 26.4 ± 10.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.440	63%	+43%	8.5%	escalable	$0

CZ # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 8 · proyeccion 22.7 ± 8.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.555	64%	+15%	4.7%	escalable	$95

CZ # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 22 · proyeccion 25.4 ± 3.9

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 159 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 15.0%Sobre-dispersion: 16.64x10 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 6.7 ± 10.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.005	17%	+2908%	4.0%	cautela (no operable)	$228
15-19	$0.005	12%	+2030%	2.8%	cautela (no operable)	$219
20-24	$0.005	7%	+1109%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$234
25-29	$0.005	3%	+451%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$228
5-9	$0.059	19%	+218%	3.4%	cautela (no operable)	$268
30-34	$0.005	1%	+101%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$230

Khamenei # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 3 · proyeccion 7.1 ± 8.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.005	12%	+2264%	2.8%	cautela (no operable)	$400
10-14	$0.010	20%	+1906%	4.8%	cautela (no operable)	$369
20-24	$0.010	5%	+387%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$334

Khamenei # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 4 · proyeccion 5.2 ± 4.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.004	15%	+3692%	3.7%	cautela (no operable)	$612
15-19	$0.004	2%	+378%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$567