CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.172	42%	+145%	7.5%	moderado	$3,002
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	60-79	$0.340	56%	+64%	8.3%	escalable	$4,497
Elon Musk	90-114	$0.124	18%	+42%	1.5%	moderado	$3,513
Ted Cruz	120-139	$0.350	40%	+14%	1.9%	escalable	$2,164
Elon Musk	240-259	$0.166	17%	+6%	0.3%	moderado	$165,714

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,506 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.5%Sobre-dispersion: 25.54x41 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 61% del periodo

lleva 500 · proyeccion 978.9 ± 110.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.033	43%	+1212%	10.2%	cautela (no operable)	$8,195
960-999	$0.017	14%	+744%	3.2%	cautela (no operable)	$13,331
920-959	$0.034	13%	+302%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$7,942
880-919	$0.075	11%	+48%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$6,175

Elon Musk # tweets August 20 - August 22, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 115.2 ± 54.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
190-214	$0.002	5%	+3348%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$3,261
165-189	$0.004	10%	+2306%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$8,369
215-239	$0.002	2%	+1404%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$3,441
140-164	$0.011	15%	+1284%	3.4%	cautela (no operable)	$9,738
240+	$0.002	1%	+628%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$3,442
115-139	$0.025	18%	+598%	3.9%	cautela (no operable)	$9,471
90-114	$0.124	18%	+42%	1.5%	moderado	$3,513

Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 163 · proyeccion 237.6 ± 43.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
320-339	$0.003	2%	+721%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$110,354
160-179	$0.011	5%	+422%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$177,436
300-319	$0.010	5%	+378%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$117,023
280-299	$0.024	9%	+285%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$145,560
260-279	$0.074	14%	+87%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$151,235
240-259	$0.166	17%	+6%	0.3%	moderado	$165,714

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,616 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.1%Sobre-dispersion: 11.34x25 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 113 · proyeccion 152.4 ± 21.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.002	5%	+2583%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$2,008
120-139	$0.033	21%	+540%	4.6%	cautela (no operable)	$2,717
180-199	$0.025	9%	+248%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$9,965
200+	$0.006	1%	+115%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$8,502

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,271 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.6%Sobre-dispersion: 14.21x30 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 62 · proyeccion 93.3 ± 21.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.002	28%	+18384%	6.9%	cautela (no operable)	$4,589
80-99	$0.002	36%	+17862%	8.9%	cautela (no operable)	$4,988

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,720 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 11.1%Sobre-dispersion: 5.98x23 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 111 · proyeccion 141.1 ± 13.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.022	5%	+134%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$1,691
120-139	$0.350	40%	+14%	1.9%	escalable	$2,164

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,736 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.4%Sobre-dispersion: 3.24x21 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 40 · proyeccion 61.0 ± 8.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.340	56%	+64%	8.3%	escalable	$4,497

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 853 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.6%Sobre-dispersion: 2.86x21 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 23 · proyeccion 33.0 ± 5.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.042	11%	+163%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$7,285

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 467 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 20.9%Sobre-dispersion: 5.34x21 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 11 · proyeccion 18.3 ± 6.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.172	42%	+145%	7.5%	moderado	$3,002

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 152 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 15.1%Sobre-dispersion: 12.17x10 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 1 · proyeccion 3.3 ± 5.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
5-9	$0.043	29%	+574%	6.5%	cautela (no operable)	$1,990
10-14	$0.017	11%	+522%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$1,044
15-19	$0.005	2%	+239%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$905