CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	80-99	$0.150	39%	+161%	7.1%	moderado	$631
Elon Musk	90-114	$0.138	28%	+101%	4.0%	moderado	$60,070
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.310	54%	+73%	8.2%	escalable	$1,292
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.275	41%	+50%	4.7%	escalable	$1,314
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	40-59	$0.115	15%	+32%	1.0%	moderado	$85
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.360	46%	+29%	4.1%	escalable	$4,105
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.305	38%	+23%	2.6%	escalable	$5,592
Elon Musk	240-259	$0.105	13%	+22%	0.7%	moderado	$25,564
Ted Cruz	120-139	$0.150	18%	+20%	0.9%	moderado	$579
Donald Trump	100-119	$0.121	14%	+16%	0.5%	moderado	$501
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.470	54%	+16%	3.5%	escalable	$2,996
Elon Musk	40-64	$0.155	18%	+14%	0.6%	moderado	$67,299

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,349 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.5%Sobre-dispersion: 25.65x40 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 45% del periodo

lleva 339 · proyeccion 1019.9 ± 132.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.065	56%	+764%	13.3%	cautela (no operable)	$6,419
960-999	$0.033	11%	+248%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$9,257
920-959	$0.063	10%	+59%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$4,424

Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 2 · proyeccion 275.5 ± 83.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
360-379	$0.002	5%	+2437%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$5,414
380-399	$0.002	4%	+2418%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$19,627
340-359	$0.004	6%	+1740%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$6,047
320-339	$0.004	8%	+1617%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$8,354
300-319	$0.007	9%	+1067%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$8,681
80-99	$0.002	1%	+445%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$30,505
280-299	$0.018	9%	+407%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$10,007
260-279	$0.037	9%	+153%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$1,968
100-119	$0.009	1%	+42%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$38,815
240-259	$0.075	9%	+21%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$1,940

Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 101 · proyeccion 248.3 ± 61.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
340-359	$0.002	3%	+2147%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$29,720
320-339	$0.003	5%	+2076%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$24,805
300-319	$0.004	8%	+1657%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$40,786
280-299	$0.009	10%	+1117%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$36,520
120-139	$0.003	2%	+712%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$77,888
260-279	$0.029	12%	+313%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$36,732
140-159	$0.013	4%	+187%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$59,279
240-259	$0.105	13%	+22%	0.7%	moderado	$25,564

Elon Musk # tweets August 13 - August 15, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 49 · proyeccion 86.2 ± 30.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
115-139	$0.007	14%	+1733%	3.3%	cautela (no operable)	$45,668
90-114	$0.138	28%	+101%	4.0%	moderado	$60,070
40-64	$0.155	18%	+14%	0.6%	moderado	$67,299

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,505 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.2%Sobre-dispersion: 11.29x24 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 4 · proyeccion 146.7 ± 40.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.005	20%	+3826%	4.8%	cautela (no operable)	$519
120-139	$0.005	18%	+3496%	4.4%	cautela (no operable)	$457
100-119	$0.005	13%	+2483%	3.1%	cautela (no operable)	$483
80-99	$0.005	7%	+1355%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$600
60-79	$0.005	3%	+542%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$634
20-39	$0.002	0%	+101%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$273

White House # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 110 · proyeccion 176.1 ± 27.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.006	18%	+2693%	4.4%	cautela (no operable)	$2,654
160-179	$0.024	28%	+1082%	6.5%	cautela (no operable)	$3,323

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,207 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.6%Sobre-dispersion: 14.22x30 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 3 · proyeccion 140.5 ± 44.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.015	9%	+500%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$370
40-59	$0.005	2%	+346%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$619
20-39	$0.002	1%	+304%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$417
100-119	$0.121	14%	+16%	0.5%	moderado	$501

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 82 · proyeccion 159.9 ± 33.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.006	3%	+348%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$3,681
120-139	$0.043	16%	+266%	3.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,098
100-119	$0.060	8%	+28%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$1,493

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,607 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 11.0%Sobre-dispersion: 6.01x23 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 4 · proyeccion 114.7 ± 25.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.002	7%	+4567%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$68
80-99	$0.006	19%	+3094%	4.7%	cautela (no operable)	$99
40-59	$0.003	1%	+476%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$399
120-139	$0.095	26%	+172%	4.5%	cautela (no operable)	$239

Ted Cruz # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 101 · proyeccion 154.1 ± 17.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.275	41%	+50%	4.7%	escalable	$1,314
120-139	$0.150	18%	+20%	0.9%	moderado	$579

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,696 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.2%Sobre-dispersion: 3.1x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 78.9 ± 15.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.150	39%	+161%	7.1%	moderado	$631
100-119	$0.065	9%	+37%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$479
120-139	$0.004	0%	+33%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$271
20-39	$0.005	1%	+16%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$271

Zelenskyy # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 32 · proyeccion 70.7 ± 10.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.115	15%	+32%	1.0%	moderado	$85
80-99	$0.190	21%	+8%	0.5%	moderado	$921

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 829 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.8%Sobre-dispersion: 2.93x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 39.4 ± 10.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.360	46%	+29%	4.1%	escalable	$4,105
<20	$0.025	3%	+29%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,209

NYC Mayor # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 16 · proyeccion 37.1 ± 7.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
<20	$0.003	1%	+322%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$3,231
40-59	$0.305	38%	+23%	2.6%	escalable	$5,592

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 458 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 21.6%Sobre-dispersion: 5.41x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 22.0 ± 10.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.005	5%	+972%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$256
20-39	$0.310	54%	+73%	8.2%	escalable	$1,292
<20	$0.365	39%	+7%	1.0%	escalable	$1,014

CZ # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 10 · proyeccion 20.4 ± 7.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.470	54%	+16%	3.5%	escalable	$2,996

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 151 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 15.2%Sobre-dispersion: 11.35x10 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 6.7 ± 8.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.055	19%	+243%	3.5%	cautela (no operable)	$328
15-19	$0.040	11%	+191%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$173

Khamenei # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 1 · proyeccion 4.5 ± 6.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.018	16%	+772%	3.5%	cautela (no operable)	$569
15-19	$0.013	5%	+277%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$361
20-24	$0.004	1%	+122%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$360