CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Elon Musk	1000+	$0.170	76%	+349%	17.9%	moderado	$31,170
The White House	180-199	$0.104	27%	+158%	4.6%	moderado	$2,046
Ted Cruz	160-179	$0.105	23%	+120%	3.5%	moderado	$0
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	60-79	$0.185	34%	+85%	4.8%	moderado	$550
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.215	39%	+79%	5.4%	escalable	$139
Donald Trump	120-139	$0.146	26%	+78%	3.3%	moderado	$3,626
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.130	23%	+73%	2.7%	moderado	$0
CZ (Binance)	<20	$0.240	35%	+45%	3.6%	escalable	$100
CZ (Binance)	40-59	$0.170	25%	+45%	2.3%	moderado	$0
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.420	60%	+42%	7.6%	escalable	$0
Donald Trump	200+	$0.260	36%	+40%	3.5%	escalable	$961
Donald Trump	120-139	$0.145	19%	+33%	1.4%	moderado	$2,178

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 12,930 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.0%Sobre-dispersion: 24.84x48 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026? 23% del periodo

lleva 168 · proyeccion 1109.1 ± 152.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.170	76%	+349%	17.9%	moderado	$31,170

Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 354.1 ± 93.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
500+	$0.002	6%	+3934%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$13,382
400-419	$0.003	7%	+2279%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$910
340-359	$0.004	8%	+1785%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$310
360-379	$0.004	8%	+1762%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,135
320-339	$0.004	8%	+1724%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,984
420-439	$0.004	6%	+1658%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$5,701
380-399	$0.004	8%	+1658%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,305
300-319	$0.017	8%	+346%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$694
280-299	$0.022	7%	+205%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$418
260-279	$0.043	6%	+33%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$198

Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 6 · proyeccion 238.2 ± 75.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
340-359	$0.004	4%	+929%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$8,837
380-399	$0.002	1%	+871%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$14,423
360-379	$0.003	2%	+848%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$8,312
320-339	$0.007	5%	+581%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$13,070
80-99	$0.003	2%	+523%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$30,467
120-139	$0.006	4%	+482%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$41,454
100-119	$0.004	3%	+458%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$34,431
300-319	$0.016	7%	+322%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$15,642
400-419	$0.003	1%	+234%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$19,603
280-299	$0.036	8%	+129%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$22,069
140-159	$0.033	5%	+64%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$13,111
260-279	$0.074	10%	+29%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$11,914

Elon Musk # tweets October 8 - October 10, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 127.3 ± 56.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-164	$0.002	16%	+7899%	4.0%	cautela (no operable)	$2,986
165-189	$0.002	12%	+7886%	3.0%	cautela (no operable)	$2,310
115-139	$0.009	18%	+1970%	4.2%	cautela (no operable)	$609
90-114	$0.031	16%	+414%	3.3%	cautela (no operable)	$1,778

Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 107 · proyeccion 194.9 ± 46.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.004	6%	+1745%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$182,242
140-159	$0.011	11%	+914%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$121,793
280-299	$0.004	2%	+544%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$54,593
300-319	$0.002	1%	+485%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$66,191
260-279	$0.013	5%	+287%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$46,954
160-179	$0.082	15%	+80%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$116,809
240-259	$0.051	9%	+68%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$68,868

Elon Musk # tweets October 5 - October 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 11 · proyeccion 17.0 ± 12.2

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 6,123 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 6.8%Sobre-dispersion: 12.01x32 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 219.8 ± 51.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.005	6%	+1014%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$50
160-179	$0.022	10%	+337%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$177
120-139	$0.009	3%	+254%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$35
180-199	$0.080	13%	+62%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$250
100-119	$0.011	2%	+51%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$25

White House # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 9 · proyeccion 145.1 ± 40.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.005	18%	+3530%	4.4%	cautela (no operable)	$188
100-119	$0.005	13%	+2570%	3.2%	cautela (no operable)	$198
140-159	$0.009	19%	+1944%	4.7%	cautela (no operable)	$293
80-99	$0.005	8%	+1445%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$265
60-79	$0.003	4%	+1072%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$298
160-179	$0.041	16%	+299%	3.2%	cautela (no operable)	$207
40-59	$0.005	1%	+152%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$278

White House # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 118 · proyeccion 178.9 ± 27.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.010	27%	+2620%	6.6%	cautela (no operable)	$444
180-199	$0.104	27%	+158%	4.6%	moderado	$2,046

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 5,455 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.5%Sobre-dispersion: 13.72x37 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 182.0 ± 50.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
200+	$0.260	36%	+40%	3.5%	escalable	$961
100-119	$0.045	6%	+25%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$0

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 7 · proyeccion 129.0 ± 40.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.015	7%	+356%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$443
40-59	$0.010	3%	+203%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$647
120-139	$0.145	19%	+33%	1.4%	moderado	$2,178
100-119	$0.145	17%	+19%	0.8%	moderado	$1,677
<20	$0.003	0%	+18%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$92
80-99	$0.107	12%	+14%	0.4%	moderado	$1,107

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 109 · proyeccion 146.8 ± 22.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.010	10%	+866%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,852
120-139	$0.146	26%	+78%	3.3%	moderado	$3,626

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 3,584 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.0%Sobre-dispersion: 6.73x30 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 160.9 ± 32.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
180-199	$0.075	17%	+120%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$0
160-179	$0.105	23%	+120%	3.5%	moderado	$0
140-159	$0.130	23%	+73%	2.7%	moderado	$0
200+	$0.095	12%	+26%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$10

Ted Cruz # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 11 · proyeccion 111.3 ± 26.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.015	9%	+484%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$133

Ted Cruz # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 64 · proyeccion 108.2 ± 17.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.025	5%	+82%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$148
80-99	$0.200	26%	+29%	1.8%	escalable	$1,012

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 2,432 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.6%Sobre-dispersion: 6.63x28 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 114.8 ± 27.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.005	4%	+685%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$36
140-159	$0.031	13%	+329%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$101
40-59	$0.005	2%	+251%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$57
120-139	$0.095	25%	+160%	4.2%	cautela (no operable)	$124
180-199	$0.005	1%	+54%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$36

Zelenskyy # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 2 · proyeccion 74.7 ± 22.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.010	5%	+384%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$659
40-59	$0.073	19%	+160%	3.1%	cautela (no operable)	$448
60-79	$0.185	34%	+85%	4.8%	moderado	$550
80-99	$0.225	28%	+26%	1.9%	escalable	$770
<20	$0.005	1%	+13%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$702

Zelenskyy # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 50 · proyeccion 79.6 ± 14.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.013	7%	+466%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$1,178
60-79	$0.330	42%	+28%	3.4%	escalable	$2,044

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 1,091 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.2%Sobre-dispersion: 2.57x28 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 50.8 ± 11.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.005	22%	+3862%	5.3%	cautela (no operable)	$505
40-59	$0.090	62%	+584%	14.4%	cautela (no operable)	$253
80-99	$0.005	1%	+10%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$51

NYC Mayor # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 4 · proyeccion 37.0 ± 9.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.215	39%	+79%	5.4%	escalable	$139

NYC Mayor # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 24 · proyeccion 36.6 ± 5.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.039	30%	+678%	6.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,106

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 658 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 19.0%Sobre-dispersion: 4.34x28 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 31.8 ± 11.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.005	1%	+65%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$10
40-59	$0.170	25%	+45%	2.3%	moderado	$0
20-39	$0.420	60%	+42%	7.6%	escalable	$0

CZ # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 3 · proyeccion 23.0 ± 9.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
<20	$0.240	35%	+45%	3.6%	escalable	$100
20-39	$0.565	61%	+8%	2.4%	escalable	$95

CZ # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 17 · proyeccion 25.7 ± 6.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
<20	$0.050	16%	+213%	2.8%	cautela (no operable)	$1,847

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 158 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 15.0%Sobre-dispersion: 16.61x10 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 7.9 ± 11.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
5-9	$0.014	17%	+1130%	4.0%	cautela (no operable)	$105
10-14	$0.014	16%	+1059%	3.8%	cautela (no operable)	$92
15-19	$0.022	13%	+476%	2.7%	cautela (no operable)	$19
20-24	$0.016	8%	+412%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$126
25-29	$0.014	4%	+214%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$105

Khamenei # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 2 · proyeccion 7.3 ± 9.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.009	19%	+1856%	4.5%	cautela (no operable)	$369
15-19	$0.011	12%	+1035%	2.9%	cautela (no operable)	$400
5-9	$0.025	21%	+756%	4.8%	cautela (no operable)	$164
25-29	$0.015	2%	+69%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$318

Khamenei # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 3 · proyeccion 5.4 ± 6.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.005	18%	+3595%	4.5%	cautela (no operable)	$612
15-19	$0.004	6%	+1326%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$567
20-24	$0.009	1%	+30%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$758
5-9	$0.256	30%	+16%	1.4%	escalable	$644