CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.210	58%	+175%	11.6%	escalable	$968
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.215	56%	+161%	11.0%	escalable	$2,257
Ali Khamenei	5-9	$0.130	29%	+122%	4.5%	moderado	$1,126
Ted Cruz	120-139	$0.210	36%	+73%	4.9%	escalable	$89
Donald Trump	120-139	$0.100	17%	+68%	1.9%	moderado	$951
Ali Khamenei	10-14	$0.110	18%	+62%	1.9%	moderado	$325
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.155	25%	+60%	2.7%	moderado	$30
The White House	180-199	$0.265	39%	+48%	4.3%	escalable	$10,178
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.115	15%	+33%	1.1%	moderado	$6,782
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	80-99	$0.315	40%	+28%	3.3%	escalable	$621
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.465	60%	+28%	6.2%	escalable	$2,145
Donald Trump	200+	$0.175	22%	+28%	1.5%	moderado	$674

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,295 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.5%Sobre-dispersion: 25.64x40 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 42% del periodo

lleva 285 · proyeccion 1029.4 ± 138.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.050	59%	+1071%	14.1%	cautela (no operable)	$5,161
960-999	$0.015	11%	+596%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$8,598
920-959	$0.033	9%	+183%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$4,033
880-919	$0.070	7%	+6%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$3,385

Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 336.8 ± 92.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
400-419	$0.002	6%	+4111%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$2,514
420-439	$0.002	5%	+3379%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$1,678
500+	$0.002	4%	+2563%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$17,311
360-379	$0.004	8%	+2202%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$2,940
380-399	$0.004	7%	+1986%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$1,410
340-359	$0.005	8%	+1444%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,792
320-339	$0.007	9%	+1121%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$4,765
300-319	$0.010	8%	+721%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$3,634
280-299	$0.022	8%	+242%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$5,061
260-279	$0.045	7%	+47%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$1,540

Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 47 · proyeccion 257.5 ± 73.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
340-359	$0.002	5%	+3210%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$15,001
320-339	$0.003	7%	+2587%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$14,068
360-379	$0.002	3%	+1605%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$19,315
380-399	$0.002	2%	+1351%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$21,064
300-319	$0.007	8%	+1025%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$24,260
280-299	$0.017	10%	+480%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$21,086
260-279	$0.025	11%	+336%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$12,444
100-119	$0.004	1%	+220%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$43,780
240-259	$0.065	11%	+66%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$8,341
120-139	$0.018	2%	+37%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$36,692

Elon Musk # tweets August 13 - August 15, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 100.4 ± 50.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-164	$0.003	12%	+4588%	2.9%	cautela (no operable)	$9,763
165-189	$0.002	6%	+4145%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$8,037
115-139	$0.006	17%	+2516%	4.1%	cautela (no operable)	$6,422
90-114	$0.032	19%	+518%	4.2%	cautela (no operable)	$14,149

Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 133 · proyeccion 192.1 ± 38.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
240-259	$0.002	7%	+4564%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$155,461
120-139	$0.002	6%	+3716%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$276,283
220-239	$0.009	13%	+1418%	3.0%	cautela (no operable)	$118,925
200-219	$0.025	18%	+650%	4.1%	cautela (no operable)	$116,757
180-199	$0.165	20%	+23%	1.1%	moderado	$139,827

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,465 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.3%Sobre-dispersion: 11.5x24 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 177.5 ± 45.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.005	6%	+946%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$160
80-99	$0.005	3%	+393%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$260
120-139	$0.021	10%	+391%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$154
140-159	$0.035	15%	+320%	2.9%	cautela (no operable)	$132
60-79	$0.005	1%	+92%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$290
160-179	$0.090	17%	+92%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$286

White House # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 63 · proyeccion 164.2 ± 34.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.002	21%	+13941%	5.2%	cautela (no operable)	$2,515
160-179	$0.015	23%	+1472%	5.4%	cautela (no operable)	$2,828

White House # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 160 · proyeccion 192.3 ± 19.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.003	21%	+6852%	5.2%	cautela (no operable)	$5,170
180-199	$0.265	39%	+48%	4.3%	escalable	$10,178

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,181 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.5%Sobre-dispersion: 14.27x29 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 162.8 ± 48.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.002	1%	+620%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$484
60-79	$0.006	3%	+299%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$100
80-99	$0.033	5%	+59%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$232
200+	$0.175	22%	+28%	1.5%	moderado	$674

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 51 · proyeccion 154.2 ± 38.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.003	2%	+532%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$1,667
100-119	$0.025	11%	+323%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,361
80-99	$0.016	5%	+220%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,448
120-139	$0.100	17%	+68%	1.9%	moderado	$951
40-59	$0.004	1%	+54%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,502

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 145 · proyeccion 167.9 ± 18.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.090	26%	+192%	4.8%	cautela (no operable)	$2,885

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,571 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.8%Sobre-dispersion: 5.49x22 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 134.3 ± 27.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.155	25%	+60%	2.7%	moderado	$30
120-139	$0.235	28%	+20%	1.6%	escalable	$30

Ted Cruz # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 57 · proyeccion 134.3 ± 20.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.077	19%	+146%	3.1%	cautela (no operable)	$533
120-139	$0.210	36%	+73%	4.9%	escalable	$89
60-79	$0.003	0%	+26%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$893
140-159	$0.275	29%	+5%	0.5%	escalable	$1,001

Ted Cruz # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 125 · proyeccion 147.0 ± 11.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.095	24%	+154%	4.0%	cautela (no operable)	$2,537
140-159	$0.580	62%	+8%	2.7%	escalable	$3,390

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,681 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.1%Sobre-dispersion: 3.08x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 101.8 ± 17.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.011	14%	+1138%	3.3%	cautela (no operable)	$266
100-119	$0.074	39%	+428%	8.6%	cautela (no operable)	$442
140-159	$0.005	2%	+222%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$291
80-99	$0.325	34%	+6%	0.7%	escalable	$514

Zelenskyy # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 17 · proyeccion 78.4 ± 13.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.040	6%	+52%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$160
40-59	$0.060	8%	+38%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$56
80-99	$0.315	40%	+28%	3.3%	escalable	$621

Zelenskyy # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 49 · proyeccion 69.7 ± 8.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.075	11%	+45%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,525

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 822 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.8%Sobre-dispersion: 2.93x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 47.5 ± 11.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.033	15%	+363%	3.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,845
40-59	$0.465	60%	+28%	6.2%	escalable	$2,145

NYC Mayor # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 8 · proyeccion 37.2 ± 9.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
<20	$0.013	3%	+115%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$2,912
40-59	$0.325	39%	+21%	2.5%	escalable	$5,114

NYC Mayor # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 27 · proyeccion 34.6 ± 4.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.115	15%	+33%	1.1%	moderado	$6,782

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 453 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 21.3%Sobre-dispersion: 5.45x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 28.2 ± 12.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.011	18%	+1494%	4.2%	cautela (no operable)	$256
20-39	$0.210	58%	+175%	11.6%	escalable	$968
60-79	$0.005	1%	+5%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$215

CZ # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 5 · proyeccion 21.7 ± 9.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.215	56%	+161%	11.0%	escalable	$2,257

CZ # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 5 · proyeccion 11.3 ± 5.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.013	8%	+519%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$1,020

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 150 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 15.3%Sobre-dispersion: 12.33x10 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 9.4 ± 10.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.048	14%	+199%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$40
20-24	$0.055	9%	+70%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$30
10-14	$0.110	18%	+62%	1.9%	moderado	$325

Khamenei # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 6.1 ± 8.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-24	$0.005	4%	+777%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$281
10-14	$0.037	18%	+383%	3.7%	cautela (no operable)	$319
15-19	$0.030	10%	+244%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$272

Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 1 · proyeccion 3.2 ± 5.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.025	10%	+283%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$606
5-9	$0.130	29%	+122%	4.5%	moderado	$1,126