CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Elon Musk	1000+	$0.135	78%	+479%	18.7%	moderado	$30,444
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.112	29%	+162%	5.1%	moderado	$1,026
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	60-79	$0.130	31%	+135%	5.0%	moderado	$1,350
Ted Cruz	160-179	$0.100	23%	+132%	3.7%	moderado	$0
Elon Musk	<40	$0.370	65%	+76%	11.2%	escalable	$148,780
CZ (Binance)	40-59	$0.170	29%	+71%	3.6%	moderado	$0
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.130	22%	+69%	2.6%	moderado	$0
The White House	180-199	$0.172	27%	+58%	3.0%	moderado	$1,941
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.242	38%	+56%	4.4%	escalable	$139
Donald Trump	200+	$0.265	39%	+48%	4.3%	escalable	$961
CZ (Binance)	<20	$0.110	15%	+40%	1.2%	moderado	$1,841
CZ (Binance)	<20	$0.240	33%	+38%	3.0%	escalable	$100

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 12,928 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.0%Sobre-dispersion: 24.83x48 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026? 23% del periodo

lleva 167 · proyeccion 1118.8 ± 153.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.135	78%	+479%	18.7%	moderado	$30,444

Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 364.6 ± 95.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
500+	$0.002	8%	+5105%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$12,822
380-399	$0.004	8%	+2211%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,000
420-439	$0.004	7%	+1796%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$5,701
360-379	$0.004	8%	+1758%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,135
320-339	$0.004	8%	+1638%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,984
400-419	$0.005	7%	+1398%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$700
340-359	$0.006	8%	+1278%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$310
300-319	$0.017	7%	+317%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$664
280-299	$0.020	6%	+207%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$118
260-279	$0.043	5%	+17%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$198

Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 5 · proyeccion 247.6 ± 77.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
360-379	$0.002	3%	+1904%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$7,463
320-339	$0.004	6%	+1209%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$10,538
380-399	$0.002	2%	+1196%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$12,785
340-359	$0.004	4%	+1143%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$7,812
300-319	$0.007	7%	+896%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$12,590
280-299	$0.013	9%	+610%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$18,041
400-419	$0.003	1%	+371%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$18,212
80-99	$0.003	1%	+334%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$18,885
260-279	$0.029	10%	+240%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$9,688
100-119	$0.006	2%	+227%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$27,942
240-259	$0.065	10%	+58%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$7,542
120-139	$0.022	3%	+47%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$32,892

Elon Musk # tweets October 8 - October 10, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 137.7 ± 58.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-164	$0.002	16%	+8118%	4.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,865
165-189	$0.002	14%	+6675%	3.3%	cautela (no operable)	$1,980
115-139	$0.012	17%	+1288%	3.9%	cautela (no operable)	$431
90-114	$0.026	14%	+442%	3.0%	cautela (no operable)	$726

Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 106 · proyeccion 204.3 ± 49.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.004	5%	+1194%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$131,275
280-299	$0.004	4%	+958%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$49,647
260-279	$0.013	7%	+423%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$42,017
300-319	$0.004	2%	+390%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$49,497
240-259	$0.040	11%	+169%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$59,266
140-159	$0.053	9%	+63%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$101,438
220-239	$0.095	14%	+48%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$54,891

Elon Musk # tweets October 5 - October 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 10 · proyeccion 26.4 ± 20.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
65-89	$0.009	3%	+198%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$85,226
<40	$0.370	65%	+76%	11.2%	escalable	$148,780

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 6,123 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 6.8%Sobre-dispersion: 12.01x32 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 223.9 ± 51.9

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

White House # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 9 · proyeccion 149.3 ± 41.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.005	17%	+3334%	4.2%	cautela (no operable)	$188
100-119	$0.005	12%	+2328%	2.9%	cautela (no operable)	$198
140-159	$0.009	19%	+1926%	4.6%	cautela (no operable)	$293
80-99	$0.005	7%	+1260%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$265
60-79	$0.003	3%	+906%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$298
160-179	$0.040	17%	+327%	3.4%	cautela (no operable)	$207
40-59	$0.005	1%	+112%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$278

White House # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 118 · proyeccion 183.1 ± 28.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.010	25%	+2394%	6.0%	cautela (no operable)	$439
180-199	$0.172	27%	+58%	3.0%	moderado	$1,941

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 5,450 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.5%Sobre-dispersion: 13.73x37 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 185.5 ± 50.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
200+	$0.265	39%	+48%	4.3%	escalable	$961

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 1 · proyeccion 126.5 ± 41.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.003	4%	+1308%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$647
<20	$0.003	0%	+54%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$92
60-79	$0.049	8%	+54%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$393
100-119	$0.135	18%	+30%	1.2%	moderado	$1,669
120-139	$0.155	19%	+22%	1.0%	moderado	$2,170

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 103 · proyeccion 144.3 ± 23.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.011	12%	+935%	2.7%	cautela (no operable)	$1,788
180-199	$0.045	6%	+32%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$4,295

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 3,580 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 11.9%Sobre-dispersion: 6.74x30 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 162.7 ± 33.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.100	23%	+132%	3.7%	moderado	$0
180-199	$0.075	17%	+130%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$0
140-159	$0.130	22%	+69%	2.6%	moderado	$0
200+	$0.095	13%	+40%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$10

Ted Cruz # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 7 · proyeccion 109.2 ± 26.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.015	10%	+564%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$133

Ted Cruz # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 60 · proyeccion 106.2 ± 17.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.026	6%	+135%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$48
80-99	$0.210	29%	+37%	2.4%	escalable	$892
100-119	$0.390	42%	+8%	1.3%	escalable	$721

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 2,432 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.6%Sobre-dispersion: 6.63x28 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 120.6 ± 28.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.005	7%	+1096%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$36
140-159	$0.046	17%	+260%	3.2%	cautela (no operable)	$101
180-199	$0.005	2%	+191%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$36
40-59	$0.005	1%	+142%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$57
60-79	$0.028	6%	+106%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$46
120-139	$0.195	26%	+35%	2.1%	moderado	$93

Zelenskyy # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 2 · proyeccion 80.5 ± 22.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.011	3%	+209%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$70
40-59	$0.072	14%	+97%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$182
60-79	$0.285	30%	+7%	0.7%	escalable	$279

Zelenskyy # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 50 · proyeccion 85.4 ± 15.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.130	31%	+135%	5.0%	moderado	$1,350
40-59	$0.023	4%	+92%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$882

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 1,090 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.2%Sobre-dispersion: 2.57x28 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 51.6 ± 11.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.005	24%	+4668%	5.9%	cautela (no operable)	$354
40-59	$0.075	61%	+709%	14.4%	cautela (no operable)	$167

NYC Mayor # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 3 · proyeccion 36.7 ± 9.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.242	38%	+56%	4.4%	escalable	$139
<20	$0.025	3%	+28%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$253

NYC Mayor # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 23 · proyeccion 36.3 ± 5.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.112	29%	+162%	5.1%	moderado	$1,026

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 657 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 19.0%Sobre-dispersion: 4.34x28 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 33.4 ± 12.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.005	2%	+172%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$10
40-59	$0.170	29%	+71%	3.6%	moderado	$0
20-39	$0.420	57%	+36%	6.5%	escalable	$0

CZ # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 2 · proyeccion 23.6 ± 9.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
<20	$0.240	33%	+38%	3.0%	escalable	$100
20-39	$0.540	61%	+14%	4.0%	escalable	$95

CZ # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 16 · proyeccion 26.3 ± 6.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
<20	$0.110	15%	+40%	1.2%	moderado	$1,841

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 156 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 15.0%Sobre-dispersion: 17.11x10 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 7.8 ± 11.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
5-9	$0.013	17%	+1162%	4.0%	cautela (no operable)	$105
10-14	$0.013	16%	+1088%	3.7%	cautela (no operable)	$92
15-19	$0.011	13%	+993%	2.9%	cautela (no operable)	$19
20-24	$0.015	8%	+446%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$126
25-29	$0.013	4%	+230%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$105
30-34	$0.011	2%	+75%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$30

Khamenei # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 5.3 ± 9.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
5-9	$0.009	20%	+2042%	4.9%	cautela (no operable)	$114
10-14	$0.009	16%	+1613%	3.9%	cautela (no operable)	$369
15-19	$0.011	10%	+805%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$400
25-29	$0.015	2%	+15%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$318

Khamenei # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 1 · proyeccion 3.4 ± 6.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.004	13%	+2813%	3.2%	cautela (no operable)	$596
15-19	$0.004	4%	+730%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$567
5-9	$0.035	26%	+634%	5.8%	cautela (no operable)	$613