CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Elon Musk	1000+	$0.295	87%	+194%	20.3%	escalable	$22,533
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.105	25%	+134%	3.9%	moderado	$15
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	80-99	$0.145	25%	+73%	3.1%	moderado	$3,165
Ted Cruz	160-179	$0.100	17%	+68%	1.9%	moderado	$15
Donald Trump	140-159	$0.120	17%	+44%	1.5%	moderado	$4,844
Donald Trump	200+	$0.245	34%	+40%	3.2%	escalable	$1,678
Ted Cruz	120-139	$0.220	30%	+34%	2.4%	escalable	$298
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.510	63%	+24%	6.2%	escalable	$90
The White House	180-199	$0.135	17%	+22%	0.9%	moderado	$177
Donald Trump	200+	$0.100	11%	+13%	0.4%	moderado	$11,339
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	120-139	$0.128	14%	+12%	0.4%	moderado	$478
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.690	73%	+6%	3.5%	escalable	$1,153

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 12,899 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.0%Sobre-dispersion: 24.75x48 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026? 13% del periodo

lleva 141 · proyeccion 1177.2 ± 160.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.295	87%	+194%	20.3%	escalable	$22,533

Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 324.4 ± 89.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
400-419	$0.002	6%	+3680%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$2,588
380-399	$0.002	7%	+3316%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$8,527
340-359	$0.007	9%	+1121%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,918
360-379	$0.006	8%	+1105%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$2,491
320-339	$0.009	9%	+834%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,033
300-319	$0.014	9%	+526%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$2,367
280-299	$0.021	8%	+283%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$2,713
260-279	$0.053	7%	+39%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$1,220
80-99	$0.003	0%	+16%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$6,730

Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 80 · proyeccion 259.2 ± 66.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
340-359	$0.003	5%	+1819%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$16,324
360-379	$0.002	3%	+1432%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$30,860
320-339	$0.004	7%	+1427%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$15,666
120-139	$0.002	2%	+1110%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$37,717
380-399	$0.002	2%	+1093%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$28,506
300-319	$0.010	9%	+800%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$27,585
140-159	$0.006	3%	+377%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$33,015
280-299	$0.025	11%	+340%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$22,102
400-419	$0.003	1%	+218%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$22,143
260-279	$0.070	12%	+70%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$16,979
160-179	$0.037	5%	+29%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$22,562

Elon Musk # tweets October 5 - October 7, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 97.3 ± 49.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-164	$0.002	11%	+7196%	2.7%	cautela (no operable)	$1,677
165-189	$0.002	6%	+3586%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$4,923
115-139	$0.013	17%	+1244%	3.9%	cautela (no operable)	$427
90-114	$0.050	20%	+300%	4.0%	cautela (no operable)	$650
<40	$0.055	10%	+75%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$5,755

Elon Musk # tweets September 29 - October 6, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 191 · proyeccion 248.0 ± 37.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
180-199	$0.002	6%	+4186%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$181,544
300-319	$0.004	6%	+1157%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$59,921
280-299	$0.018	12%	+560%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$68,343
200-219	$0.059	13%	+112%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$107,039
260-279	$0.099	18%	+82%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$92,785

Elon Musk # tweets October 3 - October 5, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 53 · proyeccion 73.5 ± 22.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
115-139	$0.002	3%	+2069%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$67,831
90-114	$0.022	20%	+807%	4.7%	cautela (no operable)	$74,936

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 6,081 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 6.8%Sobre-dispersion: 11.91x32 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 192.4 ± 47.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.005	11%	+1924%	2.7%	cautela (no operable)	$23
160-179	$0.038	15%	+289%	2.9%	cautela (no operable)	$19
60-79	$0.003	1%	+157%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$36
120-139	$0.036	7%	+93%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$10
80-99	$0.011	2%	+47%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$23
100-119	$0.026	4%	+45%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$20
180-199	$0.135	17%	+22%	0.9%	moderado	$177

White House # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 80 · proyeccion 197.1 ± 37.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.002	1%	+618%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$231
180-199	$0.082	21%	+152%	3.4%	cautela (no operable)	$1,398
80-99	$0.002	0%	+83%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$265

White House # posts September 29 - October 6, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 244 · proyeccion 277.4 ± 19.9

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 5,427 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.5%Sobre-dispersion: 13.65x37 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 179.4 ± 49.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.005	1%	+156%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$96
200+	$0.245	34%	+40%	3.2%	escalable	$1,678
80-99	$0.025	3%	+26%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$0

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 80 · proyeccion 174.7 ± 36.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.016	10%	+534%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,436
100-119	$0.009	4%	+390%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,262
140-159	$0.120	17%	+44%	1.5%	moderado	$4,844
80-99	$0.010	1%	+42%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,315

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 29 - October 6, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 139 · proyeccion 173.3 ± 21.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.003	5%	+2009%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$8,173
200+	$0.100	11%	+13%	0.4%	moderado	$11,339

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 3,554 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.0%Sobre-dispersion: 6.7x30 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 141.0 ± 30.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.105	25%	+134%	3.9%	moderado	$15
160-179	$0.100	17%	+68%	1.9%	moderado	$15

Ted Cruz # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 34 · proyeccion 118.6 ± 23.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.220	30%	+34%	2.4%	escalable	$298
140-159	$0.140	15%	+5%	0.2%	moderado	$27

Ted Cruz # posts September 29 - October 6, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 86 · proyeccion 109.9 ± 12.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.055	20%	+259%	3.8%	cautela (no operable)	$604

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 2,415 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.6%Sobre-dispersion: 6.6x28 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 106.6 ± 26.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.065	21%	+220%	3.8%	cautela (no operable)	$86
140-159	$0.038	8%	+119%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$60

Zelenskyy # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 33 · proyeccion 96.2 ± 20.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.005	3%	+505%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$354
120-139	$0.032	11%	+245%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$333
60-79	$0.090	17%	+89%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,119

Zelenskyy # posts September 29 - October 6, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 86 · proyeccion 107.1 ± 11.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.145	25%	+73%	3.1%	moderado	$3,165
120-139	$0.128	14%	+12%	0.4%	moderado	$478

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 1,077 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.2%Sobre-dispersion: 2.57x28 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 45.1 ± 10.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.004	9%	+1896%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$97
40-59	$0.055	61%	+1005%	14.6%	cautela (no operable)	$88

NYC Mayor # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 11 · proyeccion 35.7 ± 8.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.060	32%	+421%	6.8%	cautela (no operable)	$518

NYC Mayor # posts September 29 - October 6, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 26 · proyeccion 32.8 ± 4.2

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 651 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 19.0%Sobre-dispersion: 4.35x28 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 27.9 ± 11.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.075	14%	+93%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$5
20-39	$0.510	63%	+24%	6.2%	escalable	$90

CZ # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 10 · proyeccion 26.6 ± 8.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.016	6%	+305%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$40
20-39	$0.690	73%	+6%	3.5%	escalable	$1,153

CZ # posts September 29 - October 6, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 20 · proyeccion 24.9 ± 4.6

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 155 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 15.0%Sobre-dispersion: 16.44x10 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 6.6 ± 10.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.012	12%	+874%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$76
20-24	$0.009	7%	+629%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$10
10-14	$0.026	17%	+527%	3.6%	cautela (no operable)	$48
5-9	$0.049	19%	+289%	3.7%	cautela (no operable)	$33
30-34	$0.005	1%	+92%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$49
25-29	$0.016	3%	+84%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$43

Khamenei # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 3.7 ± 7.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.004	15%	+4047%	3.5%	cautela (no operable)	$355
15-19	$0.005	6%	+1124%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$327
5-9	$0.025	23%	+805%	5.3%	cautela (no operable)	$373
20-24	$0.009	2%	+82%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$511

Khamenei # posts September 29 - October 6, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 1.1 ± 4.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
5-9	$0.005	18%	+3261%	4.5%	cautela (no operable)	$968
10-14	$0.002	2%	+985%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$1,243