CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Elon Musk	1000+	$0.155	79%	+410%	18.8%	moderado	$30,439
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.160	60%	+275%	13.1%	moderado	$106
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	60-79	$0.120	30%	+146%	5.0%	moderado	$1,286
Ted Cruz	160-179	$0.100	23%	+134%	3.7%	moderado	$0
CZ (Binance)	40-59	$0.170	31%	+82%	4.2%	moderado	$0
Donald Trump	200+	$0.270	46%	+69%	6.4%	escalable	$865
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	60-79	$0.185	30%	+62%	3.5%	moderado	$279
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.130	20%	+55%	2.0%	moderado	$0
Ted Cruz	100-119	$0.290	41%	+41%	4.2%	escalable	$721
Donald Trump	120-139	$0.135	18%	+36%	1.4%	moderado	$2,091
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.293	40%	+36%	3.8%	escalable	$139
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	120-139	$0.195	26%	+36%	2.2%	moderado	$93

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 12,924 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.0%Sobre-dispersion: 24.8x48 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026? 19% del periodo

lleva 163 · proyeccion 1123.9 ± 154.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.155	79%	+410%	18.8%	moderado	$30,439

Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 373.1 ± 96.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
500+	$0.002	9%	+6197%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$12,722
420-439	$0.004	7%	+1893%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$5,701
380-399	$0.004	8%	+1714%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$10
360-379	$0.005	8%	+1555%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$135
400-419	$0.005	8%	+1442%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$400
340-359	$0.006	8%	+1239%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$310
320-339	$0.009	7%	+779%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$832
300-319	$0.017	7%	+292%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$552
280-299	$0.021	6%	+171%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$84

Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 1 · proyeccion 251.8 ± 78.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
380-399	$0.002	2%	+1378%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$12,715
340-359	$0.004	5%	+1244%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$7,412
360-379	$0.003	3%	+1234%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$7,413
320-339	$0.005	6%	+1146%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$10,488
300-319	$0.009	8%	+810%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$10,285
280-299	$0.015	9%	+500%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$16,491
400-419	$0.004	1%	+295%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$17,502
60-79	$0.002	1%	+254%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$22,915
260-279	$0.038	10%	+159%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$7,064
80-99	$0.005	1%	+123%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$17,296
100-119	$0.015	2%	+38%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$25,262
240-259	$0.075	10%	+34%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$7,380

Elon Musk # tweets October 8 - October 10, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 145.9 ± 60.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
165-189	$0.004	14%	+3107%	3.5%	cautela (no operable)	$1,959
140-164	$0.005	16%	+2878%	4.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,845
115-139	$0.028	16%	+470%	3.3%	cautela (no operable)	$175
90-114	$0.040	13%	+220%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$490

Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 102 · proyeccion 208.5 ± 51.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
280-299	$0.003	5%	+1411%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$44,300
260-279	$0.007	8%	+927%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$37,476
300-319	$0.003	2%	+819%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$44,810
240-259	$0.019	11%	+478%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$53,130
120-139	$0.015	5%	+220%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$109,261
220-239	$0.045	14%	+216%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$49,457

Elon Musk # tweets October 5 - October 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 6 · proyeccion 30.6 ± 24.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
65-89	$0.012	8%	+536%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$47,648
90-114	$0.002	1%	+445%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$43,282
40-64	$0.205	27%	+34%	2.2%	escalable	$40,801

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 6,116 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 6.8%Sobre-dispersion: 11.98x32 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 225.6 ± 52.0

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

White House # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 9 · proyeccion 150.9 ± 41.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.005	17%	+3258%	4.1%	cautela (no operable)	$188
100-119	$0.005	12%	+2237%	2.8%	cautela (no operable)	$198
140-159	$0.010	19%	+1815%	4.6%	cautela (no operable)	$293
80-99	$0.005	6%	+1191%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$265
60-79	$0.003	3%	+844%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$298
160-179	$0.020	17%	+767%	3.9%	cautela (no operable)	$207
40-59	$0.005	1%	+97%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$278

White House # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 118 · proyeccion 184.7 ± 28.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.010	24%	+2306%	5.8%	cautela (no operable)	$423
180-199	$0.087	27%	+212%	5.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,873

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 5,449 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.5%Sobre-dispersion: 13.68x37 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 193.8 ± 51.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
200+	$0.270	46%	+69%	6.4%	escalable	$865

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 133.4 ± 42.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.011	3%	+165%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$30
120-139	$0.135	18%	+36%	1.4%	moderado	$2,091
60-79	$0.045	6%	+36%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$304
100-119	$0.135	16%	+18%	0.7%	moderado	$1,590

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 102 · proyeccion 151.2 ± 25.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.011	9%	+736%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,567

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 3,574 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.0%Sobre-dispersion: 6.72x30 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 168.2 ± 33.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
180-199	$0.075	19%	+157%	3.2%	cautela (no operable)	$0
160-179	$0.100	23%	+134%	3.7%	moderado	$0
200+	$0.095	18%	+86%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$10
140-159	$0.130	20%	+55%	2.0%	moderado	$0

Ted Cruz # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 5 · proyeccion 112.6 ± 26.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.015	9%	+468%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$133
180-199	$0.005	1%	+16%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$110

Ted Cruz # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 58 · proyeccion 109.5 ± 18.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.290	41%	+41%	4.2%	escalable	$721
60-79	$0.045	5%	+10%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$48

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 2,431 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.6%Sobre-dispersion: 6.63x28 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 121.2 ± 28.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.005	7%	+1142%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$27
140-159	$0.046	17%	+267%	3.3%	cautela (no operable)	$101
180-199	$0.005	2%	+208%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$27
40-59	$0.005	1%	+133%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$57
60-79	$0.028	6%	+100%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$37
120-139	$0.195	26%	+36%	2.2%	moderado	$93

Zelenskyy # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 2 · proyeccion 81.1 ± 22.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.004	14%	+3857%	3.4%	cautela (no operable)	$141
20-39	$0.010	3%	+212%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$70
60-79	$0.185	30%	+62%	3.5%	moderado	$279

Zelenskyy # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 50 · proyeccion 85.9 ± 15.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.004	4%	+836%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$510
60-79	$0.120	30%	+146%	5.0%	moderado	$1,286

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 1,087 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.2%Sobre-dispersion: 2.57x28 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 52.2 ± 11.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.005	26%	+5002%	6.3%	cautela (no operable)	$324
40-59	$0.160	60%	+275%	13.1%	moderado	$106

NYC Mayor # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 3 · proyeccion 37.3 ± 9.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.293	40%	+36%	3.8%	escalable	$139

NYC Mayor # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 23 · proyeccion 36.8 ± 6.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.073	33%	+349%	6.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,026

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 657 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 19.0%Sobre-dispersion: 4.34x28 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 34.1 ± 12.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.005	2%	+230%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$10
40-59	$0.170	31%	+82%	4.2%	moderado	$0
20-39	$0.420	56%	+33%	5.9%	escalable	$0

CZ # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 2 · proyeccion 24.2 ± 9.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
<20	$0.240	31%	+29%	2.2%	escalable	$100
20-39	$0.535	63%	+17%	4.8%	escalable	$95

CZ # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 16 · proyeccion 27.0 ± 6.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
<20	$0.110	14%	+27%	0.8%	moderado	$1,841
40-59	$0.032	3%	+10%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$80

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 156 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 15.0%Sobre-dispersion: 17.11x10 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 7.8 ± 11.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
5-9	$0.013	17%	+1162%	4.0%	cautela (no operable)	$105
10-14	$0.013	16%	+1088%	3.7%	cautela (no operable)	$92
15-19	$0.013	13%	+831%	2.8%	cautela (no operable)	$19
20-24	$0.015	8%	+429%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$126
25-29	$0.013	4%	+230%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$105
30-34	$0.013	2%	+49%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$30

Khamenei # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 5.3 ± 9.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-24	$0.002	5%	+3004%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$317
5-9	$0.009	20%	+2294%	4.9%	cautela (no operable)	$114
10-14	$0.010	16%	+1527%	3.9%	cautela (no operable)	$367
15-19	$0.010	10%	+895%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$400
25-29	$0.007	2%	+122%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$318

Khamenei # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 1 · proyeccion 3.4 ± 6.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.005	13%	+2522%	3.2%	cautela (no operable)	$596
5-9	$0.033	26%	+702%	5.9%	cautela (no operable)	$613
15-19	$0.005	4%	+647%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$567