CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Elon Musk	1000+	$0.195	80%	+310%	18.8%	moderado	$3,210
Elon Musk	200-219	$0.115	33%	+189%	6.1%	moderado	$236,447
Ted Cruz	100-119	$0.170	30%	+76%	3.9%	moderado	$72
Donald Trump	160-179	$0.140	22%	+59%	2.4%	moderado	$1,872
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.265	42%	+58%	5.2%	escalable	$312
Donald Trump	180-199	$0.135	21%	+53%	2.0%	moderado	$2,273
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.335	47%	+40%	5.1%	escalable	$6,092
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.425	57%	+33%	6.1%	escalable	$260
Elon Musk	65-89	$0.195	26%	+32%	1.9%	moderado	$13,895
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.425	53%	+24%	4.5%	escalable	$2,050
Ted Cruz	120-139	$0.215	27%	+24%	1.6%	escalable	$192
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	80-99	$0.370	46%	+23%	3.4%	escalable	$311

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,164 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.4%Sobre-dispersion: 25.57x39 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 23% del periodo

lleva 149 · proyeccion 1132.3 ± 158.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.195	80%	+310%	18.8%	moderado	$3,210

Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 292.1 ± 86.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
400-419	$0.002	4%	+2353%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$4,902
380-399	$0.003	5%	+1859%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$3,565
420-439	$0.002	3%	+1647%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$2,252
440-459	$0.002	2%	+1080%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$6,976
360-379	$0.005	6%	+1024%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$1,986
320-339	$0.011	8%	+699%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$2,587
340-359	$0.011	7%	+605%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$3,432
500+	$0.002	1%	+448%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$19,634
300-319	$0.019	9%	+363%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$2,800
280-299	$0.034	9%	+171%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$4,710
80-99	$0.003	1%	+139%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$19,806

Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 81 · proyeccion 246.2 ± 65.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
320-339	$0.004	5%	+1447%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$27,658
340-359	$0.003	3%	+1298%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$26,738
300-319	$0.005	8%	+1289%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$34,904
360-379	$0.002	2%	+1268%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$23,416
280-299	$0.013	10%	+685%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$25,234
380-399	$0.002	1%	+632%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$25,519
260-279	$0.021	11%	+434%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$18,920
120-139	$0.009	2%	+190%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$51,789
240-259	$0.075	12%	+63%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$20,610
140-159	$0.034	4%	+22%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$31,072

Elon Musk # tweets August 8 - August 10, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 127.0 ± 57.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
165-189	$0.002	12%	+7828%	2.9%	cautela (no operable)	$583
140-164	$0.003	16%	+6218%	3.9%	cautela (no operable)	$583
115-139	$0.009	17%	+1728%	4.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,115
90-114	$0.055	16%	+187%	2.7%	cautela (no operable)	$1,478

Elon Musk # tweets August 6 - August 8, 2026? 50% del periodo

lleva 15 · proyeccion 68.7 ± 37.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
115-139	$0.002	8%	+3915%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$30,320
140-164	$0.002	2%	+1447%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$15,675
90-114	$0.021	18%	+774%	4.0%	cautela (no operable)	$20,914
65-89	$0.195	26%	+32%	1.9%	moderado	$13,895

Elon Musk # tweets July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 184 · proyeccion 196.2 ± 17.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
220-239	$0.006	9%	+1337%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$219,068
240-259	$0.002	1%	+360%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$235,623
200-219	$0.115	33%	+189%	6.1%	moderado	$236,447

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,296 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.6%Sobre-dispersion: 12.37x23 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 150.7 ± 43.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.011	7%	+551%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$34
120-139	$0.027	16%	+503%	3.5%	cautela (no operable)	$10
100-119	$0.020	12%	+486%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$10
60-79	$0.006	3%	+438%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$22
140-159	$0.035	18%	+431%	3.9%	cautela (no operable)	$0
40-59	$0.006	1%	+90%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$871

White House # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 76 · proyeccion 151.1 ± 30.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.005	20%	+3938%	5.0%	cautela (no operable)	$358
100-119	$0.006	10%	+1511%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$438
140-159	$0.017	26%	+1411%	6.1%	cautela (no operable)	$867
80-99	$0.003	4%	+1095%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$384
60-79	$0.002	1%	+304%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$358

White House # posts July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 176 · proyeccion 183.1 ± 9.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.054	34%	+530%	7.6%	cautela (no operable)	$6,845

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,032 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.2%Sobre-dispersion: 14.45x29 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 143.6 ± 45.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.005	5%	+760%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$271
40-59	$0.005	2%	+288%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$189
80-99	$0.043	9%	+102%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$517
20-39	$0.004	1%	+76%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$265
160-179	$0.125	15%	+18%	0.7%	moderado	$1,086

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 90 · proyeccion 174.5 ± 34.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.002	1%	+743%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$4,613
120-139	$0.040	10%	+154%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$1,395
100-119	$0.025	4%	+64%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$2,603
160-179	$0.140	22%	+59%	2.4%	moderado	$1,872
180-199	$0.135	21%	+53%	2.0%	moderado	$2,273

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 211 · proyeccion 215.6 ± 8.2

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,446 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.8%Sobre-dispersion: 5.55x22 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 115.6 ± 25.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.170	30%	+76%	3.9%	moderado	$72
120-139	$0.215	27%	+24%	1.6%	escalable	$192
60-79	$0.054	6%	+17%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$52

Ted Cruz # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 89 · proyeccion 148.5 ± 18.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.070	26%	+265%	5.0%	cautela (no operable)	$410
140-159	$0.265	42%	+58%	5.2%	escalable	$312

Ted Cruz # posts July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 136 · proyeccion 140.8 ± 5.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.560	60%	+7%	2.1%	escalable	$2,016

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,630 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.9%Sobre-dispersion: 3.05x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 89.5 ± 16.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.095	24%	+150%	3.9%	cautela (no operable)	$129
80-99	$0.370	46%	+23%	3.4%	escalable	$311

Zelenskyy # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 28 · proyeccion 76.4 ± 12.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.335	37%	+11%	1.4%	escalable	$1,616

Zelenskyy # posts July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 67 · proyeccion 74.3 ± 4.7

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 793 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.8%Sobre-dispersion: 2.9x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 41.7 ± 11.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
<20	$0.006	2%	+259%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$590
40-59	$0.425	53%	+24%	4.5%	escalable	$2,050

NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 13 · proyeccion 36.2 ± 8.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.300	34%	+14%	1.5%	escalable	$2,600

NYC Mayor # posts July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 31 · proyeccion 32.6 ± 2.1

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 448 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 22.1%Sobre-dispersion: 5.41x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 23.9 ± 11.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.044	8%	+93%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$10
20-39	$0.425	57%	+33%	6.1%	escalable	$260

CZ # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 6 · proyeccion 18.3 ± 8.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.004	0%	+32%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$487
20-39	$0.370	44%	+18%	2.6%	escalable	$2,434

CZ # posts July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 18 · proyeccion 19.3 ± 2.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.335	47%	+40%	5.1%	escalable	$6,092

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 149 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 16.9%Sobre-dispersion: 13.08x9 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 8.0 ± 10.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.041	13%	+227%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$21
20-24	$0.026	8%	+193%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$20
10-14	$0.085	18%	+111%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$138

Khamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 4.6 ± 7.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.009	7%	+670%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$1,214
10-14	$0.037	16%	+334%	3.2%	cautela (no operable)	$2,056
20-24	$0.009	2%	+144%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$1,126
25-29	$0.004	0%	+10%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,117

Khamenei # posts July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 7 · proyeccion 7.5 ± 2.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.035	23%	+544%	5.0%	cautela (no operable)	$3,620