CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Elon Musk	1000+	$0.180	78%	+331%	18.2%	moderado	$3,556
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	100-119	$0.135	40%	+195%	7.6%	moderado	$12
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.190	45%	+136%	8.0%	moderado	$2,088
Donald Trump	200+	$0.220	51%	+133%	9.4%	escalable	$906
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.215	49%	+129%	8.8%	escalable	$777
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	100-119	$0.110	19%	+75%	2.3%	moderado	$286
Ali Khamenei	5-9	$0.145	24%	+68%	2.9%	moderado	$4,051
Donald Trump	160-179	$0.155	25%	+59%	2.7%	moderado	$2,228
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.360	56%	+54%	7.7%	escalable	$22
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.310	46%	+48%	5.4%	escalable	$2,872
The White House	160-179	$0.100	15%	+47%	1.3%	moderado	$176
Ali Khamenei	10-14	$0.130	17%	+33%	1.2%	moderado	$0

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,185 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.5%Sobre-dispersion: 25.56x40 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 26% del periodo

lleva 189 · proyeccion 1116.2 ± 153.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.180	78%	+331%	18.2%	moderado	$3,556

Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 390.2 ± 99.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
500+	$0.002	14%	+9024%	3.4%	cautela (no operable)	$12,024
400-419	$0.002	8%	+5119%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$780
420-439	$0.002	7%	+4822%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$230
360-379	$0.005	8%	+1320%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$482
340-359	$0.009	7%	+673%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$563
320-339	$0.011	7%	+477%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$1,046
380-399	$0.017	8%	+383%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$255
300-319	$0.013	6%	+327%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$451
280-299	$0.024	5%	+100%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$2,456

Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 37 · proyeccion 274.3 ± 77.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
360-379	$0.002	5%	+3140%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$26,447
380-399	$0.002	3%	+2194%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$33,459
340-359	$0.003	6%	+2042%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$28,164
320-339	$0.007	8%	+961%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$23,914
100-119	$0.002	1%	+635%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$46,562
300-319	$0.015	9%	+496%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$16,041
80-99	$0.002	1%	+314%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$44,777
280-299	$0.034	10%	+199%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$15,570
260-279	$0.069	10%	+49%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$7,269
120-139	$0.013	2%	+46%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$25,420

Elon Musk # tweets August 10 - August 12, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 152.6 ± 62.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
240+	$0.002	8%	+5368%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$177
140-164	$0.011	16%	+1342%	3.7%	cautela (no operable)	$552
115-139	$0.065	15%	+125%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$50
90-114	$0.060	11%	+91%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$40
190-214	$0.061	12%	+91%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$87
165-189	$0.094	15%	+56%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$562

Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 121 · proyeccion 231.7 ± 53.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
320-339	$0.002	3%	+1774%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$49,650
120-139	$0.002	2%	+1502%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$110,840
300-319	$0.004	5%	+1053%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$66,712
280-299	$0.013	8%	+566%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$53,387
260-279	$0.037	12%	+210%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$61,706
140-159	$0.017	5%	+177%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$78,061
240-259	$0.097	14%	+46%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$51,283

Elon Musk # tweets August 8 - August 10, 2026? 50% del periodo

lleva 5 · proyeccion 77.5 ± 43.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-164	$0.002	5%	+2569%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$8,793
115-139	$0.013	12%	+862%	2.7%	cautela (no operable)	$12,900
90-114	$0.064	20%	+205%	3.5%	cautela (no operable)	$15,512

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,326 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.3%Sobre-dispersion: 11.94x24 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 192.7 ± 48.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.011	4%	+241%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$60
80-99	$0.005	2%	+207%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$97
120-139	$0.025	7%	+187%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$70
140-159	$0.045	11%	+143%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$216
160-179	$0.100	15%	+47%	1.3%	moderado	$176
60-79	$0.005	1%	+16%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$117

White House # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 28 · proyeccion 152.5 ± 38.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.004	17%	+4813%	4.2%	cautela (no operable)	$361
100-119	$0.004	11%	+3083%	2.7%	cautela (no operable)	$426
140-159	$0.018	20%	+1003%	4.7%	cautela (no operable)	$581

White House # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 113 · proyeccion 161.9 ± 24.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.004	14%	+2951%	3.3%	cautela (no operable)	$1,627
140-159	$0.015	28%	+1855%	6.8%	cautela (no operable)	$3,896

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,060 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.2%Sobre-dispersion: 14.45x29 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 201.1 ± 53.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
200+	$0.220	51%	+133%	9.4%	escalable	$906
180-199	$0.115	14%	+25%	0.8%	moderado	$261
160-179	$0.110	12%	+13%	0.4%	moderado	$289

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 24 · proyeccion 145.0 ± 41.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.003	1%	+486%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$453
60-79	$0.007	4%	+446%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$451
80-99	$0.025	8%	+213%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$578
100-119	$0.051	13%	+160%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,050
140-159	$0.145	19%	+30%	1.3%	moderado	$805
20-39	$0.004	0%	+28%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$3,138
120-139	$0.145	18%	+22%	0.9%	moderado	$1,013

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 118 · proyeccion 180.1 ± 30.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.018	7%	+278%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,900
140-159	$0.060	16%	+164%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$2,528
160-179	$0.155	25%	+59%	2.7%	moderado	$2,228

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,472 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.8%Sobre-dispersion: 5.55x22 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 151.0 ± 29.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.055	22%	+304%	4.4%	cautela (no operable)	$0
140-159	$0.090	27%	+200%	4.9%	cautela (no operable)	$0
180-199	$0.045	12%	+157%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$0
200+	$0.025	5%	+84%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$40
120-139	$0.185	21%	+12%	0.7%	moderado	$0

Ted Cruz # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 23 · proyeccion 119.0 ± 23.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.018	4%	+114%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$97
80-99	$0.075	16%	+107%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$376
100-119	$0.240	31%	+29%	2.3%	escalable	$215

Ted Cruz # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 117 · proyeccion 156.9 ± 14.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.011	12%	+945%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$841
140-159	$0.190	45%	+136%	8.0%	moderado	$2,088

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,643 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.1%Sobre-dispersion: 3.06x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 113.7 ± 18.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.045	29%	+555%	6.5%	cautela (no operable)	$20
100-119	$0.135	40%	+195%	7.6%	moderado	$12
140-159	$0.034	8%	+125%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$12

Zelenskyy # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 15 · proyeccion 87.4 ± 14.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.110	19%	+75%	2.3%	moderado	$286
40-59	$0.023	3%	+29%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,104

Zelenskyy # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 45 · proyeccion 76.9 ± 9.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.029	4%	+35%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$451
80-99	$0.345	38%	+11%	1.5%	escalable	$1,901

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 798 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.5%Sobre-dispersion: 2.94x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 54.5 ± 12.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.072	32%	+348%	6.8%	cautela (no operable)	$713
40-59	$0.435	54%	+23%	4.5%	escalable	$1,275

NYC Mayor # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 6 · proyeccion 38.9 ± 9.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.310	46%	+48%	5.4%	escalable	$2,872
<20	$0.021	2%	+15%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,140

NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 21 · proyeccion 35.5 ± 6.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.255	27%	+7%	0.6%	escalable	$3,082

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 448 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 22.1%Sobre-dispersion: 5.41x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 31.1 ± 13.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.042	24%	+488%	5.3%	cautela (no operable)	$0
20-39	$0.360	56%	+54%	7.7%	escalable	$22

CZ # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 20.1 ± 10.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.002	3%	+1994%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$172
20-39	$0.215	49%	+129%	8.8%	escalable	$777

CZ # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 6 · proyeccion 14.4 ± 6.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.085	23%	+168%	3.9%	cautela (no operable)	$2,733

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 149 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 16.9%Sobre-dispersion: 13.08x9 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 9.5 ± 11.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-24	$0.038	10%	+153%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$10
15-19	$0.060	14%	+137%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$0
25-29	$0.034	5%	+57%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$70
10-14	$0.130	17%	+33%	1.2%	moderado	$0

Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 5.5 ± 8.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.032	10%	+198%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$83
20-24	$0.013	4%	+197%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$82
10-14	$0.059	17%	+193%	3.0%	cautela (no operable)	$199

Khamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 2.1 ± 5.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.030	7%	+124%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$2,139
5-9	$0.145	24%	+68%	2.9%	moderado	$4,051
15-19	$0.006	1%	+20%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,341