CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Elon Musk	1000+	$0.150	75%	+398%	17.5%	moderado	$4,207
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	100-119	$0.150	42%	+177%	7.8%	moderado	$74
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.180	45%	+149%	8.2%	moderado	$777
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.220	45%	+103%	7.3%	escalable	$2,625
Elon Musk	65-89	$0.145	27%	+85%	3.6%	moderado	$42,222
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.330	57%	+73%	9.0%	escalable	$738
Ali Khamenei	10-14	$0.105	17%	+66%	1.9%	moderado	$0
Donald Trump	200+	$0.250	41%	+64%	5.3%	escalable	$1,030
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.165	27%	+61%	3.0%	moderado	$173
Donald Trump	160-179	$0.145	23%	+56%	2.4%	moderado	$2,339
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.430	59%	+36%	6.9%	escalable	$1,350
Donald Trump	120-139	$0.125	17%	+32%	1.2%	moderado	$1,468

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,217 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.5%Sobre-dispersion: 25.56x40 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 204 · proyeccion 1099.9 ± 151.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.150	75%	+398%	17.5%	moderado	$4,207
960-999	$0.043	8%	+76%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$2,903

Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 359.3 ± 95.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
500+	$0.002	7%	+4680%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$19,065
420-439	$0.002	6%	+4140%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$3,979
400-419	$0.004	7%	+1971%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$5,229
380-399	$0.004	8%	+1877%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,055
360-379	$0.007	8%	+1002%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$959
340-359	$0.009	8%	+770%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$965
320-339	$0.009	8%	+734%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$1,508
300-319	$0.017	7%	+327%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$1,153
280-299	$0.025	6%	+160%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$4,448

Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 52 · proyeccion 258.6 ± 72.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
340-359	$0.002	5%	+3254%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$37,249
320-339	$0.004	7%	+1605%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$32,312
380-399	$0.002	2%	+1356%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$33,951
300-319	$0.006	9%	+1220%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$23,931
280-299	$0.013	10%	+670%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$22,329
100-119	$0.004	1%	+286%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$56,419
260-279	$0.031	11%	+249%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$12,126
120-139	$0.013	2%	+69%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$37,212
240-259	$0.075	11%	+45%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$8,014

Elon Musk # tweets August 10 - August 12, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 121.9 ± 55.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
165-189	$0.002	11%	+7217%	2.7%	cautela (no operable)	$671
140-164	$0.003	15%	+6044%	3.8%	cautela (no operable)	$622
115-139	$0.011	18%	+1581%	4.2%	cautela (no operable)	$120
90-114	$0.045	17%	+270%	3.2%	cautela (no operable)	$281

Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 136 · proyeccion 216.1 ± 45.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
280-299	$0.003	5%	+1813%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$89,057
260-279	$0.006	9%	+1255%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$76,693
140-159	$0.009	6%	+610%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$112,724
240-259	$0.025	13%	+446%	2.8%	cautela (no operable)	$83,712
220-239	$0.075	17%	+123%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$75,539

Elon Musk # tweets August 8 - August 10, 2026? 50% del periodo

lleva 20 · proyeccion 61.9 ± 32.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
115-139	$0.002	4%	+2896%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$29,153
90-114	$0.013	15%	+1062%	3.4%	cautela (no operable)	$52,212
65-89	$0.145	27%	+85%	3.6%	moderado	$42,222
<40	$0.175	22%	+25%	1.3%	moderado	$46,580

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,338 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.3%Sobre-dispersion: 11.94x24 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 184.0 ± 46.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.005	9%	+1480%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$120
100-119	$0.005	5%	+786%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$110
80-99	$0.005	2%	+316%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$129
140-159	$0.034	13%	+281%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$248
60-79	$0.005	1%	+63%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$159

White House # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 33 · proyeccion 148.7 ± 37.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.004	19%	+5218%	4.6%	cautela (no operable)	$374
100-119	$0.004	12%	+3419%	3.0%	cautela (no operable)	$439
140-159	$0.025	21%	+732%	4.8%	cautela (no operable)	$826

White House # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 118 · proyeccion 158.1 ± 21.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.004	16%	+4432%	3.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,766
140-159	$0.066	33%	+396%	7.0%	cautela (no operable)	$4,842

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,083 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.2%Sobre-dispersion: 14.42x29 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 187.7 ± 52.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
200+	$0.250	41%	+64%	5.3%	escalable	$1,030
160-179	$0.125	14%	+15%	0.5%	moderado	$474
180-199	$0.140	15%	+9%	0.4%	moderado	$555

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 47 · proyeccion 154.2 ± 39.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.002	2%	+937%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$681
80-99	$0.007	5%	+612%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$671
40-59	$0.002	1%	+316%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,323
100-119	$0.037	11%	+188%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$1,253
120-139	$0.125	17%	+32%	1.2%	moderado	$1,468
140-159	$0.160	20%	+25%	1.2%	moderado	$936
160-179	$0.160	19%	+16%	0.8%	moderado	$1,292

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 141 · proyeccion 189.3 ± 26.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.025	10%	+299%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$2,941
160-179	$0.145	23%	+56%	2.4%	moderado	$2,339

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,486 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.8%Sobre-dispersion: 5.55x22 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 140.5 ± 27.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.050	17%	+234%	3.1%	cautela (no operable)	$0
140-159	$0.165	27%	+61%	3.0%	moderado	$173
180-199	$0.045	6%	+42%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$0
120-139	$0.215	26%	+21%	1.4%	escalable	$0

Ted Cruz # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 36 · proyeccion 121.4 ± 21.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.066	13%	+99%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$412
60-79	$0.018	2%	+39%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$124

Ted Cruz # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 130 · proyeccion 159.3 ± 12.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.011	6%	+418%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$886
140-159	$0.220	45%	+103%	7.3%	escalable	$2,625

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,650 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.1%Sobre-dispersion: 3.06x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 106.9 ± 18.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.065	21%	+219%	3.8%	cautela (no operable)	$20
100-119	$0.150	42%	+177%	7.8%	moderado	$74

Zelenskyy # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 19 · proyeccion 84.4 ± 14.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.105	14%	+30%	0.9%	moderado	$452
80-99	$0.435	49%	+13%	2.5%	escalable	$615

Zelenskyy # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 49 · proyeccion 73.9 ± 8.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.210	26%	+22%	1.5%	escalable	$2,330

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 804 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.8%Sobre-dispersion: 2.92x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 50.7 ± 12.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.074	22%	+202%	4.1%	cautela (no operable)	$753
40-59	$0.430	59%	+36%	6.9%	escalable	$1,350

NYC Mayor # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 9 · proyeccion 38.0 ± 9.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
<20	$0.009	2%	+146%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$1,369
40-59	$0.335	43%	+27%	3.4%	escalable	$3,510

NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 24 · proyeccion 34.6 ± 5.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.715	81%	+13%	8.0%	escalable	$4,785

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 448 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 22.1%Sobre-dispersion: 5.41x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 29.6 ± 12.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.025	21%	+753%	4.7%	cautela (no operable)	$0
20-39	$0.330	57%	+73%	9.0%	escalable	$738

CZ # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 18.7 ± 10.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.006	2%	+193%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$358
20-39	$0.180	45%	+149%	8.2%	moderado	$777

CZ # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 6 · proyeccion 13.0 ± 6.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.045	15%	+224%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$2,976

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 149 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 16.9%Sobre-dispersion: 13.08x9 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 9.2 ± 11.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
30-34	$0.005	2%	+289%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$12
15-19	$0.045	14%	+212%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$0
20-24	$0.050	9%	+84%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$11
10-14	$0.105	17%	+66%	1.9%	moderado	$0

Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 5.1 ± 8.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.033	17%	+417%	3.6%	cautela (no operable)	$234
15-19	$0.019	9%	+346%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$118
20-24	$0.018	3%	+72%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$117

Khamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 1.7 ± 4.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
5-9	$0.070	23%	+223%	4.2%	cautela (no operable)	$4,136
10-14	$0.016	4%	+180%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$2,415