CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Elon Musk	1000+	$0.160	77%	+382%	18.2%	moderado	$3,469
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.180	47%	+162%	8.9%	moderado	$1,784
Ted Cruz	80-99	$0.120	19%	+57%	1.9%	moderado	$356
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.355	52%	+48%	6.5%	escalable	$754
The White House	160-179	$0.135	18%	+33%	1.3%	moderado	$653
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	100-119	$0.105	14%	+30%	0.9%	moderado	$174
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	80-99	$0.210	25%	+21%	1.4%	escalable	$1,733
Ted Cruz	100-119	$0.270	32%	+19%	1.8%	escalable	$195
Donald Trump	140-159	$0.145	17%	+14%	0.6%	moderado	$1,916
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.375	42%	+13%	1.9%	escalable	$2,808
Elon Musk	<40	$0.250	27%	+9%	0.7%	escalable	$65,550

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,176 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.4%Sobre-dispersion: 25.64x39 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 23% del periodo

lleva 165 · proyeccion 1115.6 ± 156.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.160	77%	+382%	18.2%	moderado	$3,469

Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 13 · proyeccion 273.2 ± 81.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
380-399	$0.002	4%	+2267%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$21,320
360-379	$0.003	5%	+1851%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$14,901
400-419	$0.002	2%	+1524%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$11,890
340-359	$0.004	6%	+1302%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$20,581
320-339	$0.006	8%	+1083%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$6,984
300-319	$0.017	9%	+435%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$9,943
80-99	$0.003	1%	+215%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$34,444
280-299	$0.036	10%	+162%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$11,899
260-279	$0.055	10%	+77%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$4,204
100-119	$0.007	1%	+76%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$32,283

Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 97 · proyeccion 230.6 ± 58.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
320-339	$0.002	3%	+2096%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$36,007
300-319	$0.004	6%	+1124%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$48,800
340-359	$0.002	2%	+1070%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$35,053
280-299	$0.009	8%	+764%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$38,561
260-279	$0.019	11%	+459%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$50,119
120-139	$0.006	3%	+377%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$69,061
240-259	$0.043	13%	+203%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$32,379
220-239	$0.095	14%	+43%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$36,183

Elon Musk # tweets August 8 - August 10, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 95.4 ± 49.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-164	$0.003	10%	+4100%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$1,305
165-189	$0.002	5%	+3403%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$1,774
115-139	$0.011	16%	+1456%	3.9%	cautela (no operable)	$4,286
90-114	$0.040	20%	+395%	4.1%	cautela (no operable)	$3,012

Elon Musk # tweets August 6 - August 8, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 31 · proyeccion 53.1 ± 23.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
90-114	$0.003	6%	+2213%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$53,802
65-89	$0.045	25%	+461%	5.4%	cautela (no operable)	$42,939
<40	$0.250	27%	+9%	0.7%	escalable	$65,550

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,312 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.3%Sobre-dispersion: 11.94x24 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 21 · proyeccion 150.9 ± 39.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.003	17%	+5682%	4.3%	cautela (no operable)	$346
100-119	$0.004	12%	+3234%	2.8%	cautela (no operable)	$426
140-159	$0.024	20%	+735%	4.5%	cautela (no operable)	$376
160-179	$0.135	18%	+33%	1.3%	moderado	$653

White House # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 106 · proyeccion 160.3 ± 25.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.004	15%	+3287%	3.7%	cautela (no operable)	$759
100-119	$0.002	5%	+2202%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$463
140-159	$0.018	28%	+1458%	6.7%	cautela (no operable)	$1,728

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,037 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.2%Sobre-dispersion: 14.45x29 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 16 · proyeccion 143.3 ± 42.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.005	2%	+220%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$349
100-119	$0.065	14%	+109%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,032
80-99	$0.049	9%	+74%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$556
60-79	$0.032	4%	+35%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$314

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 110 · proyeccion 178.4 ± 31.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.009	2%	+172%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$3,006
120-139	$0.046	8%	+67%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$1,504
140-159	$0.145	17%	+14%	0.6%	moderado	$1,916

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,454 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.8%Sobre-dispersion: 5.55x22 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 16 · proyeccion 115.2 ± 23.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.030	6%	+82%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$97
80-99	$0.120	19%	+57%	1.9%	moderado	$356
100-119	$0.270	32%	+19%	1.8%	escalable	$195

Ted Cruz # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 110 · proyeccion 153.1 ± 15.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.032	18%	+456%	3.7%	cautela (no operable)	$549
140-159	$0.180	47%	+162%	8.9%	moderado	$1,784

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,634 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.0%Sobre-dispersion: 3.09x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 5 · proyeccion 83.1 ± 15.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.105	14%	+30%	0.9%	moderado	$174
40-59	$0.055	6%	+12%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,098

Zelenskyy # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 35 · proyeccion 72.6 ± 10.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.210	25%	+21%	1.4%	escalable	$1,733
40-59	$0.095	11%	+17%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$336

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 795 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.6%Sobre-dispersion: 2.92x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 3 · proyeccion 38.0 ± 10.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.375	42%	+13%	1.9%	escalable	$2,808

NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 18 · proyeccion 34.6 ± 7.0

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 448 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 22.1%Sobre-dispersion: 5.41x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 21.4 ± 10.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.018	5%	+156%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$95
20-39	$0.355	52%	+48%	6.5%	escalable	$754

CZ # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 6 · proyeccion 15.7 ± 7.3

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 149 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 16.9%Sobre-dispersion: 13.08x9 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 6.6 ± 9.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-24	$0.013	6%	+350%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$82
10-14	$0.045	18%	+296%	3.5%	cautela (no operable)	$199
15-19	$0.043	12%	+172%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$83

Khamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 3.2 ± 6.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.006	3%	+424%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$1,293
10-14	$0.032	12%	+294%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$2,108