CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	80-99	$0.145	42%	+193%	8.2%	moderado	$641
Elon Musk	90-114	$0.122	27%	+122%	4.3%	moderado	$61,210
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.320	54%	+67%	7.9%	escalable	$1,307
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.275	42%	+52%	5.0%	escalable	$1,444
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	80-99	$0.195	27%	+37%	2.3%	moderado	$933
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.330	45%	+37%	4.5%	escalable	$4,124
Donald Trump	100-119	$0.108	14%	+32%	1.0%	moderado	$501
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.290	36%	+23%	2.3%	escalable	$5,592
Elon Musk	240-259	$0.111	13%	+18%	0.6%	moderado	$26,966
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.470	54%	+16%	3.4%	escalable	$2,996
CZ (Binance)	<20	$0.355	39%	+10%	1.4%	escalable	$1,039
Elon Musk	40-64	$0.180	19%	+6%	0.3%	moderado	$69,240

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,349 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.5%Sobre-dispersion: 25.65x40 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 45% del periodo

lleva 339 · proyeccion 1017.6 ± 131.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.065	55%	+753%	13.1%	cautela (no operable)	$6,419
960-999	$0.033	12%	+250%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$9,257
920-959	$0.063	10%	+61%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$4,424

Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 2 · proyeccion 273.1 ± 83.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
360-379	$0.002	5%	+3173%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$25,135
380-399	$0.002	4%	+2314%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$35,366
340-359	$0.004	6%	+1696%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$6,047
320-339	$0.004	8%	+1589%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$8,354
300-319	$0.007	9%	+1058%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$8,681
80-99	$0.002	1%	+470%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$30,505
280-299	$0.017	9%	+468%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$10,340
260-279	$0.035	10%	+169%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$2,285
100-119	$0.009	1%	+48%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$38,815
240-259	$0.075	9%	+22%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$1,987

Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 101 · proyeccion 245.9 ± 61.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
340-359	$0.002	3%	+1979%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$30,240
320-339	$0.003	5%	+1954%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$25,158
300-319	$0.004	8%	+1590%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$40,986
280-299	$0.011	10%	+780%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$39,745
120-139	$0.003	2%	+755%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$77,908
260-279	$0.030	12%	+297%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$41,223
140-159	$0.016	4%	+136%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$60,644
240-259	$0.111	13%	+18%	0.6%	moderado	$26,966

Elon Musk # tweets August 13 - August 15, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 49 · proyeccion 83.8 ± 29.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
115-139	$0.005	12%	+2104%	2.9%	cautela (no operable)	$48,079
90-114	$0.122	27%	+122%	4.3%	moderado	$61,210
40-64	$0.180	19%	+6%	0.3%	moderado	$69,240

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,505 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.2%Sobre-dispersion: 11.29x24 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 5 · proyeccion 146.0 ± 39.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.005	18%	+3540%	4.5%	cautela (no operable)	$458
140-159	$0.006	20%	+3186%	4.8%	cautela (no operable)	$519
100-119	$0.005	13%	+2527%	3.2%	cautela (no operable)	$484
80-99	$0.005	7%	+1383%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$600
60-79	$0.005	3%	+554%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$634
160-179	$0.049	17%	+241%	3.1%	cautela (no operable)	$675
20-39	$0.002	0%	+103%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$273

White House # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 111 · proyeccion 175.4 ± 27.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.006	19%	+2765%	4.5%	cautela (no operable)	$2,684
160-179	$0.025	28%	+1009%	6.6%	cautela (no operable)	$3,323

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,207 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.6%Sobre-dispersion: 14.22x30 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 3 · proyeccion 139.5 ± 44.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.016	10%	+495%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$370
40-59	$0.005	2%	+361%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$619
20-39	$0.002	1%	+319%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$417
100-119	$0.108	14%	+32%	1.0%	moderado	$501

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 82 · proyeccion 159.0 ± 33.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.004	3%	+699%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$4,331
120-139	$0.059	16%	+174%	2.7%	cautela (no operable)	$1,098
100-119	$0.058	8%	+38%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$1,493

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,607 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 11.0%Sobre-dispersion: 6.01x23 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 4 · proyeccion 113.8 ± 25.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.002	7%	+4820%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$68
80-99	$0.006	20%	+3204%	4.8%	cautela (no operable)	$99
40-59	$0.003	2%	+516%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$399
120-139	$0.095	25%	+167%	4.4%	cautela (no operable)	$239

Ted Cruz # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 101 · proyeccion 153.2 ± 17.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.005	3%	+397%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$701
120-139	$0.080	19%	+139%	3.0%	cautela (no operable)	$709
140-159	$0.275	42%	+52%	5.0%	escalable	$1,444

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,696 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.2%Sobre-dispersion: 3.1x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 3 · proyeccion 81.3 ± 15.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.145	42%	+193%	8.2%	moderado	$641
100-119	$0.042	11%	+174%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$479
120-139	$0.004	1%	+99%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$271

Zelenskyy # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 35 · proyeccion 73.0 ± 10.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.195	27%	+37%	2.3%	moderado	$933
40-59	$0.090	11%	+17%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$85

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 829 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.8%Sobre-dispersion: 2.93x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 38.9 ± 10.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.006	3%	+351%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$2,137
40-59	$0.330	45%	+37%	4.5%	escalable	$4,124
<20	$0.025	3%	+34%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,228

NYC Mayor # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 16 · proyeccion 36.7 ± 7.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
<20	$0.003	1%	+357%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$3,231
40-59	$0.290	36%	+23%	2.3%	escalable	$5,592

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 458 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 21.6%Sobre-dispersion: 5.41x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 21.9 ± 10.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.021	5%	+154%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$266
20-39	$0.320	54%	+67%	7.9%	escalable	$1,307
<20	$0.355	39%	+10%	1.4%	escalable	$1,039

CZ # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 10 · proyeccion 20.4 ± 7.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.470	54%	+16%	3.4%	escalable	$2,996

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 151 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 15.2%Sobre-dispersion: 11.35x10 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 6.6 ± 8.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.035	11%	+216%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$173
10-14	$0.060	19%	+213%	3.4%	cautela (no operable)	$328

Khamenei # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 1 · proyeccion 4.3 ± 6.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.015	15%	+943%	3.5%	cautela (no operable)	$581
20-24	$0.002	1%	+320%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$372
15-19	$0.013	4%	+238%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$373