CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Ali Khamenei	5-9	$0.105	29%	+174%	5.1%	moderado	$1,146
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.220	58%	+163%	11.5%	escalable	$1,081
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.210	55%	+160%	10.7%	escalable	$2,257
Donald Trump	140-159	$0.115	27%	+132%	4.3%	moderado	$2,896
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.275	60%	+117%	11.1%	escalable	$2,924
Ted Cruz	100-119	$0.106	19%	+80%	2.4%	moderado	$533
Ted Cruz	120-139	$0.210	36%	+73%	4.9%	escalable	$89
Ali Khamenei	10-14	$0.110	18%	+62%	1.9%	moderado	$325
Elon Musk	180-199	$0.135	22%	+61%	2.4%	moderado	$149,825
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.155	25%	+60%	2.8%	moderado	$30
The White House	180-199	$0.255	39%	+54%	4.6%	escalable	$10,320
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	60-79	$0.111	15%	+36%	1.1%	moderado	$1,941

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,300 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.5%Sobre-dispersion: 25.66x40 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 42% del periodo

lleva 286 · proyeccion 1021.3 ± 137.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.050	56%	+1026%	13.5%	cautela (no operable)	$5,161
960-999	$0.027	11%	+310%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$8,598
920-959	$0.040	10%	+146%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$4,038
880-919	$0.070	8%	+12%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$3,385

Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 327.8 ± 91.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
400-419	$0.002	6%	+3800%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$2,514
420-439	$0.002	5%	+3039%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,678
360-379	$0.004	8%	+2138%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$2,940
500+	$0.002	3%	+1941%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$17,352
380-399	$0.004	7%	+1880%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$1,410
340-359	$0.005	8%	+1435%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,792
320-339	$0.006	9%	+1236%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$4,976
300-319	$0.009	9%	+796%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$3,634
280-299	$0.021	8%	+288%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$5,061
260-279	$0.045	7%	+58%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$1,540

Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 48 · proyeccion 249.7 ± 71.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
340-359	$0.002	4%	+2733%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$15,163
320-339	$0.003	6%	+2300%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$14,230
360-379	$0.002	3%	+1759%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$19,488
300-319	$0.006	8%	+1107%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$25,043
380-399	$0.002	2%	+1029%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$21,251
280-299	$0.011	10%	+804%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$22,188
260-279	$0.018	11%	+476%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$13,811
240-259	$0.045	11%	+146%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$9,275
100-119	$0.007	2%	+139%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$44,955
220-239	$0.095	11%	+12%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$8,430

Elon Musk # tweets August 13 - August 15, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 91.6 ± 48.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-164	$0.003	10%	+3710%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$9,872
165-189	$0.002	4%	+2875%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$8,140
115-139	$0.009	16%	+1744%	3.7%	cautela (no operable)	$8,861
90-114	$0.030	20%	+552%	4.3%	cautela (no operable)	$14,584

Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 134 · proyeccion 184.3 ± 35.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.002	7%	+4603%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$307,135
240-259	$0.002	4%	+2838%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$162,334
220-239	$0.004	10%	+2798%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$131,863
200-219	$0.021	17%	+702%	3.9%	cautela (no operable)	$132,153
180-199	$0.135	22%	+61%	2.4%	moderado	$149,825

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,465 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.3%Sobre-dispersion: 11.5x24 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 177.4 ± 45.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.005	6%	+947%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$160
80-99	$0.005	3%	+394%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$276
120-139	$0.021	10%	+391%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$154
140-159	$0.033	15%	+347%	2.9%	cautela (no operable)	$150
60-79	$0.005	1%	+92%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$306
160-179	$0.090	17%	+92%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$286

White House # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 63 · proyeccion 164.2 ± 34.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.002	21%	+13953%	5.2%	cautela (no operable)	$2,515
160-179	$0.015	23%	+1472%	5.4%	cautela (no operable)	$2,828

White House # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 160 · proyeccion 192.3 ± 19.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.009	21%	+2101%	5.0%	cautela (no operable)	$5,262
180-199	$0.255	39%	+54%	4.6%	escalable	$10,320

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,181 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.5%Sobre-dispersion: 14.27x29 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 162.5 ± 48.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.002	1%	+627%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$484
60-79	$0.006	3%	+303%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$100
200+	$0.175	22%	+26%	1.4%	moderado	$674
80-99	$0.048	5%	+10%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$232

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 51 · proyeccion 153.9 ± 38.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.003	2%	+540%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$1,867
100-119	$0.024	11%	+354%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,361
80-99	$0.018	5%	+195%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,648
120-139	$0.090	17%	+88%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$951
40-59	$0.004	1%	+56%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,502

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 145 · proyeccion 167.6 ± 18.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.115	27%	+132%	4.3%	moderado	$2,896
160-179	$0.385	42%	+9%	1.4%	escalable	$3,127

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,576 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.9%Sobre-dispersion: 5.48x22 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 134.4 ± 27.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.155	25%	+60%	2.8%	moderado	$30
120-139	$0.230	28%	+23%	1.7%	escalable	$30

Ted Cruz # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 57 · proyeccion 134.2 ± 20.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.106	19%	+80%	2.4%	moderado	$533
120-139	$0.210	36%	+73%	4.9%	escalable	$89
60-79	$0.003	0%	+25%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$893
140-159	$0.270	29%	+7%	0.7%	escalable	$1,041

Ted Cruz # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 125 · proyeccion 147.0 ± 11.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.085	24%	+185%	4.3%	cautela (no operable)	$2,537

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,681 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.1%Sobre-dispersion: 3.08x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 99.8 ± 17.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.011	12%	+985%	2.7%	cautela (no operable)	$266
100-119	$0.067	38%	+466%	8.3%	cautela (no operable)	$447
140-159	$0.005	1%	+131%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$291
80-99	$0.325	37%	+14%	1.6%	escalable	$519

Zelenskyy # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 19 · proyeccion 78.4 ± 13.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.305	41%	+34%	3.7%	escalable	$668
100-119	$0.045	6%	+29%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$160

Zelenskyy # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 51 · proyeccion 69.7 ± 7.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.075	10%	+31%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$1,525

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 822 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.8%Sobre-dispersion: 2.93x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 47.5 ± 11.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.275	60%	+117%	11.1%	escalable	$2,924
60-79	$0.111	15%	+36%	1.1%	moderado	$1,941

NYC Mayor # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 8 · proyeccion 37.2 ± 9.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
<20	$0.015	3%	+93%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$2,912
40-59	$0.315	39%	+25%	2.8%	escalable	$5,160

NYC Mayor # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 27 · proyeccion 34.6 ± 4.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.130	15%	+18%	0.7%	moderado	$6,810

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 453 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 21.3%Sobre-dispersion: 5.45x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 27.7 ± 12.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.011	16%	+1380%	3.8%	cautela (no operable)	$256
20-39	$0.220	58%	+163%	11.5%	escalable	$1,081

CZ # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 5 · proyeccion 21.2 ± 9.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.210	55%	+160%	10.7%	escalable	$2,257

CZ # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 5 · proyeccion 10.8 ± 5.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.011	6%	+414%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,020

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 150 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 15.3%Sobre-dispersion: 12.33x10 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 9.4 ± 10.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.050	14%	+187%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$40
20-24	$0.057	9%	+64%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$30
10-14	$0.110	18%	+62%	1.9%	moderado	$325

Khamenei # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 6.1 ± 8.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-24	$0.005	4%	+777%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$281
10-14	$0.040	18%	+358%	3.7%	cautela (no operable)	$319
15-19	$0.029	10%	+268%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$272

Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 1 · proyeccion 3.2 ± 5.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.018	10%	+428%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$627
5-9	$0.105	29%	+174%	5.1%	moderado	$1,146