CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Elon Musk	1000+	$0.140	71%	+407%	16.6%	moderado	$4,251
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.105	35%	+229%	6.7%	moderado	$847
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	100-119	$0.120	38%	+216%	7.4%	moderado	$74
Elon Musk	200-219	$0.105	22%	+107%	3.1%	moderado	$111,161
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.315	58%	+85%	9.8%	escalable	$860
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.350	60%	+70%	9.4%	escalable	$2,871
Ted Cruz	100-119	$0.215	34%	+58%	4.0%	escalable	$348
Ali Khamenei	10-14	$0.115	18%	+53%	1.7%	moderado	$0
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.170	23%	+38%	1.9%	moderado	$216
Donald Trump	200+	$0.220	29%	+30%	2.1%	escalable	$1,147
Donald Trump	140-159	$0.175	22%	+24%	1.3%	moderado	$959
Ted Cruz	120-139	$0.285	33%	+15%	1.5%	escalable	$412

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,235 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.5%Sobre-dispersion: 25.56x40 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 32% del periodo

lleva 220 · proyeccion 1081.5 ± 148.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.140	71%	+407%	16.6%	moderado	$4,251
960-999	$0.056	8%	+51%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$3,782

Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 325.9 ± 91.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
400-419	$0.002	6%	+3729%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$6,386
380-399	$0.003	7%	+2640%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$1,728
500+	$0.002	3%	+1803%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$20,478
340-359	$0.005	8%	+1434%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,375
360-379	$0.005	8%	+1316%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$1,313
320-339	$0.009	9%	+926%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,747
300-319	$0.015	9%	+454%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$2,867
280-299	$0.025	8%	+229%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$6,662
260-279	$0.055	7%	+31%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$639
80-99	$0.003	0%	+24%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$14,855

Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 68 · proyeccion 241.7 ± 66.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
320-339	$0.002	5%	+3256%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$44,479
300-319	$0.004	7%	+1938%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$39,887
280-299	$0.007	9%	+1132%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$28,810
260-279	$0.018	11%	+491%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$16,906
100-119	$0.003	2%	+464%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$66,183
240-259	$0.045	12%	+163%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$13,819
220-239	$0.095	12%	+24%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$13,932
120-139	$0.025	3%	+15%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$63,960

Elon Musk # tweets August 10 - August 12, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 89.0 ± 47.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-164	$0.003	9%	+3420%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,215
165-189	$0.002	4%	+2504%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,459
115-139	$0.011	15%	+1343%	3.6%	cautela (no operable)	$1,081
90-114	$0.055	20%	+262%	3.8%	cautela (no operable)	$1,111

Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 152 · proyeccion 199.1 ± 34.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.004	8%	+2298%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$202,091
260-279	$0.002	3%	+1941%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$106,922
240-259	$0.005	8%	+1526%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$105,128
220-239	$0.017	16%	+846%	3.5%	cautela (no operable)	$99,001
200-219	$0.105	22%	+107%	3.1%	moderado	$111,161

Elon Musk # tweets August 8 - August 10, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 36 · proyeccion 44.9 ± 15.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
65-89	$0.005	10%	+1634%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$94,298

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,354 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.3%Sobre-dispersion: 11.9x24 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 172.7 ± 45.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.006	11%	+1762%	2.7%	cautela (no operable)	$120
100-119	$0.006	7%	+1019%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$120
80-99	$0.005	3%	+506%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$149
140-159	$0.057	15%	+169%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$268
60-79	$0.006	1%	+128%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$169

White House # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 49 · proyeccion 153.3 ± 35.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.003	11%	+3407%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$453
120-139	$0.007	18%	+2455%	4.3%	cautela (no operable)	$656
140-159	$0.035	22%	+526%	4.8%	cautela (no operable)	$1,250

White House # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 134 · proyeccion 162.7 ± 18.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.007	9%	+1254%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$3,168
140-159	$0.039	33%	+736%	7.5%	cautela (no operable)	$6,933

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,098 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.2%Sobre-dispersion: 14.42x29 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 171.4 ± 49.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.002	0%	+91%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$567
40-59	$0.004	1%	+82%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$331
200+	$0.220	29%	+30%	2.1%	escalable	$1,147

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 62 · proyeccion 153.0 ± 36.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.009	5%	+441%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,223
60-79	$0.004	2%	+367%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$2,117
100-119	$0.041	11%	+163%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$1,710
140-159	$0.175	22%	+24%	1.3%	moderado	$959
120-139	$0.165	18%	+8%	0.4%	moderado	$1,531

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 156 · proyeccion 188.1 ± 21.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.006	8%	+1130%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$3,903
160-179	$0.235	25%	+8%	0.6%	escalable	$3,714

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,493 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.8%Sobre-dispersion: 5.55x22 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 131.7 ± 27.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.170	23%	+38%	1.9%	moderado	$216
60-79	$0.021	2%	+10%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$511

Ted Cruz # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 42 · proyeccion 118.6 ± 20.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.092	15%	+61%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$417
100-119	$0.215	34%	+58%	4.0%	escalable	$348
60-79	$0.018	3%	+50%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$124
120-139	$0.285	33%	+15%	1.5%	escalable	$412

Ted Cruz # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 136 · proyeccion 156.5 ± 10.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.002	6%	+3601%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$1,168
140-159	$0.530	56%	+5%	1.4%	escalable	$2,837

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,652 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.1%Sobre-dispersion: 3.06x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 100.0 ± 17.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.120	38%	+216%	7.4%	moderado	$74
120-139	$0.049	12%	+146%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$40

Zelenskyy # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 20 · proyeccion 78.9 ± 13.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.395	42%	+6%	1.0%	escalable	$702

Zelenskyy # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 50 · proyeccion 68.3 ± 7.5

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 809 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.8%Sobre-dispersion: 2.92x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 46.8 ± 11.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.350	60%	+70%	9.4%	escalable	$2,871
60-79	$0.083	14%	+66%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$811
<20	$0.009	1%	+8%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$635

NYC Mayor # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 14 · proyeccion 39.2 ± 8.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
<20	$0.004	1%	+170%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,463
40-59	$0.445	48%	+7%	1.4%	escalable	$4,199

NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 29 · proyeccion 35.8 ± 4.5

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 448 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 22.1%Sobre-dispersion: 5.41x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 26.9 ± 12.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.011	15%	+1223%	3.4%	cautela (no operable)	$32
20-39	$0.315	58%	+85%	9.8%	escalable	$860

CZ # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 16.0 ± 9.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.105	35%	+229%	6.7%	moderado	$847

CZ # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 6 · proyeccion 10.3 ± 4.8

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 149 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 16.9%Sobre-dispersion: 13.08x9 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 8.9 ± 10.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
30-34	$0.006	2%	+218%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$12
15-19	$0.085	14%	+63%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$0
10-14	$0.115	18%	+53%	1.7%	moderado	$0
20-24	$0.078	9%	+14%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$11
25-29	$0.043	5%	+6%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$70

Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 4.8 ± 8.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.032	17%	+429%	3.5%	cautela (no operable)	$397
15-19	$0.018	8%	+356%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$206
20-24	$0.015	3%	+68%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$195

Khamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 1.4 ± 4.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.009	3%	+186%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$2,975
5-9	$0.075	20%	+172%	3.5%	cautela (no operable)	$5,309