CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.111	51%	+359%	11.2%	moderado	$728
Elon Musk	1000+	$0.395	85%	+114%	18.6%	escalable	$24,112
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.105	20%	+86%	2.5%	moderado	$15
Elon Musk	240-259	$0.145	24%	+69%	2.9%	moderado	$108,837
Elon Musk	240-259	$0.100	13%	+31%	0.9%	moderado	$31,755
Elon Musk	<40	$0.165	21%	+29%	1.4%	moderado	$26,358
Ted Cruz	120-139	$0.215	27%	+24%	1.7%	escalable	$975
Elon Musk	65-89	$0.195	23%	+20%	1.2%	moderado	$7,657
Donald Trump	160-179	$0.425	48%	+14%	2.6%	escalable	$5,929
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.560	63%	+12%	3.8%	escalable	$90
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.130	15%	+12%	0.5%	moderado	$27
Donald Trump	180-199	$0.125	14%	+9%	0.3%	moderado	$9,125

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 12,919 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.0%Sobre-dispersion: 24.76x48 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026? 16% del periodo

lleva 157 · proyeccion 1160.4 ± 157.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.395	85%	+114%	18.6%	escalable	$24,112

Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 291.7 ± 85.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
400-419	$0.002	4%	+2302%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$4,414
380-399	$0.003	5%	+1840%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$9,584
360-379	$0.004	6%	+1664%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$3,396
340-359	$0.006	7%	+1140%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$3,585
320-339	$0.009	8%	+794%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$2,851
300-319	$0.016	9%	+473%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$4,032
420-439	$0.005	3%	+407%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$7,479
280-299	$0.024	9%	+298%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$5,692
80-99	$0.003	1%	+124%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$8,357
100-119	$0.005	1%	+90%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$8,376
260-279	$0.053	9%	+69%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$3,131
120-139	$0.012	2%	+27%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$14,611

Elon Musk # tweets October 8 - October 10, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 186.1 ± 67.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
240+	$0.005	22%	+4213%	5.3%	cautela (no operable)	$1,135
165-189	$0.005	14%	+2796%	3.5%	cautela (no operable)	$1,070
190-214	$0.005	14%	+2485%	3.4%	cautela (no operable)	$1,210
140-164	$0.005	13%	+2480%	3.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,070
215-239	$0.005	12%	+2342%	2.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,140
115-139	$0.014	10%	+618%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$50
90-114	$0.050	7%	+37%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$10

Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 96 · proyeccion 242.7 ± 60.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
320-339	$0.004	5%	+1247%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$16,777
340-359	$0.003	3%	+1012%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$23,226
360-379	$0.002	1%	+880%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$33,503
300-319	$0.007	7%	+856%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$29,927
280-299	$0.011	10%	+831%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$27,952
120-139	$0.003	2%	+665%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$52,178
260-279	$0.025	12%	+369%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$22,378
380-399	$0.002	1%	+365%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$31,302
140-159	$0.015	4%	+160%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$49,446
240-259	$0.100	13%	+31%	0.9%	moderado	$31,755

Elon Musk # tweets October 5 - October 7, 2026? 50% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 64.7 ± 40.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
115-139	$0.003	8%	+2941%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$5,247
140-164	$0.002	2%	+1538%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$7,444
90-114	$0.016	16%	+907%	3.7%	cautela (no operable)	$7,780
165-189	$0.002	1%	+263%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$12,349
<40	$0.165	21%	+29%	1.4%	moderado	$26,358
65-89	$0.195	23%	+20%	1.2%	moderado	$7,657

Elon Musk # tweets September 29 - October 6, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 207 · proyeccion 231.4 ± 24.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
280-299	$0.002	2%	+1393%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$123,144
260-279	$0.008	10%	+1167%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$145,622
240-259	$0.145	24%	+69%	2.9%	moderado	$108,837

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 6,092 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 6.8%Sobre-dispersion: 11.89x32 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 171.0 ± 45.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.005	16%	+2752%	3.8%	cautela (no operable)	$37
120-139	$0.011	12%	+951%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$60
80-99	$0.005	4%	+539%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$137
100-119	$0.011	7%	+538%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$70
60-79	$0.003	1%	+480%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$170
160-179	$0.043	18%	+303%	3.5%	cautela (no operable)	$38

White House # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 106 · proyeccion 201.6 ± 33.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.009	15%	+1480%	3.5%	cautela (no operable)	$374
180-199	$0.049	22%	+347%	4.5%	cautela (no operable)	$1,558
100-119	$0.002	1%	+210%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$231

White House # posts September 29 - October 6, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 270 · proyeccion 281.9 ± 11.9

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 5,429 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.5%Sobre-dispersion: 13.65x37 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 160.1 ± 46.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.005	3%	+384%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$96
80-99	$0.025	6%	+120%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$0
160-179	$0.155	17%	+7%	0.3%	moderado	$1,109
100-119	$0.090	10%	+6%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,225

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 90 · proyeccion 165.6 ± 32.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.011	6%	+432%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,358
120-139	$0.081	13%	+65%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$1,457
80-99	$0.010	2%	+62%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,315

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 29 - October 6, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 149 · proyeccion 164.2 ± 14.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.425	48%	+14%	2.6%	escalable	$5,929
180-199	$0.125	14%	+9%	0.3%	moderado	$9,125

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 3,560 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.0%Sobre-dispersion: 6.7x30 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 125.8 ± 29.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.105	20%	+86%	2.5%	moderado	$15
120-139	$0.215	27%	+24%	1.7%	escalable	$975

Ted Cruz # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 50 · proyeccion 119.5 ± 21.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.130	15%	+12%	0.5%	moderado	$27
120-139	$0.300	32%	+8%	0.8%	escalable	$308

Ted Cruz # posts September 29 - October 6, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 102 · proyeccion 110.8 ± 7.7

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 2,423 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.6%Sobre-dispersion: 6.6x28 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 95.7 ± 25.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.025	13%	+424%	2.7%	cautela (no operable)	$86
20-39	$0.010	1%	+15%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$65

Zelenskyy # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 48 · proyeccion 100.3 ± 18.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.032	13%	+316%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$333
40-59	$0.005	1%	+146%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$354

Zelenskyy # posts September 29 - October 6, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 101 · proyeccion 111.1 ± 8.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.057	15%	+166%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$483

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 1,079 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.2%Sobre-dispersion: 2.57x28 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 41.1 ± 10.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.050	52%	+948%	12.5%	cautela (no operable)	$130
60-79	$0.006	4%	+456%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$204

NYC Mayor # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 19 · proyeccion 39.7 ± 7.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.111	51%	+359%	11.2%	moderado	$728

NYC Mayor # posts September 29 - October 6, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 34 · proyeccion 36.8 ± 2.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.045	16%	+262%	3.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,277

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 653 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 19.0%Sobre-dispersion: 4.35x28 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 26.1 ± 10.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.080	10%	+28%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$5
20-39	$0.560	63%	+12%	3.8%	escalable	$90

CZ # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 13 · proyeccion 27.7 ± 8.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.032	7%	+122%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$60
<20	$0.095	15%	+60%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$1,718

CZ # posts September 29 - October 6, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 23 · proyeccion 25.9 ± 3.6

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 155 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 15.0%Sobre-dispersion: 16.44x10 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 6.2 ± 10.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-24	$0.002	6%	+3834%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$77
5-9	$0.011	19%	+1756%	4.7%	cautela (no operable)	$113
10-14	$0.010	17%	+1564%	4.0%	cautela (no operable)	$118
15-19	$0.015	11%	+645%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$160
25-29	$0.015	2%	+63%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$72
30-34	$0.005	1%	+60%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$69
35-39	$0.002	0%	+37%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$59

Khamenei # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 3.2 ± 7.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.004	13%	+3253%	3.3%	cautela (no operable)	$355
15-19	$0.005	5%	+870%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$327
5-9	$0.027	24%	+774%	5.4%	cautela (no operable)	$373
20-24	$0.005	1%	+123%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$511

Khamenei # posts September 29 - October 6, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 0.6 ± 3.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
5-9	$0.004	11%	+2380%	2.7%	cautela (no operable)	$1,280