CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.145	60%	+316%	13.4%	moderado	$93
Elon Musk	1000+	$0.340	100%	+194%	25.0%	escalable	$1,867
Elon Musk	65-89	$0.105	27%	+160%	4.7%	moderado	$24,768
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.155	37%	+137%	6.3%	moderado	$1,719
The White House	140-159	$0.103	22%	+116%	3.3%	moderado	$260
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	120-139	$0.125	24%	+94%	3.4%	moderado	$0
Ali Khamenei	5-9	$0.130	24%	+88%	3.3%	moderado	$685
The White House	140-159	$0.191	35%	+85%	5.0%	moderado	$3,409
Ali Khamenei	10-14	$0.105	18%	+74%	2.2%	moderado	$0
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.205	34%	+64%	4.1%	escalable	$4,320
Ted Cruz	120-139	$0.175	29%	+63%	3.4%	moderado	$180
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	100-119	$0.160	26%	+60%	2.9%	moderado	$1,196

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,844 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.5%Sobre-dispersion: 25.63x43 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 2463.2 ± 251.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.340	100%	+194%	25.0%	escalable	$1,867

Elon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 359.4 ± 96.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
500+	$0.002	7%	+4711%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$8,824
420-439	$0.002	6%	+4141%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$520
400-419	$0.003	7%	+2798%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$6,587
460-479	$0.002	4%	+2772%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$5,402
380-399	$0.003	8%	+2534%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$5,827
480-499	$0.002	3%	+2114%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$5,402
440-459	$0.003	5%	+2040%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$5,394
360-379	$0.006	8%	+1170%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$5,538
340-359	$0.011	8%	+686%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$2,359
320-339	$0.015	8%	+445%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$856
300-319	$0.021	7%	+254%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$455
280-299	$0.028	6%	+132%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$826

Elon Musk # tweets August 28 - September 4, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 51 · proyeccion 261.7 ± 73.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
360-379	$0.003	4%	+1386%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$15,707
340-359	$0.004	5%	+1083%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$17,837
320-339	$0.006	7%	+991%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$17,787
400-419	$0.002	1%	+867%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$16,763
380-399	$0.003	2%	+863%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$11,340
300-319	$0.011	9%	+735%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$13,031
420-439	$0.002	1%	+441%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$13,665
280-299	$0.019	10%	+431%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$7,268
80-99	$0.002	1%	+371%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$35,347
260-279	$0.038	11%	+183%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$7,602
100-119	$0.006	1%	+98%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$22,152
240-259	$0.065	11%	+64%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$5,887

Elon Musk # tweets August 31 - September 2, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 126.7 ± 57.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
165-189	$0.002	12%	+7789%	2.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,159
190-214	$0.002	7%	+4802%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$219
140-164	$0.005	16%	+2765%	3.8%	cautela (no operable)	$1,501
215-239	$0.002	4%	+2420%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$219
115-139	$0.009	17%	+1728%	4.1%	cautela (no operable)	$636
90-114	$0.036	16%	+340%	3.2%	cautela (no operable)	$277

Elon Musk # tweets August 25 - September 1, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 108 · proyeccion 192.9 ± 46.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.002	4%	+2246%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$151,602
240-259	$0.006	8%	+1164%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$39,976
260-279	$0.004	4%	+899%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$39,963
280-299	$0.003	2%	+721%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$36,846
220-239	$0.022	13%	+457%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$44,249
300-319	$0.003	1%	+213%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$38,628
200-219	$0.065	16%	+145%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$40,235
320-339	$0.002	0%	+66%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$37,078
120-139	$0.057	7%	+21%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$83,640

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 97% del periodo

lleva 831 · proyeccion 895.1 ± 40.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
920-959	$0.015	22%	+1349%	5.1%	cautela (no operable)	$31,360
960-999	$0.007	5%	+628%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$34,247
800-839	$0.013	8%	+484%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$90,725
880-919	$0.275	38%	+37%	3.5%	escalable	$29,014

Elon Musk # tweets August 29 - August 31, 2026? 50% del periodo

lleva 22 · proyeccion 70.0 ± 35.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-164	$0.002	2%	+1242%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$11,750
115-139	$0.006	8%	+1205%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$39,924
90-114	$0.019	19%	+857%	4.3%	cautela (no operable)	$30,843
65-89	$0.105	27%	+160%	4.7%	moderado	$24,768

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,906 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 6.9%Sobre-dispersion: 10.27x27 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts September 1 - September 8, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 190.6 ± 44.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.033	7%	+115%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$8
140-159	$0.065	12%	+80%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$12
200+	$0.265	42%	+59%	5.3%	escalable	$460
100-119	$0.030	3%	+12%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$8

White House # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 35 · proyeccion 154.7 ± 35.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.003	10%	+3228%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$147
120-139	$0.025	17%	+584%	3.8%	cautela (no operable)	$245
80-99	$0.011	4%	+278%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$137
60-79	$0.005	1%	+130%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$192
140-159	$0.103	22%	+116%	3.3%	moderado	$260

White House # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 113 · proyeccion 155.7 ± 20.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.005	18%	+3455%	4.3%	cautela (no operable)	$2,066
140-159	$0.191	35%	+85%	5.0%	moderado	$3,409

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,668 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 11.2%Sobre-dispersion: 14.77x32 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 1 - September 8, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 193.7 ± 53.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.006	2%	+278%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$147
120-139	$0.025	7%	+185%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$269
100-119	$0.022	4%	+98%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$140
60-79	$0.005	1%	+88%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$161
160-179	$0.105	13%	+28%	0.8%	moderado	$289
140-159	$0.095	11%	+11%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$565
180-199	$0.135	15%	+10%	0.4%	moderado	$395

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 28 - September 4, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 47 · proyeccion 158.3 ± 40.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.003	15%	+4975%	3.7%	cautela (no operable)	$453
100-119	$0.003	10%	+3097%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$350
80-99	$0.003	5%	+1486%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$241
140-159	$0.026	19%	+619%	4.2%	cautela (no operable)	$541
60-79	$0.003	2%	+520%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$253
40-59	$0.002	1%	+282%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$808
160-179	$0.125	19%	+50%	1.8%	moderado	$859
180-199	$0.130	15%	+12%	0.5%	moderado	$1,198

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 25 - September 1, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 162 · proyeccion 211.3 ± 27.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.006	9%	+1433%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$2,746
180-199	$0.065	21%	+226%	3.9%	cautela (no operable)	$3,364

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,974 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.6%Sobre-dispersion: 7.13x25 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts September 1 - September 8, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 149.4 ± 32.6

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

Ted Cruz # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 28 · proyeccion 120.5 ± 25.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.005	15%	+2930%	3.7%	cautela (no operable)	$178
100-119	$0.048	28%	+484%	6.0%	cautela (no operable)	$139
60-79	$0.026	5%	+78%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$116
120-139	$0.175	29%	+63%	3.4%	moderado	$180

Ted Cruz # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 130 · proyeccion 161.9 ± 15.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.155	37%	+137%	6.3%	moderado	$1,719
120-139	$0.045	7%	+47%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$937
160-179	$0.385	44%	+15%	2.3%	escalable	$169

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,964 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.2%Sobre-dispersion: 7.3x23 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts September 1 - September 8, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 116.1 ± 29.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.025	5%	+112%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$25
120-139	$0.125	24%	+94%	3.4%	moderado	$0
100-119	$0.200	26%	+31%	1.9%	escalable	$75
140-159	$0.110	14%	+30%	0.9%	moderado	$0

Zelenskyy # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 14 · proyeccion 86.3 ± 23.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.065	21%	+221%	3.8%	cautela (no operable)	$489
40-59	$0.059	10%	+70%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$268
20-39	$0.011	2%	+65%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$171

Zelenskyy # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 97 · proyeccion 128.0 ± 15.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.004	3%	+530%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$1,043
100-119	$0.160	26%	+60%	2.9%	moderado	$1,196

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 900 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.6%Sobre-dispersion: 2.8x23 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts September 1 - September 8, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 49.6 ± 11.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.006	20%	+2902%	4.8%	cautela (no operable)	$67
40-59	$0.145	60%	+316%	13.4%	moderado	$93

NYC Mayor # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 4 · proyeccion 32.8 ± 9.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
<20	$0.011	7%	+526%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$370
40-59	$0.090	23%	+152%	3.8%	cautela (no operable)	$522

NYC Mayor # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 24 · proyeccion 34.7 ± 5.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.075	19%	+150%	3.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,894

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 525 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 21.9%Sobre-dispersion: 5.11x23 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts September 1 - September 8, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 29.7 ± 12.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.130	21%	+59%	2.2%	moderado	$60
60-79	$0.006	1%	+21%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$60

CZ # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 15 · proyeccion 33.9 ± 9.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.595	64%	+8%	3.0%	escalable	$733

CZ # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 35 · proyeccion 42.0 ± 6.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.205	34%	+64%	4.1%	escalable	$4,320

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 152 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 15.1%Sobre-dispersion: 12.17x10 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts September 1 - September 8, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 8.6 ± 10.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-24	$0.020	8%	+318%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$0
25-29	$0.020	4%	+99%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$0
10-14	$0.105	18%	+74%	2.2%	moderado	$0
15-19	$0.080	14%	+74%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$0
5-9	$0.170	19%	+12%	0.6%	moderado	$0

Khamenei # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 4.9 ± 7.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-24	$0.006	2%	+306%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$251
15-19	$0.020	8%	+293%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$225
10-14	$0.072	17%	+135%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$361
5-9	$0.130	24%	+88%	3.3%	moderado	$685

Khamenei # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 1.7 ± 4.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.005	4%	+670%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,485
5-9	$0.035	23%	+541%	5.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,016