CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Elon Musk	1000+	$0.195	81%	+314%	19.0%	moderado	$3,210
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	100-119	$0.105	26%	+144%	4.2%	moderado	$129
Ali Khamenei	10-14	$0.105	18%	+70%	2.1%	moderado	$138
Elon Musk	200-219	$0.205	34%	+66%	4.2%	escalable	$223,893
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	80-99	$0.135	22%	+60%	2.4%	moderado	$5,162
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.365	56%	+55%	7.9%	escalable	$6,090
Donald Trump	160-179	$0.145	22%	+51%	2.2%	moderado	$1,741
Donald Trump	180-199	$0.140	21%	+49%	2.0%	moderado	$2,233
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.425	57%	+35%	6.4%	escalable	$260
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.310	42%	+34%	3.8%	escalable	$295
Ted Cruz	100-119	$0.230	30%	+29%	2.1%	escalable	$72
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.370	47%	+27%	4.0%	escalable	$2,434

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,164 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.4%Sobre-dispersion: 25.57x39 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 23% del periodo

lleva 149 · proyeccion 1137.9 ± 159.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.195	81%	+314%	19.0%	moderado	$3,210

Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 297.7 ± 87.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
400-419	$0.002	4%	+2588%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$4,902
380-399	$0.003	5%	+2005%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$3,565
420-439	$0.002	3%	+1855%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$2,252
440-459	$0.002	2%	+1249%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$6,976
360-379	$0.005	7%	+1085%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$1,986
320-339	$0.011	9%	+714%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$2,587
340-359	$0.011	8%	+629%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$3,432
500+	$0.002	1%	+592%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$19,634
300-319	$0.019	9%	+364%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$2,800
280-299	$0.035	9%	+160%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$4,110
80-99	$0.003	1%	+114%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$19,806

Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 81 · proyeccion 251.8 ± 66.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
320-339	$0.004	6%	+1631%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$27,166
360-379	$0.002	2%	+1562%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$23,391
340-359	$0.003	4%	+1527%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$26,338
300-319	$0.008	8%	+930%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$32,989
380-399	$0.002	1%	+830%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$24,449
280-299	$0.017	10%	+520%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$21,133
120-139	$0.006	2%	+238%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$45,456
260-279	$0.035	12%	+232%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$17,213
240-259	$0.085	12%	+41%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$19,963
140-159	$0.032	4%	+14%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$30,756

Elon Musk # tweets August 8 - August 10, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 132.6 ± 58.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
165-189	$0.002	13%	+8412%	3.2%	cautela (no operable)	$583
140-164	$0.003	16%	+6338%	4.0%	cautela (no operable)	$583
190-214	$0.002	8%	+5532%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$152
215-239	$0.002	5%	+3008%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$181
240+	$0.002	3%	+2114%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$472
115-139	$0.009	17%	+1681%	4.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,115
90-114	$0.055	15%	+170%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$1,478

Elon Musk # tweets August 6 - August 8, 2026? 50% del periodo

lleva 15 · proyeccion 74.3 ± 38.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
115-139	$0.003	10%	+4059%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$24,222
140-164	$0.002	4%	+2353%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$13,338
90-114	$0.034	20%	+489%	4.2%	cautela (no operable)	$19,573
65-89	$0.235	25%	+7%	0.5%	escalable	$12,926

Elon Musk # tweets July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 184 · proyeccion 201.8 ± 21.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
240-259	$0.002	4%	+2235%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$208,314
220-239	$0.011	16%	+1395%	3.9%	cautela (no operable)	$199,819
200-219	$0.205	34%	+66%	4.2%	escalable	$223,893

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,296 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.6%Sobre-dispersion: 12.37x23 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 150.7 ± 43.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.029	16%	+471%	3.5%	cautela (no operable)	$10
60-79	$0.006	3%	+438%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$22
140-159	$0.035	18%	+431%	3.9%	cautela (no operable)	$0
80-99	$0.013	7%	+426%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$34
100-119	$0.028	12%	+319%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$10
40-59	$0.006	1%	+90%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$871

White House # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 76 · proyeccion 151.1 ± 30.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.005	20%	+3938%	5.0%	cautela (no operable)	$358
100-119	$0.006	10%	+1511%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$438
140-159	$0.017	26%	+1411%	6.1%	cautela (no operable)	$867
80-99	$0.003	4%	+1095%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$384
60-79	$0.002	1%	+304%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$358

White House # posts July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 176 · proyeccion 183.1 ± 9.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.068	34%	+405%	7.4%	cautela (no operable)	$6,665

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,032 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.2%Sobre-dispersion: 14.45x29 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 145.4 ± 45.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.005	4%	+715%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$271
40-59	$0.005	2%	+264%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$189
80-99	$0.045	8%	+83%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$507
20-39	$0.004	1%	+65%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$265
160-179	$0.135	15%	+12%	0.5%	moderado	$1,055

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 90 · proyeccion 176.3 ± 35.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.002	1%	+683%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$4,573
120-139	$0.036	9%	+159%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$1,337
160-179	$0.145	22%	+51%	2.2%	moderado	$1,741
180-199	$0.140	21%	+49%	2.0%	moderado	$2,233
100-119	$0.030	4%	+30%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$2,563
140-159	$0.160	17%	+5%	0.2%	moderado	$1,770

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 211 · proyeccion 217.5 ± 9.7

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,446 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.8%Sobre-dispersion: 5.55x22 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 116.2 ± 25.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.230	30%	+29%	2.1%	escalable	$72
120-139	$0.220	27%	+22%	1.6%	escalable	$192
60-79	$0.054	6%	+13%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$52

Ted Cruz # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 89 · proyeccion 149.1 ± 18.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.060	25%	+313%	5.0%	cautela (no operable)	$410
140-159	$0.310	42%	+34%	3.8%	escalable	$295

Ted Cruz # posts July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 136 · proyeccion 141.4 ± 5.5

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,630 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.9%Sobre-dispersion: 3.05x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 90.7 ± 16.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.105	26%	+144%	4.2%	moderado	$129
80-99	$0.370	45%	+22%	3.2%	escalable	$311

Zelenskyy # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 28 · proyeccion 77.6 ± 12.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.335	40%	+20%	2.5%	escalable	$1,616

Zelenskyy # posts July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 67 · proyeccion 75.5 ± 5.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.135	22%	+60%	2.4%	moderado	$5,162

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 793 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.8%Sobre-dispersion: 2.9x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 41.7 ± 11.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
<20	$0.006	2%	+259%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$590
40-59	$0.435	53%	+21%	4.1%	escalable	$2,050

NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 13 · proyeccion 36.2 ± 8.2

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

NYC Mayor # posts July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 31 · proyeccion 32.6 ± 2.1

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 448 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 22.1%Sobre-dispersion: 5.41x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 24.7 ± 11.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.042	10%	+138%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$10
20-39	$0.425	57%	+35%	6.4%	escalable	$260

CZ # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 6 · proyeccion 19.0 ± 8.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.002	1%	+268%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$487
20-39	$0.370	47%	+27%	4.0%	escalable	$2,434

CZ # posts July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 18 · proyeccion 20.0 ± 3.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.365	56%	+55%	7.9%	escalable	$6,090

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 149 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 16.9%Sobre-dispersion: 13.08x9 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 8.0 ± 10.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.032	13%	+314%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$21
20-24	$0.026	8%	+199%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$20
10-14	$0.105	18%	+70%	2.1%	moderado	$138

Khamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 4.6 ± 7.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.010	7%	+631%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$1,214
10-14	$0.051	16%	+222%	3.0%	cautela (no operable)	$2,056
20-24	$0.010	2%	+120%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$1,126

Khamenei # posts July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 7 · proyeccion 7.5 ± 2.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.033	23%	+593%	5.1%	cautela (no operable)	$3,619