CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Ted Cruz	120-139	$0.130	34%	+160%	6.0%	moderado	$1,077
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	80-99	$0.185	37%	+102%	5.8%	moderado	$1,149
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.265	52%	+96%	8.7%	escalable	$2,257
Donald Trump	140-159	$0.110	21%	+90%	2.8%	moderado	$1,742
Ted Cruz	160-179	$0.355	56%	+59%	8.1%	escalable	$2,172
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.320	47%	+47%	5.5%	escalable	$3,734
The White House	160-179	$0.145	20%	+36%	1.5%	moderado	$1,747
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.375	46%	+21%	3.2%	escalable	$4,558
Donald Trump	180-199	$0.245	30%	+21%	1.7%	escalable	$4,485
Ali Khamenei	5-9	$0.225	26%	+14%	1.0%	escalable	$682
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	20-39	$0.665	75%	+13%	6.2%	escalable	$13,464
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	40-59	$0.116	12%	+6%	0.2%	moderado	$1,555

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,386 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.5%Sobre-dispersion: 25.6x41 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 52% del periodo

lleva 372 · proyeccion 966.0 ± 123.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.040	39%	+882%	9.2%	cautela (no operable)	$7,007
960-999	$0.022	13%	+482%	2.7%	cautela (no operable)	$10,755
920-959	$0.046	13%	+174%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$5,092
880-919	$0.065	11%	+72%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$4,785

Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 35 · proyeccion 223.2 ± 69.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
280-299	$0.003	7%	+2815%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$39,608
320-339	$0.002	4%	+2286%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$52,700
260-279	$0.005	9%	+1571%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$19,736
300-319	$0.004	5%	+1420%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$50,306
240-259	$0.015	11%	+636%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$15,201
220-239	$0.045	11%	+154%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$10,831
80-99	$0.009	2%	+91%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$79,759
200-219	$0.085	11%	+32%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$13,640

Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 134 · proyeccion 196.4 ± 40.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
240-259	$0.003	8%	+3226%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$99,497
260-279	$0.002	4%	+2455%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$87,061
280-299	$0.002	1%	+821%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$87,035
220-239	$0.017	14%	+730%	3.2%	cautela (no operable)	$83,418
120-139	$0.010	5%	+401%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$233,762
200-219	$0.085	19%	+120%	2.8%	cautela (no operable)	$83,821

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,545 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.1%Sobre-dispersion: 11.37x25 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 43 · proyeccion 151.7 ± 35.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.002	18%	+12205%	4.6%	cautela (no operable)	$689
140-159	$0.015	22%	+1390%	5.3%	cautela (no operable)	$1,006
160-179	$0.145	20%	+36%	1.5%	moderado	$1,747

White House # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 149 · proyeccion 181.1 ± 19.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.046	34%	+626%	7.6%	cautela (no operable)	$9,173

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,271 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.6%Sobre-dispersion: 14.21x30 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 62 · proyeccion 157.7 ± 36.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.025	16%	+543%	3.5%	cautela (no operable)	$741
100-119	$0.018	9%	+431%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$882
60-79	$0.003	1%	+425%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$4,191
80-99	$0.013	4%	+210%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$1,453
140-159	$0.110	21%	+90%	2.8%	moderado	$1,742

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 141 · proyeccion 177.1 ± 22.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.041	32%	+699%	7.4%	cautela (no operable)	$6,035
180-199	$0.245	30%	+21%	1.7%	escalable	$4,485

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,662 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 11.0%Sobre-dispersion: 6.02x23 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 53 · proyeccion 134.8 ± 22.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.051	19%	+268%	3.6%	cautela (no operable)	$1,113
120-139	$0.130	34%	+160%	6.0%	moderado	$1,077
80-99	$0.021	5%	+136%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$369

Ted Cruz # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 150 · proyeccion 173.9 ± 12.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.060	11%	+87%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$2,372
160-179	$0.355	56%	+59%	8.1%	escalable	$2,172

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,713 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.4%Sobre-dispersion: 3.21x21 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 17 · proyeccion 76.9 ± 13.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.011	5%	+377%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$569
80-99	$0.185	37%	+102%	5.8%	moderado	$1,149

Zelenskyy # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 49 · proyeccion 68.7 ± 8.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.040	9%	+119%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,951
40-59	$0.116	12%	+6%	0.2%	moderado	$1,555

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 842 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.6%Sobre-dispersion: 2.85x21 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 13 · proyeccion 38.7 ± 8.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
<20	$0.009	1%	+46%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,560
40-59	$0.375	46%	+21%	3.2%	escalable	$4,558

NYC Mayor # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 29 · proyeccion 36.4 ± 4.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.665	75%	+13%	6.2%	escalable	$13,464

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 462 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 20.9%Sobre-dispersion: 5.31x21 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 4 · proyeccion 20.5 ± 9.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.265	52%	+96%	8.7%	escalable	$2,257
40-59	$0.014	2%	+50%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$471

CZ # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 14 · proyeccion 19.1 ± 5.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.320	47%	+47%	5.5%	escalable	$3,734

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 151 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 15.2%Sobre-dispersion: 11.35x10 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 4.6 ± 7.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.006	6%	+981%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$297
10-14	$0.045	16%	+262%	3.1%	cautela (no operable)	$410
20-24	$0.005	2%	+225%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$187
5-9	$0.225	26%	+14%	1.0%	escalable	$682

Khamenei # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 1 · proyeccion 2.3 ± 3.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
5-9	$0.075	26%	+241%	4.9%	cautela (no operable)	$2,790
10-14	$0.016	3%	+99%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$1,241