CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Elon Musk	1000+	$0.140	72%	+411%	16.7%	moderado	$4,251
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	100-119	$0.120	39%	+222%	7.5%	moderado	$74
Ali Khamenei	5-9	$0.105	20%	+94%	2.8%	moderado	$5,197
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.315	58%	+85%	9.8%	escalable	$792
Elon Musk	200-219	$0.125	22%	+73%	2.6%	moderado	$107,490
Ali Khamenei	10-14	$0.105	18%	+68%	2.0%	moderado	$0
Ted Cruz	100-119	$0.220	34%	+55%	3.9%	escalable	$348
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.400	60%	+49%	8.1%	escalable	$1,395
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.170	23%	+38%	1.9%	moderado	$216
Donald Trump	200+	$0.215	29%	+33%	2.3%	escalable	$1,147
Donald Trump	160-179	$0.195	25%	+29%	1.8%	moderado	$3,709
Donald Trump	140-159	$0.180	22%	+20%	1.1%	moderado	$959

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,229 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.5%Sobre-dispersion: 25.56x40 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 32% del periodo

lleva 220 · proyeccion 1084.4 ± 148.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.140	72%	+411%	16.7%	moderado	$4,251
960-999	$0.068	8%	+23%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$3,782

Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 328.4 ± 91.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
400-419	$0.002	6%	+3823%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$6,386
380-399	$0.003	7%	+2686%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$1,728
500+	$0.002	3%	+1962%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$20,335
340-359	$0.005	8%	+1439%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,375
360-379	$0.005	8%	+1330%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$1,313
320-339	$0.009	9%	+922%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,747
300-319	$0.015	9%	+449%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$2,471
280-299	$0.029	8%	+174%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$5,812
260-279	$0.055	7%	+29%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$639
80-99	$0.003	0%	+18%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$14,839

Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 68 · proyeccion 244.1 ± 67.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
320-339	$0.002	5%	+3432%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$44,479
340-359	$0.002	3%	+2218%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$47,155
300-319	$0.004	7%	+1748%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$39,367
280-299	$0.009	9%	+1010%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$28,702
260-279	$0.021	11%	+438%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$16,530
100-119	$0.004	2%	+360%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$64,763
240-259	$0.045	12%	+162%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$13,788
220-239	$0.105	12%	+10%	0.3%	moderado	$12,746
120-139	$0.025	3%	+9%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$63,738

Elon Musk # tweets August 10 - August 12, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 91.4 ± 48.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-164	$0.003	9%	+3681%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$1,208
165-189	$0.002	4%	+2830%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,375
115-139	$0.011	16%	+1390%	3.7%	cautela (no operable)	$1,081
90-114	$0.055	20%	+262%	3.8%	cautela (no operable)	$1,111

Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 152 · proyeccion 201.5 ± 35.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
240-259	$0.004	9%	+2508%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$104,990
260-279	$0.002	4%	+2392%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$105,186
140-159	$0.004	8%	+1637%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$198,602
220-239	$0.015	16%	+957%	3.8%	cautela (no operable)	$95,601
280-299	$0.002	1%	+650%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$98,621
200-219	$0.125	22%	+73%	2.6%	moderado	$107,490

Elon Musk # tweets August 8 - August 10, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 36 · proyeccion 47.3 ± 17.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
65-89	$0.005	15%	+2619%	3.6%	cautela (no operable)	$92,065

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,354 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.3%Sobre-dispersion: 11.9x24 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 172.7 ± 45.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.006	11%	+1762%	2.7%	cautela (no operable)	$120
100-119	$0.006	7%	+1019%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$120
80-99	$0.005	3%	+506%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$149
140-159	$0.055	15%	+179%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$268
60-79	$0.006	1%	+128%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$169

White House # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 49 · proyeccion 153.3 ± 35.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.003	11%	+3407%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$453
120-139	$0.007	18%	+2455%	4.3%	cautela (no operable)	$656
140-159	$0.043	22%	+411%	4.7%	cautela (no operable)	$1,250

White House # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 134 · proyeccion 162.7 ± 18.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.006	9%	+1358%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$3,168
140-159	$0.050	33%	+559%	7.3%	cautela (no operable)	$6,933

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,098 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.2%Sobre-dispersion: 14.42x29 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 171.5 ± 49.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.002	0%	+90%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$567
40-59	$0.004	1%	+82%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$331
200+	$0.215	29%	+33%	2.3%	escalable	$1,147

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 62 · proyeccion 153.0 ± 36.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.005	5%	+783%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,092
60-79	$0.004	2%	+365%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$2,117
100-119	$0.036	11%	+199%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,710
140-159	$0.180	22%	+20%	1.1%	moderado	$959
120-139	$0.165	18%	+7%	0.4%	moderado	$1,531

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 156 · proyeccion 188.2 ± 21.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.007	8%	+1038%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$3,903
160-179	$0.195	25%	+29%	1.8%	moderado	$3,709

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,493 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.8%Sobre-dispersion: 5.55x22 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 131.7 ± 27.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.170	23%	+38%	1.9%	moderado	$216
60-79	$0.021	2%	+10%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$511

Ted Cruz # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 42 · proyeccion 118.6 ± 20.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.091	15%	+62%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$417
100-119	$0.220	34%	+55%	3.9%	escalable	$348
60-79	$0.018	3%	+50%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$124
120-139	$0.285	33%	+15%	1.5%	escalable	$412

Ted Cruz # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 136 · proyeccion 156.5 ± 10.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.002	6%	+3601%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$1,089
140-159	$0.520	56%	+7%	1.9%	escalable	$2,835

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,652 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.1%Sobre-dispersion: 3.06x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 100.8 ± 17.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.120	39%	+222%	7.5%	moderado	$74
120-139	$0.049	13%	+164%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$40

Zelenskyy # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 20 · proyeccion 79.6 ± 13.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.395	43%	+10%	1.6%	escalable	$696

Zelenskyy # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 50 · proyeccion 69.1 ± 7.6

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 809 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.8%Sobre-dispersion: 2.92x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 46.8 ± 11.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.079	14%	+73%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$811
40-59	$0.400	60%	+49%	8.1%	escalable	$1,395
<20	$0.009	1%	+8%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$635

NYC Mayor # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 14 · proyeccion 39.2 ± 8.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
<20	$0.004	1%	+170%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,463
40-59	$0.420	48%	+14%	2.5%	escalable	$4,187

NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 29 · proyeccion 35.8 ± 4.5

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 448 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 22.1%Sobre-dispersion: 5.41x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 27.0 ± 12.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.011	15%	+1233%	3.4%	cautela (no operable)	$20
20-39	$0.315	58%	+85%	9.8%	escalable	$792

CZ # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 16.0 ± 9.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.085	35%	+309%	7.2%	cautela (no operable)	$847

CZ # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 6 · proyeccion 10.3 ± 4.9

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 149 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 16.9%Sobre-dispersion: 13.08x9 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 8.9 ± 10.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
30-34	$0.006	2%	+218%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$12
10-14	$0.105	18%	+68%	2.0%	moderado	$0
15-19	$0.095	14%	+46%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$0
20-24	$0.083	9%	+7%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$11
25-29	$0.043	5%	+6%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$70

Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 4.8 ± 8.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.039	17%	+328%	3.3%	cautela (no operable)	$319
15-19	$0.028	8%	+185%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$128
20-24	$0.023	3%	+13%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$117

Khamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 1.4 ± 4.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.013	3%	+118%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$2,972
5-9	$0.105	20%	+94%	2.8%	moderado	$5,197