CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.120	61%	+406%	13.8%	moderado	$93
Elon Musk	1000+	$0.335	100%	+198%	25.0%	escalable	$2,045
Ali Khamenei	5-9	$0.115	25%	+117%	3.8%	moderado	$712
Ted Cruz	120-139	$0.165	30%	+81%	4.0%	moderado	$180
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	120-139	$0.115	21%	+79%	2.6%	moderado	$41
Donald Trump	160-179	$0.120	20%	+68%	2.3%	moderado	$1,028
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.110	18%	+64%	2.0%	moderado	$4,709
Elon Musk	200-219	$0.110	18%	+62%	1.9%	moderado	$51,839
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	100-119	$0.210	33%	+56%	3.7%	escalable	$1,438
The White House	140-159	$0.242	38%	+55%	4.4%	escalable	$4,053
The White House	200+	$0.245	36%	+47%	3.8%	escalable	$506
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	100-119	$0.190	28%	+46%	2.7%	moderado	$105

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,856 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.5%Sobre-dispersion: 25.63x43 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 2444.7 ± 250.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.335	100%	+198%	25.0%	escalable	$2,045

Elon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 342.2 ± 93.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
420-439	$0.002	6%	+3577%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$5,616
500+	$0.002	5%	+3001%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$9,467
460-479	$0.002	3%	+2158%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$5,540
380-399	$0.004	7%	+2040%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$6,369
440-459	$0.003	4%	+1669%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$5,994
480-499	$0.002	2%	+1553%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$5,540
400-419	$0.004	7%	+1544%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$6,777
360-379	$0.005	8%	+1382%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$5,845
340-359	$0.011	8%	+707%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$2,457
320-339	$0.015	8%	+462%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$2,320
300-319	$0.026	8%	+202%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$1,868
280-299	$0.035	7%	+110%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$3,654
260-279	$0.055	6%	+14%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$2,719

Elon Musk # tweets August 28 - September 4, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 70 · proyeccion 263.7 ± 70.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
380-399	$0.003	2%	+827%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$12,309
400-419	$0.002	1%	+797%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$17,092
360-379	$0.005	4%	+637%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$17,328
320-339	$0.013	7%	+442%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$21,202
340-359	$0.011	5%	+391%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$19,823
420-439	$0.002	1%	+381%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$14,827
300-319	$0.022	9%	+316%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$23,362
80-99	$0.002	1%	+261%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$55,125
280-299	$0.041	11%	+158%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$14,823
100-119	$0.005	1%	+90%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$29,358
260-279	$0.071	11%	+57%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$13,254
120-139	$0.015	2%	+20%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$30,752

Elon Musk # tweets August 31 - September 2, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 109.7 ± 53.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
165-189	$0.002	8%	+5534%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$2,144
190-214	$0.002	4%	+2707%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$479
140-164	$0.009	14%	+1335%	3.2%	cautela (no operable)	$2,211
115-139	$0.030	18%	+480%	3.8%	cautela (no operable)	$1,681
90-114	$0.055	18%	+235%	3.4%	cautela (no operable)	$2,829

Elon Musk # tweets August 25 - September 1, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 127 · proyeccion 194.9 ± 41.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
260-279	$0.004	4%	+1026%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$46,364
240-259	$0.011	8%	+611%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$50,970
280-299	$0.003	2%	+507%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$42,016
120-139	$0.011	6%	+441%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$118,405
220-239	$0.034	14%	+303%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$57,597
200-219	$0.110	18%	+62%	1.9%	moderado	$51,839

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 97% del periodo

lleva 850 · proyeccion 897.1 ± 34.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
960-999	$0.003	3%	+1051%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$34,868
920-959	$0.025	22%	+775%	5.1%	cautela (no operable)	$35,249

Elon Musk # tweets August 29 - August 31, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 41 · proyeccion 72.0 ± 28.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
115-139	$0.006	6%	+854%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$48,790
90-114	$0.051	20%	+298%	4.0%	cautela (no operable)	$58,237
65-89	$0.310	34%	+9%	1.0%	escalable	$54,502

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,908 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 6.9%Sobre-dispersion: 10.27x27 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts September 1 - September 8, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 183.9 ± 43.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.005	4%	+683%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$19
80-99	$0.005	2%	+225%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$11
140-159	$0.075	13%	+78%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$17
200+	$0.245	36%	+47%	3.8%	escalable	$506
60-79	$0.005	1%	+10%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$23
120-139	$0.079	8%	+7%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$37

White House # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 42 · proyeccion 155.2 ± 34.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.006	18%	+2595%	4.2%	cautela (no operable)	$276
100-119	$0.011	10%	+777%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$324
80-99	$0.011	4%	+246%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$168
140-159	$0.097	23%	+135%	3.6%	cautela (no operable)	$316
60-79	$0.005	1%	+95%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$223

White House # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 120 · proyeccion 156.1 ± 19.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.011	17%	+1405%	3.9%	cautela (no operable)	$2,484
180-199	$0.050	10%	+100%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$5,552
140-159	$0.242	38%	+55%	4.4%	escalable	$4,053

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,681 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 11.2%Sobre-dispersion: 14.76x32 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 1 - September 8, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 184.7 ± 52.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.006	3%	+390%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$147
120-139	$0.026	9%	+230%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$269
100-119	$0.019	5%	+187%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$140
60-79	$0.005	1%	+149%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$161
160-179	$0.105	15%	+39%	1.1%	moderado	$289
140-159	$0.090	12%	+35%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$565
180-199	$0.135	15%	+12%	0.5%	moderado	$395
40-59	$0.005	1%	+11%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$164

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 28 - September 4, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 62 · proyeccion 164.0 ± 38.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.003	14%	+4504%	3.4%	cautela (no operable)	$555
100-119	$0.003	8%	+2482%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$452
80-99	$0.003	3%	+1016%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$343
140-159	$0.034	19%	+467%	4.0%	cautela (no operable)	$623
60-79	$0.006	1%	+86%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$375
160-179	$0.120	20%	+68%	2.3%	moderado	$1,028
180-199	$0.135	16%	+22%	0.9%	moderado	$1,349

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 25 - September 1, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 177 · proyeccion 217.0 ± 24.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
180-199	$0.034	17%	+420%	3.6%	cautela (no operable)	$5,148

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,979 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.6%Sobre-dispersion: 7.13x25 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts September 1 - September 8, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 145.3 ± 32.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.165	22%	+32%	1.6%	moderado	$44
180-199	$0.090	10%	+9%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$24

Ted Cruz # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 34 · proyeccion 122.4 ± 25.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.005	14%	+2641%	3.3%	cautela (no operable)	$178
100-119	$0.050	27%	+446%	5.9%	cautela (no operable)	$139
120-139	$0.165	30%	+81%	4.0%	moderado	$180
60-79	$0.029	4%	+28%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$116

Ted Cruz # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 136 · proyeccion 163.8 ± 14.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.028	34%	+1104%	8.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,819
120-139	$0.021	4%	+101%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$1,082

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,969 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.2%Sobre-dispersion: 7.3x23 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts September 1 - September 8, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 107.2 ± 28.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.115	21%	+79%	2.6%	moderado	$41
140-159	$0.058	9%	+62%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$20
100-119	$0.190	28%	+46%	2.7%	moderado	$105

Zelenskyy # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 19 · proyeccion 82.6 ± 21.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.075	17%	+131%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$586
40-59	$0.054	12%	+121%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$273
20-39	$0.011	2%	+100%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$176
80-99	$0.305	34%	+12%	1.3%	escalable	$622

Zelenskyy # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 102 · proyeccion 124.3 ± 12.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.210	33%	+56%	3.7%	escalable	$1,438

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 900 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.6%Sobre-dispersion: 2.8x23 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts September 1 - September 8, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 47.5 ± 11.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.006	15%	+2335%	3.5%	cautela (no operable)	$67
40-59	$0.120	61%	+406%	13.8%	moderado	$93

NYC Mayor # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 5 · proyeccion 31.7 ± 8.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
<20	$0.015	8%	+409%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$380
40-59	$0.090	18%	+103%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$540

NYC Mayor # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 25 · proyeccion 33.5 ± 4.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.040	11%	+178%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,953

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 526 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 21.9%Sobre-dispersion: 5.11x23 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts September 1 - September 8, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 27.9 ± 11.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.480	59%	+24%	5.5%	escalable	$228

CZ # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 19 · proyeccion 36.1 ± 9.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.312	35%	+12%	1.4%	escalable	$133

CZ # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 39 · proyeccion 44.2 ± 5.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.110	18%	+64%	2.0%	moderado	$4,709

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 152 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 15.1%Sobre-dispersion: 12.17x10 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts September 1 - September 8, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 8.2 ± 10.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.057	18%	+223%	3.4%	cautela (no operable)	$20
5-9	$0.090	20%	+118%	2.9%	cautela (no operable)	$20
20-24	$0.059	8%	+33%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$20

Khamenei # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 4.5 ± 7.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.005	7%	+1257%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$306
10-14	$0.013	16%	+1146%	3.8%	cautela (no operable)	$388
20-24	$0.005	2%	+267%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$278
5-9	$0.115	25%	+117%	3.8%	moderado	$712

Khamenei # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 1.3 ± 4.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
5-9	$0.031	19%	+524%	4.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,016
10-14	$0.005	2%	+268%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$1,485