CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Elon Musk	1000+	$0.185	78%	+320%	18.1%	moderado	$3,440
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.340	54%	+60%	7.7%	escalable	$340
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.280	41%	+45%	4.4%	escalable	$2,309
Donald Trump	140-159	$0.145	20%	+37%	1.6%	moderado	$1,876
Elon Musk	<40	$0.190	25%	+33%	1.9%	moderado	$51,895
The White House	160-179	$0.210	28%	+31%	2.0%	escalable	$2,298
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.360	45%	+25%	3.5%	escalable	$1,702
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.305	35%	+16%	1.8%	escalable	$2,538
Donald Trump	100-119	$0.140	15%	+9%	0.4%	moderado	$1,030
Donald Trump	180-199	$0.190	20%	+7%	0.4%	moderado	$2,437
Donald Trump	160-179	$0.125	13%	+7%	0.2%	moderado	$1,122
Elon Musk	220-239	$0.125	13%	+6%	0.2%	moderado	$34,652

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,176 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.4%Sobre-dispersion: 25.64x39 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 23% del periodo

lleva 161 · proyeccion 1118.7 ± 156.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.185	78%	+320%	18.1%	moderado	$3,440

Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 9 · proyeccion 276.3 ± 82.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
360-379	$0.003	5%	+1946%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$12,955
380-399	$0.002	4%	+1795%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$17,539
340-359	$0.004	7%	+1761%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$19,365
320-339	$0.007	8%	+944%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$5,783
80-99	$0.002	1%	+409%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$32,369
300-319	$0.018	9%	+393%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$5,750
280-299	$0.033	9%	+192%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$8,720
260-279	$0.065	10%	+47%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$3,615
100-119	$0.010	1%	+28%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$30,805
240-259	$0.085	9%	+7%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,994

Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 93 · proyeccion 233.7 ± 60.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
320-339	$0.003	4%	+1398%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$30,354
340-359	$0.002	2%	+1296%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$31,794
300-319	$0.004	6%	+1234%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$45,910
280-299	$0.011	9%	+649%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$34,251
260-279	$0.022	11%	+393%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$38,483
120-139	$0.011	3%	+171%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$64,303
240-259	$0.057	13%	+126%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$31,781
220-239	$0.125	13%	+6%	0.2%	moderado	$34,652

Elon Musk # tweets August 8 - August 10, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 102.5 ± 51.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-164	$0.003	12%	+4776%	3.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,305
165-189	$0.002	7%	+4456%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$1,274
115-139	$0.011	17%	+1397%	4.1%	cautela (no operable)	$4,027
90-114	$0.050	19%	+285%	3.8%	cautela (no operable)	$2,541

Elon Musk # tweets August 6 - August 8, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 27 · proyeccion 56.2 ± 27.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
90-114	$0.006	10%	+1483%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$44,167
115-139	$0.002	2%	+920%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$38,087
65-89	$0.085	27%	+216%	5.0%	cautela (no operable)	$30,886
<40	$0.190	25%	+33%	1.9%	moderado	$51,895

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,312 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.3%Sobre-dispersion: 11.94x24 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 16 · proyeccion 150.1 ± 40.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.003	17%	+5682%	4.3%	cautela (no operable)	$317
140-159	$0.004	20%	+4286%	4.8%	cautela (no operable)	$320
100-119	$0.004	12%	+3310%	2.9%	cautela (no operable)	$397
60-79	$0.002	3%	+1255%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$377
80-99	$0.016	6%	+302%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$359

White House # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 101 · proyeccion 159.5 ± 26.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.007	28%	+3838%	6.8%	cautela (no operable)	$884
120-139	$0.005	16%	+3096%	3.9%	cautela (no operable)	$375
100-119	$0.002	5%	+2580%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$455
160-179	$0.210	28%	+31%	2.0%	escalable	$2,298

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,037 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.2%Sobre-dispersion: 14.45x29 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 3 · proyeccion 135.0 ± 43.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.006	3%	+324%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$307
80-99	$0.045	11%	+134%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$540
60-79	$0.026	6%	+126%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$311
100-119	$0.140	15%	+9%	0.4%	moderado	$1,030
160-179	$0.125	13%	+7%	0.2%	moderado	$1,122

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 97 · proyeccion 170.1 ± 32.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.007	4%	+497%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$2,826
120-139	$0.048	11%	+139%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$1,504
140-159	$0.145	20%	+37%	1.6%	moderado	$1,876
180-199	$0.190	20%	+7%	0.4%	moderado	$2,437

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,454 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.8%Sobre-dispersion: 5.55x22 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 4 · proyeccion 107.6 ± 24.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.030	10%	+222%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$87

Ted Cruz # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 98 · proyeccion 145.5 ± 16.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.051	30%	+485%	6.6%	cautela (no operable)	$530
140-159	$0.360	45%	+25%	3.5%	escalable	$1,702

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,634 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.0%Sobre-dispersion: 3.09x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 5 · proyeccion 83.2 ± 15.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.085	14%	+62%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$172

Zelenskyy # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 35 · proyeccion 72.7 ± 10.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.085	11%	+29%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$240
80-99	$0.245	26%	+5%	0.4%	escalable	$1,699

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 795 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.6%Sobre-dispersion: 2.92x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 37.5 ± 10.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.280	41%	+45%	4.4%	escalable	$2,309

NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 15 · proyeccion 34.1 ± 7.5

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 448 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 22.1%Sobre-dispersion: 5.41x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 22.3 ± 11.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.021	6%	+174%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$58
20-39	$0.340	54%	+60%	7.7%	escalable	$340

CZ # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 6 · proyeccion 16.7 ± 7.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.305	35%	+16%	1.8%	escalable	$2,538

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 149 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 16.9%Sobre-dispersion: 13.08x9 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 6.7 ± 9.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-24	$0.013	6%	+359%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$52
10-14	$0.065	18%	+177%	3.1%	cautela (no operable)	$168
15-19	$0.043	12%	+172%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$53
30-34	$0.005	1%	+9%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$52

Khamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 3.3 ± 6.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.006	4%	+454%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$1,252
10-14	$0.032	13%	+296%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$2,068