CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	60-79	$0.135	57%	+319%	12.4%	moderado	$2,661
Elon Musk	1000+	$0.255	76%	+198%	16.9%	escalable	$31,586
Ted Cruz	160-179	$0.105	21%	+99%	2.9%	moderado	$0
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.130	25%	+89%	3.3%	moderado	$0
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.200	36%	+79%	4.9%	escalable	$139
CZ (Binance)	<20	$0.240	39%	+64%	5.0%	escalable	$100
The White House	180-199	$0.100	15%	+51%	1.4%	moderado	$250
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.425	61%	+44%	8.1%	escalable	$0
Donald Trump	100-119	$0.135	18%	+33%	1.3%	moderado	$1,677
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	100-119	$0.220	29%	+32%	2.3%	escalable	$1,319
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	80-99	$0.180	23%	+28%	1.5%	moderado	$901
Donald Trump	120-139	$0.155	20%	+27%	1.2%	moderado	$2,178

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 12,930 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.0%Sobre-dispersion: 24.84x48 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026? 23% del periodo

lleva 179 · proyeccion 1106.6 ± 151.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.255	76%	+198%	16.9%	escalable	$31,586

Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 340.5 ± 92.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
380-399	$0.002	8%	+3659%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$1,305
420-439	$0.002	5%	+3522%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$5,701
340-359	$0.003	9%	+3347%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$3,259
400-419	$0.002	7%	+3171%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$2,710
440-459	$0.002	4%	+2768%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$10,940
500+	$0.002	4%	+2696%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$17,645
360-379	$0.003	8%	+2647%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$2,354
460-479	$0.002	3%	+2068%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$10,535
320-339	$0.004	9%	+2049%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$9,589
480-499	$0.002	2%	+1462%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$11,035
300-319	$0.011	8%	+611%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$3,086
280-299	$0.023	7%	+223%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$2,674
260-279	$0.049	6%	+33%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$471

Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 17 · proyeccion 235.6 ± 73.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.005	5%	+995%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$20,276
160-179	$0.018	7%	+313%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$25,896
380-399	$0.005	1%	+125%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$18,199
360-379	$0.009	2%	+120%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$10,676
400-419	$0.004	1%	+94%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$21,941
340-359	$0.022	3%	+46%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$12,406
420-439	$0.003	0%	+38%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$14,357
440-459	$0.002	0%	+9%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$22,261

Elon Musk # tweets October 8 - October 10, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 113.7 ± 53.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-164	$0.002	14%	+7108%	3.6%	cautela (no operable)	$3,574
165-189	$0.002	9%	+6082%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$2,997
115-139	$0.007	18%	+2304%	4.3%	cautela (no operable)	$1,228
90-114	$0.068	18%	+169%	3.1%	cautela (no operable)	$3,200

Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 118 · proyeccion 192.3 ± 43.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.002	16%	+7908%	4.0%	cautela (no operable)	$191,295
180-199	$0.025	18%	+649%	4.1%	cautela (no operable)	$177,639

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 6,123 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 6.8%Sobre-dispersion: 12.01x32 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 205.7 ± 49.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.006	8%	+1206%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$55
120-139	$0.009	5%	+426%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$35
100-119	$0.011	3%	+139%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$25
160-179	$0.074	12%	+65%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$177
180-199	$0.100	15%	+51%	1.4%	moderado	$250
80-99	$0.010	1%	+8%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$53

White House # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 18 · proyeccion 140.1 ± 38.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.005	15%	+2917%	3.7%	cautela (no operable)	$198
120-139	$0.010	20%	+1885%	4.8%	cautela (no operable)	$275
80-99	$0.005	9%	+1656%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$265
60-79	$0.003	4%	+1205%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$298
140-159	$0.028	20%	+627%	4.4%	cautela (no operable)	$315
40-59	$0.005	1%	+167%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$278

White House # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 127 · proyeccion 173.9 ± 23.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.015	32%	+2042%	7.8%	cautela (no operable)	$542
180-199	$0.017	27%	+1466%	6.3%	cautela (no operable)	$2,689

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 5,455 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.5%Sobre-dispersion: 13.72x37 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 177.1 ± 49.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.050	6%	+27%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$0
200+	$0.260	32%	+25%	2.2%	escalable	$961

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 10 · proyeccion 127.1 ± 40.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.009	3%	+270%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$647
60-79	$0.034	7%	+114%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$455
100-119	$0.135	18%	+33%	1.3%	moderado	$1,677
120-139	$0.155	20%	+27%	1.2%	moderado	$2,178
80-99	$0.104	13%	+23%	0.7%	moderado	$1,540
<20	$0.003	0%	+16%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$92

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 112 · proyeccion 144.9 ± 21.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
180-199	$0.021	5%	+127%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$4,472
100-119	$0.049	10%	+106%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$1,881
120-139	$0.262	28%	+8%	0.7%	escalable	$3,965

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 3,584 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.0%Sobre-dispersion: 6.73x30 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 151.0 ± 31.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.105	21%	+99%	2.9%	moderado	$0
140-159	$0.130	25%	+89%	3.3%	moderado	$0
180-199	$0.075	12%	+62%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$0

Ted Cruz # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 12 · proyeccion 102.4 ± 24.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.015	14%	+805%	3.1%	cautela (no operable)	$133

Ted Cruz # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 65 · proyeccion 99.3 ± 15.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.005	9%	+1732%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$448
80-99	$0.070	41%	+483%	9.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,104

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 2,432 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.6%Sobre-dispersion: 6.63x28 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 107.6 ± 26.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.005	3%	+454%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$57
120-139	$0.045	21%	+371%	4.4%	cautela (no operable)	$138
160-179	$0.005	2%	+309%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$36
140-159	$0.029	9%	+206%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$115
100-119	$0.220	29%	+32%	2.3%	escalable	$1,319

Zelenskyy # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 3 · proyeccion 68.5 ± 20.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.010	7%	+627%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$659
40-59	$0.073	25%	+244%	4.8%	cautela (no operable)	$449
<20	$0.005	1%	+78%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$702
80-99	$0.180	23%	+28%	1.5%	moderado	$901

Zelenskyy # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 51 · proyeccion 73.4 ± 12.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.005	12%	+2391%	3.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,298
60-79	$0.135	57%	+319%	12.4%	moderado	$2,661

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 1,091 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.2%Sobre-dispersion: 2.57x28 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 48.2 ± 11.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.005	15%	+2676%	3.7%	cautela (no operable)	$505
40-59	$0.085	63%	+639%	14.8%	cautela (no operable)	$253

NYC Mayor # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 6 · proyeccion 36.4 ± 8.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.200	36%	+79%	4.9%	escalable	$139

NYC Mayor # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 26 · proyeccion 36.0 ± 5.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.038	24%	+536%	5.3%	cautela (no operable)	$1,106

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 658 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 19.0%Sobre-dispersion: 4.34x28 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 30.6 ± 11.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.425	61%	+44%	8.1%	escalable	$0
40-59	$0.170	21%	+26%	1.3%	moderado	$0
60-79	$0.005	1%	+10%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$10

CZ # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 3 · proyeccion 21.8 ± 9.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
<20	$0.240	39%	+64%	5.0%	escalable	$100

CZ # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 17 · proyeccion 24.5 ± 5.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
<20	$0.050	19%	+279%	3.7%	cautela (no operable)	$1,857

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 158 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 15.0%Sobre-dispersion: 16.61x10 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 7.4 ± 11.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
5-9	$0.015	18%	+1125%	4.1%	cautela (no operable)	$105
15-19	$0.011	12%	+1079%	2.9%	cautela (no operable)	$19
10-14	$0.014	16%	+1070%	3.8%	cautela (no operable)	$92
20-24	$0.016	8%	+379%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$126
25-29	$0.014	4%	+178%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$105
30-34	$0.011	2%	+54%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$30
35-39	$0.004	1%	+23%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$268

Khamenei # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 2 · proyeccion 6.9 ± 9.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.009	19%	+1867%	4.5%	cautela (no operable)	$369
15-19	$0.011	12%	+972%	2.7%	cautela (no operable)	$400
5-9	$0.075	22%	+192%	3.9%	cautela (no operable)	$190
25-29	$0.015	2%	+31%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$318

Khamenei # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 3 · proyeccion 5.0 ± 5.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.005	17%	+3256%	4.1%	cautela (no operable)	$612
15-19	$0.004	4%	+871%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$567
5-9	$0.260	32%	+22%	1.9%	escalable	$644