CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Elon Musk	1000+	$0.120	70%	+483%	16.5%	moderado	$4,581
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.250	58%	+132%	11.0%	escalable	$1,186
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	100-119	$0.125	29%	+132%	4.7%	moderado	$74
The White House	140-159	$0.107	23%	+113%	3.4%	moderado	$1,317
Ted Cruz	100-119	$0.170	35%	+104%	5.3%	moderado	$368
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.340	58%	+72%	9.3%	escalable	$2,979
Elon Musk	200-219	$0.135	23%	+71%	2.8%	moderado	$127,146
Donald Trump	160-179	$0.220	32%	+45%	3.1%	escalable	$4,009
Ted Cruz	80-99	$0.106	14%	+31%	0.9%	moderado	$435
Ted Cruz	120-139	$0.275	34%	+24%	2.2%	escalable	$443
Donald Trump	120-139	$0.160	20%	+23%	1.1%	moderado	$1,560
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.170	20%	+20%	1.0%	moderado	$216

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,235 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.5%Sobre-dispersion: 25.56x40 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 32% del periodo

lleva 227 · proyeccion 1076.8 ± 147.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.120	70%	+483%	16.5%	moderado	$4,581
960-999	$0.049	9%	+79%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$3,782

Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 314.1 ± 89.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
400-419	$0.002	5%	+3269%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$7,938
420-439	$0.002	4%	+2493%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$13,032
440-459	$0.002	3%	+1800%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$10,255
380-399	$0.004	6%	+1684%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$2,381
360-379	$0.004	7%	+1532%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$1,758
340-359	$0.005	8%	+1395%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$4,155
500+	$0.002	2%	+1184%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$22,904
320-339	$0.009	9%	+930%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$2,122
300-319	$0.019	9%	+355%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$4,921
280-299	$0.025	9%	+249%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$6,802
260-279	$0.050	8%	+57%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$656
80-99	$0.003	0%	+56%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$16,239

Elon Musk # tweets August 13 - August 15, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 203.2 ± 72.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
240+	$0.006	31%	+5019%	7.6%	cautela (no operable)	$18
190-214	$0.006	14%	+2195%	3.3%	cautela (no operable)	$18
215-239	$0.006	13%	+2074%	3.1%	cautela (no operable)	$18
165-189	$0.006	13%	+2050%	3.1%	cautela (no operable)	$541
140-164	$0.006	11%	+1688%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$541
115-139	$0.017	8%	+380%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$540

Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 75 · proyeccion 236.9 ± 64.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
320-339	$0.002	4%	+2845%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$45,320
300-319	$0.004	7%	+1541%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$40,476
280-299	$0.006	9%	+1264%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$33,615
260-279	$0.017	11%	+559%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$22,483
100-119	$0.004	2%	+292%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$70,146
240-259	$0.055	12%	+120%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$17,238
220-239	$0.095	12%	+29%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$18,129
120-139	$0.026	3%	+19%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$71,293

Elon Musk # tweets August 10 - August 12, 2026? 50% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 77.2 ± 44.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-164	$0.002	6%	+3609%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$2,502
115-139	$0.006	12%	+1748%	2.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,690
90-114	$0.046	19%	+314%	3.8%	cautela (no operable)	$1,805
65-89	$0.205	22%	+8%	0.5%	escalable	$3,239

Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 159 · proyeccion 194.3 ± 30.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
240-259	$0.003	5%	+1954%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$121,453
220-239	$0.013	13%	+978%	3.1%	cautela (no operable)	$112,474
200-219	$0.135	23%	+71%	2.8%	moderado	$127,146

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,354 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.3%Sobre-dispersion: 11.9x24 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 165.5 ± 44.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.007	13%	+1742%	3.1%	cautela (no operable)	$120
100-119	$0.006	8%	+1257%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$120
80-99	$0.005	4%	+666%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$149
60-79	$0.006	2%	+197%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$169
140-159	$0.089	17%	+87%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$268
40-59	$0.005	1%	+24%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$987

White House # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 58 · proyeccion 155.2 ± 34.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.003	10%	+3748%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$453
80-99	$0.004	4%	+978%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$724
120-139	$0.053	18%	+231%	3.2%	cautela (no operable)	$721
140-159	$0.107	23%	+113%	3.4%	moderado	$1,317

White House # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 143 · proyeccion 164.6 ± 16.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.037	32%	+744%	7.2%	cautela (no operable)	$7,942
200+	$0.011	1%	+34%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$11,958

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,099 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.2%Sobre-dispersion: 14.43x29 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 163.5 ± 48.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.003	1%	+332%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$339
20-39	$0.002	0%	+156%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$587
80-99	$0.045	5%	+16%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$973
200+	$0.205	23%	+12%	0.8%	escalable	$1,157

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 65 · proyeccion 148.1 ± 34.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.008	6%	+604%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,623
60-79	$0.004	2%	+429%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$2,357
100-119	$0.035	12%	+260%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$1,710
120-139	$0.160	20%	+23%	1.1%	moderado	$1,560

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 159 · proyeccion 183.3 ± 18.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.220	32%	+45%	3.1%	escalable	$4,009

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,496 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.8%Sobre-dispersion: 5.54x22 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 126.2 ± 26.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.021	3%	+57%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$511
140-159	$0.170	20%	+20%	1.0%	moderado	$216

Ted Cruz # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 48 · proyeccion 119.0 ± 19.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.170	35%	+104%	5.3%	moderado	$368
80-99	$0.106	14%	+31%	0.9%	moderado	$435
60-79	$0.017	2%	+28%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$124
120-139	$0.275	34%	+24%	2.2%	escalable	$443

Ted Cruz # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 142 · proyeccion 156.9 ± 9.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
180-199	$0.005	1%	+19%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,991
140-159	$0.525	58%	+11%	3.1%	escalable	$3,522

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,654 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.1%Sobre-dispersion: 3.06x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 92.9 ± 16.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.125	29%	+132%	4.7%	moderado	$74
120-139	$0.040	5%	+37%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$90
80-99	$0.405	44%	+8%	1.4%	escalable	$241

Zelenskyy # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 26 · proyeccion 77.9 ± 12.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.365	41%	+11%	1.6%	escalable	$839

Zelenskyy # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 56 · proyeccion 67.4 ± 5.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.067	9%	+37%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$3,145

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 809 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.8%Sobre-dispersion: 2.92x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 45.3 ± 11.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.340	58%	+72%	9.3%	escalable	$2,979
<20	$0.009	1%	+30%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$635
60-79	$0.084	11%	+29%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$811

NYC Mayor # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 15 · proyeccion 38.7 ± 8.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
<20	$0.005	1%	+91%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,660

NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 30 · proyeccion 35.3 ± 3.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.065	14%	+121%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$4,776

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 448 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 22.1%Sobre-dispersion: 5.41x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 26.2 ± 11.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.006	13%	+1901%	3.1%	cautela (no operable)	$354
20-39	$0.250	58%	+132%	11.0%	escalable	$1,186

CZ # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 15.3 ± 9.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.050	32%	+532%	7.0%	cautela (no operable)	$918

CZ # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 6 · proyeccion 9.6 ± 4.4

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 149 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 16.9%Sobre-dispersion: 13.08x9 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 8.5 ± 10.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
30-34	$0.006	2%	+175%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$12
15-19	$0.055	14%	+148%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$0
20-24	$0.035	8%	+137%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$12
10-14	$0.090	18%	+97%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$0

Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 4.5 ± 7.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.029	16%	+445%	3.4%	cautela (no operable)	$397
15-19	$0.029	7%	+143%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$206
20-24	$0.011	2%	+78%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$195
5-9	$0.205	24%	+18%	1.2%	escalable	$676

Khamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 1.0 ± 3.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
5-9	$0.075	16%	+115%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$5,430