CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Elon Musk	65-89	$0.165	46%	+177%	8.8%	moderado	$92,297
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	80-99	$0.185	40%	+118%	6.7%	moderado	$1,050
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	80-99	$0.105	22%	+108%	3.2%	moderado	$1,164
Donald Trump	160-179	$0.110	22%	+98%	3.0%	moderado	$4,231
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.300	55%	+84%	9.0%	escalable	$1,899
Ali Khamenei	5-9	$0.180	29%	+63%	3.5%	moderado	$2,293
Ted Cruz	180-199	$0.235	36%	+55%	4.2%	escalable	$373
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.385	56%	+46%	7.2%	escalable	$3,339
Ted Cruz	160-179	$0.305	43%	+40%	4.4%	escalable	$742
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.310	40%	+29%	3.2%	escalable	$4,155
Donald Trump	120-139	$0.100	13%	+25%	0.7%	moderado	$697
Donald Trump	140-159	$0.110	12%	+12%	0.4%	moderado	$2,955

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,361 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.5%Sobre-dispersion: 25.6x41 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 48% del periodo

lleva 346 · proyeccion 997.1 ± 129.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.060	49%	+721%	11.5%	cautela (no operable)	$6,478
960-999	$0.022	12%	+454%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$9,396
920-959	$0.053	11%	+110%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$4,524

Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 9 · proyeccion 253.7 ± 79.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
320-339	$0.002	6%	+4148%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$39,149
340-359	$0.002	5%	+3134%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$29,479
300-319	$0.004	8%	+1863%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$14,875
280-299	$0.009	9%	+968%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$15,164
260-279	$0.018	10%	+433%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$4,545
80-99	$0.003	1%	+373%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$45,259
240-259	$0.045	10%	+123%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$3,882
220-239	$0.085	10%	+13%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$4,388

Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 108 · proyeccion 226.8 ± 55.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
300-319	$0.003	5%	+1794%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$50,697
320-339	$0.002	3%	+1628%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$40,123
280-299	$0.004	8%	+1588%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$51,099
260-279	$0.009	11%	+1159%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$51,998
120-139	$0.004	3%	+781%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$107,697
240-259	$0.025	13%	+419%	2.7%	cautela (no operable)	$40,689
220-239	$0.085	14%	+69%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$25,499
140-159	$0.051	5%	+8%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$82,381

Elon Musk # tweets August 13 - August 15, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 56 · proyeccion 64.7 ± 14.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
90-114	$0.005	5%	+865%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$123,492
65-89	$0.165	46%	+177%	8.8%	moderado	$92,297

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,527 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.1%Sobre-dispersion: 11.36x25 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 19 · proyeccion 149.8 ± 38.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.005	18%	+3472%	4.4%	cautela (no operable)	$458
140-159	$0.006	20%	+3311%	5.0%	cautela (no operable)	$522
100-119	$0.005	12%	+2297%	2.9%	cautela (no operable)	$484
80-99	$0.004	6%	+1273%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$747
160-179	$0.019	18%	+848%	4.1%	cautela (no operable)	$699
60-79	$0.004	2%	+444%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$781

White House # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 125 · proyeccion 179.3 ± 24.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.011	29%	+2670%	7.1%	cautela (no operable)	$4,110

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,251 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.6%Sobre-dispersion: 14.22x30 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 42 · proyeccion 167.7 ± 42.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.002	0%	+169%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$3,254
100-119	$0.044	7%	+66%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$506
120-139	$0.100	13%	+25%	0.7%	moderado	$697
160-179	$0.175	19%	+7%	0.4%	moderado	$1,483

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 121 · proyeccion 187.1 ± 30.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.006	5%	+616%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,776
160-179	$0.110	22%	+98%	3.0%	moderado	$4,231
140-159	$0.110	12%	+12%	0.4%	moderado	$2,955

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,655 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 11.0%Sobre-dispersion: 6.01x23 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 39 · proyeccion 138.1 ± 24.4

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

Ted Cruz # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 136 · proyeccion 177.3 ± 15.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.070	12%	+73%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$2,038
180-199	$0.235	36%	+55%	4.2%	escalable	$373
160-179	$0.305	43%	+40%	4.4%	escalable	$742
120-139	$0.006	1%	+35%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$863

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,699 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.4%Sobre-dispersion: 3.21x21 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 5 · proyeccion 79.6 ± 15.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.028	9%	+236%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$479
80-99	$0.185	40%	+118%	6.7%	moderado	$1,050
120-139	$0.004	0%	+40%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$310

Zelenskyy # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 37 · proyeccion 71.4 ± 10.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.105	22%	+108%	3.2%	moderado	$1,164
40-59	$0.115	13%	+10%	0.3%	moderado	$156

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 833 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.8%Sobre-dispersion: 2.94x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 3 · proyeccion 37.3 ± 10.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.009	1%	+42%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$2,394
<20	$0.027	4%	+41%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$1,228
40-59	$0.310	40%	+29%	3.2%	escalable	$4,155

NYC Mayor # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 19 · proyeccion 35.0 ± 6.9

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 459 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 20.9%Sobre-dispersion: 5.31x21 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 2 · proyeccion 22.0 ± 10.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.010	4%	+345%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$463
20-39	$0.300	55%	+84%	9.0%	escalable	$1,899

CZ # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 12 · proyeccion 20.6 ± 6.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.385	56%	+46%	7.2%	escalable	$3,339

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 151 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 15.2%Sobre-dispersion: 11.35x10 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 6.2 ± 8.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.005	11%	+2002%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$280
20-24	$0.005	4%	+742%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$180
25-29	$0.005	1%	+139%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$130
10-14	$0.085	19%	+119%	2.8%	cautela (no operable)	$372
5-9	$0.220	23%	+6%	0.4%	escalable	$564

Khamenei # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 1 · proyeccion 4.0 ± 5.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.008	14%	+1600%	3.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,081
15-19	$0.004	3%	+798%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$897
5-9	$0.180	29%	+63%	3.5%	moderado	$2,293