CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Elon Musk	1000+	$0.200	81%	+306%	19.1%	escalable	$3,210
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	100-119	$0.105	26%	+147%	4.3%	moderado	$129
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	80-99	$0.135	23%	+71%	2.8%	moderado	$5,162
Donald Trump	180-199	$0.130	21%	+62%	2.3%	moderado	$2,233
Donald Trump	160-179	$0.145	21%	+48%	2.0%	moderado	$1,741
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.430	57%	+34%	6.3%	escalable	$260
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.365	48%	+31%	4.4%	escalable	$2,434
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.450	58%	+29%	6.0%	escalable	$6,082
Ted Cruz	120-139	$0.261	34%	+29%	2.6%	escalable	$3,937
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.325	41%	+28%	3.3%	escalable	$295
Donald Trump	160-179	$0.120	15%	+27%	0.9%	moderado	$1,055
Ted Cruz	120-139	$0.215	27%	+26%	1.8%	escalable	$192

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,163 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.4%Sobre-dispersion: 25.55x39 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 23% del periodo

lleva 148 · proyeccion 1140.7 ± 159.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.200	81%	+306%	19.1%	escalable	$3,210

Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 301.4 ± 87.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
400-419	$0.002	4%	+2743%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$4,902
380-399	$0.003	6%	+2098%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$3,065
420-439	$0.002	3%	+1995%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$2,252
440-459	$0.002	2%	+1366%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$6,976
360-379	$0.005	7%	+1123%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$1,652
320-339	$0.011	9%	+721%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$2,496
500+	$0.002	1%	+701%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$19,634
340-359	$0.011	8%	+644%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$3,150
300-319	$0.019	9%	+363%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$2,750
280-299	$0.035	9%	+153%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$4,035
80-99	$0.002	0%	+149%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$18,654

Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 80 · proyeccion 254.4 ± 66.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
360-379	$0.002	3%	+1717%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$23,391
340-359	$0.003	4%	+1641%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$26,288
320-339	$0.004	6%	+1489%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$27,166
300-319	$0.007	8%	+1033%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$32,886
380-399	$0.002	2%	+941%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$24,449
280-299	$0.018	10%	+493%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$21,133
120-139	$0.006	2%	+222%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$45,007
260-279	$0.045	12%	+158%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$16,737
240-259	$0.085	12%	+40%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$19,943
140-159	$0.032	3%	+11%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$30,474

Elon Musk # tweets August 8 - August 10, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 136.2 ± 59.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
165-189	$0.002	13%	+8742%	3.3%	cautela (no operable)	$583
140-164	$0.003	16%	+6380%	4.0%	cautela (no operable)	$583
190-214	$0.002	9%	+5965%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$152
215-239	$0.002	5%	+3386%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$181
240+	$0.002	4%	+2568%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$472
115-139	$0.009	17%	+1645%	3.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,115
90-114	$0.055	14%	+158%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$1,478

Elon Musk # tweets August 6 - August 8, 2026? 50% del periodo

lleva 14 · proyeccion 76.9 ± 40.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-164	$0.002	4%	+2890%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$12,965
115-139	$0.007	12%	+1434%	2.7%	cautela (no operable)	$19,060
90-114	$0.043	20%	+377%	4.2%	cautela (no operable)	$18,587
<40	$0.135	15%	+10%	0.4%	moderado	$17,252

Elon Musk # tweets July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 183 · proyeccion 204.4 ± 23.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
240-259	$0.003	6%	+2196%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$205,348
220-239	$0.018	19%	+941%	4.4%	cautela (no operable)	$186,484
200-219	$0.265	32%	+22%	2.0%	escalable	$216,925

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,296 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.6%Sobre-dispersion: 12.37x23 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 150.7 ± 43.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.011	7%	+494%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$34
60-79	$0.006	3%	+438%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$22
120-139	$0.033	16%	+393%	3.4%	cautela (no operable)	$10
140-159	$0.040	18%	+358%	3.7%	cautela (no operable)	$0
100-119	$0.035	12%	+240%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$10
40-59	$0.006	1%	+106%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$871
160-179	$0.155	17%	+8%	0.3%	moderado	$0

White House # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 76 · proyeccion 151.1 ± 30.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.005	20%	+3938%	5.0%	cautela (no operable)	$358
100-119	$0.006	10%	+1511%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$438
140-159	$0.017	26%	+1411%	6.1%	cautela (no operable)	$867
80-99	$0.003	4%	+1095%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$384

White House # posts July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 176 · proyeccion 183.1 ± 9.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.068	34%	+405%	7.4%	cautela (no operable)	$6,658

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,032 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.2%Sobre-dispersion: 14.45x29 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 147.0 ± 46.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.005	4%	+676%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$271
40-59	$0.005	2%	+245%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$189
80-99	$0.051	8%	+58%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$507
20-39	$0.004	1%	+56%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$265
160-179	$0.120	15%	+27%	0.9%	moderado	$1,055

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 90 · proyeccion 178.0 ± 35.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.002	1%	+633%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$4,573
120-139	$0.036	9%	+146%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$1,337
180-199	$0.130	21%	+62%	2.3%	moderado	$2,233
160-179	$0.145	21%	+48%	2.0%	moderado	$1,741
100-119	$0.030	4%	+22%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$2,563

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 211 · proyeccion 219.1 ± 10.8

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,446 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.8%Sobre-dispersion: 5.55x22 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 116.7 ± 25.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.044	6%	+34%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$52
120-139	$0.215	27%	+26%	1.8%	escalable	$192

Ted Cruz # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 89 · proyeccion 149.6 ± 18.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.080	24%	+201%	4.4%	cautela (no operable)	$388
140-159	$0.325	41%	+28%	3.3%	escalable	$295

Ted Cruz # posts July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 136 · proyeccion 141.9 ± 5.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.261	34%	+29%	2.6%	escalable	$3,937

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,630 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.9%Sobre-dispersion: 3.05x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 90.9 ± 16.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.105	26%	+147%	4.3%	moderado	$129
80-99	$0.370	45%	+22%	3.2%	escalable	$311

Zelenskyy # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 28 · proyeccion 77.8 ± 12.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.335	41%	+21%	2.7%	escalable	$1,616

Zelenskyy # posts July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 67 · proyeccion 75.7 ± 5.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.135	23%	+71%	2.8%	moderado	$5,162

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 793 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.8%Sobre-dispersion: 2.9x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 41.7 ± 11.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
<20	$0.006	2%	+259%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$590
40-59	$0.435	53%	+21%	4.1%	escalable	$2,050

NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 13 · proyeccion 36.2 ± 8.2

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

NYC Mayor # posts July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 31 · proyeccion 32.6 ± 2.1

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 448 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 22.1%Sobre-dispersion: 5.41x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 24.9 ± 11.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.044	10%	+132%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$10
20-39	$0.430	57%	+34%	6.3%	escalable	$260

CZ # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 6 · proyeccion 19.2 ± 8.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.003	1%	+172%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$487
20-39	$0.365	48%	+31%	4.4%	escalable	$2,434

CZ # posts July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 18 · proyeccion 20.2 ± 3.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.450	58%	+29%	6.0%	escalable	$6,082

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 149 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 16.9%Sobre-dispersion: 13.08x9 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 8.0 ± 10.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.032	13%	+314%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$21
20-24	$0.026	8%	+199%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$20
10-14	$0.085	18%	+111%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$138

Khamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 4.6 ± 7.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.009	7%	+670%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$1,214
10-14	$0.051	16%	+216%	2.9%	cautela (no operable)	$2,056
20-24	$0.009	2%	+144%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$1,126
25-29	$0.004	0%	+10%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,117

Khamenei # posts July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 7 · proyeccion 7.5 ± 2.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.034	23%	+583%	5.0%	cautela (no operable)	$3,619