CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Elon Musk	1000+	$0.215	79%	+267%	18.3%	escalable	$3,421
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.150	33%	+118%	5.2%	moderado	$6,236
Elon Musk	200-219	$0.125	23%	+84%	3.0%	moderado	$250,506
Donald Trump	160-179	$0.125	23%	+80%	2.9%	moderado	$1,935
Ted Cruz	100-119	$0.180	30%	+68%	3.7%	moderado	$155
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.360	56%	+55%	7.7%	escalable	$260
Donald Trump	180-199	$0.140	21%	+47%	1.9%	moderado	$2,304
Elon Musk	65-89	$0.185	26%	+40%	2.2%	moderado	$15,972
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	100-119	$0.125	17%	+38%	1.4%	moderado	$155
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	80-99	$0.355	45%	+27%	3.7%	escalable	$319
Ted Cruz	120-139	$0.210	26%	+24%	1.6%	escalable	$205
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.340	42%	+23%	3.0%	escalable	$1,340

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,164 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.4%Sobre-dispersion: 25.57x39 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 23% del periodo

lleva 149 · proyeccion 1126.6 ± 158.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.215	79%	+267%	18.3%	escalable	$3,421

Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 286.5 ± 85.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
400-419	$0.002	3%	+2117%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$5,402
380-399	$0.003	5%	+1709%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$3,565
420-439	$0.002	2%	+1444%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$4,268
360-379	$0.005	6%	+959%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$2,263
320-339	$0.011	8%	+681%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$2,769
340-359	$0.011	7%	+576%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$4,144
300-319	$0.018	9%	+385%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$3,300
500+	$0.002	1%	+327%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$21,829
280-299	$0.034	9%	+173%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$5,433
80-99	$0.003	1%	+122%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$20,067
260-279	$0.065	9%	+40%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$1,824
100-119	$0.011	1%	+6%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$6,040

Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 81 · proyeccion 240.5 ± 63.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
320-339	$0.004	5%	+1258%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$27,815
300-319	$0.005	7%	+1169%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$35,129
340-359	$0.003	3%	+1075%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$26,938
360-379	$0.002	2%	+998%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$23,512
280-299	$0.013	9%	+644%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$28,299
380-399	$0.002	1%	+459%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$26,058
260-279	$0.024	11%	+368%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$26,571
240-259	$0.055	12%	+124%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$21,917
120-139	$0.013	3%	+106%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$55,081

Elon Musk # tweets August 8 - August 10, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 121.3 ± 55.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
165-189	$0.002	11%	+7145%	2.7%	cautela (no operable)	$626
140-164	$0.003	15%	+6019%	3.8%	cautela (no operable)	$603
115-139	$0.022	18%	+685%	3.9%	cautela (no operable)	$2,373
90-114	$0.065	17%	+158%	2.7%	cautela (no operable)	$1,684

Elon Musk # tweets August 6 - August 8, 2026? 50% del periodo

lleva 15 · proyeccion 63.0 ± 35.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
115-139	$0.002	6%	+3663%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$34,903
90-114	$0.022	15%	+585%	3.4%	cautela (no operable)	$24,457
65-89	$0.185	26%	+40%	2.2%	moderado	$15,972

Elon Musk # tweets July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 184 · proyeccion 190.5 ± 12.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
220-239	$0.005	1%	+122%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$239,006
200-219	$0.125	23%	+84%	3.0%	moderado	$250,506

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,299 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.6%Sobre-dispersion: 12.36x23 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 149.4 ± 43.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.004	12%	+3345%	2.9%	cautela (no operable)	$325
120-139	$0.005	17%	+3214%	4.0%	cautela (no operable)	$260
80-99	$0.006	7%	+991%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$284
140-159	$0.019	18%	+869%	4.2%	cautela (no operable)	$250
60-79	$0.005	3%	+575%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$272

White House # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 79 · proyeccion 152.8 ± 30.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.005	19%	+3796%	4.8%	cautela (no operable)	$375
140-159	$0.017	26%	+1418%	6.1%	cautela (no operable)	$884
100-119	$0.006	10%	+1383%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$455
80-99	$0.003	3%	+1148%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$384

White House # posts July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 179 · proyeccion 184.8 ± 8.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.025	26%	+976%	6.1%	cautela (no operable)	$7,373
200+	$0.034	4%	+24%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$13,220

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,033 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.2%Sobre-dispersion: 14.45x29 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 141.8 ± 45.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.005	5%	+806%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$271
40-59	$0.005	2%	+311%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$289
80-99	$0.043	9%	+111%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$517
20-39	$0.004	1%	+88%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$272
160-179	$0.125	15%	+16%	0.6%	moderado	$1,086

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 91 · proyeccion 173.9 ± 34.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.002	1%	+739%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$4,620
100-119	$0.011	4%	+302%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$2,701
120-139	$0.045	10%	+127%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$1,395
160-179	$0.125	23%	+80%	2.9%	moderado	$1,935
180-199	$0.140	21%	+47%	1.9%	moderado	$2,304

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 212 · proyeccion 215.1 ± 6.7

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,446 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.8%Sobre-dispersion: 5.55x22 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 114.5 ± 25.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.180	30%	+68%	3.7%	moderado	$155
60-79	$0.051	7%	+34%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$65
120-139	$0.210	26%	+24%	1.6%	escalable	$205

Ted Cruz # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 89 · proyeccion 147.4 ± 18.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.070	27%	+286%	5.4%	cautela (no operable)	$448
140-159	$0.340	42%	+23%	3.0%	escalable	$1,340

Ted Cruz # posts July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 136 · proyeccion 139.7 ± 4.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.426	52%	+22%	4.0%	escalable	$2,413

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,632 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.9%Sobre-dispersion: 3.07x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 85.3 ± 16.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.125	17%	+38%	1.4%	moderado	$155
80-99	$0.355	45%	+27%	3.7%	escalable	$319

Zelenskyy # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 30 · proyeccion 74.5 ± 11.7

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

Zelenskyy # posts July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 69 · proyeccion 72.4 ± 3.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.925	99%	+7%	20.3%	escalable	$11,025

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 793 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.8%Sobre-dispersion: 2.9x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 41.6 ± 11.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.029	5%	+78%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$1,373
40-59	$0.445	52%	+18%	3.5%	escalable	$2,062

NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 13 · proyeccion 36.0 ± 8.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.300	33%	+11%	1.2%	escalable	$2,600

NYC Mayor # posts July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 31 · proyeccion 32.4 ± 2.0

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 448 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 22.1%Sobre-dispersion: 5.41x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 23.3 ± 11.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.047	7%	+57%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$10
20-39	$0.360	56%	+55%	7.7%	escalable	$260

CZ # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 6 · proyeccion 17.6 ± 7.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.375	40%	+8%	1.2%	escalable	$2,434

CZ # posts July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 18 · proyeccion 18.7 ± 1.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.150	33%	+118%	5.2%	moderado	$6,236

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 149 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 16.9%Sobre-dispersion: 13.08x9 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 8.0 ± 10.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.040	13%	+230%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$21
20-24	$0.026	8%	+190%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$20
10-14	$0.095	18%	+89%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$138

Khamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 4.5 ± 7.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.007	7%	+926%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$1,214
10-14	$0.032	16%	+405%	3.4%	cautela (no operable)	$2,066
20-24	$0.010	2%	+112%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$1,126
25-29	$0.003	0%	+39%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,117

Khamenei # posts July 31 - August 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 7 · proyeccion 7.5 ± 2.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.044	21%	+386%	4.4%	cautela (no operable)	$3,620