CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Elon Musk	40-64	$0.130	46%	+252%	9.4%	moderado	$70,809
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	60-79	$0.100	31%	+206%	5.7%	moderado	$1,636
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.215	54%	+150%	10.3%	escalable	$854
Ted Cruz	120-139	$0.185	35%	+90%	5.1%	moderado	$1,885
Donald Trump	200+	$0.190	34%	+78%	4.6%	moderado	$575
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	80-99	$0.140	23%	+63%	2.6%	moderado	$1,449
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.150	24%	+59%	2.6%	moderado	$945
Donald Trump	100-119	$0.100	15%	+50%	1.4%	moderado	$1,274
Elon Musk	180-199	$0.105	15%	+47%	1.4%	moderado	$84,315
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.310	41%	+32%	3.6%	escalable	$5,036
The White House	200+	$0.430	54%	+26%	4.8%	escalable	$220
Donald Trump	120-139	$0.150	19%	+24%	1.1%	moderado	$657

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,272 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.5%Sobre-dispersion: 25.64x40 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 39% del periodo

lleva 257 · proyeccion 1039.2 ± 141.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.065	61%	+839%	14.6%	cautela (no operable)	$4,805
960-999	$0.017	10%	+523%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$4,533
920-959	$0.040	9%	+122%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$2,693
880-919	$0.050	7%	+38%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$2,889

Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 374.6 ± 98.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
500+	$0.002	10%	+6645%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$14,615
400-419	$0.002	8%	+4986%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,474
420-439	$0.002	7%	+4533%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$1,653
380-399	$0.003	8%	+3114%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$790
360-379	$0.005	8%	+1376%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$892
340-359	$0.005	8%	+1330%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$1,310
320-339	$0.009	7%	+761%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$2,159
300-319	$0.013	7%	+402%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$2,515
280-299	$0.022	6%	+148%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$4,487

Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 19 · proyeccion 267.2 ± 79.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
340-359	$0.002	6%	+3818%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$8,476
360-379	$0.002	4%	+2836%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$5,502
320-339	$0.004	7%	+2005%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$8,184
300-319	$0.007	9%	+1057%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$14,886
280-299	$0.013	10%	+611%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$12,138
80-99	$0.002	1%	+463%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$39,583
260-279	$0.025	10%	+307%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$5,525
240-259	$0.055	10%	+77%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$4,261
220-239	$0.085	9%	+5%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$2,361

Elon Musk # tweets August 13 - August 15, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 138.1 ± 59.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-164	$0.002	16%	+10698%	4.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,576
165-189	$0.002	13%	+8888%	3.3%	cautela (no operable)	$1,593
115-139	$0.009	16%	+1824%	3.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,516
90-114	$0.044	14%	+215%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$961

Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 105 · proyeccion 201.8 ± 49.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
260-279	$0.002	6%	+4168%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$86,265
240-259	$0.003	10%	+3950%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$73,805
220-239	$0.011	14%	+1088%	3.2%	cautela (no operable)	$62,288
100-119	$0.003	3%	+874%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$187,142
200-219	$0.025	16%	+542%	3.4%	cautela (no operable)	$54,966
180-199	$0.105	15%	+47%	1.4%	moderado	$84,315

Elon Musk # tweets August 10 - August 12, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 30 · proyeccion 42.1 ± 17.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
65-89	$0.003	10%	+3846%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$104,892
40-64	$0.130	46%	+252%	9.4%	moderado	$70,809

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,434 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.3%Sobre-dispersion: 11.55x24 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 204.3 ± 48.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.019	5%	+166%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$22
140-159	$0.040	9%	+118%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$0
80-99	$0.005	1%	+89%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$102
100-119	$0.019	2%	+28%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$22
200+	$0.430	54%	+26%	4.8%	escalable	$220

White House # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 32 · proyeccion 160.2 ± 38.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.021	20%	+872%	4.6%	cautela (no operable)	$1,324
140-159	$0.040	20%	+394%	4.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,315

White House # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 129 · proyeccion 188.3 ± 26.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.004	10%	+2509%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$2,728
160-179	$0.015	23%	+1504%	5.5%	cautela (no operable)	$3,757

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,149 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.2%Sobre-dispersion: 14.42x29 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 178.3 ± 50.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.006	2%	+148%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$80
200+	$0.190	34%	+78%	4.6%	moderado	$575
80-99	$0.028	3%	+25%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$208
160-179	$0.130	15%	+18%	0.7%	moderado	$276
40-59	$0.005	1%	+18%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$442

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 19 · proyeccion 138.3 ± 41.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.004	5%	+1134%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$562
40-59	$0.004	2%	+474%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$1,412
80-99	$0.020	10%	+383%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,389
100-119	$0.100	15%	+50%	1.4%	moderado	$1,274
120-139	$0.150	19%	+24%	1.1%	moderado	$657

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 113 · proyeccion 152.0 ± 23.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.051	21%	+323%	4.3%	cautela (no operable)	$2,588

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,551 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.8%Sobre-dispersion: 5.5x22 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 154.9 ± 29.2

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

Ted Cruz # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 32 · proyeccion 130.0 ± 23.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.005	1%	+173%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$713
80-99	$0.045	8%	+77%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$269
140-159	$0.150	24%	+59%	2.6%	moderado	$945

Ted Cruz # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 100 · proyeccion 142.7 ± 15.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.185	35%	+90%	5.1%	moderado	$1,885
100-119	$0.040	6%	+56%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$827

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,669 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.1%Sobre-dispersion: 3.07x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 114.4 ± 18.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.060	30%	+404%	6.5%	cautela (no operable)	$0
100-119	$0.090	39%	+338%	8.3%	cautela (no operable)	$0
140-159	$0.050	8%	+64%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$30

Zelenskyy # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 7 · proyeccion 80.8 ± 15.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.075	10%	+36%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$146

Zelenskyy # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 39 · proyeccion 72.1 ± 10.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.140	23%	+63%	2.6%	moderado	$1,449
60-79	$0.630	66%	+5%	2.2%	escalable	$1,411

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 816 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.8%Sobre-dispersion: 2.93x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 53.9 ± 12.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.005	2%	+274%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$686
60-79	$0.100	31%	+206%	5.7%	moderado	$1,636
40-59	$0.485	55%	+13%	3.0%	escalable	$2,050

NYC Mayor # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 2 · proyeccion 37.6 ± 10.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.310	41%	+32%	3.6%	escalable	$5,036

NYC Mayor # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 21 · proyeccion 35.0 ± 6.4

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 448 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 22.1%Sobre-dispersion: 5.41x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 32.5 ± 13.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.016	28%	+1638%	6.7%	cautela (no operable)	$212
60-79	$0.005	2%	+276%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$158
20-39	$0.215	54%	+150%	10.3%	escalable	$854

CZ # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 1 · proyeccion 21.8 ± 10.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.005	5%	+774%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$612
20-39	$0.095	54%	+468%	12.3%	cautela (no operable)	$1,818

CZ # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 1 · proyeccion 10.9 ± 7.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.011	12%	+979%	2.7%	cautela (no operable)	$1,020

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 150 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 15.3%Sobre-dispersion: 12.33x10 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 10.4 ± 11.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.056	15%	+164%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$40
20-24	$0.050	10%	+108%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$30
10-14	$0.140	17%	+24%	1.0%	moderado	$84
25-29	$0.054	6%	+12%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$30

Khamenei # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 7.1 ± 9.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-24	$0.005	6%	+1115%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$278
10-14	$0.065	18%	+186%	3.2%	cautela (no operable)	$316
30-34	$0.005	1%	+31%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$278

Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 1 · proyeccion 4.2 ± 6.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.052	15%	+183%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$575
15-19	$0.029	4%	+48%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$381
5-9	$0.235	28%	+20%	1.5%	escalable	$1,045