CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Elon Musk	1000+	$0.235	76%	+221%	17.0%	escalable	$31,686
Ted Cruz	100-119	$0.155	42%	+170%	7.8%	moderado	$1,072
Ali Khamenei	5-9	$0.156	33%	+111%	5.1%	moderado	$644
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.130	25%	+90%	3.4%	moderado	$0
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	60-79	$0.195	37%	+89%	5.4%	moderado	$778
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.181	33%	+81%	4.5%	moderado	$179
Ted Cruz	160-179	$0.105	18%	+75%	2.2%	moderado	$0
CZ (Binance)	<20	$0.240	41%	+72%	5.7%	escalable	$100
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	100-119	$0.195	29%	+49%	3.0%	moderado	$1,319
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.425	62%	+45%	8.4%	escalable	$0
Donald Trump	120-139	$0.145	20%	+37%	1.6%	moderado	$2,178
Donald Trump	100-119	$0.135	18%	+35%	1.4%	moderado	$1,677

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 12,943 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.0%Sobre-dispersion: 24.87x48 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026? 23% del periodo

lleva 182 · proyeccion 1104.2 ± 151.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.235	76%	+221%	17.0%	escalable	$31,686

Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 335.7 ± 91.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
380-399	$0.002	7%	+3566%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$4,639
420-439	$0.002	5%	+3338%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$8,878
400-419	$0.002	6%	+3049%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$6,621
440-459	$0.002	4%	+2583%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$13,769
500+	$0.002	4%	+2334%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$23,645
360-379	$0.004	8%	+2226%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$5,292
460-479	$0.002	3%	+1897%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$11,535
340-359	$0.004	9%	+1815%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$5,653
480-499	$0.002	2%	+1317%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$12,341
320-339	$0.007	9%	+1059%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$9,979
300-319	$0.018	8%	+365%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$4,078
280-299	$0.029	8%	+160%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$3,680
260-279	$0.057	7%	+18%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$1,176

Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 20 · proyeccion 234.1 ± 73.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.002	4%	+2519%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$53,496
140-159	$0.003	6%	+1764%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$22,373
160-179	$0.017	7%	+348%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$28,150
400-419	$0.004	1%	+76%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$22,801
380-399	$0.006	1%	+76%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$18,599
360-379	$0.013	2%	+58%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$11,751
180-199	$0.070	9%	+29%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$37,205
340-359	$0.028	3%	+14%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$12,597

Elon Musk # tweets October 8 - October 10, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 109.2 ± 52.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
165-189	$0.002	8%	+5406%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$2,997
140-164	$0.003	14%	+4438%	3.3%	cautela (no operable)	$3,621
115-139	$0.008	18%	+2138%	4.3%	cautela (no operable)	$1,397
90-114	$0.066	19%	+187%	3.3%	cautela (no operable)	$3,967

Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 121 · proyeccion 190.8 ± 41.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.005	12%	+2243%	2.8%	cautela (no operable)	$227,182
160-179	$0.011	17%	+1417%	3.9%	cautela (no operable)	$248,578
180-199	$0.013	19%	+1417%	4.5%	cautela (no operable)	$203,090
200-219	$0.135	17%	+27%	1.1%	moderado	$139,745

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 6,136 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 6.8%Sobre-dispersion: 12.13x32 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 198.1 ± 49.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.006	10%	+1432%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$55
120-139	$0.009	6%	+548%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$35
100-119	$0.011	3%	+207%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$25
180-199	$0.080	16%	+99%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$250
160-179	$0.074	14%	+83%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$177
80-99	$0.010	1%	+44%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$53

White House # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 23 · proyeccion 137.8 ± 37.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.005	16%	+3089%	3.9%	cautela (no operable)	$198
120-139	$0.010	21%	+1962%	5.0%	cautela (no operable)	$275
60-79	$0.002	4%	+1956%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$309
80-99	$0.005	9%	+1763%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$265
140-159	$0.028	20%	+632%	4.5%	cautela (no operable)	$319
40-59	$0.005	1%	+174%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$278

White House # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 132 · proyeccion 171.6 ± 21.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.008	35%	+4276%	8.6%	cautela (no operable)	$590
180-199	$0.007	26%	+3586%	6.3%	cautela (no operable)	$3,157

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 5,461 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.5%Sobre-dispersion: 13.74x37 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 174.2 ± 48.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.055	7%	+24%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$0
200+	$0.260	30%	+16%	1.4%	escalable	$961

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 12 · proyeccion 126.3 ± 39.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.009	3%	+273%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$647
60-79	$0.034	7%	+114%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$613
80-99	$0.086	13%	+51%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,826
120-139	$0.145	20%	+37%	1.6%	moderado	$2,178
100-119	$0.135	18%	+35%	1.4%	moderado	$1,677

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 114 · proyeccion 144.0 ± 20.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.043	10%	+134%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$1,881

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 3,591 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 11.8%Sobre-dispersion: 6.77x30 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 144.4 ± 31.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.130	25%	+90%	3.4%	moderado	$0
160-179	$0.105	18%	+75%	2.2%	moderado	$0
180-199	$0.070	9%	+31%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$0

Ted Cruz # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 18 · proyeccion 102.1 ± 23.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.015	13%	+798%	3.0%	cautela (no operable)	$133

Ted Cruz # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 71 · proyeccion 99.1 ± 13.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.072	43%	+500%	9.8%	cautela (no operable)	$3,164
100-119	$0.155	42%	+170%	7.8%	moderado	$1,072
60-79	$0.033	8%	+133%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$448

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 2,433 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.6%Sobre-dispersion: 6.68x28 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 106.4 ± 26.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.005	3%	+503%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$57
160-179	$0.005	2%	+267%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$36
140-159	$0.029	8%	+185%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$115
120-139	$0.090	20%	+127%	3.1%	cautela (no operable)	$162
100-119	$0.195	29%	+49%	3.0%	moderado	$1,319

Zelenskyy # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 3 · proyeccion 67.8 ± 20.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.010	8%	+667%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$659
40-59	$0.072	26%	+258%	5.0%	cautela (no operable)	$449
<20	$0.005	1%	+92%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$702
60-79	$0.195	37%	+89%	5.4%	moderado	$778

Zelenskyy # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 51 · proyeccion 72.7 ± 12.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.005	13%	+2576%	3.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,298
60-79	$0.040	58%	+1345%	14.0%	cautela (no operable)	$2,807

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 1,094 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.2%Sobre-dispersion: 2.57x28 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 46.6 ± 10.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.005	12%	+2026%	2.8%	cautela (no operable)	$505
40-59	$0.080	62%	+678%	14.7%	cautela (no operable)	$253

NYC Mayor # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 7 · proyeccion 35.8 ± 8.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.181	33%	+81%	4.5%	moderado	$179

NYC Mayor # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 27 · proyeccion 35.3 ± 4.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.038	18%	+378%	3.8%	cautela (no operable)	$1,148

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 658 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 19.0%Sobre-dispersion: 4.34x28 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 30.1 ± 11.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.425	62%	+45%	8.4%	escalable	$0
40-59	$0.170	20%	+18%	0.9%	moderado	$0

CZ # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 3 · proyeccion 21.3 ± 8.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
<20	$0.240	41%	+72%	5.7%	escalable	$100

CZ # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 17 · proyeccion 24.0 ± 5.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
<20	$0.056	21%	+271%	4.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,875

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 158 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 15.0%Sobre-dispersion: 16.61x10 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 7.2 ± 10.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.014	16%	+1075%	3.8%	cautela (no operable)	$92
15-19	$0.011	12%	+1061%	2.8%	cautela (no operable)	$19
20-24	$0.016	7%	+360%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$126
5-9	$0.057	18%	+220%	3.3%	cautela (no operable)	$198
25-29	$0.014	4%	+159%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$105
30-34	$0.011	1%	+38%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$30
35-39	$0.004	0%	+5%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$268

Khamenei # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 2 · proyeccion 6.6 ± 8.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-24	$0.002	5%	+3242%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$317
10-14	$0.009	19%	+1868%	4.5%	cautela (no operable)	$369
15-19	$0.011	11%	+931%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$400
5-9	$0.075	22%	+197%	4.0%	cautela (no operable)	$190
25-29	$0.015	2%	+11%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$318

Khamenei # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 3 · proyeccion 4.8 ± 5.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.005	15%	+2988%	3.8%	cautela (no operable)	$612
15-19	$0.004	3%	+623%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$567
5-9	$0.156	33%	+111%	5.1%	moderado	$644