CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Elon Musk	180-199	$0.145	27%	+84%	3.5%	moderado	$208,149
Ted Cruz	160-179	$0.260	47%	+81%	7.1%	escalable	$2,927
The White House	180-199	$0.235	42%	+78%	6.0%	escalable	$11,815
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.315	56%	+78%	9.0%	escalable	$3,753
Ali Khamenei	10-14	$0.115	19%	+65%	2.1%	moderado	$325
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.355	57%	+62%	8.5%	escalable	$1,223
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.265	40%	+49%	4.4%	escalable	$1,045
Ted Cruz	120-139	$0.195	28%	+44%	2.7%	moderado	$369
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	80-99	$0.315	45%	+44%	5.0%	escalable	$571
Ted Cruz	120-139	$0.230	29%	+27%	2.0%	escalable	$222
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.515	65%	+26%	6.8%	escalable	$2,605
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.280	35%	+25%	2.5%	escalable	$5,393

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,317 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.5%Sobre-dispersion: 25.71x40 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 42% del periodo

lleva 304 · proyeccion 1021.0 ± 135.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.050	56%	+1026%	13.5%	cautela (no operable)	$5,355
960-999	$0.019	11%	+473%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$8,638
920-959	$0.054	10%	+80%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$4,043

Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 309.8 ± 89.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
400-419	$0.002	5%	+3096%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$2,609
360-379	$0.003	7%	+2756%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$3,308
380-399	$0.004	6%	+1614%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$1,680
320-339	$0.005	9%	+1483%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$5,118
340-359	$0.005	8%	+1370%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,959
500+	$0.002	2%	+1019%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$18,278
300-319	$0.011	9%	+750%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$7,675
280-299	$0.021	9%	+324%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$5,061
260-279	$0.045	8%	+79%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,544
80-99	$0.003	0%	+72%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$21,558

Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 66 · proyeccion 250.0 ± 68.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
320-339	$0.002	6%	+3869%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$16,530
340-359	$0.002	4%	+2625%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$20,265
300-319	$0.004	8%	+2177%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$29,886
360-379	$0.002	3%	+1621%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$23,238
280-299	$0.006	10%	+1535%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$25,452
260-279	$0.011	11%	+866%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$20,148
100-119	$0.003	1%	+483%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$50,708
80-99	$0.002	1%	+416%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$50,881
240-259	$0.038	12%	+200%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$16,540
120-139	$0.013	3%	+102%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$50,501
220-239	$0.095	11%	+16%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$10,306

Elon Musk # tweets August 13 - August 15, 2026? 50% del periodo

lleva 14 · proyeccion 87.9 ± 43.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-164	$0.002	8%	+5151%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$11,328
165-189	$0.002	3%	+1868%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$9,806
115-139	$0.009	15%	+1695%	3.6%	cautela (no operable)	$14,794
90-114	$0.048	21%	+352%	4.4%	cautela (no operable)	$23,786
<40	$0.105	11%	+7%	0.2%	moderado	$24,175

Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 152 · proyeccion 184.6 ± 28.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
220-239	$0.002	8%	+5564%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$171,627
200-219	$0.018	19%	+952%	4.4%	cautela (no operable)	$183,061
180-199	$0.145	27%	+84%	3.5%	moderado	$208,149
140-159	$0.095	13%	+40%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$290,874

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,485 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.3%Sobre-dispersion: 11.38x24 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 160.6 ± 42.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.005	9%	+1567%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$180
120-139	$0.011	14%	+1197%	3.3%	cautela (no operable)	$154
80-99	$0.005	5%	+765%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$296
140-159	$0.025	18%	+630%	4.0%	cautela (no operable)	$150
60-79	$0.005	2%	+262%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$329
160-179	$0.095	18%	+91%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$286

White House # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 88 · proyeccion 172.1 ± 30.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.007	20%	+2695%	4.8%	cautela (no operable)	$2,607
160-179	$0.010	25%	+2425%	6.1%	cautela (no operable)	$2,875

White House # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 185 · proyeccion 200.3 ± 13.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
180-199	$0.235	42%	+78%	6.0%	escalable	$11,815

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,189 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.4%Sobre-dispersion: 14.31x29 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 153.3 ± 46.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.002	2%	+902%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$509
60-79	$0.006	3%	+437%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$100
80-99	$0.035	7%	+96%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$232
120-139	$0.135	15%	+10%	0.4%	moderado	$103
100-119	$0.100	11%	+10%	0.3%	moderado	$420
20-39	$0.005	1%	+8%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$281

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 59 · proyeccion 153.0 ± 36.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.003	2%	+472%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$1,887
80-99	$0.012	5%	+315%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,648
100-119	$0.035	11%	+214%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,361
120-139	$0.065	18%	+171%	3.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,093

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 153 · proyeccion 166.7 ± 14.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.040	28%	+596%	6.2%	cautela (no operable)	$3,401

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,593 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.9%Sobre-dispersion: 5.47x22 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 123.7 ± 26.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.005	4%	+657%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$18
120-139	$0.230	29%	+27%	2.0%	escalable	$222
40-59	$0.005	1%	+24%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$88

Ted Cruz # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 80 · proyeccion 146.3 ± 19.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.265	40%	+49%	4.4%	escalable	$1,045
120-139	$0.195	28%	+44%	2.7%	moderado	$369
100-119	$0.062	7%	+16%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$553

Ted Cruz # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 148 · proyeccion 159.0 ± 7.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.260	47%	+81%	7.1%	escalable	$2,927

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,692 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.1%Sobre-dispersion: 3.07x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 90.0 ± 16.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.004	4%	+708%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$271
100-119	$0.056	25%	+338%	5.0%	cautela (no operable)	$452
80-99	$0.315	45%	+44%	5.0%	escalable	$571

Zelenskyy # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 28 · proyeccion 77.4 ± 12.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.330	40%	+20%	2.5%	escalable	$891

Zelenskyy # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 60 · proyeccion 68.7 ± 5.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.017	2%	+9%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$2,044

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 824 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.8%Sobre-dispersion: 2.93x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 43.6 ± 11.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.315	56%	+78%	9.0%	escalable	$3,753

NYC Mayor # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 11 · proyeccion 36.3 ± 8.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.280	35%	+25%	2.5%	escalable	$5,393

NYC Mayor # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 30 · proyeccion 33.8 ± 3.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.025	4%	+65%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$7,003

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 458 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 21.6%Sobre-dispersion: 5.41x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 24.9 ± 11.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.011	10%	+882%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$256
20-39	$0.355	57%	+62%	8.5%	escalable	$1,223

CZ # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 10 · proyeccion 23.4 ± 8.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.515	65%	+26%	6.8%	escalable	$2,605

CZ # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 10 · proyeccion 12.9 ± 4.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.003	5%	+1851%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,138

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 151 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 15.2%Sobre-dispersion: 11.35x10 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 8.0 ± 9.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.050	13%	+167%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$40
10-14	$0.115	19%	+65%	2.1%	moderado	$325
20-24	$0.053	7%	+34%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$30

Khamenei # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 1 · proyeccion 5.7 ± 7.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.031	19%	+505%	4.0%	cautela (no operable)	$429
20-24	$0.005	2%	+395%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$283
15-19	$0.018	9%	+374%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$274

Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 2 · proyeccion 2.9 ± 3.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
5-9	$0.074	28%	+281%	5.7%	cautela (no operable)	$1,440