CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.125	60%	+383%	13.7%	moderado	$143
Elon Musk	1000+	$0.335	100%	+198%	25.0%	escalable	$2,045
The White House	200+	$0.180	34%	+89%	4.9%	moderado	$1,098
Ted Cruz	120-139	$0.160	29%	+84%	4.0%	moderado	$180
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	120-139	$0.115	20%	+77%	2.5%	moderado	$41
Donald Trump	160-179	$0.125	20%	+63%	2.2%	moderado	$1,081
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.232	38%	+62%	4.7%	escalable	$1,901
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	100-119	$0.185	28%	+51%	2.9%	moderado	$105
Elon Musk	65-89	$0.240	35%	+46%	3.6%	escalable	$56,745
The White House	140-159	$0.279	38%	+36%	3.5%	escalable	$4,614
Donald Trump	160-179	$0.110	15%	+36%	1.1%	moderado	$289
Ted Cruz	120-139	$0.165	22%	+35%	1.7%	moderado	$44

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,866 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.5%Sobre-dispersion: 25.63x43 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 2440.9 ± 250.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.335	100%	+198%	25.0%	escalable	$2,045

Elon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 337.8 ± 93.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
400-419	$0.002	6%	+4145%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$6,837
440-459	$0.002	4%	+2683%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$6,074
500+	$0.002	4%	+2641%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$9,548
380-399	$0.004	7%	+1997%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$6,436
360-379	$0.004	8%	+1695%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$5,905
420-439	$0.005	5%	+955%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$5,964
340-359	$0.011	8%	+709%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$2,564
320-339	$0.011	9%	+641%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$2,387
300-319	$0.028	8%	+197%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$2,333
280-299	$0.042	7%	+78%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$4,309

Elon Musk # tweets August 28 - September 4, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 71 · proyeccion 260.2 ± 69.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
360-379	$0.003	3%	+1244%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$17,580
340-359	$0.004	5%	+1021%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$20,060
380-399	$0.003	2%	+724%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$12,695
400-419	$0.002	1%	+677%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$17,484
320-339	$0.009	7%	+635%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$22,461
300-319	$0.021	9%	+314%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$25,485
420-439	$0.002	1%	+304%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$15,220
100-119	$0.004	1%	+148%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$30,138
280-299	$0.045	10%	+130%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$16,962
260-279	$0.075	11%	+51%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$14,978
120-139	$0.014	2%	+42%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$38,086
240-259	$0.105	11%	+8%	0.2%	moderado	$10,810

Elon Musk # tweets August 31 - September 2, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 105.2 ± 51.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
165-189	$0.002	7%	+4866%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$3,527
140-164	$0.005	13%	+2222%	3.1%	cautela (no operable)	$3,470
190-214	$0.002	3%	+2207%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$1,872
115-139	$0.019	17%	+818%	4.0%	cautela (no operable)	$2,762
90-114	$0.044	19%	+327%	3.8%	cautela (no operable)	$3,917

Elon Musk # tweets August 25 - September 1, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 128 · proyeccion 191.4 ± 40.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
240-259	$0.005	7%	+1187%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$52,100
120-139	$0.006	6%	+929%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$124,805
260-279	$0.004	3%	+789%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$47,683
220-239	$0.021	13%	+488%	2.7%	cautela (no operable)	$59,834
280-299	$0.003	1%	+330%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$42,742
200-219	$0.095	18%	+87%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$53,674

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 97% del periodo

lleva 851 · proyeccion 893.6 ± 33.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
960-999	$0.003	2%	+644%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$35,084
920-959	$0.029	19%	+578%	4.2%	cautela (no operable)	$35,405

Elon Musk # tweets August 29 - August 31, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 42 · proyeccion 68.5 ± 26.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
115-139	$0.005	4%	+607%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$52,130
90-114	$0.025	17%	+598%	3.8%	cautela (no operable)	$60,402
65-89	$0.240	35%	+46%	3.6%	escalable	$56,745

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,914 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 6.9%Sobre-dispersion: 10.26x27 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts September 1 - September 8, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 181.8 ± 43.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.005	5%	+740%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$19
80-99	$0.005	2%	+253%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$11
140-159	$0.065	14%	+114%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$17
200+	$0.180	34%	+89%	4.9%	moderado	$1,098
60-79	$0.005	1%	+20%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$23

White House # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 45 · proyeccion 156.0 ± 33.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.007	17%	+2370%	4.2%	cautela (no operable)	$276
100-119	$0.007	9%	+1137%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$334
80-99	$0.012	4%	+195%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$168
140-159	$0.083	23%	+178%	4.0%	cautela (no operable)	$349
60-79	$0.006	1%	+48%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$223

White House # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 123 · proyeccion 156.9 ± 18.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.003	15%	+4998%	3.8%	cautela (no operable)	$2,669
180-199	$0.042	10%	+142%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$5,907
140-159	$0.279	38%	+36%	3.5%	escalable	$4,614
200+	$0.010	1%	+12%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$11,062

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,684 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 11.2%Sobre-dispersion: 14.77x32 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 1 - September 8, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 181.6 ± 51.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.006	3%	+436%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$147
120-139	$0.026	9%	+251%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$269
100-119	$0.019	6%	+210%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$140
60-79	$0.005	2%	+176%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$161
140-159	$0.090	13%	+41%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$565
160-179	$0.110	15%	+36%	1.1%	moderado	$289
40-59	$0.005	1%	+23%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$164
180-199	$0.135	15%	+12%	0.5%	moderado	$402

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 28 - September 4, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 64 · proyeccion 163.0 ± 38.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.003	14%	+4627%	3.5%	cautela (no operable)	$555
100-119	$0.003	8%	+2542%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$452
80-99	$0.003	3%	+1030%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$343
140-159	$0.031	19%	+526%	4.2%	cautela (no operable)	$623
160-179	$0.125	20%	+63%	2.2%	moderado	$1,081
60-79	$0.007	1%	+59%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$375
180-199	$0.145	16%	+12%	0.5%	moderado	$1,394

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 25 - September 1, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 179 · proyeccion 216.0 ± 23.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
180-199	$0.034	18%	+440%	3.8%	cautela (no operable)	$5,148

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,980 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.6%Sobre-dispersion: 7.13x25 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts September 1 - September 8, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 143.7 ± 32.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.165	22%	+35%	1.7%	moderado	$44

Ted Cruz # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 34 · proyeccion 120.7 ± 24.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.005	15%	+2594%	3.6%	cautela (no operable)	$178
100-119	$0.050	28%	+468%	6.2%	cautela (no operable)	$139
120-139	$0.160	29%	+84%	4.0%	moderado	$180
60-79	$0.029	4%	+44%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$116

Ted Cruz # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 136 · proyeccion 162.1 ± 13.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.005	5%	+769%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,135
140-159	$0.232	38%	+62%	4.7%	escalable	$1,901

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,969 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.2%Sobre-dispersion: 7.3x23 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts September 1 - September 8, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 106.7 ± 27.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.050	9%	+84%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$20
120-139	$0.115	20%	+77%	2.5%	moderado	$41
100-119	$0.185	28%	+51%	2.9%	moderado	$105

Zelenskyy # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 19 · proyeccion 82.2 ± 21.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.075	17%	+125%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$586
20-39	$0.011	2%	+97%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$176
40-59	$0.068	12%	+81%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$273
80-99	$0.290	34%	+17%	1.8%	escalable	$622

Zelenskyy # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 102 · proyeccion 123.9 ± 12.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.065	11%	+64%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,138

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 901 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.6%Sobre-dispersion: 2.8x23 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts September 1 - September 8, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 46.8 ± 11.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.006	13%	+2074%	3.1%	cautela (no operable)	$67
40-59	$0.125	60%	+383%	13.7%	moderado	$143

NYC Mayor # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 5 · proyeccion 31.0 ± 8.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.090	16%	+78%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$540
<20	$0.050	9%	+76%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$406

NYC Mayor # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 25 · proyeccion 32.9 ± 4.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.040	8%	+97%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,953

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 529 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 21.9%Sobre-dispersion: 5.1x23 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts September 1 - September 8, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 27.8 ± 11.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.480	59%	+24%	5.5%	escalable	$228

CZ # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 19 · proyeccion 35.9 ± 9.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.311	34%	+10%	1.1%	escalable	$133

CZ # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 39 · proyeccion 44.0 ± 5.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.075	19%	+149%	3.0%	cautela (no operable)	$4,731

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 152 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 15.1%Sobre-dispersion: 12.17x10 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts September 1 - September 8, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 8.2 ± 10.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.045	18%	+305%	3.6%	cautela (no operable)	$20
15-19	$0.043	13%	+210%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$20
5-9	$0.090	20%	+118%	2.9%	cautela (no operable)	$20
20-24	$0.044	8%	+75%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$20

Khamenei # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 4.5 ± 7.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.005	7%	+1231%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$306
10-14	$0.013	16%	+1093%	3.7%	cautela (no operable)	$388
5-9	$0.065	25%	+286%	5.0%	cautela (no operable)	$712
20-24	$0.005	2%	+254%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$278

Khamenei # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 1.3 ± 3.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
5-9	$0.027	19%	+596%	4.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,016
10-14	$0.005	2%	+225%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$1,485