CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Elon Musk	1000+	$0.165	81%	+394%	19.4%	moderado	$30,225
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.190	53%	+179%	10.5%	moderado	$106
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	60-79	$0.105	25%	+134%	3.9%	moderado	$1,133
Donald Trump	200+	$0.260	54%	+106%	9.3%	escalable	$693
CZ (Binance)	40-59	$0.170	33%	+92%	4.7%	moderado	$0
Ted Cruz	180-199	$0.125	21%	+71%	2.5%	moderado	$0
Ted Cruz	200+	$0.175	26%	+46%	2.4%	moderado	$0
The White House	180-199	$0.105	14%	+35%	1.0%	moderado	$1,195
CZ (Binance)	<20	$0.215	29%	+33%	2.3%	escalable	$100
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.415	54%	+31%	5.5%	escalable	$0
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.485	64%	+31%	7.3%	escalable	$90
The White House	200+	$0.600	78%	+30%	11.4%	escalable	$68

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 12,919 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.0%Sobre-dispersion: 24.76x48 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026? 19% del periodo

lleva 162 · proyeccion 1138.7 ± 155.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.165	81%	+394%	19.4%	moderado	$30,225

Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 387.3 ± 97.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
500+	$0.002	13%	+8304%	3.1%	cautela (no operable)	$6,020
400-419	$0.004	8%	+1882%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$10
380-399	$0.004	8%	+1707%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$10
420-439	$0.004	7%	+1548%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$3,967
360-379	$0.005	8%	+1500%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$135
340-359	$0.006	8%	+1062%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$110
320-339	$0.009	7%	+704%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$532
300-319	$0.015	6%	+296%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$48
280-299	$0.020	5%	+147%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$34

Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 265.1 ± 81.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
320-339	$0.006	7%	+1003%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$9,670
300-319	$0.008	8%	+957%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$8,944
360-379	$0.005	4%	+759%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$6,215
340-359	$0.007	6%	+663%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$5,931
280-299	$0.015	9%	+526%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$14,072
380-399	$0.005	3%	+452%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$12,216
260-279	$0.032	10%	+206%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$5,649
80-99	$0.006	1%	+58%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$16,204
500+	$0.002	0%	+27%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$41,239
60-79	$0.004	1%	+20%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$20,368
100-119	$0.014	2%	+12%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$18,160
120-139	$0.022	2%	+11%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$25,134

Elon Musk # tweets October 8 - October 10, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 159.4 ± 62.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-164	$0.003	16%	+6166%	3.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,124
165-189	$0.004	15%	+3693%	3.7%	cautela (no operable)	$1,138
190-214	$0.005	13%	+2414%	3.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,284
240+	$0.005	10%	+1922%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$1,135
115-139	$0.007	14%	+1876%	3.3%	cautela (no operable)	$112
215-239	$0.005	9%	+1681%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,140
90-114	$0.035	10%	+199%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$480

Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 101 · proyeccion 221.0 ± 54.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
320-339	$0.002	2%	+1268%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$23,795
300-319	$0.004	4%	+1030%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$37,815
280-299	$0.006	7%	+926%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$41,688
100-119	$0.003	2%	+636%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$72,762
260-279	$0.014	10%	+603%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$34,573
240-259	$0.036	13%	+248%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$48,070
120-139	$0.012	4%	+201%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$95,997
220-239	$0.095	14%	+51%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$40,190

Elon Musk # tweets October 5 - October 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 5 · proyeccion 43.0 ± 30.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
90-114	$0.002	6%	+3573%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$24,003
65-89	$0.032	18%	+462%	3.8%	cautela (no operable)	$36,160
40-64	$0.280	30%	+8%	0.8%	escalable	$26,424

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 6,113 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 6.8%Sobre-dispersion: 11.88x32 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 241.2 ± 53.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
200+	$0.600	78%	+30%	11.4%	escalable	$68

White House # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 1 · proyeccion 158.4 ± 43.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.005	18%	+3482%	4.4%	cautela (no operable)	$165
120-139	$0.005	15%	+2837%	3.6%	cautela (no operable)	$188
100-119	$0.005	10%	+1852%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$198
80-99	$0.005	5%	+951%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$265
60-79	$0.003	2%	+664%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$298
160-179	$0.045	18%	+294%	3.5%	cautela (no operable)	$84
40-59	$0.005	1%	+62%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$278
180-199	$0.105	14%	+35%	1.0%	moderado	$1,195

White House # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 110 · proyeccion 191.9 ± 31.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.010	20%	+1858%	4.7%	cautela (no operable)	$423
180-199	$0.038	25%	+551%	5.5%	cautela (no operable)	$1,659

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 5,442 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.5%Sobre-dispersion: 13.68x37 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 204.2 ± 52.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
200+	$0.260	54%	+106%	9.3%	escalable	$693

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 143.8 ± 44.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.005	4%	+799%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$98
40-59	$0.010	2%	+94%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$30
80-99	$0.057	9%	+50%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$336
120-139	$0.135	17%	+26%	1.0%	moderado	$2,027
100-119	$0.120	13%	+11%	0.4%	moderado	$1,407

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 102 · proyeccion 161.5 ± 28.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.010	6%	+456%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,367
120-139	$0.070	15%	+116%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$2,370

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 3,573 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.0%Sobre-dispersion: 6.71x30 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 176.8 ± 34.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
180-199	$0.125	21%	+71%	2.5%	moderado	$0
200+	$0.175	26%	+46%	2.4%	moderado	$0
160-179	$0.175	22%	+28%	1.5%	moderado	$0
140-159	$0.140	17%	+20%	0.8%	moderado	$0

Ted Cruz # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 116.1 ± 27.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.015	7%	+390%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$133
180-199	$0.005	1%	+103%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$110
140-159	$0.125	14%	+13%	0.5%	moderado	$130

Ted Cruz # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 53 · proyeccion 112.9 ± 20.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.070	8%	+18%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$50

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 2,430 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.6%Sobre-dispersion: 6.59x28 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 126.6 ± 28.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.085	20%	+136%	3.1%	cautela (no operable)	$74
160-179	$0.070	9%	+34%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$10

Zelenskyy # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 84.4 ± 23.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.010	3%	+154%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$70
120-139	$0.026	6%	+126%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$86
40-59	$0.059	12%	+100%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$85
60-79	$0.240	27%	+13%	1.1%	escalable	$226

Zelenskyy # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 48 · proyeccion 88.9 ± 16.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.005	4%	+540%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$354
60-79	$0.105	25%	+134%	3.9%	moderado	$1,133

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 1,087 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.2%Sobre-dispersion: 2.57x28 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 56.0 ± 12.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.005	36%	+7127%	8.9%	cautela (no operable)	$324
40-59	$0.190	53%	+179%	10.5%	moderado	$106

NYC Mayor # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 38.2 ± 9.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.460	52%	+14%	2.9%	escalable	$904

NYC Mayor # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 20 · proyeccion 37.7 ± 6.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.077	39%	+407%	8.6%	cautela (no operable)	$1,026

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 654 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 19.0%Sobre-dispersion: 4.35x28 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 34.7 ± 12.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.005	2%	+297%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$10
40-59	$0.170	33%	+92%	4.7%	moderado	$0
20-39	$0.415	54%	+31%	5.5%	escalable	$0

CZ # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 2 · proyeccion 25.0 ± 10.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
<20	$0.215	29%	+33%	2.3%	escalable	$100
20-39	$0.485	64%	+31%	7.3%	escalable	$90

CZ # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 16 · proyeccion 27.6 ± 7.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.032	5%	+51%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$80
<20	$0.110	13%	+15%	0.5%	moderado	$1,831

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 155 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 15.0%Sobre-dispersion: 16.44x10 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 8.2 ± 11.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
5-9	$0.029	17%	+475%	3.6%	cautela (no operable)	$105
10-14	$0.035	16%	+369%	3.3%	cautela (no operable)	$92
15-19	$0.029	13%	+335%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$9
20-24	$0.021	8%	+314%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$120
25-29	$0.025	5%	+87%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$105

Khamenei # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 5.6 ± 9.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
5-9	$0.009	20%	+2045%	4.9%	cautela (no operable)	$114
10-14	$0.009	17%	+1640%	3.9%	cautela (no operable)	$127
15-19	$0.015	10%	+608%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$160
25-29	$0.015	2%	+23%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$72

Khamenei # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 1 · proyeccion 3.6 ± 6.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.005	14%	+2622%	3.3%	cautela (no operable)	$596
5-9	$0.027	26%	+869%	6.0%	cautela (no operable)	$613
15-19	$0.005	4%	+712%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$567