CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	60-79	$0.119	58%	+385%	13.1%	moderado	$2,864
Elon Musk	1000+	$0.275	75%	+174%	16.6%	escalable	$32,081
Ali Khamenei	5-9	$0.156	33%	+112%	5.2%	moderado	$644
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	120-139	$0.100	20%	+104%	2.9%	moderado	$162
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.130	24%	+88%	3.3%	moderado	$10
CZ (Binance)	<20	$0.240	44%	+83%	6.5%	escalable	$100
Donald Trump	100-119	$0.105	19%	+79%	2.3%	moderado	$1,677
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	60-79	$0.230	37%	+60%	4.5%	escalable	$778
Ted Cruz	160-179	$0.105	17%	+59%	1.7%	moderado	$10
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	100-119	$0.185	29%	+57%	3.2%	moderado	$1,319
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.176	27%	+56%	3.0%	moderado	$179
The White House	180-199	$0.111	16%	+47%	1.5%	moderado	$265

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 12,943 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.0%Sobre-dispersion: 24.87x48 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026? 26% del periodo

lleva 188 · proyeccion 1103.6 ± 150.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.275	75%	+174%	16.6%	escalable	$32,081

Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 329.1 ± 90.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
420-439	$0.002	5%	+3077%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$9,651
380-399	$0.003	7%	+2720%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$5,867
440-459	$0.002	4%	+2329%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$14,277
360-379	$0.004	8%	+2177%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$6,333
500+	$0.002	3%	+1887%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$24,153
460-479	$0.002	3%	+1668%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$13,300
400-419	$0.004	6%	+1597%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$8,360
340-359	$0.005	9%	+1460%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$6,818
480-499	$0.002	2%	+1126%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$12,850
320-339	$0.009	9%	+878%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$10,539
300-319	$0.018	9%	+365%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$4,848
280-299	$0.035	8%	+125%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$4,779
80-99	$0.003	0%	+7%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$10,285
260-279	$0.068	7%	+5%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,792

Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 26 · proyeccion 233.5 ± 71.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.004	6%	+1504%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$29,258
120-139	$0.003	4%	+1464%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$58,573
100-119	$0.002	3%	+1161%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$49,738
160-179	$0.009	7%	+778%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$32,066
180-199	$0.030	9%	+201%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$41,888
200-219	$0.045	10%	+133%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$36,766
380-399	$0.009	1%	+12%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$19,942
220-239	$0.100	11%	+11%	0.3%	moderado	$28,272
420-439	$0.003	0%	+10%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$16,931

Elon Musk # tweets October 8 - October 10, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 102.6 ± 50.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
165-189	$0.003	7%	+2598%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$4,332
140-164	$0.007	12%	+1647%	2.9%	cautela (no operable)	$3,802
115-139	$0.014	17%	+1145%	4.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,668
90-114	$0.091	20%	+115%	2.9%	cautela (no operable)	$4,613

Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 127 · proyeccion 190.2 ± 39.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.002	17%	+11520%	4.3%	cautela (no operable)	$266,274
140-159	$0.002	12%	+7828%	2.9%	cautela (no operable)	$244,544
180-199	$0.004	20%	+5589%	4.9%	cautela (no operable)	$236,640
120-139	$0.002	6%	+4115%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$240,743
200-219	$0.026	18%	+569%	3.9%	cautela (no operable)	$168,325

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 6,136 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 6.8%Sobre-dispersion: 12.13x32 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 194.2 ± 48.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.006	11%	+1554%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$55
120-139	$0.009	7%	+616%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$35
100-119	$0.011	4%	+247%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$25
160-179	$0.074	14%	+93%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$177
80-99	$0.010	2%	+65%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$53
180-199	$0.111	16%	+47%	1.5%	moderado	$265
60-79	$0.005	1%	+15%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$80

White House # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 24 · proyeccion 134.9 ± 36.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.005	21%	+4152%	5.2%	cautela (no operable)	$275
140-159	$0.005	20%	+3878%	4.9%	cautela (no operable)	$447
100-119	$0.005	17%	+3301%	4.2%	cautela (no operable)	$198
60-79	$0.002	5%	+2936%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$448
80-99	$0.005	10%	+1935%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$265
40-59	$0.005	2%	+205%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$278

White House # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 133 · proyeccion 168.7 ± 20.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.004	37%	+10439%	9.2%	cautela (no operable)	$666
180-199	$0.006	23%	+3478%	5.7%	cautela (no operable)	$3,642

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 5,461 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.5%Sobre-dispersion: 13.74x37 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 169.0 ± 48.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.055	8%	+41%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$0

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 16 · proyeccion 125.1 ± 38.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.010	3%	+216%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$647
60-79	$0.028	7%	+166%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$613
100-119	$0.105	19%	+79%	2.3%	moderado	$1,677
120-139	$0.140	20%	+45%	1.8%	moderado	$2,243
80-99	$0.102	13%	+33%	0.9%	moderado	$1,826

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 118 · proyeccion 142.9 ± 18.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.021	9%	+346%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$2,372
160-179	$0.080	16%	+100%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$3,755
140-159	$0.350	39%	+11%	1.5%	escalable	$7,687

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 3,591 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 11.8%Sobre-dispersion: 6.77x30 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 140.8 ± 30.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.130	24%	+88%	3.3%	moderado	$10
160-179	$0.105	17%	+59%	1.7%	moderado	$10
180-199	$0.070	8%	+9%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$10

Ted Cruz # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 18 · proyeccion 98.5 ± 23.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.015	16%	+968%	3.7%	cautela (no operable)	$133
40-59	$0.026	4%	+57%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$15
20-39	$0.005	1%	+8%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$20

Ted Cruz # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 71 · proyeccion 95.5 ± 12.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.004	51%	+11342%	12.8%	cautela (no operable)	$3,164
60-79	$0.005	10%	+1989%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$448
100-119	$0.070	35%	+396%	7.4%	cautela (no operable)	$1,223

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 2,433 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.6%Sobre-dispersion: 6.68x28 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 106.4 ± 26.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.005	3%	+506%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$57
160-179	$0.005	2%	+265%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$36
140-159	$0.029	8%	+184%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$115
120-139	$0.100	20%	+104%	2.9%	moderado	$162
100-119	$0.185	29%	+57%	3.2%	moderado	$1,319

Zelenskyy # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 3 · proyeccion 67.7 ± 20.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.010	8%	+671%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$659
40-59	$0.072	26%	+260%	5.0%	cautela (no operable)	$449
<20	$0.005	1%	+93%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$702
60-79	$0.230	37%	+60%	4.5%	escalable	$778

Zelenskyy # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 51 · proyeccion 72.6 ± 12.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.005	13%	+2594%	3.3%	cautela (no operable)	$1,398
60-79	$0.119	58%	+385%	13.1%	moderado	$2,864

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 1,094 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.2%Sobre-dispersion: 2.57x28 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 45.3 ± 10.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.005	9%	+1593%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$505
40-59	$0.085	61%	+618%	14.3%	cautela (no operable)	$253

NYC Mayor # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 7 · proyeccion 34.5 ± 8.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.176	27%	+56%	3.0%	moderado	$179
<20	$0.029	4%	+26%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$453

NYC Mayor # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 27 · proyeccion 34.1 ± 4.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.038	10%	+167%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$1,148

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 658 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 19.0%Sobre-dispersion: 4.34x28 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 29.5 ± 11.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.425	62%	+47%	8.6%	escalable	$0
40-59	$0.170	18%	+8%	0.4%	moderado	$0

CZ # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 3 · proyeccion 20.7 ± 8.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
<20	$0.240	44%	+83%	6.5%	escalable	$100

CZ # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 17 · proyeccion 23.4 ± 5.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
<20	$0.041	23%	+468%	4.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,893

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 158 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 15.0%Sobre-dispersion: 16.61x10 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 7.2 ± 10.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.014	16%	+1075%	3.8%	cautela (no operable)	$92
15-19	$0.011	12%	+1059%	2.8%	cautela (no operable)	$19
20-24	$0.016	7%	+357%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$126
5-9	$0.058	18%	+215%	3.3%	cautela (no operable)	$198
25-29	$0.014	4%	+156%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$105
30-34	$0.011	1%	+36%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$30

Khamenei # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 2 · proyeccion 6.6 ± 8.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-24	$0.002	5%	+3195%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$317
10-14	$0.009	19%	+1868%	4.5%	cautela (no operable)	$369
15-19	$0.011	11%	+925%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$400
5-9	$0.075	23%	+198%	4.0%	cautela (no operable)	$190
25-29	$0.015	2%	+8%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$318

Khamenei # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 3 · proyeccion 4.7 ± 5.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.005	15%	+2944%	3.7%	cautela (no operable)	$612
15-19	$0.004	3%	+588%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$567
5-9	$0.156	33%	+112%	5.2%	moderado	$644