CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.100	32%	+215%	6.0%	moderado	$1,534
Elon Musk	1000+	$0.355	100%	+182%	25.0%	escalable	$1,043
Ted Cruz	120-139	$0.110	27%	+147%	4.5%	moderado	$167
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.230	48%	+106%	8.0%	escalable	$1,883
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	120-139	$0.210	43%	+106%	7.1%	escalable	$1,261
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.195	40%	+104%	6.3%	moderado	$312
Ali Khamenei	5-9	$0.115	23%	+97%	3.1%	moderado	$637
Donald Trump	180-199	$0.115	19%	+66%	2.2%	moderado	$2,871
Elon Musk	65-89	$0.125	18%	+45%	1.6%	moderado	$3,430
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.500	73%	+45%	11.3%	escalable	$3,942
Elon Musk	<40	$0.140	20%	+42%	1.7%	moderado	$69,882
Donald Trump	180-199	$0.100	14%	+40%	1.1%	moderado	$868

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,805 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.3%Sobre-dispersion: 25.47x42 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 2513.5 ± 253.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.355	100%	+182%	25.0%	escalable	$1,043

Elon Musk # tweets August 28 - September 4, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 10 · proyeccion 270.5 ± 81.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
380-399	$0.002	3%	+2152%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$9,606
400-419	$0.002	2%	+1430%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$11,229
340-359	$0.004	6%	+1260%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$13,330
360-379	$0.004	5%	+941%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$12,846
320-339	$0.007	8%	+903%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$5,487
300-319	$0.015	9%	+501%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$7,405
280-299	$0.025	10%	+288%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$3,176
260-279	$0.040	10%	+147%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$3,668
500+	$0.002	0%	+64%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$25,216
240-259	$0.065	9%	+45%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$3,524

Elon Musk # tweets August 25 - September 1, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 67 · proyeccion 201.7 ± 58.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
260-279	$0.009	7%	+675%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$25,477
60-79	$0.002	1%	+626%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$86,272
300-319	$0.004	3%	+623%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$30,993
240-259	$0.015	10%	+529%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$22,074
280-299	$0.007	4%	+494%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$26,837
220-239	$0.026	12%	+358%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$25,319
80-99	$0.006	2%	+267%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$107,173
320-339	$0.004	1%	+266%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$27,723
340-359	$0.003	1%	+131%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$25,500
200-219	$0.065	13%	+107%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$23,013
360-379	$0.002	0%	+55%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$23,817

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 90% del periodo

lleva 790 · proyeccion 903.9 ± 53.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
960-999	$0.013	11%	+803%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$32,715
920-959	$0.027	24%	+770%	5.3%	cautela (no operable)	$26,030
780-799	$0.006	2%	+144%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$32,874
1000+	$0.018	4%	+116%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$24,765

Elon Musk # tweets August 29 - August 31, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 97.7 ± 49.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-164	$0.002	11%	+7292%	2.7%	cautela (no operable)	$2,068
165-189	$0.002	6%	+3734%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$2,674
190-214	$0.002	2%	+1455%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$1,683
115-139	$0.015	17%	+1053%	3.9%	cautela (no operable)	$12,442
90-114	$0.034	20%	+488%	4.2%	cautela (no operable)	$4,463
65-89	$0.125	18%	+45%	1.6%	moderado	$3,430

Elon Musk # tweets August 27 - August 29, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 34 · proyeccion 60.7 ± 26.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
90-114	$0.018	12%	+559%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$27,734
115-139	$0.003	2%	+512%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$30,963
65-89	$0.095	31%	+224%	5.9%	cautela (no operable)	$36,442
<40	$0.140	20%	+42%	1.7%	moderado	$69,882

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,884 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 6.9%Sobre-dispersion: 10.27x27 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 14 · proyeccion 149.7 ± 37.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.031	18%	+490%	3.9%	cautela (no operable)	$131
100-119	$0.031	12%	+286%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$133
140-159	$0.093	21%	+127%	3.3%	cautela (no operable)	$242
80-99	$0.032	6%	+85%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$112

White House # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 92 · proyeccion 150.7 ± 24.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.002	8%	+5468%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$599
120-139	$0.026	22%	+740%	5.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,500
140-159	$0.229	32%	+38%	2.8%	escalable	$2,589

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,645 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 11.2%Sobre-dispersion: 14.77x32 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 28 - September 4, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 24 · proyeccion 158.8 ± 44.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.005	10%	+1845%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$290
80-99	$0.005	5%	+983%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$181
60-79	$0.003	2%	+724%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$193
120-139	$0.038	14%	+277%	2.7%	cautela (no operable)	$393
140-159	$0.054	17%	+221%	3.2%	cautela (no operable)	$362
180-199	$0.100	14%	+40%	1.1%	moderado	$868
160-179	$0.140	17%	+23%	0.9%	moderado	$495

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 25 - September 1, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 139 · proyeccion 211.8 ± 32.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.021	11%	+409%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,632
180-199	$0.115	19%	+66%	2.2%	moderado	$2,871
140-159	$0.031	4%	+34%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$1,475

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,960 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.6%Sobre-dispersion: 7.14x25 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 14 · proyeccion 122.3 ± 27.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.005	14%	+2788%	3.5%	cautela (no operable)	$167
100-119	$0.046	25%	+452%	5.5%	cautela (no operable)	$129
120-139	$0.110	27%	+147%	4.5%	moderado	$167

Ted Cruz # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 116 · proyeccion 163.7 ± 18.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.100	32%	+215%	6.0%	moderado	$1,534
160-179	$0.375	39%	+5%	0.8%	escalable	$131

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,953 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.2%Sobre-dispersion: 7.3x23 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 3 · proyeccion 84.1 ± 24.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.070	19%	+172%	3.2%	cautela (no operable)	$405
40-59	$0.046	12%	+164%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$185
60-79	$0.215	27%	+25%	1.7%	escalable	$946

Zelenskyy # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 86 · proyeccion 125.8 ± 17.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.210	43%	+106%	7.1%	escalable	$1,261
100-119	$0.235	29%	+25%	1.9%	escalable	$1,009

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 897 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.3%Sobre-dispersion: 2.82x22 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 1 · proyeccion 37.3 ± 10.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.195	40%	+104%	6.3%	moderado	$312

NYC Mayor # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 21 · proyeccion 39.1 ± 7.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.230	48%	+106%	8.0%	escalable	$1,883

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 515 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 21.8%Sobre-dispersion: 4.88x22 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 5 · proyeccion 26.9 ± 10.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.585	65%	+11%	4.0%	escalable	$87

CZ # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 25 · proyeccion 35.0 ± 7.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.500	73%	+45%	11.3%	escalable	$3,942

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 152 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 15.1%Sobre-dispersion: 12.17x10 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 6.1 ± 8.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.019	11%	+441%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$225
10-14	$0.040	18%	+361%	3.7%	cautela (no operable)	$284
5-9	$0.115	23%	+97%	3.1%	moderado	$637
20-24	$0.033	4%	+36%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$197

Khamenei # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 2.9 ± 6.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.006	2%	+260%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$630
5-9	$0.076	26%	+241%	5.0%	cautela (no operable)	$775