CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Elon Musk	1000+	$0.355	100%	+182%	25.0%	escalable	$1,043
Ted Cruz	120-139	$0.120	27%	+125%	4.3%	moderado	$179
The White House	140-159	$0.142	31%	+119%	4.9%	moderado	$2,793
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	120-139	$0.223	43%	+94%	6.8%	escalable	$1,450
Donald Trump	180-199	$0.105	20%	+93%	2.7%	moderado	$3,071
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.220	40%	+82%	5.8%	escalable	$1,883
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.195	35%	+81%	4.9%	moderado	$312
Ali Khamenei	5-9	$0.130	23%	+74%	2.8%	moderado	$637
Donald Trump	160-179	$0.115	17%	+52%	1.7%	moderado	$495
Elon Musk	65-89	$0.135	20%	+47%	1.8%	moderado	$4,312
Elon Musk	880-919	$0.230	30%	+30%	2.2%	escalable	$23,745
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	100-119	$0.235	29%	+25%	1.9%	escalable	$1,009

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,805 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.3%Sobre-dispersion: 25.47x42 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 2506.1 ± 252.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.355	100%	+182%	25.0%	escalable	$1,043

Elon Musk # tweets August 28 - September 4, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 16 · proyeccion 269.1 ± 80.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
400-419	$0.002	2%	+1343%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$12,221
340-359	$0.004	6%	+1238%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$14,003
360-379	$0.004	5%	+1201%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$13,052
380-399	$0.003	3%	+979%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$9,970
320-339	$0.007	7%	+897%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$6,314
420-439	$0.002	1%	+807%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$9,165
300-319	$0.013	9%	+547%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$7,524
440-459	$0.002	1%	+436%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$9,642
280-299	$0.022	10%	+327%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$3,569
460-479	$0.002	0%	+198%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$8,120
260-279	$0.038	10%	+158%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$3,966
60-79	$0.003	0%	+83%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$41,791
240-259	$0.065	10%	+48%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$3,593
500+	$0.002	0%	+37%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$25,496

Elon Musk # tweets August 25 - September 1, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 73 · proyeccion 200.3 ± 56.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
260-279	$0.009	7%	+689%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$28,829
240-259	$0.015	10%	+564%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$23,831
300-319	$0.004	2%	+545%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$32,117
80-99	$0.004	2%	+512%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$111,122
280-299	$0.007	4%	+451%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$29,395
320-339	$0.003	1%	+336%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$28,548
220-239	$0.029	12%	+315%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$28,172
340-359	$0.002	0%	+210%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$26,425
200-219	$0.065	14%	+112%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$24,837
360-379	$0.002	0%	+17%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$24,597

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 90% del periodo

lleva 796 · proyeccion 902.5 ± 52.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
960-999	$0.011	11%	+859%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$32,722
920-959	$0.030	24%	+671%	5.3%	cautela (no operable)	$26,274
780-799	$0.003	1%	+397%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$34,336
1000+	$0.006	3%	+380%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$24,790
880-919	$0.230	30%	+30%	2.2%	escalable	$23,745

Elon Musk # tweets August 29 - August 31, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 90.3 ± 48.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-164	$0.002	9%	+6013%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$2,089
165-189	$0.002	4%	+2680%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$3,495
115-139	$0.015	15%	+966%	3.5%	cautela (no operable)	$14,873
90-114	$0.031	20%	+544%	4.3%	cautela (no operable)	$4,650
65-89	$0.135	20%	+47%	1.8%	moderado	$4,312

Elon Musk # tweets August 27 - August 29, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 40 · proyeccion 59.3 ± 22.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
90-114	$0.009	8%	+794%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$33,755
65-89	$0.055	32%	+483%	7.0%	cautela (no operable)	$48,648

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,884 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 6.9%Sobre-dispersion: 10.27x27 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 23 · proyeccion 155.8 ± 36.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.005	17%	+2931%	4.0%	cautela (no operable)	$131
100-119	$0.005	10%	+1703%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$133
140-159	$0.079	21%	+166%	3.6%	cautela (no operable)	$242
60-79	$0.006	1%	+129%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$159
80-99	$0.032	4%	+38%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$112

White House # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 101 · proyeccion 156.7 ± 23.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.005	18%	+3418%	4.3%	cautela (no operable)	$1,849
140-159	$0.142	31%	+119%	4.9%	moderado	$2,793

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,645 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 11.2%Sobre-dispersion: 14.77x32 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 28 - September 4, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 29 · proyeccion 157.2 ± 43.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.005	15%	+2608%	3.6%	cautela (no operable)	$393
100-119	$0.005	10%	+1731%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$290
80-99	$0.006	6%	+822%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$181
60-79	$0.003	2%	+724%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$193
140-159	$0.050	18%	+258%	3.4%	cautela (no operable)	$367
160-179	$0.115	17%	+52%	1.7%	moderado	$495
180-199	$0.130	14%	+7%	0.2%	moderado	$868

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 25 - September 1, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 144 · proyeccion 210.2 ± 31.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.003	11%	+4324%	2.7%	cautela (no operable)	$1,832
140-159	$0.003	4%	+1252%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,579
180-199	$0.105	20%	+93%	2.7%	moderado	$3,071

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,960 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.6%Sobre-dispersion: 7.14x25 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 16 · proyeccion 119.8 ± 27.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.005	16%	+3065%	3.9%	cautela (no operable)	$168
100-119	$0.045	27%	+488%	5.8%	cautela (no operable)	$129
120-139	$0.120	27%	+125%	4.3%	moderado	$179

Ted Cruz # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 118 · proyeccion 161.3 ± 17.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.050	35%	+604%	8.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,551
100-119	$0.002	1%	+468%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$795
160-179	$0.370	39%	+6%	0.8%	escalable	$131

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,953 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.2%Sobre-dispersion: 7.3x23 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 3 · proyeccion 84.0 ± 24.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.070	19%	+172%	3.2%	cautela (no operable)	$405
40-59	$0.047	12%	+162%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$185
60-79	$0.235	27%	+15%	1.1%	escalable	$946

Zelenskyy # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 86 · proyeccion 125.8 ± 17.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.223	43%	+94%	6.8%	escalable	$1,450
100-119	$0.235	29%	+25%	1.9%	escalable	$1,009

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 897 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.3%Sobre-dispersion: 2.82x22 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 2 · proyeccion 36.0 ± 9.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.195	35%	+81%	4.9%	moderado	$312
<20	$0.035	5%	+33%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$139

NYC Mayor # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 22 · proyeccion 37.8 ± 6.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.220	40%	+82%	5.8%	escalable	$1,883

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 515 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 21.8%Sobre-dispersion: 4.88x22 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 8 · proyeccion 29.1 ± 10.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.550	68%	+23%	7.0%	escalable	$87
<20	$0.140	17%	+22%	0.9%	moderado	$149

CZ # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 28 · proyeccion 37.2 ± 6.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.570	63%	+11%	3.6%	escalable	$3,974

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 152 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 15.1%Sobre-dispersion: 12.17x10 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 6.1 ± 8.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-24	$0.006	4%	+632%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$251
15-19	$0.019	11%	+440%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$225
10-14	$0.038	18%	+379%	3.7%	cautela (no operable)	$284
5-9	$0.130	23%	+74%	2.8%	moderado	$637

Khamenei # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 2.9 ± 6.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
5-9	$0.022	26%	+1084%	6.1%	cautela (no operable)	$775
10-14	$0.021	11%	+416%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$938
15-19	$0.006	2%	+255%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$630