CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.200	55%	+177%	11.0%	escalable	$2,173
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.210	57%	+173%	11.5%	escalable	$968
Elon Musk	200-219	$0.101	18%	+79%	2.2%	moderado	$98,953
Ali Khamenei	10-14	$0.105	18%	+70%	2.0%	moderado	$325
Ted Cruz	120-139	$0.160	27%	+68%	3.2%	moderado	$2,439
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.115	19%	+66%	2.1%	moderado	$6,604
Ali Khamenei	5-9	$0.185	29%	+56%	3.2%	moderado	$1,105
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.270	41%	+51%	4.7%	escalable	$5,108
Donald Trump	200+	$0.175	26%	+50%	2.6%	moderado	$575
Ted Cruz	120-139	$0.245	36%	+45%	3.7%	escalable	$89
The White House	180-199	$0.275	37%	+35%	3.3%	escalable	$8,983
Donald Trump	180-199	$0.200	27%	+34%	2.1%	escalable	$3,876

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,294 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.5%Sobre-dispersion: 25.64x40 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 39% del periodo

lleva 280 · proyeccion 1037.7 ± 139.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.050	61%	+1116%	14.7%	cautela (no operable)	$5,141
960-999	$0.029	10%	+255%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$8,278
920-959	$0.054	9%	+64%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$3,796

Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 350.0 ± 94.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
400-419	$0.002	7%	+4505%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$2,514
420-439	$0.002	6%	+3847%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$1,678
500+	$0.002	6%	+3719%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$17,204
360-379	$0.004	8%	+2252%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$2,940
380-399	$0.004	8%	+1827%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$1,210
320-339	$0.007	8%	+1073%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$4,765
340-359	$0.008	8%	+951%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,792
300-319	$0.012	8%	+540%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$3,122
280-299	$0.023	7%	+198%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$4,961
260-279	$0.055	6%	+7%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,420

Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 42 · proyeccion 265.7 ± 75.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
340-359	$0.002	6%	+2756%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$13,726
320-339	$0.004	7%	+2008%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$12,810
360-379	$0.002	4%	+1963%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$16,889
300-319	$0.009	9%	+946%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$21,289
280-299	$0.016	10%	+525%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$19,073
260-279	$0.034	10%	+213%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$11,776
100-119	$0.006	1%	+95%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$43,001
240-259	$0.075	10%	+37%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$7,456
120-139	$0.018	2%	+14%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$33,395

Elon Musk # tweets August 13 - August 15, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 113.6 ± 54.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
165-189	$0.002	9%	+6096%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$5,022
140-164	$0.003	14%	+5612%	3.5%	cautela (no operable)	$9,748
115-139	$0.009	18%	+1990%	4.3%	cautela (no operable)	$6,422
90-114	$0.046	18%	+289%	3.5%	cautela (no operable)	$14,049

Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 128 · proyeccion 200.3 ± 43.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
260-279	$0.002	5%	+3339%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$105,952
240-259	$0.004	10%	+2661%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$138,169
120-139	$0.004	5%	+1292%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$242,027
220-239	$0.022	15%	+551%	3.2%	cautela (no operable)	$107,270
200-219	$0.101	18%	+79%	2.2%	moderado	$98,953

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,454 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.3%Sobre-dispersion: 11.49x24 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 181.2 ± 45.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.005	5%	+836%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$154
120-139	$0.021	9%	+339%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$154
80-99	$0.005	2%	+332%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$254
140-159	$0.045	14%	+204%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$132
160-179	$0.085	17%	+98%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$286
60-79	$0.005	1%	+65%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$290

White House # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 60 · proyeccion 164.9 ± 34.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.003	21%	+8138%	5.1%	cautela (no operable)	$2,515
160-179	$0.011	22%	+2040%	5.4%	cautela (no operable)	$2,822

White House # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 157 · proyeccion 193.0 ± 20.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.016	20%	+1171%	4.8%	cautela (no operable)	$4,993
180-199	$0.275	37%	+35%	3.3%	escalable	$8,983

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,154 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.2%Sobre-dispersion: 14.44x29 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 168.1 ± 49.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.002	1%	+514%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$484
60-79	$0.006	2%	+243%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$100
80-99	$0.025	5%	+80%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$232
200+	$0.175	26%	+50%	2.6%	moderado	$575

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 49 · proyeccion 158.3 ± 39.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.003	2%	+473%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$758
100-119	$0.036	9%	+164%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$1,352
80-99	$0.020	5%	+129%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$1,439
40-59	$0.004	0%	+44%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,443
120-139	$0.130	15%	+18%	0.7%	moderado	$942
140-159	$0.175	19%	+11%	0.6%	moderado	$1,132

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 143 · proyeccion 172.0 ± 20.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.085	21%	+153%	3.5%	cautela (no operable)	$2,780
180-199	$0.200	27%	+34%	2.1%	escalable	$3,876

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,561 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.8%Sobre-dispersion: 5.5x22 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 138.7 ± 27.6

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

Ted Cruz # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 52 · proyeccion 133.8 ± 21.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.003	0%	+67%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$793
120-139	$0.245	36%	+45%	3.7%	escalable	$89

Ted Cruz # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 120 · proyeccion 146.5 ± 12.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.160	27%	+68%	3.2%	moderado	$2,439
140-159	$0.540	58%	+7%	2.1%	escalable	$3,215

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,679 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.1%Sobre-dispersion: 3.08x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 102.4 ± 17.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.015	15%	+897%	3.4%	cautela (no operable)	$266
100-119	$0.074	40%	+433%	8.7%	cautela (no operable)	$442
140-159	$0.005	2%	+254%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$291

Zelenskyy # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 17 · proyeccion 78.9 ± 13.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.044	7%	+52%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$160
80-99	$0.360	42%	+15%	2.2%	escalable	$604

Zelenskyy # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 49 · proyeccion 70.2 ± 8.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.080	13%	+58%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$1,525

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 818 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.8%Sobre-dispersion: 2.93x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 48.9 ± 12.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.040	18%	+354%	3.7%	cautela (no operable)	$1,845
40-59	$0.470	60%	+27%	6.0%	escalable	$2,145

NYC Mayor # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 7 · proyeccion 37.5 ± 9.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.270	41%	+51%	4.7%	escalable	$5,108

NYC Mayor # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 26 · proyeccion 35.0 ± 5.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.115	19%	+66%	2.1%	moderado	$6,604

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 452 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 21.3%Sobre-dispersion: 5.42x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 29.2 ± 12.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.011	20%	+1706%	4.7%	cautela (no operable)	$256
20-39	$0.210	57%	+173%	11.5%	escalable	$968
60-79	$0.005	1%	+46%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$215

CZ # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 4 · proyeccion 21.7 ± 9.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.200	55%	+177%	11.0%	escalable	$2,173

CZ # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 4 · proyeccion 11.2 ± 6.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.012	9%	+668%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,020

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 150 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 15.3%Sobre-dispersion: 12.33x10 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 9.5 ± 10.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.076	14%	+88%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$40
10-14	$0.105	18%	+70%	2.0%	moderado	$325
20-24	$0.067	9%	+41%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$30

Khamenei # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 6.2 ± 8.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-24	$0.005	5%	+810%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$278
10-14	$0.029	18%	+515%	3.9%	cautela (no operable)	$316
15-19	$0.024	11%	+344%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$269

Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 1 · proyeccion 3.3 ± 5.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.034	10%	+209%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$606
5-9	$0.185	29%	+56%	3.2%	moderado	$1,105