CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.135	27%	+98%	3.8%	moderado	$141
Elon Musk	1000+	$0.495	96%	+94%	23.0%	escalable	$35,580
Ali Khamenei	5-9	$0.281	46%	+64%	6.2%	escalable	$734
Elon Musk	320-339	$0.167	26%	+56%	2.8%	moderado	$252,224
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.415	62%	+50%	8.9%	escalable	$0
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.130	19%	+49%	1.8%	moderado	$10
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.166	24%	+44%	2.2%	moderado	$179
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.555	79%	+43%	13.3%	escalable	$95
The White House	180-199	$0.115	16%	+41%	1.3%	moderado	$265
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	60-79	$0.225	31%	+36%	2.6%	escalable	$818
Donald Trump	140-159	$0.280	37%	+33%	3.2%	escalable	$11,193
Donald Trump	140-159	$0.150	17%	+13%	0.6%	moderado	$2,289

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 12,974 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 11.9%Sobre-dispersion: 24.86x48 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026? 26% del periodo

lleva 377 · proyeccion 1257.4 ± 147.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.495	96%	+94%	23.0%	escalable	$35,580

Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 293.6 ± 85.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.004	1%	+164%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$15,991
80-99	$0.003	1%	+118%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$11,204
340-359	$0.040	8%	+91%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$10,538
360-379	$0.034	6%	+88%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$10,684
380-399	$0.027	5%	+84%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$11,608
320-339	$0.050	9%	+71%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$17,255
420-439	$0.016	3%	+65%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$16,613
400-419	$0.025	4%	+52%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$15,736
120-139	$0.011	1%	+29%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$6,821
300-319	$0.076	9%	+20%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$8,285
440-459	$0.015	2%	+18%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$22,100
280-299	$0.087	9%	+6%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$9,189

Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 212 · proyeccion 383.8 ± 65.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
260-279	$0.010	3%	+166%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$46,766
240-259	$0.006	2%	+130%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$69,728
280-299	$0.026	4%	+63%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$62,971
300-319	$0.040	6%	+62%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$46,397
320-339	$0.064	9%	+35%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$52,854
340-359	$0.080	11%	+33%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$35,413
380-399	$0.092	12%	+31%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$42,844
360-379	$0.098	12%	+22%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$32,413
400-419	$0.098	11%	+15%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$48,789
420-439	$0.084	10%	+14%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$38,057
440-459	$0.066	7%	+12%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$61,427

Elon Musk # tweets October 10 - October 12, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 136.0 ± 58.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
240+	$0.005	4%	+582%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$140
140-164	$0.035	16%	+368%	3.3%	cautela (no operable)	$0
165-189	$0.033	13%	+310%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$0
190-214	$0.026	9%	+240%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$10
215-239	$0.026	5%	+96%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$10

Elon Musk # tweets October 8 - October 10, 2026? 50% del periodo

lleva 52 · proyeccion 118.9 ± 40.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-64	$0.006	7%	+905%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$27,298
65-89	$0.075	14%	+92%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$15,193
90-114	$0.207	22%	+7%	0.4%	escalable	$27,917

Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 316 · proyeccion 343.5 ± 26.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
300-319	$0.015	13%	+786%	3.0%	cautela (no operable)	$315,295
320-339	$0.167	26%	+56%	2.8%	moderado	$252,224
340-359	$0.262	29%	+11%	1.0%	escalable	$212,591

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 6,138 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 6.8%Sobre-dispersion: 12.15x32 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 172.0 ± 45.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.006	15%	+2266%	3.7%	cautela (no operable)	$55
120-139	$0.009	11%	+1092%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$35
100-119	$0.011	7%	+558%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$25
80-99	$0.010	3%	+249%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$53
60-79	$0.005	1%	+166%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$80
160-179	$0.075	17%	+129%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$177
180-199	$0.115	16%	+41%	1.3%	moderado	$265

White House # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 93 · proyeccion 181.8 ± 32.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.002	22%	+14810%	5.6%	cautela (no operable)	$258
140-159	$0.015	15%	+899%	3.4%	cautela (no operable)	$468
120-139	$0.010	7%	+601%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$275
100-119	$0.005	2%	+357%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$198
180-199	$0.220	23%	+6%	0.4%	escalable	$1,598

White House # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 220 · proyeccion 233.6 ± 12.8

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 5,466 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.5%Sobre-dispersion: 13.77x37 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 155.6 ± 46.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.005	3%	+467%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$785
180-199	$0.055	13%	+139%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,296
160-179	$0.095	16%	+72%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,766
40-59	$0.011	1%	+23%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$778
140-159	$0.150	17%	+13%	0.6%	moderado	$2,289

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 23 · proyeccion 118.7 ± 36.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.005	4%	+637%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$647
120-139	$0.195	21%	+7%	0.4%	moderado	$3,292
160-179	$0.079	8%	+6%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$3,703

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 125 · proyeccion 136.5 ± 12.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.280	37%	+33%	3.2%	escalable	$11,193

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 3,591 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 11.8%Sobre-dispersion: 6.77x30 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 125.6 ± 29.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.130	19%	+49%	1.8%	moderado	$10

Ted Cruz # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 67 · proyeccion 132.3 ± 21.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.135	27%	+98%	3.8%	moderado	$141
60-79	$0.005	1%	+15%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$133

Ted Cruz # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 127 · proyeccion 136.3 ± 7.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.590	64%	+9%	3.2%	escalable	$369

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 2,433 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.6%Sobre-dispersion: 6.68x28 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 93.3 ± 25.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.005	7%	+1217%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$62
120-139	$0.050	11%	+129%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$162
140-159	$0.021	3%	+30%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$120
20-39	$0.011	1%	+22%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$65
80-99	$0.285	31%	+8%	0.8%	escalable	$484

Zelenskyy # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 3 · proyeccion 54.6 ± 18.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.025	18%	+613%	3.9%	cautela (no operable)	$837
<20	$0.005	3%	+455%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$723
40-59	$0.072	40%	+446%	8.7%	cautela (no operable)	$838
60-79	$0.225	31%	+36%	2.6%	escalable	$818

Zelenskyy # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 51 · proyeccion 59.5 ± 7.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.004	49%	+10896%	12.3%	cautela (no operable)	$3,107
60-79	$0.015	50%	+3328%	12.2%	cautela (no operable)	$3,744

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 1,094 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.2%Sobre-dispersion: 2.57x28 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 40.8 ± 10.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.060	52%	+762%	12.2%	cautela (no operable)	$270
60-79	$0.005	3%	+520%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$513

NYC Mayor # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 11 · proyeccion 34.0 ± 7.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.166	24%	+44%	2.2%	moderado	$179
<20	$0.025	3%	+20%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$453

NYC Mayor # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 31 · proyeccion 33.6 ± 2.6

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 661 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 19.2%Sobre-dispersion: 4.35x28 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 25.6 ± 10.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.415	62%	+50%	8.9%	escalable	$0

CZ # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 14 · proyeccion 27.9 ± 7.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.555	79%	+43%	13.3%	escalable	$95

CZ # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 30 · proyeccion 32.6 ± 3.4

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 159 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 15.0%Sobre-dispersion: 16.64x10 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 5.9 ± 9.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.005	17%	+2909%	4.0%	cautela (no operable)	$274
15-19	$0.005	11%	+1868%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$265
20-24	$0.005	6%	+904%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$280
25-29	$0.005	2%	+300%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$274
5-9	$0.067	20%	+197%	3.5%	cautela (no operable)	$320
30-34	$0.005	1%	+24%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$236

Khamenei # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 3 · proyeccion 6.3 ± 7.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.005	10%	+1861%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$400
10-14	$0.011	20%	+1795%	4.8%	cautela (no operable)	$371
20-24	$0.010	3%	+213%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$336

Khamenei # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 4 · proyeccion 4.5 ± 2.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.011	4%	+252%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$817
5-9	$0.281	46%	+64%	6.2%	escalable	$734