CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Elon Musk	1000+	$0.180	77%	+328%	18.0%	moderado	$3,469
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.190	46%	+144%	8.4%	moderado	$1,722
Ted Cruz	80-99	$0.115	19%	+64%	2.1%	moderado	$356
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.355	54%	+52%	7.1%	escalable	$754
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.290	43%	+49%	5.0%	escalable	$2,339
Donald Trump	140-159	$0.145	20%	+40%	1.7%	moderado	$1,916
The White House	160-179	$0.225	28%	+24%	1.7%	escalable	$3,277
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.215	26%	+21%	1.4%	escalable	$2,670
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	100-119	$0.115	14%	+19%	0.6%	moderado	$174
Elon Musk	220-239	$0.115	13%	+16%	0.5%	moderado	$34,860
Elon Musk	<40	$0.245	29%	+16%	1.3%	escalable	$54,469
Ted Cruz	100-119	$0.285	32%	+12%	1.2%	escalable	$187

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,176 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.4%Sobre-dispersion: 25.64x39 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 23% del periodo

lleva 161 · proyeccion 1115.2 ± 156.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.180	77%	+328%	18.0%	moderado	$3,469

Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 9 · proyeccion 272.7 ± 82.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
360-379	$0.002	5%	+2328%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$13,455
380-399	$0.002	4%	+2264%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$18,789
340-359	$0.004	6%	+1692%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$19,365
320-339	$0.007	8%	+918%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$5,783
80-99	$0.002	1%	+446%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$32,369
300-319	$0.019	9%	+349%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$9,440
280-299	$0.034	9%	+179%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$11,470
100-119	$0.009	1%	+52%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$31,428
260-279	$0.065	10%	+49%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$3,806
240-259	$0.085	9%	+10%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$2,115

Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 93 · proyeccion 230.1 ± 59.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
300-319	$0.004	6%	+1474%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$46,506
320-339	$0.003	3%	+1231%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$33,179
340-359	$0.002	2%	+1098%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$34,623
280-299	$0.010	8%	+715%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$35,835
260-279	$0.021	11%	+401%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$40,247
120-139	$0.009	3%	+258%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$64,704
240-259	$0.048	13%	+165%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$31,943
220-239	$0.115	13%	+16%	0.5%	moderado	$34,860

Elon Musk # tweets August 8 - August 10, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 98.9 ± 50.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-164	$0.003	11%	+4448%	2.8%	cautela (no operable)	$1,305
165-189	$0.002	6%	+3922%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$1,274
115-139	$0.011	17%	+1430%	4.0%	cautela (no operable)	$4,286
90-114	$0.045	20%	+335%	3.9%	cautela (no operable)	$2,858

Elon Musk # tweets August 6 - August 8, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 27 · proyeccion 52.6 ± 25.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
90-114	$0.004	7%	+1814%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$46,833
115-139	$0.002	1%	+399%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$45,797
65-89	$0.055	25%	+348%	5.1%	cautela (no operable)	$33,615
<40	$0.245	29%	+16%	1.3%	escalable	$54,469

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,312 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.3%Sobre-dispersion: 11.94x24 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 18 · proyeccion 149.6 ± 39.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.003	18%	+5755%	4.3%	cautela (no operable)	$344
100-119	$0.004	12%	+3349%	2.9%	cautela (no operable)	$424
140-159	$0.011	20%	+1632%	4.8%	cautela (no operable)	$374
160-179	$0.075	18%	+135%	2.7%	cautela (no operable)	$628

White House # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 103 · proyeccion 159.0 ± 25.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.005	16%	+3143%	4.0%	cautela (no operable)	$530
100-119	$0.002	5%	+2532%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$463
140-159	$0.013	28%	+1992%	6.8%	cautela (no operable)	$1,314
160-179	$0.225	28%	+24%	1.7%	escalable	$3,277

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,037 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.2%Sobre-dispersion: 14.45x29 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 4 · proyeccion 134.4 ± 43.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.004	3%	+519%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$307
60-79	$0.015	6%	+305%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$311
20-39	$0.003	1%	+245%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$590
80-99	$0.064	11%	+70%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$540

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 98 · proyeccion 169.5 ± 32.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.006	5%	+653%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$2,906
120-139	$0.048	12%	+143%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$1,504
140-159	$0.145	20%	+40%	1.7%	moderado	$1,916
180-199	$0.190	20%	+7%	0.4%	moderado	$2,437

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,454 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.8%Sobre-dispersion: 5.55x22 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 14 · proyeccion 115.1 ± 23.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.030	6%	+87%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$97
80-99	$0.115	19%	+64%	2.1%	moderado	$356
100-119	$0.285	32%	+12%	1.2%	escalable	$187

Ted Cruz # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 108 · proyeccion 153.0 ± 15.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.032	18%	+470%	3.8%	cautela (no operable)	$549
140-159	$0.190	46%	+144%	8.4%	moderado	$1,722

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,634 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.0%Sobre-dispersion: 3.09x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 5 · proyeccion 83.1 ± 15.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.115	14%	+19%	0.6%	moderado	$174

Zelenskyy # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 35 · proyeccion 72.6 ± 10.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.095	11%	+17%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$336
80-99	$0.230	25%	+11%	0.8%	escalable	$1,733

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 795 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.6%Sobre-dispersion: 2.92x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 2 · proyeccion 38.2 ± 10.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.290	43%	+49%	5.0%	escalable	$2,339

NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 17 · proyeccion 34.8 ± 7.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.215	26%	+21%	1.4%	escalable	$2,670

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 448 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 22.1%Sobre-dispersion: 5.41x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 22.1 ± 10.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.015	6%	+282%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$65
20-39	$0.355	54%	+52%	7.1%	escalable	$754

CZ # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 6 · proyeccion 16.4 ± 7.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.305	34%	+12%	1.3%	escalable	$2,548

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 149 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 16.9%Sobre-dispersion: 13.08x9 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 6.6 ± 9.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-24	$0.013	6%	+350%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$52
10-14	$0.060	18%	+200%	3.2%	cautela (no operable)	$199
15-19	$0.043	12%	+172%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$53

Khamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 3.2 ± 6.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.006	3%	+467%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$1,252
10-14	$0.032	12%	+294%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$2,068