CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.150	60%	+303%	13.4%	moderado	$93
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.130	39%	+204%	7.6%	moderado	$1,729
Elon Musk	1000+	$0.340	100%	+194%	25.0%	escalable	$1,959
Ali Khamenei	5-9	$0.115	25%	+115%	3.7%	moderado	$693
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	100-119	$0.100	20%	+104%	2.9%	moderado	$542
Ted Cruz	120-139	$0.140	28%	+102%	4.1%	moderado	$180
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	100-119	$0.130	26%	+100%	3.7%	moderado	$1,200
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	120-139	$0.120	23%	+89%	3.0%	moderado	$0
The White House	140-159	$0.205	36%	+75%	4.8%	escalable	$3,435
Elon Musk	65-89	$0.165	28%	+72%	3.6%	moderado	$34,995
CZ (Binance)	40-59	$0.115	20%	+70%	2.3%	moderado	$60
Donald Trump	160-179	$0.115	19%	+67%	2.2%	moderado	$947

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,849 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.5%Sobre-dispersion: 25.63x43 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 2454.8 ± 250.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.340	100%	+194%	25.0%	escalable	$1,959

Elon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 351.9 ± 95.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
500+	$0.002	6%	+3902%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$8,869
460-479	$0.002	4%	+2503%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$5,402
400-419	$0.003	7%	+2227%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$6,587
380-399	$0.004	8%	+2116%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$6,067
420-439	$0.003	6%	+1904%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$5,517
440-459	$0.003	5%	+1881%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$5,560
480-499	$0.002	3%	+1864%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$5,402
360-379	$0.007	8%	+1078%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$5,649
340-359	$0.011	8%	+698%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$2,359
320-339	$0.015	8%	+426%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$2,084
300-319	$0.021	8%	+270%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$455
280-299	$0.029	7%	+129%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,751

Elon Musk # tweets August 28 - September 4, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 54 · proyeccion 257.3 ± 72.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
360-379	$0.003	3%	+1227%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$15,707
340-359	$0.004	5%	+989%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$18,037
320-339	$0.006	7%	+931%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$18,352
380-399	$0.003	2%	+733%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$11,340
400-419	$0.002	1%	+707%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$16,763
300-319	$0.011	8%	+639%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$14,556
280-299	$0.021	10%	+387%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$9,289
420-439	$0.002	1%	+335%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$13,665
80-99	$0.002	1%	+276%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$46,037
260-279	$0.040	11%	+172%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$9,256
100-119	$0.007	1%	+96%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$27,588
240-259	$0.065	11%	+68%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$6,072

Elon Musk # tweets August 31 - September 2, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 119.3 ± 55.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
165-189	$0.002	10%	+6881%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$1,344
190-214	$0.002	6%	+3870%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$479
140-164	$0.007	15%	+2051%	3.6%	cautela (no operable)	$2,186
115-139	$0.015	18%	+1043%	4.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,621
90-114	$0.057	17%	+202%	3.0%	cautela (no operable)	$2,813

Elon Musk # tweets August 25 - September 1, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 111 · proyeccion 188.5 ± 44.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
240-259	$0.006	7%	+987%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$45,512
260-279	$0.004	4%	+899%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$41,868
220-239	$0.018	12%	+569%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$49,455
280-299	$0.003	1%	+468%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$38,780
300-319	$0.002	0%	+215%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$46,361
200-219	$0.055	16%	+189%	2.8%	cautela (no operable)	$43,785
120-139	$0.046	8%	+61%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$95,227

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 97% del periodo

lleva 834 · proyeccion 890.7 ± 38.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
800-839	$0.004	8%	+1933%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$94,485
920-959	$0.022	19%	+760%	4.3%	cautela (no operable)	$33,904
960-999	$0.004	3%	+640%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$34,400
880-919	$0.315	39%	+24%	2.8%	escalable	$29,557

Elon Musk # tweets August 29 - August 31, 2026? 50% del periodo

lleva 25 · proyeccion 65.6 ± 32.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
115-139	$0.007	5%	+666%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$42,217
140-164	$0.002	1%	+556%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$12,984
90-114	$0.025	16%	+544%	3.6%	cautela (no operable)	$39,608
65-89	$0.165	28%	+72%	3.6%	moderado	$34,995
<40	$0.115	19%	+65%	2.1%	moderado	$49,830

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,906 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 6.9%Sobre-dispersion: 10.27x27 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts September 1 - September 8, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 189.9 ± 44.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.006	4%	+485%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$19
120-139	$0.015	7%	+360%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$13
80-99	$0.006	1%	+135%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$11
200+	$0.255	41%	+62%	5.3%	escalable	$506
140-159	$0.075	12%	+58%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$17

White House # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 35 · proyeccion 154.1 ± 35.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.003	10%	+3305%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$163
120-139	$0.006	18%	+2624%	4.3%	cautela (no operable)	$261
80-99	$0.011	4%	+308%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$153
60-79	$0.005	1%	+138%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$208
140-159	$0.098	22%	+128%	3.5%	cautela (no operable)	$276

White House # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 113 · proyeccion 155.0 ± 20.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.006	18%	+2968%	4.5%	cautela (no operable)	$2,191
140-159	$0.205	36%	+75%	4.8%	escalable	$3,435
180-199	$0.085	10%	+21%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$5,313

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,669 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 11.2%Sobre-dispersion: 14.78x32 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 1 - September 8, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 192.1 ± 53.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.006	2%	+298%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$147
120-139	$0.025	8%	+201%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$269
100-119	$0.019	5%	+139%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$140
60-79	$0.005	1%	+98%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$161
160-179	$0.105	14%	+30%	0.9%	moderado	$289
140-159	$0.095	11%	+14%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$565
180-199	$0.135	15%	+10%	0.4%	moderado	$395

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 28 - September 4, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 52 · proyeccion 161.6 ± 40.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.003	14%	+4689%	3.5%	cautela (no operable)	$511
100-119	$0.003	9%	+2778%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$408
80-99	$0.003	4%	+1258%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$299
140-159	$0.025	19%	+651%	4.2%	cautela (no operable)	$599
60-79	$0.003	2%	+403%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$311
160-179	$0.115	19%	+67%	2.2%	moderado	$947
40-59	$0.003	0%	+46%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$866
180-199	$0.130	16%	+19%	0.7%	moderado	$1,282

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 25 - September 1, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 167 · proyeccion 214.6 ± 26.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.006	7%	+1132%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$2,746
180-199	$0.065	19%	+195%	3.4%	cautela (no operable)	$3,384

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,974 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.6%Sobre-dispersion: 7.13x25 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts September 1 - September 8, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 148.0 ± 32.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
180-199	$0.085	11%	+29%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$24
120-139	$0.190	21%	+9%	0.5%	moderado	$44

Ted Cruz # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 28 · proyeccion 119.1 ± 25.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.005	16%	+3112%	3.9%	cautela (no operable)	$178
100-119	$0.048	29%	+500%	6.2%	cautela (no operable)	$139
120-139	$0.140	28%	+102%	4.1%	moderado	$180
60-79	$0.026	5%	+94%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$116

Ted Cruz # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 130 · proyeccion 160.6 ± 14.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.130	39%	+204%	7.6%	moderado	$1,729
120-139	$0.040	7%	+85%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$967

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,968 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.2%Sobre-dispersion: 7.3x23 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts September 1 - September 8, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 111.5 ± 28.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.049	12%	+139%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$0
120-139	$0.120	23%	+89%	3.0%	moderado	$0
100-119	$0.200	27%	+37%	2.3%	escalable	$85

Zelenskyy # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 18 · proyeccion 85.8 ± 22.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.100	20%	+104%	2.9%	moderado	$542
40-59	$0.058	10%	+74%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$273
20-39	$0.011	2%	+65%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$171

Zelenskyy # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 101 · proyeccion 127.5 ± 13.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.130	26%	+100%	3.7%	moderado	$1,200
140-159	$0.129	18%	+42%	1.6%	moderado	$783

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 900 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.6%Sobre-dispersion: 2.8x23 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts September 1 - September 8, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 49.4 ± 11.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.006	19%	+2836%	4.6%	cautela (no operable)	$67
40-59	$0.150	60%	+303%	13.4%	moderado	$93

NYC Mayor # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 4 · proyeccion 32.7 ± 9.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
<20	$0.018	7%	+294%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$380
40-59	$0.090	22%	+145%	3.6%	cautela (no operable)	$522

NYC Mayor # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 24 · proyeccion 34.5 ± 5.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.070	18%	+153%	2.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,894

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 526 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 21.9%Sobre-dispersion: 5.11x23 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts September 1 - September 8, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 29.3 ± 12.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.115	20%	+70%	2.3%	moderado	$60

CZ # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 16 · proyeccion 34.4 ± 9.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.600	64%	+6%	2.3%	escalable	$756

CZ # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 36 · proyeccion 42.6 ± 5.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.095	30%	+214%	5.6%	cautela (no operable)	$4,670

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 152 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 15.1%Sobre-dispersion: 12.17x10 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts September 1 - September 8, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 8.4 ± 10.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-24	$0.020	8%	+305%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$0
10-14	$0.061	18%	+201%	3.3%	cautela (no operable)	$0
5-9	$0.090	19%	+114%	2.8%	cautela (no operable)	$0
15-19	$0.069	14%	+100%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$0
25-29	$0.020	4%	+88%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$0

Khamenei # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 4.8 ± 7.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.006	7%	+1036%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$288
10-14	$0.016	17%	+940%	3.8%	cautela (no operable)	$369
20-24	$0.006	2%	+260%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$260
5-9	$0.115	25%	+115%	3.7%	moderado	$693

Khamenei # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 1.5 ± 4.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
5-9	$0.029	21%	+653%	4.8%	cautela (no operable)	$1,016
10-14	$0.005	3%	+480%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$1,485