CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	80-99	$0.155	36%	+134%	6.2%	moderado	$1,050
Ali Khamenei	5-9	$0.135	29%	+118%	4.6%	moderado	$2,359
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.305	54%	+77%	8.5%	escalable	$2,199
Elon Musk	65-89	$0.135	24%	+75%	2.9%	moderado	$103,816
Ted Cruz	160-179	$0.275	44%	+59%	5.6%	escalable	$1,052
Donald Trump	160-179	$0.145	21%	+42%	1.8%	moderado	$4,361
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.395	54%	+37%	6.0%	escalable	$3,339
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.305	41%	+35%	3.8%	escalable	$4,155
Ted Cruz	180-199	$0.286	35%	+24%	2.4%	escalable	$373
Ali Khamenei	5-9	$0.205	24%	+19%	1.2%	escalable	$584
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	40-59	$0.155	18%	+15%	0.7%	moderado	$193
Ted Cruz	120-139	$0.275	30%	+10%	1.0%	escalable	$625

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,361 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.5%Sobre-dispersion: 25.6x41 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 48% del periodo

lleva 347 · proyeccion 991.5 ± 128.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.060	48%	+692%	11.0%	cautela (no operable)	$6,478
960-999	$0.022	12%	+448%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$9,396
920-959	$0.053	11%	+115%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$4,524

Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 10 · proyeccion 248.1 ± 78.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
320-339	$0.002	6%	+3859%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$45,695
300-319	$0.004	8%	+2042%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$14,875
280-299	$0.006	9%	+1264%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$15,839
260-279	$0.018	10%	+461%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$4,660
80-99	$0.003	1%	+423%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$45,672
240-259	$0.033	10%	+214%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$3,936
220-239	$0.085	10%	+16%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$4,448

Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 109 · proyeccion 221.3 ± 53.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
300-319	$0.002	4%	+2485%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$50,697
280-299	$0.004	7%	+1798%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$53,183
260-279	$0.006	10%	+1426%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$53,724
120-139	$0.004	3%	+770%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$110,689
240-259	$0.022	13%	+473%	2.7%	cautela (no operable)	$41,439
220-239	$0.075	15%	+95%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$26,768
140-159	$0.057	6%	+8%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$88,355

Elon Musk # tweets August 13 - August 15, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 57 · proyeccion 59.2 ± 7.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
65-89	$0.135	24%	+75%	2.9%	moderado	$103,816

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,527 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.1%Sobre-dispersion: 11.36x25 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 23 · proyeccion 151.8 ± 38.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.005	21%	+4019%	5.0%	cautela (no operable)	$588
120-139	$0.005	17%	+3396%	4.3%	cautela (no operable)	$513
100-119	$0.005	11%	+2172%	2.7%	cautela (no operable)	$551
80-99	$0.004	6%	+1312%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$747
60-79	$0.004	2%	+438%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$781
160-179	$0.052	19%	+254%	3.5%	cautela (no operable)	$936

White House # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 129 · proyeccion 181.2 ± 24.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.013	29%	+2188%	6.9%	cautela (no operable)	$4,381

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,255 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.6%Sobre-dispersion: 14.22x30 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 47 · proyeccion 170.8 ± 42.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.002	0%	+108%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$4,166
120-139	$0.095	12%	+23%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$697
160-179	$0.175	19%	+8%	0.4%	moderado	$1,511

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 126 · proyeccion 190.2 ± 30.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.007	4%	+428%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$1,781
160-179	$0.145	21%	+42%	1.8%	moderado	$4,361

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,655 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 11.0%Sobre-dispersion: 6.01x23 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 39 · proyeccion 137.4 ± 24.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.275	30%	+10%	1.0%	escalable	$625

Ted Cruz # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 136 · proyeccion 176.6 ± 15.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.050	13%	+157%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$2,038
160-179	$0.275	44%	+59%	5.6%	escalable	$1,052
120-139	$0.005	1%	+58%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$972
180-199	$0.286	35%	+24%	2.4%	escalable	$373

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,701 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.4%Sobre-dispersion: 3.21x21 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 5 · proyeccion 76.9 ± 15.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.019	7%	+246%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$479
80-99	$0.155	36%	+134%	6.2%	moderado	$1,050
20-39	$0.005	1%	+37%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$271

Zelenskyy # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 37 · proyeccion 68.7 ± 10.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.085	14%	+67%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$1,229
40-59	$0.155	18%	+15%	0.7%	moderado	$193

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 833 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.8%Sobre-dispersion: 2.94x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 4 · proyeccion 37.6 ± 9.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.009	1%	+47%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$2,444
40-59	$0.305	41%	+35%	3.8%	escalable	$4,155
<20	$0.025	3%	+34%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,240

NYC Mayor # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 20 · proyeccion 35.4 ± 6.7

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 460 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 20.9%Sobre-dispersion: 5.31x21 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 2 · proyeccion 21.6 ± 10.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.009	4%	+313%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$463
20-39	$0.305	54%	+77%	8.5%	escalable	$2,199

CZ # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 12 · proyeccion 20.2 ± 6.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.395	54%	+37%	6.0%	escalable	$3,339

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 151 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 15.2%Sobre-dispersion: 11.35x10 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 5.5 ± 7.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.005	9%	+1670%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$280
20-24	$0.005	3%	+494%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$180
10-14	$0.070	18%	+155%	2.9%	cautela (no operable)	$372
25-29	$0.005	1%	+35%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$130
5-9	$0.205	24%	+19%	1.2%	escalable	$584

Khamenei # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 1 · proyeccion 3.2 ± 5.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.007	9%	+1158%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,081
15-19	$0.004	1%	+246%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$897
5-9	$0.135	29%	+118%	4.6%	moderado	$2,359