CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Elon Musk	1000+	$0.140	73%	+423%	17.2%	moderado	$4,239
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	100-119	$0.120	39%	+228%	7.8%	moderado	$74
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.135	39%	+188%	7.3%	moderado	$777
Donald Trump	160-179	$0.105	21%	+102%	3.0%	moderado	$3,020
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.320	58%	+81%	9.6%	escalable	$777
Ted Cruz	100-119	$0.200	33%	+63%	3.9%	escalable	$348
Ted Cruz	120-139	$0.200	28%	+40%	2.5%	escalable	$0
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.430	60%	+39%	7.3%	escalable	$1,350
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.180	25%	+39%	2.1%	moderado	$216
Elon Musk	<40	$0.190	25%	+33%	1.9%	moderado	$72,690
Donald Trump	200+	$0.240	32%	+32%	2.5%	escalable	$1,103
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	80-99	$0.345	45%	+31%	4.0%	escalable	$657

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,222 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.5%Sobre-dispersion: 25.56x40 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 214 · proyeccion 1092.5 ± 149.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.140	73%	+423%	17.2%	moderado	$4,239
960-999	$0.069	8%	+17%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$3,782

Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 342.4 ± 93.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
420-439	$0.002	6%	+3586%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$4,079
500+	$0.002	5%	+3006%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$20,143
400-419	$0.003	7%	+2536%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$5,258
380-399	$0.004	8%	+2044%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$1,266
360-379	$0.007	8%	+989%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,083
340-359	$0.008	8%	+961%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,175
320-339	$0.009	8%	+788%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,528
300-319	$0.017	8%	+385%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$2,034
280-299	$0.029	7%	+146%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$5,612
260-279	$0.055	6%	+14%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$511

Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 62 · proyeccion 252.0 ± 69.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
340-359	$0.002	4%	+2781%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$40,514
320-339	$0.003	6%	+1960%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$41,718
300-319	$0.004	8%	+1709%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$30,851
280-299	$0.010	10%	+888%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$25,262
100-119	$0.004	1%	+308%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$61,030
260-279	$0.028	11%	+302%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$13,524
120-139	$0.013	2%	+82%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$53,111
240-259	$0.075	11%	+52%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$11,082

Elon Musk # tweets August 10 - August 12, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 105.3 ± 51.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-164	$0.003	13%	+5022%	3.1%	cautela (no operable)	$682
165-189	$0.002	7%	+4881%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$731
115-139	$0.015	17%	+1105%	4.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,058
90-114	$0.045	19%	+322%	3.8%	cautela (no operable)	$622

Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 146 · proyeccion 209.5 ± 40.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
280-299	$0.002	3%	+1793%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$94,563
260-279	$0.004	7%	+1789%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$88,657
140-159	$0.005	7%	+1103%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$140,422
240-259	$0.013	12%	+830%	2.7%	cautela (no operable)	$89,274
220-239	$0.048	17%	+266%	3.3%	cautela (no operable)	$84,332

Elon Musk # tweets August 8 - August 10, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 30 · proyeccion 55.3 ± 25.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
90-114	$0.004	8%	+2167%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$58,046
65-89	$0.055	27%	+390%	5.7%	cautela (no operable)	$58,686
<40	$0.190	25%	+33%	1.9%	moderado	$72,690

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,343 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.3%Sobre-dispersion: 11.94x24 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 175.3 ± 45.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.006	11%	+1662%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$120
100-119	$0.006	6%	+943%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$120
80-99	$0.006	3%	+411%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$139
140-159	$0.060	15%	+147%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$268
60-79	$0.006	1%	+108%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$169

White House # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 46 · proyeccion 153.1 ± 35.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.003	11%	+3457%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$453
120-139	$0.007	18%	+2444%	4.3%	cautela (no operable)	$651
140-159	$0.039	22%	+462%	4.7%	cautela (no operable)	$1,250

White House # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 131 · proyeccion 162.5 ± 19.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.008	10%	+1205%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$2,488
140-159	$0.072	32%	+342%	6.7%	cautela (no operable)	$6,599

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,086 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.2%Sobre-dispersion: 14.43x29 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 175.5 ± 50.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.002	0%	+65%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$567
200+	$0.240	32%	+32%	2.5%	escalable	$1,103
40-59	$0.005	1%	+30%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$121

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 62 · proyeccion 157.2 ± 37.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.004	1%	+246%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$917
100-119	$0.032	9%	+196%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$1,660
80-99	$0.018	4%	+132%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$682
120-139	$0.130	16%	+25%	0.9%	moderado	$1,531
140-159	$0.185	21%	+13%	0.7%	moderado	$959

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 156 · proyeccion 192.3 ± 22.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.021	7%	+204%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$3,507
160-179	$0.105	21%	+102%	3.0%	moderado	$3,020

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,488 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.8%Sobre-dispersion: 5.55x22 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 135.1 ± 27.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.006	2%	+182%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$493
160-179	$0.050	13%	+168%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$0
120-139	$0.200	28%	+40%	2.5%	escalable	$0
140-159	$0.180	25%	+39%	2.1%	moderado	$216

Ted Cruz # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 40 · proyeccion 120.0 ± 21.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.200	33%	+63%	3.9%	escalable	$348
80-99	$0.091	14%	+51%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$417
60-79	$0.018	3%	+41%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$124
120-139	$0.285	33%	+16%	1.6%	escalable	$383

Ted Cruz # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 134 · proyeccion 157.9 ± 11.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.002	5%	+3554%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$960
140-159	$0.425	50%	+18%	3.3%	escalable	$2,781

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,652 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.1%Sobre-dispersion: 3.06x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 101.8 ± 17.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.120	39%	+228%	7.8%	moderado	$74
120-139	$0.049	14%	+188%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$40

Zelenskyy # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 20 · proyeccion 80.6 ± 13.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.345	45%	+31%	4.0%	escalable	$657

Zelenskyy # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 50 · proyeccion 70.1 ± 7.8

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 807 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.8%Sobre-dispersion: 2.92x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 47.6 ± 11.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.027	15%	+469%	3.3%	cautela (no operable)	$753
40-59	$0.430	60%	+39%	7.3%	escalable	$1,350

NYC Mayor # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 14 · proyeccion 40.0 ± 8.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
<20	$0.004	1%	+134%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,463
40-59	$0.425	51%	+20%	3.6%	escalable	$4,185

NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 29 · proyeccion 36.6 ± 4.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.230	27%	+16%	1.2%	escalable	$4,451

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 448 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 22.1%Sobre-dispersion: 5.41x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 28.0 ± 12.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.017	17%	+930%	3.9%	cautela (no operable)	$20
20-39	$0.320	58%	+81%	9.6%	escalable	$777

CZ # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 17.0 ± 9.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.135	39%	+188%	7.3%	moderado	$777
40-59	$0.006	1%	+60%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$358

CZ # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 6 · proyeccion 11.4 ± 5.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.017	7%	+298%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$3,138

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 149 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 16.9%Sobre-dispersion: 13.08x9 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 8.9 ± 10.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
30-34	$0.006	2%	+218%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$12
15-19	$0.045	14%	+208%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$0
10-14	$0.080	18%	+120%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$0
20-24	$0.050	9%	+77%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$11
25-29	$0.043	5%	+6%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$70

Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 43% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 4.8 ± 8.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.046	17%	+262%	3.2%	cautela (no operable)	$319
15-19	$0.032	8%	+153%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$128

Khamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 86% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 1.4 ± 4.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.010	3%	+172%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$2,952
5-9	$0.090	20%	+126%	3.1%	cautela (no operable)	$5,072