CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Ali Khamenei	5-9	$0.115	28%	+148%	4.8%	moderado	$2,532
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	80-99	$0.210	47%	+126%	8.4%	escalable	$1,075
Ted Cruz	160-179	$0.275	52%	+90%	8.5%	escalable	$1,416
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	80-99	$0.200	37%	+86%	5.4%	escalable	$1,588
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.305	51%	+69%	7.5%	escalable	$2,252
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.330	48%	+45%	5.6%	escalable	$3,373
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.345	47%	+37%	4.9%	escalable	$4,155
Ted Cruz	120-139	$0.250	33%	+32%	2.7%	escalable	$626
Donald Trump	160-179	$0.160	20%	+24%	1.2%	moderado	$1,663
Ali Khamenei	5-9	$0.225	25%	+11%	0.8%	escalable	$634
Donald Trump	180-199	$0.275	29%	+5%	0.5%	escalable	$3,120
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.305	32%	+5%	0.6%	escalable	$7,567

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,381 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.5%Sobre-dispersion: 25.6x41 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 52% del periodo

lleva 366 · proyeccion 991.9 ± 126.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.060	48%	+694%	11.1%	cautela (no operable)	$6,628
960-999	$0.025	12%	+390%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$9,620
920-959	$0.052	12%	+122%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$4,695

Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 29 · proyeccion 248.9 ± 75.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
300-319	$0.003	8%	+2966%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$42,631
340-359	$0.002	4%	+2792%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$38,794
320-339	$0.003	6%	+2290%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$52,000
280-299	$0.006	9%	+1428%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$30,085
260-279	$0.013	10%	+656%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$11,667
80-99	$0.004	1%	+222%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$59,594
240-259	$0.034	11%	+216%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$8,021
220-239	$0.075	10%	+37%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$7,311

Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 128 · proyeccion 222.0 ± 49.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
280-299	$0.002	6%	+4135%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$78,943
300-319	$0.002	3%	+2144%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$74,128
260-279	$0.005	10%	+1935%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$71,972
240-259	$0.013	14%	+1007%	3.2%	cautela (no operable)	$78,974
220-239	$0.064	16%	+150%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$55,666
140-159	$0.023	6%	+139%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$146,767

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,543 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.1%Sobre-dispersion: 11.36x25 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 35 · proyeccion 153.6 ± 36.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.005	17%	+3066%	4.2%	cautela (no operable)	$563
140-159	$0.010	21%	+2035%	5.1%	cautela (no operable)	$671
80-99	$0.003	5%	+1843%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$750
100-119	$0.005	11%	+1833%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$601
160-179	$0.029	20%	+587%	4.3%	cautela (no operable)	$976
60-79	$0.003	2%	+564%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$784

White House # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 141 · proyeccion 183.0 ± 21.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.017	30%	+1638%	7.1%	cautela (no operable)	$5,512

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,271 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.6%Sobre-dispersion: 14.21x30 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 62 · proyeccion 172.3 ± 39.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.065	11%	+73%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$704
100-119	$0.040	6%	+47%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$750
160-179	$0.160	20%	+24%	1.2%	moderado	$1,663

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 141 · proyeccion 191.8 ± 26.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.005	9%	+1519%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$3,429
160-179	$0.065	21%	+222%	3.9%	cautela (no operable)	$4,949
180-199	$0.275	29%	+5%	0.5%	escalable	$3,120

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,659 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 11.0%Sobre-dispersion: 6.01x23 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 43 · proyeccion 132.8 ± 23.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.250	33%	+32%	2.7%	escalable	$626

Ted Cruz # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 140 · proyeccion 172.0 ± 13.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.050	17%	+249%	3.3%	cautela (no operable)	$2,066
160-179	$0.275	52%	+90%	8.5%	escalable	$1,416

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,711 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.4%Sobre-dispersion: 3.21x21 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 15 · proyeccion 84.7 ± 15.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.015	15%	+910%	3.5%	cautela (no operable)	$562
120-139	$0.004	1%	+148%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$322
80-99	$0.210	47%	+126%	8.4%	escalable	$1,075

Zelenskyy # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 47 · proyeccion 76.6 ± 9.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.003	1%	+210%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$276
40-59	$0.017	4%	+141%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$1,224
80-99	$0.200	37%	+86%	5.4%	escalable	$1,588

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 839 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.6%Sobre-dispersion: 2.85x21 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 10 · proyeccion 39.2 ± 9.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.345	47%	+37%	4.9%	escalable	$4,155

NYC Mayor # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 26 · proyeccion 36.9 ± 5.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.305	32%	+5%	0.6%	escalable	$7,567

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 460 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 20.9%Sobre-dispersion: 5.31x21 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 2 · proyeccion 20.6 ± 9.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.013	3%	+109%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$463
20-39	$0.305	51%	+69%	7.5%	escalable	$2,252

CZ # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 12 · proyeccion 19.2 ± 6.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.330	48%	+45%	5.6%	escalable	$3,373

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 151 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 15.2%Sobre-dispersion: 11.35x10 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 5.0 ± 7.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.005	8%	+1313%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$280
20-24	$0.005	2%	+318%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$180
10-14	$0.070	17%	+146%	2.8%	cautela (no operable)	$400
5-9	$0.225	25%	+11%	0.8%	escalable	$634

Khamenei # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 1 · proyeccion 2.8 ± 4.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.004	6%	+1525%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$1,162
5-9	$0.115	28%	+148%	4.8%	moderado	$2,532
15-19	$0.002	0%	+142%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$982