CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	80-99	$0.215	44%	+104%	7.1%	escalable	$1,098
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.265	52%	+96%	8.6%	escalable	$2,257
Ted Cruz	120-139	$0.175	34%	+92%	4.9%	moderado	$657
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	80-99	$0.120	21%	+76%	2.6%	moderado	$1,700
Ted Cruz	100-119	$0.129	21%	+65%	2.4%	moderado	$975
Ted Cruz	160-179	$0.360	54%	+51%	7.2%	escalable	$1,933
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.355	48%	+34%	4.7%	escalable	$3,463
Donald Trump	180-199	$0.230	30%	+30%	2.2%	escalable	$3,647
Donald Trump	160-179	$0.160	20%	+26%	1.3%	moderado	$1,820
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.380	43%	+14%	2.2%	escalable	$4,545
Ali Khamenei	5-9	$0.230	25%	+10%	0.8%	escalable	$641
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	20-39	$0.505	54%	+7%	1.7%	escalable	$6,107

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,386 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.5%Sobre-dispersion: 25.6x41 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 52% del periodo

lleva 371 · proyeccion 980.0 ± 124.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.060	44%	+630%	10.1%	cautela (no operable)	$6,693
960-999	$0.025	13%	+409%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$9,640
920-959	$0.050	12%	+142%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$4,715
880-919	$0.075	10%	+38%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$4,111

Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 34 · proyeccion 237.3 ± 72.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
280-299	$0.003	8%	+3300%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$32,307
300-319	$0.003	7%	+2581%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$49,628
320-339	$0.003	5%	+1859%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$52,057
260-279	$0.009	10%	+1075%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$15,354
80-99	$0.003	1%	+448%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$63,408
240-259	$0.021	11%	+430%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$10,212
220-239	$0.045	11%	+144%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$8,280

Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 133 · proyeccion 210.4 ± 44.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
260-279	$0.003	7%	+2890%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$78,065
280-299	$0.002	4%	+2410%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$80,589
240-259	$0.005	12%	+2112%	2.9%	cautela (no operable)	$84,835
300-319	$0.002	2%	+937%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$79,698
220-239	$0.035	16%	+371%	3.3%	cautela (no operable)	$64,178
140-159	$0.024	7%	+201%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$166,338

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,543 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.1%Sobre-dispersion: 11.36x25 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 36 · proyeccion 152.4 ± 36.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.005	18%	+3149%	4.3%	cautela (no operable)	$563
100-119	$0.005	11%	+1901%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$601
140-159	$0.019	22%	+1037%	5.0%	cautela (no operable)	$771
160-179	$0.034	19%	+472%	4.2%	cautela (no operable)	$976

White House # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 142 · proyeccion 181.8 ± 21.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.022	31%	+1277%	7.3%	cautela (no operable)	$6,248

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,271 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.6%Sobre-dispersion: 14.21x30 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 62 · proyeccion 169.1 ± 39.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.003	1%	+234%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$4,154
100-119	$0.033	6%	+99%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$875
140-159	$0.095	18%	+88%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$1,700
120-139	$0.075	12%	+63%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$741
80-99	$0.020	3%	+32%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,208
160-179	$0.160	20%	+26%	1.3%	moderado	$1,820

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 141 · proyeccion 188.5 ± 26.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.002	10%	+6731%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$4,890
160-179	$0.058	23%	+304%	4.6%	cautela (no operable)	$5,394
180-199	$0.230	30%	+30%	2.2%	escalable	$3,647

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,661 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 11.0%Sobre-dispersion: 6.02x23 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 45 · proyeccion 132.2 ± 22.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.175	34%	+92%	4.9%	moderado	$657
100-119	$0.129	21%	+65%	2.4%	moderado	$975

Ted Cruz # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 142 · proyeccion 171.3 ± 13.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.055	18%	+225%	3.3%	cautela (no operable)	$2,322
160-179	$0.360	54%	+51%	7.2%	escalable	$1,933

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,713 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.4%Sobre-dispersion: 3.21x21 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 17 · proyeccion 80.7 ± 14.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.015	9%	+506%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$562
80-99	$0.215	44%	+104%	7.1%	escalable	$1,098

Zelenskyy # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 49 · proyeccion 72.6 ± 8.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.120	21%	+76%	2.6%	moderado	$1,700
40-59	$0.041	7%	+64%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$1,235

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 840 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.6%Sobre-dispersion: 2.85x21 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 10 · proyeccion 38.2 ± 9.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
<20	$0.009	2%	+118%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,560
40-59	$0.380	43%	+14%	2.2%	escalable	$4,545
20-39	$0.505	54%	+7%	1.7%	escalable	$6,107

NYC Mayor # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 26 · proyeccion 35.9 ± 5.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.705	75%	+6%	3.7%	escalable	$12,841

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 461 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 20.9%Sobre-dispersion: 5.31x21 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 3 · proyeccion 20.6 ± 9.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.265	52%	+96%	8.6%	escalable	$2,257
40-59	$0.014	2%	+78%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$463

CZ # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 13 · proyeccion 19.2 ± 5.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.355	48%	+34%	4.7%	escalable	$3,463

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 151 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 15.2%Sobre-dispersion: 11.35x10 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 4.9 ± 7.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.006	7%	+1111%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$297
20-24	$0.005	2%	+304%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$187
10-14	$0.055	17%	+207%	3.0%	cautela (no operable)	$410
5-9	$0.230	25%	+10%	0.8%	escalable	$641

Khamenei # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 1 · proyeccion 2.6 ± 4.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.002	5%	+2472%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,172
5-9	$0.060	28%	+360%	5.8%	cautela (no operable)	$2,746
15-19	$0.002	0%	+37%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$982