CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Elon Musk	1000+	$0.160	77%	+380%	18.1%	moderado	$3,469
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.160	46%	+190%	9.1%	moderado	$1,746
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.355	53%	+50%	6.8%	escalable	$754
Ted Cruz	80-99	$0.125	19%	+49%	1.8%	moderado	$356
The White House	160-179	$0.130	18%	+35%	1.3%	moderado	$630
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.335	45%	+34%	4.3%	escalable	$2,748
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	100-119	$0.110	14%	+24%	0.8%	moderado	$174
Donald Trump	160-179	$0.200	25%	+23%	1.4%	escalable	$1,993
Donald Trump	140-159	$0.170	21%	+22%	1.1%	moderado	$1,916
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	80-99	$0.215	25%	+18%	1.3%	escalable	$1,733
Ted Cruz	100-119	$0.275	32%	+16%	1.5%	escalable	$187
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.285	32%	+13%	1.3%	escalable	$2,553

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,176 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.4%Sobre-dispersion: 25.64x39 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 23% del periodo

lleva 161 · proyeccion 1113.8 ± 156.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.160	77%	+380%	18.1%	moderado	$3,469

Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 9 · proyeccion 271.3 ± 82.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
360-379	$0.002	5%	+3071%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$13,485
380-399	$0.002	3%	+2202%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$18,819
340-359	$0.004	6%	+1664%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$19,365
320-339	$0.006	8%	+1062%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$5,783
300-319	$0.017	9%	+428%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$9,440
80-99	$0.003	1%	+236%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$34,144
280-299	$0.032	9%	+201%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$11,572
260-279	$0.055	10%	+76%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$3,825
100-119	$0.010	1%	+40%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$32,083
240-259	$0.085	9%	+10%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$2,309

Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 93 · proyeccion 228.7 ± 59.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
300-319	$0.004	5%	+1419%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$47,307
320-339	$0.003	3%	+1169%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$33,339
340-359	$0.002	2%	+1025%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$34,753
280-299	$0.009	8%	+784%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$35,835
260-279	$0.018	11%	+474%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$40,365
120-139	$0.009	3%	+249%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$64,804
240-259	$0.043	13%	+191%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$32,043
220-239	$0.095	13%	+42%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$35,109

Elon Musk # tweets August 8 - August 10, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 97.5 ± 50.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-164	$0.003	11%	+4315%	2.7%	cautela (no operable)	$1,305
165-189	$0.002	6%	+3718%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$1,774
115-139	$0.011	17%	+1486%	3.9%	cautela (no operable)	$4,286
90-114	$0.040	20%	+392%	4.1%	cautela (no operable)	$2,858

Elon Musk # tweets August 6 - August 8, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 27 · proyeccion 51.2 ± 24.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
90-114	$0.003	6%	+2167%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$47,104
65-89	$0.055	23%	+327%	4.8%	cautela (no operable)	$34,282
115-139	$0.002	1%	+257%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$46,227

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,312 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.3%Sobre-dispersion: 11.94x24 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 18 · proyeccion 149.1 ± 39.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.003	18%	+5798%	4.4%	cautela (no operable)	$346
100-119	$0.004	12%	+3391%	3.0%	cautela (no operable)	$426
140-159	$0.007	20%	+2750%	4.8%	cautela (no operable)	$376
160-179	$0.130	18%	+35%	1.3%	moderado	$630

White House # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 103 · proyeccion 158.5 ± 25.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.004	17%	+3574%	4.0%	cautela (no operable)	$759
100-119	$0.002	5%	+2596%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$463
140-159	$0.035	29%	+715%	6.5%	cautela (no operable)	$1,728

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,037 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.2%Sobre-dispersion: 14.45x29 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 4 · proyeccion 133.5 ± 43.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.004	3%	+538%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$307
20-39	$0.003	1%	+328%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$590
80-99	$0.044	11%	+147%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$540
60-79	$0.042	6%	+50%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$311
<20	$0.003	0%	+8%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,357

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 98 · proyeccion 168.6 ± 31.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.006	5%	+621%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$2,906
120-139	$0.046	12%	+159%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,504
160-179	$0.200	25%	+23%	1.4%	escalable	$1,993
140-159	$0.170	21%	+22%	1.1%	moderado	$1,916

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,454 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.8%Sobre-dispersion: 5.55x22 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 15 · proyeccion 115.4 ± 23.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.030	6%	+82%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$97
80-99	$0.125	19%	+49%	1.8%	moderado	$356
100-119	$0.275	32%	+16%	1.5%	escalable	$187

Ted Cruz # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 109 · proyeccion 153.3 ± 15.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.032	17%	+454%	3.7%	cautela (no operable)	$549
140-159	$0.160	46%	+190%	9.1%	moderado	$1,746

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,634 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.0%Sobre-dispersion: 3.09x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 5 · proyeccion 83.1 ± 15.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.110	14%	+24%	0.8%	moderado	$174

Zelenskyy # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 35 · proyeccion 72.6 ± 10.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.215	25%	+18%	1.3%	escalable	$1,733
40-59	$0.105	11%	+6%	0.2%	moderado	$336

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 795 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.6%Sobre-dispersion: 2.92x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 3 · proyeccion 38.8 ± 10.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.335	45%	+34%	4.3%	escalable	$2,748

NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 18 · proyeccion 35.4 ± 7.1

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 448 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 22.1%Sobre-dispersion: 5.41x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 21.8 ± 10.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.015	5%	+252%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$95
20-39	$0.355	53%	+50%	6.8%	escalable	$754

CZ # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 6 · proyeccion 16.1 ± 7.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.285	32%	+13%	1.3%	escalable	$2,553

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 149 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 16.9%Sobre-dispersion: 13.08x9 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 6.6 ± 9.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.040	18%	+350%	3.6%	cautela (no operable)	$199
20-24	$0.013	6%	+350%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$82
15-19	$0.043	12%	+172%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$83

Khamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 3.2 ± 6.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.006	3%	+467%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$1,283
10-14	$0.031	12%	+300%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$2,098