CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Elon Musk	65-89	$0.215	47%	+117%	8.0%	escalable	$90,463
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	80-99	$0.185	39%	+111%	6.3%	moderado	$1,050
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.300	53%	+75%	8.1%	escalable	$1,899
Ted Cruz	180-199	$0.235	37%	+56%	4.3%	escalable	$373
Donald Trump	160-179	$0.140	22%	+55%	2.2%	moderado	$3,825
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	80-99	$0.135	20%	+50%	1.9%	moderado	$985
Ted Cruz	160-179	$0.305	42%	+39%	4.3%	escalable	$742
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.310	40%	+29%	3.2%	escalable	$4,155
Ali Khamenei	5-9	$0.235	29%	+24%	1.9%	escalable	$2,083
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.425	52%	+21%	3.9%	escalable	$3,066
Donald Trump	140-159	$0.105	12%	+17%	0.5%	moderado	$2,614
Donald Trump	120-139	$0.110	13%	+14%	0.4%	moderado	$697

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,361 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.5%Sobre-dispersion: 25.6x41 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 48% del periodo

lleva 346 · proyeccion 998.3 ± 129.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.060	50%	+727%	11.6%	cautela (no operable)	$6,478
960-999	$0.023	12%	+429%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$9,396
920-959	$0.053	11%	+110%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$4,524

Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 9 · proyeccion 254.9 ± 79.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
340-359	$0.002	5%	+3196%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$29,479
320-339	$0.003	6%	+2484%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$15,302
360-379	$0.002	4%	+2268%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$34,717
300-319	$0.005	8%	+1485%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$14,774
280-299	$0.013	9%	+630%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$13,126
260-279	$0.019	10%	+406%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$4,420
80-99	$0.003	1%	+362%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$45,259
240-259	$0.045	10%	+122%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$3,082
220-239	$0.085	10%	+12%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$3,893

Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 108 · proyeccion 228.0 ± 55.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
300-319	$0.003	5%	+1865%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$50,296
320-339	$0.002	3%	+1717%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$34,978
280-299	$0.004	8%	+1630%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$50,188
260-279	$0.011	11%	+933%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$51,418
120-139	$0.003	3%	+901%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$107,697
240-259	$0.032	13%	+322%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$39,459
220-239	$0.095	14%	+51%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$25,132

Elon Musk # tweets August 13 - August 15, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 56 · proyeccion 65.9 ± 15.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
90-114	$0.004	7%	+1598%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$116,488
65-89	$0.215	47%	+117%	8.0%	escalable	$90,463

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,527 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.1%Sobre-dispersion: 11.36x25 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 19 · proyeccion 149.8 ± 38.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.005	18%	+3472%	4.4%	cautela (no operable)	$458
140-159	$0.006	20%	+3311%	5.0%	cautela (no operable)	$522
100-119	$0.005	12%	+2297%	2.9%	cautela (no operable)	$484
80-99	$0.004	6%	+1273%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$747
160-179	$0.024	18%	+667%	4.0%	cautela (no operable)	$699
60-79	$0.004	2%	+444%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$781

White House # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 125 · proyeccion 179.3 ± 24.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.011	29%	+2670%	7.1%	cautela (no operable)	$4,110

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,251 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.6%Sobre-dispersion: 14.22x30 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 42 · proyeccion 167.8 ± 42.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.002	0%	+168%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$3,254
100-119	$0.040	7%	+86%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$506
120-139	$0.110	13%	+14%	0.4%	moderado	$697

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 121 · proyeccion 187.2 ± 30.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.009	5%	+387%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,596
160-179	$0.140	22%	+55%	2.2%	moderado	$3,825
140-159	$0.105	12%	+17%	0.5%	moderado	$2,614

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,655 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 11.0%Sobre-dispersion: 6.01x23 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 39 · proyeccion 138.2 ± 24.4

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

Ted Cruz # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 136 · proyeccion 177.4 ± 15.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.070	12%	+72%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$2,038
180-199	$0.235	37%	+56%	4.3%	escalable	$373
120-139	$0.005	1%	+46%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$863
160-179	$0.305	42%	+39%	4.3%	escalable	$742

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,699 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.4%Sobre-dispersion: 3.21x21 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 3 · proyeccion 78.8 ± 15.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.028	9%	+215%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$479
80-99	$0.185	39%	+111%	6.3%	moderado	$1,050
120-139	$0.004	0%	+29%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$310
20-39	$0.005	1%	+16%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$271

Zelenskyy # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 35 · proyeccion 70.7 ± 10.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.135	20%	+50%	1.9%	moderado	$985
40-59	$0.130	15%	+12%	0.5%	moderado	$156

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 833 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.8%Sobre-dispersion: 2.94x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 3 · proyeccion 37.3 ± 10.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.005	1%	+146%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$2,394
<20	$0.025	4%	+49%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$1,228
40-59	$0.310	40%	+29%	3.2%	escalable	$4,155

NYC Mayor # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 19 · proyeccion 35.0 ± 6.9

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 459 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 20.9%Sobre-dispersion: 5.31x21 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 1 · proyeccion 21.2 ± 10.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.009	4%	+303%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$463
20-39	$0.300	53%	+75%	8.1%	escalable	$1,899

CZ # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 11 · proyeccion 19.8 ± 6.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.425	52%	+21%	3.9%	escalable	$3,066

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 151 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 15.2%Sobre-dispersion: 11.35x10 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 6.3 ± 8.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.005	11%	+2030%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$280
20-24	$0.005	4%	+766%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$180
25-29	$0.005	1%	+150%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$130
10-14	$0.085	19%	+119%	2.8%	cautela (no operable)	$372
5-9	$0.215	23%	+8%	0.5%	escalable	$564

Khamenei # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 1 · proyeccion 4.0 ± 5.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.007	14%	+1756%	3.3%	cautela (no operable)	$1,081
15-19	$0.004	3%	+856%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$897
5-9	$0.235	29%	+24%	1.9%	escalable	$2,083