CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.225	56%	+151%	10.9%	escalable	$962
The White House	180-199	$0.125	30%	+141%	5.0%	moderado	$7,809
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.265	58%	+118%	10.6%	escalable	$2,173
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	120-139	$0.116	23%	+96%	3.1%	moderado	$204
Ted Cruz	120-139	$0.215	39%	+80%	5.5%	escalable	$2,149
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.140	24%	+75%	3.0%	moderado	$6,528
Donald Trump	120-139	$0.110	19%	+74%	2.3%	moderado	$734
Donald Trump	200+	$0.185	29%	+58%	3.3%	moderado	$575
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.300	42%	+40%	4.3%	escalable	$5,036
Ali Khamenei	10-14	$0.135	17%	+28%	1.1%	moderado	$104
Ali Khamenei	5-9	$0.225	28%	+26%	1.9%	escalable	$1,057
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.465	57%	+23%	4.9%	escalable	$2,129

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,272 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.5%Sobre-dispersion: 25.64x40 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 39% del periodo

lleva 259 · proyeccion 1029.9 ± 140.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
960-999	$0.011	11%	+911%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$5,798
1000+	$0.060	59%	+876%	14.0%	cautela (no operable)	$5,131
920-959	$0.034	9%	+175%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$2,713
880-919	$0.045	7%	+64%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$2,959

Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 363.2 ± 96.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
500+	$0.002	8%	+5166%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$17,054
400-419	$0.002	7%	+4807%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$1,494
420-439	$0.002	7%	+4250%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$1,673
380-399	$0.003	8%	+3082%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$810
360-379	$0.004	8%	+1730%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$2,558
340-359	$0.005	8%	+1385%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,310
320-339	$0.007	8%	+935%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$4,159
300-319	$0.013	7%	+444%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$2,627
280-299	$0.022	6%	+174%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$4,517

Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 21 · proyeccion 257.9 ± 77.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
360-379	$0.002	4%	+2355%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$9,542
340-359	$0.003	5%	+1955%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$9,719
320-339	$0.004	7%	+1817%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$8,209
300-319	$0.005	8%	+1393%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$14,897
280-299	$0.011	9%	+796%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$14,532
260-279	$0.021	10%	+393%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$5,767
80-99	$0.003	1%	+301%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$40,012
240-259	$0.045	10%	+126%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$4,714
220-239	$0.075	10%	+27%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$2,567

Elon Musk # tweets August 13 - August 15, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 126.8 ± 57.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-164	$0.002	16%	+10408%	3.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,741
165-189	$0.002	12%	+7800%	2.9%	cautela (no operable)	$2,072
115-139	$0.007	17%	+2214%	4.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,561
90-114	$0.044	16%	+259%	3.0%	cautela (no operable)	$2,192

Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 107 · proyeccion 192.5 ± 46.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
240-259	$0.003	8%	+3161%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$79,164
260-279	$0.002	4%	+2877%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$89,395
220-239	$0.009	12%	+1363%	2.9%	cautela (no operable)	$66,601
100-119	$0.004	4%	+928%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$245,773
200-219	$0.025	16%	+534%	3.4%	cautela (no operable)	$71,879
180-199	$0.085	17%	+99%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$95,805

Elon Musk # tweets August 10 - August 12, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 32 · proyeccion 32.8 ± 4.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-64	$0.009	7%	+636%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$97,819

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,440 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.3%Sobre-dispersion: 11.53x24 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 197.3 ± 47.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.006	3%	+421%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$22
120-139	$0.021	6%	+192%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$22
80-99	$0.005	1%	+144%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$122
160-179	$0.070	14%	+101%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$108
140-159	$0.060	10%	+69%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$0

White House # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 48 · proyeccion 169.1 ± 37.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.006	18%	+2737%	4.5%	cautela (no operable)	$1,973
160-179	$0.028	21%	+654%	4.7%	cautela (no operable)	$1,867

White House # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 145 · proyeccion 197.2 ± 24.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.011	17%	+1403%	4.1%	cautela (no operable)	$3,815
140-159	$0.006	5%	+711%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$2,786
180-199	$0.125	30%	+141%	5.0%	moderado	$7,809

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,152 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.2%Sobre-dispersion: 14.44x29 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 172.3 ± 49.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.002	1%	+433%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$449
60-79	$0.006	2%	+201%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$100
200+	$0.185	29%	+58%	3.3%	moderado	$575
80-99	$0.033	4%	+24%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$232
160-179	$0.140	16%	+13%	0.5%	moderado	$326

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 24 · proyeccion 137.5 ± 40.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.005	5%	+880%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$758
40-59	$0.004	2%	+451%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$1,443
80-99	$0.024	10%	+309%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,439
100-119	$0.086	15%	+80%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,324
120-139	$0.110	19%	+74%	2.3%	moderado	$734

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 118 · proyeccion 151.1 ± 21.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.054	22%	+310%	4.5%	cautela (no operable)	$2,844

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,551 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.8%Sobre-dispersion: 5.5x22 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 151.2 ± 28.8

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

Ted Cruz # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 34 · proyeccion 128.3 ± 22.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.003	1%	+392%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$713
80-99	$0.045	9%	+93%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$269

Ted Cruz # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 102 · proyeccion 141.1 ± 14.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.029	7%	+132%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$907
120-139	$0.215	39%	+80%	5.5%	escalable	$2,149

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,673 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.1%Sobre-dispersion: 3.08x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 108.4 ± 18.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.005	4%	+735%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$234
100-119	$0.078	42%	+432%	9.1%	cautela (no operable)	$385
120-139	$0.116	23%	+96%	3.1%	moderado	$204

Zelenskyy # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 9 · proyeccion 76.9 ± 14.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.090	11%	+21%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$32
60-79	$0.385	46%	+18%	2.9%	escalable	$505

Zelenskyy # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 41 · proyeccion 68.3 ± 9.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.620	72%	+16%	6.6%	escalable	$1,554

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 818 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.8%Sobre-dispersion: 2.93x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 52.2 ± 12.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.090	26%	+193%	4.8%	cautela (no operable)	$1,806
80-99	$0.005	1%	+147%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$686
40-59	$0.465	57%	+23%	4.9%	escalable	$2,129

NYC Mayor # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 4 · proyeccion 37.9 ± 10.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.300	42%	+40%	4.3%	escalable	$5,036

NYC Mayor # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 23 · proyeccion 35.3 ± 6.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.140	24%	+75%	3.0%	moderado	$6,528

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 452 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 21.3%Sobre-dispersion: 5.42x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 30.3 ± 12.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.011	22%	+1853%	5.4%	cautela (no operable)	$250
20-39	$0.225	56%	+151%	10.9%	escalable	$962
60-79	$0.005	1%	+104%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$209

CZ # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 4 · proyeccion 22.7 ± 10.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.265	58%	+118%	10.6%	escalable	$2,173
40-59	$0.027	5%	+78%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$896

CZ # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 4 · proyeccion 12.3 ± 6.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.011	14%	+1176%	3.3%	cautela (no operable)	$1,020

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 150 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 15.3%Sobre-dispersion: 12.33x10 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 10.3 ± 11.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.045	15%	+224%	2.7%	cautela (no operable)	$40
20-24	$0.065	10%	+59%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$30
10-14	$0.135	17%	+28%	1.1%	moderado	$104
25-29	$0.057	6%	+6%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$30

Khamenei # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 7.0 ± 9.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-24	$0.005	6%	+1099%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$278
10-14	$0.054	18%	+238%	3.4%	cautela (no operable)	$316
15-19	$0.056	12%	+116%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$269
30-34	$0.005	1%	+26%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$278

Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 1 · proyeccion 4.1 ± 6.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.040	15%	+267%	2.8%	cautela (no operable)	$575
15-19	$0.018	4%	+136%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$381
5-9	$0.225	28%	+26%	1.9%	escalable	$1,057
20-24	$0.005	1%	+26%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$589