CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Elon Musk	1000+	$0.135	75%	+455%	17.8%	moderado	$4,207
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	100-119	$0.160	42%	+159%	7.6%	moderado	$24
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	120-139	$0.108	24%	+125%	3.8%	moderado	$20
Elon Musk	65-89	$0.125	27%	+112%	4.0%	moderado	$38,426
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.215	46%	+112%	7.7%	escalable	$777
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.230	43%	+89%	6.6%	escalable	$2,625
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.340	57%	+67%	8.6%	escalable	$709
Ted Cruz	160-179	$0.105	18%	+67%	2.0%	moderado	$0
Ali Khamenei	10-14	$0.105	17%	+66%	1.9%	moderado	$0
Donald Trump	200+	$0.260	42%	+62%	5.4%	escalable	$1,030
Donald Trump	160-179	$0.140	22%	+54%	2.2%	moderado	$2,335
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	100-119	$0.120	18%	+51%	1.8%	moderado	$390

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,217 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.5%Sobre-dispersion: 25.56x40 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 202 · proyeccion 1101.7 ± 151.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.135	75%	+455%	17.8%	moderado	$4,207
960-999	$0.043	8%	+77%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$2,903

Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 363.1 ± 96.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
500+	$0.002	8%	+5124%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$18,476
420-439	$0.002	7%	+4249%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$3,969
400-419	$0.003	7%	+2355%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$5,229
380-399	$0.004	8%	+1670%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$885
360-379	$0.007	8%	+1000%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$959
340-359	$0.009	8%	+762%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$965
320-339	$0.011	8%	+641%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$1,435
300-319	$0.016	7%	+343%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$928
280-299	$0.029	6%	+117%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$3,748

Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 50 · proyeccion 260.4 ± 73.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
340-359	$0.002	5%	+3372%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$31,441
360-379	$0.002	4%	+1705%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$31,043
320-339	$0.004	7%	+1644%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$31,712
300-319	$0.005	9%	+1478%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$23,580
380-399	$0.002	2%	+1450%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$33,573
280-299	$0.013	10%	+702%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$21,808
260-279	$0.030	11%	+253%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$11,856
100-119	$0.004	1%	+194%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$55,828
120-139	$0.013	2%	+65%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$35,310
240-259	$0.075	11%	+43%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$7,912

Elon Musk # tweets August 10 - August 12, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 125.7 ± 56.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
165-189	$0.002	12%	+7676%	2.9%	cautela (no operable)	$642
140-164	$0.003	16%	+6180%	3.9%	cautela (no operable)	$602
115-139	$0.011	17%	+1562%	4.1%	cautela (no operable)	$100
90-114	$0.045	16%	+256%	3.0%	cautela (no operable)	$261

Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 134 · proyeccion 217.8 ± 46.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
280-299	$0.003	5%	+2003%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$75,757
300-319	$0.002	2%	+1555%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$83,334
260-279	$0.006	9%	+1325%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$75,251
240-259	$0.017	14%	+723%	3.0%	cautela (no operable)	$66,425
140-159	$0.012	6%	+387%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$106,331
220-239	$0.065	17%	+155%	2.7%	cautela (no operable)	$69,367

Elon Musk # tweets August 8 - August 10, 2026? 50% del periodo

lleva 18 · proyeccion 63.6 ± 34.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
115-139	$0.002	6%	+3572%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$28,035
90-114	$0.011	16%	+1388%	3.7%	cautela (no operable)	$37,615
65-89	$0.125	27%	+112%	4.0%	moderado	$38,426

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,338 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.3%Sobre-dispersion: 11.94x24 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 184.7 ± 47.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.005	9%	+1452%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$102
100-119	$0.005	5%	+766%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$92
80-99	$0.005	2%	+305%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$129
140-159	$0.034	13%	+276%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$248
60-79	$0.005	1%	+58%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$159

White House # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 33 · proyeccion 149.5 ± 37.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.004	18%	+5149%	4.5%	cautela (no operable)	$374
100-119	$0.004	12%	+3345%	2.9%	cautela (no operable)	$439
140-159	$0.021	21%	+883%	4.8%	cautela (no operable)	$774

White House # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 118 · proyeccion 158.9 ± 22.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.004	15%	+4263%	3.7%	cautela (no operable)	$1,766
140-159	$0.050	32%	+542%	7.1%	cautela (no operable)	$4,842

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,083 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.2%Sobre-dispersion: 14.42x29 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 189.1 ± 52.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
200+	$0.260	42%	+62%	5.4%	escalable	$1,030
160-179	$0.125	14%	+13%	0.5%	moderado	$474
180-199	$0.135	15%	+12%	0.5%	moderado	$555

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 47 · proyeccion 155.6 ± 39.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.002	2%	+882%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$681
40-59	$0.002	1%	+294%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$842
100-119	$0.039	10%	+163%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$1,253
80-99	$0.021	5%	+137%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$671
120-139	$0.080	16%	+102%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,468
140-159	$0.160	20%	+23%	1.1%	moderado	$936
160-179	$0.160	19%	+17%	0.8%	moderado	$1,292

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 141 · proyeccion 190.7 ± 26.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.041	9%	+129%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$2,896
160-179	$0.140	22%	+54%	2.2%	moderado	$2,335

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,486 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.8%Sobre-dispersion: 5.55x22 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 141.9 ± 28.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.105	18%	+67%	2.0%	moderado	$0
140-159	$0.180	27%	+49%	2.7%	moderado	$173
120-139	$0.200	25%	+27%	1.7%	escalable	$0

Ted Cruz # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 35 · proyeccion 121.8 ± 21.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.066	13%	+96%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$407
60-79	$0.018	2%	+38%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$124

Ted Cruz # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 129 · proyeccion 159.6 ± 13.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.011	6%	+423%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$886
140-159	$0.230	43%	+89%	6.6%	escalable	$2,625

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,650 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.1%Sobre-dispersion: 3.06x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 109.6 ± 18.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.160	42%	+159%	7.6%	moderado	$24
120-139	$0.108	24%	+125%	3.8%	moderado	$20

Zelenskyy # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 19 · proyeccion 87.0 ± 14.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.120	18%	+51%	1.8%	moderado	$390
80-99	$0.435	51%	+16%	3.1%	escalable	$514

Zelenskyy # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 49 · proyeccion 76.5 ± 9.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.255	37%	+43%	3.7%	escalable	$2,246
40-59	$0.030	3%	+7%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$654

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 804 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.8%Sobre-dispersion: 2.92x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 50.9 ± 12.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.073	23%	+215%	4.3%	cautela (no operable)	$733
40-59	$0.430	58%	+36%	6.8%	escalable	$1,350

NYC Mayor # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 9 · proyeccion 38.3 ± 9.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
<20	$0.009	2%	+134%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$1,369
40-59	$0.370	44%	+18%	2.7%	escalable	$3,290

NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 24 · proyeccion 34.9 ± 5.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.705	79%	+12%	7.2%	escalable	$4,785

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 448 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 22.1%Sobre-dispersion: 5.41x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 29.9 ± 12.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.030	22%	+618%	4.8%	cautela (no operable)	$0
20-39	$0.340	57%	+67%	8.6%	escalable	$709

CZ # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 18.9 ± 10.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.005	2%	+282%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$217
20-39	$0.215	46%	+112%	7.7%	escalable	$777

CZ # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 6 · proyeccion 13.3 ± 6.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.035	16%	+365%	3.3%	cautela (no operable)	$2,924

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 149 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 16.9%Sobre-dispersion: 13.08x9 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 9.3 ± 11.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
30-34	$0.005	2%	+306%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$12
10-14	$0.105	17%	+66%	1.9%	moderado	$0
15-19	$0.105	14%	+34%	1.0%	moderado	$0
25-29	$0.044	5%	+15%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$70

Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 5.3 ± 8.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.040	17%	+336%	3.5%	cautela (no operable)	$229
15-19	$0.022	9%	+299%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$113
20-24	$0.015	3%	+119%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$112

Khamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 1.8 ± 4.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
5-9	$0.070	23%	+233%	4.4%	cautela (no operable)	$4,116
10-14	$0.016	5%	+226%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$2,408