CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	80-99	$0.190	48%	+150%	8.8%	moderado	$1,069
Ali Khamenei	5-9	$0.115	28%	+148%	4.8%	moderado	$2,503
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	80-99	$0.205	37%	+82%	5.3%	escalable	$1,489
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.295	52%	+77%	8.0%	escalable	$2,252
Ted Cruz	160-179	$0.275	48%	+73%	6.9%	escalable	$1,074
Donald Trump	160-179	$0.120	20%	+69%	2.4%	moderado	$4,516
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.330	45%	+36%	4.4%	escalable	$4,155
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.400	49%	+24%	3.9%	escalable	$3,364
Ali Khamenei	5-9	$0.205	25%	+22%	1.4%	escalable	$584
Donald Trump	160-179	$0.160	19%	+20%	1.0%	moderado	$1,525
Ted Cruz	120-139	$0.265	32%	+19%	1.8%	escalable	$626
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.255	30%	+19%	1.6%	escalable	$7,211

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,363 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.5%Sobre-dispersion: 25.6x41 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 48% del periodo

lleva 348 · proyeccion 983.9 ± 127.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.060	45%	+652%	10.4%	cautela (no operable)	$6,478
960-999	$0.026	12%	+379%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$9,540
920-959	$0.072	12%	+63%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$4,615

Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 11 · proyeccion 241.2 ± 76.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
300-319	$0.002	7%	+3398%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$42,133
320-339	$0.002	5%	+2586%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$51,658
280-299	$0.004	9%	+1792%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$23,163
260-279	$0.009	10%	+920%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$10,305
60-79	$0.002	1%	+474%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$22,781
240-259	$0.021	10%	+379%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$7,285
220-239	$0.055	10%	+86%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$5,912
80-99	$0.013	1%	+10%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$52,453

Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 110 · proyeccion 214.4 ± 51.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
280-299	$0.002	5%	+3502%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$72,279
260-279	$0.004	9%	+1843%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$68,888
300-319	$0.002	3%	+1819%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$70,901
240-259	$0.007	12%	+1528%	2.9%	cautela (no operable)	$64,654
220-239	$0.032	15%	+367%	3.0%	cautela (no operable)	$43,085
120-139	$0.018	4%	+132%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$132,052

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,534 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.1%Sobre-dispersion: 11.36x25 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 26 · proyeccion 149.0 ± 37.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.005	21%	+4118%	5.2%	cautela (no operable)	$588
120-139	$0.005	18%	+3594%	4.5%	cautela (no operable)	$533
80-99	$0.003	6%	+2350%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$747
100-119	$0.005	12%	+2346%	3.0%	cautela (no operable)	$571
60-79	$0.003	2%	+827%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$781
160-179	$0.055	18%	+231%	3.4%	cautela (no operable)	$946

White House # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 132 · proyeccion 178.4 ± 23.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.033	31%	+866%	7.3%	cautela (no operable)	$5,130

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,261 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.6%Sobre-dispersion: 14.22x30 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 54 · proyeccion 172.4 ± 41.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.085	11%	+33%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$697
160-179	$0.160	19%	+20%	1.0%	moderado	$1,525

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 133 · proyeccion 191.8 ± 28.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.120	20%	+69%	2.4%	moderado	$4,516
140-159	$0.090	10%	+7%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$3,018

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,655 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 11.0%Sobre-dispersion: 6.01x23 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 39 · proyeccion 134.7 ± 24.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.265	32%	+19%	1.8%	escalable	$626

Ted Cruz # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 136 · proyeccion 173.8 ± 15.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.002	1%	+464%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,267
140-159	$0.050	16%	+220%	2.9%	cautela (no operable)	$2,060
160-179	$0.275	48%	+73%	6.9%	escalable	$1,074
180-199	$0.290	31%	+6%	0.6%	escalable	$379

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,711 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.4%Sobre-dispersion: 3.21x21 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 15 · proyeccion 84.8 ± 15.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.011	15%	+1349%	3.6%	cautela (no operable)	$562
120-139	$0.004	1%	+186%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$322
80-99	$0.190	48%	+150%	8.8%	moderado	$1,069

Zelenskyy # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 47 · proyeccion 76.6 ± 9.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.003	1%	+215%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$236
80-99	$0.205	37%	+82%	5.3%	escalable	$1,489

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 835 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.6%Sobre-dispersion: 2.85x21 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 7 · proyeccion 38.6 ± 9.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.005	1%	+151%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$2,474
40-59	$0.330	45%	+36%	4.4%	escalable	$4,155

NYC Mayor # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 23 · proyeccion 36.3 ± 6.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.255	30%	+19%	1.6%	escalable	$7,211

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 460 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 20.9%Sobre-dispersion: 5.31x21 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 2 · proyeccion 20.8 ± 10.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.009	3%	+260%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$463
20-39	$0.295	52%	+77%	8.0%	escalable	$2,252

CZ # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 12 · proyeccion 19.4 ± 6.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.400	49%	+24%	3.9%	escalable	$3,364

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 151 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 15.2%Sobre-dispersion: 11.35x10 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 5.0 ± 7.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.005	8%	+1454%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$280
20-24	$0.005	2%	+360%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$180
10-14	$0.075	17%	+130%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$372
5-9	$0.205	25%	+22%	1.4%	escalable	$584

Khamenei # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 1 · proyeccion 2.8 ± 4.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.006	6%	+983%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$1,152
5-9	$0.115	28%	+148%	4.8%	moderado	$2,503
15-19	$0.002	0%	+142%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$972