CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Elon Musk	1000+	$0.170	77%	+355%	18.2%	moderado	$3,430
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.340	55%	+61%	7.8%	escalable	$306
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.300	47%	+57%	6.1%	escalable	$2,113
Donald Trump	140-159	$0.135	19%	+39%	1.5%	moderado	$1,876
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.330	44%	+33%	4.1%	escalable	$1,633
Donald Trump	100-119	$0.125	15%	+18%	0.6%	moderado	$1,030
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.290	33%	+15%	1.5%	escalable	$2,659
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.330	37%	+12%	1.4%	escalable	$2,538
Donald Trump	160-179	$0.220	23%	+6%	0.5%	escalable	$1,959
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	80-99	$0.400	43%	+6%	1.1%	escalable	$324
Donald Trump	160-179	$0.130	14%	+6%	0.2%	moderado	$1,104

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,167 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.4%Sobre-dispersion: 25.64x39 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 23% del periodo

lleva 152 · proyeccion 1117.6 ± 157.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.170	77%	+355%	18.2%	moderado	$3,430

Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 275.1 ± 84.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
360-379	$0.003	5%	+1922%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$2,605
380-399	$0.002	4%	+1783%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$6,301
400-419	$0.002	3%	+1668%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$8,874
340-359	$0.006	6%	+887%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$5,555
320-339	$0.008	8%	+862%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$4,758
300-319	$0.013	9%	+546%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$4,619
280-299	$0.026	9%	+259%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$7,387
500+	$0.002	0%	+152%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$25,262
80-99	$0.004	1%	+85%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$20,715
260-279	$0.055	9%	+72%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$2,119
240-259	$0.085	9%	+6%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,767

Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 84 · proyeccion 232.5 ± 61.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
320-339	$0.003	4%	+1414%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$29,971
340-359	$0.002	2%	+1346%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$31,411
300-319	$0.005	6%	+982%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$40,468
280-299	$0.009	8%	+788%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$32,155
360-379	$0.002	1%	+646%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$27,914
260-279	$0.018	11%	+516%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$33,292
240-259	$0.037	12%	+231%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$26,811
120-139	$0.019	3%	+70%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$58,683
220-239	$0.085	13%	+51%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$30,567

Elon Musk # tweets August 8 - August 10, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 110.3 ± 53.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
165-189	$0.002	9%	+5627%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$795
140-164	$0.003	14%	+5398%	3.4%	cautela (no operable)	$825
115-139	$0.011	18%	+1586%	4.2%	cautela (no operable)	$3,405
90-114	$0.055	18%	+234%	3.4%	cautela (no operable)	$2,006

Elon Musk # tweets August 6 - August 8, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 18 · proyeccion 55.0 ± 30.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
90-114	$0.006	10%	+1512%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$34,602
115-139	$0.002	2%	+1086%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$37,980
65-89	$0.075	25%	+230%	4.7%	cautela (no operable)	$21,390

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,310 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.6%Sobre-dispersion: 12.34x23 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 5 · proyeccion 145.6 ± 41.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.004	18%	+4939%	4.3%	cautela (no operable)	$317
100-119	$0.004	13%	+3652%	3.2%	cautela (no operable)	$382
60-79	$0.003	4%	+1131%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$357
140-159	$0.034	19%	+456%	4.0%	cautela (no operable)	$320
20-39	$0.003	0%	+68%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$473
80-99	$0.074	8%	+5%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$359

White House # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 90 · proyeccion 155.0 ± 28.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.005	19%	+3644%	4.6%	cautela (no operable)	$375
140-159	$0.013	27%	+1908%	6.5%	cautela (no operable)	$884
100-119	$0.006	8%	+1132%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$455
80-99	$0.002	2%	+960%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$384

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,037 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.2%Sobre-dispersion: 14.45x29 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 1 · proyeccion 137.2 ± 44.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.007	6%	+711%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$291
40-59	$0.009	3%	+207%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$307
80-99	$0.050	10%	+102%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$540
100-119	$0.125	15%	+18%	0.6%	moderado	$1,030
160-179	$0.130	14%	+6%	0.2%	moderado	$1,104

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 95 · proyeccion 172.3 ± 33.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.009	4%	+370%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$2,826
120-139	$0.048	11%	+121%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$1,504
140-159	$0.135	19%	+39%	1.5%	moderado	$1,876
160-179	$0.220	23%	+6%	0.5%	escalable	$1,959

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,452 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.8%Sobre-dispersion: 5.55x22 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 1 · proyeccion 109.5 ± 24.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.030	9%	+195%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$87

Ted Cruz # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 95 · proyeccion 147.4 ± 17.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.050	27%	+441%	5.8%	cautela (no operable)	$525
140-159	$0.330	44%	+33%	4.1%	escalable	$1,633

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,634 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.0%Sobre-dispersion: 3.09x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 2 · proyeccion 81.5 ± 15.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.090	12%	+31%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$155
80-99	$0.400	43%	+6%	1.1%	escalable	$324

Zelenskyy # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 32 · proyeccion 71.0 ± 11.0

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 795 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.6%Sobre-dispersion: 2.92x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 39.5 ± 10.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.300	47%	+57%	6.1%	escalable	$2,113

NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 15 · proyeccion 36.1 ± 7.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.290	33%	+15%	1.5%	escalable	$2,659

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 448 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 22.1%Sobre-dispersion: 5.41x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 22.6 ± 11.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.025	6%	+146%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$43
20-39	$0.340	55%	+61%	7.8%	escalable	$306

CZ # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 6 · proyeccion 16.9 ± 7.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.330	37%	+12%	1.4%	escalable	$2,538

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 149 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 16.9%Sobre-dispersion: 13.08x9 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 7.1 ± 9.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
35-39	$0.002	0%	+21%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$52

Khamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 3.6 ± 6.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.032	14%	+336%	2.8%	cautela (no operable)	$2,068
15-19	$0.015	5%	+211%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$1,252