CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Elon Musk	1000+	$0.115	69%	+501%	16.3%	moderado	$4,581
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.250	58%	+132%	11.0%	escalable	$1,186
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	100-119	$0.125	26%	+107%	3.8%	moderado	$74
Ted Cruz	100-119	$0.185	32%	+75%	4.3%	moderado	$391
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.335	58%	+72%	9.1%	escalable	$2,979
Elon Musk	65-89	$0.155	23%	+46%	2.1%	moderado	$4,912
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.335	47%	+40%	5.1%	escalable	$3,732
Ted Cruz	120-139	$0.275	37%	+34%	3.2%	escalable	$443
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	80-99	$0.365	46%	+25%	3.6%	escalable	$849
Ali Khamenei	5-9	$0.200	24%	+22%	1.4%	escalable	$749
Donald Trump	120-139	$0.175	20%	+16%	0.9%	moderado	$1,560
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	80-99	$0.405	45%	+11%	1.9%	escalable	$247

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,235 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.5%Sobre-dispersion: 25.56x40 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 32% del periodo

lleva 227 · proyeccion 1072.9 ± 147.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.115	69%	+501%	16.3%	moderado	$4,581
960-999	$0.037	9%	+136%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$3,788
920-959	$0.067	7%	+8%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$2,297

Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 310.2 ± 89.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
400-419	$0.002	5%	+3110%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$7,958
420-439	$0.002	4%	+2340%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$13,072
380-399	$0.003	6%	+2310%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$3,051
440-459	$0.002	3%	+1663%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$10,715
360-379	$0.004	7%	+1494%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$2,203
340-359	$0.005	8%	+1376%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$4,204
500+	$0.002	2%	+1018%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$22,924
320-339	$0.009	9%	+928%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$2,142
300-319	$0.018	9%	+383%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$4,921
280-299	$0.025	9%	+255%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$6,828
80-99	$0.003	0%	+68%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$16,593
260-279	$0.050	8%	+61%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$1,052

Elon Musk # tweets August 13 - August 15, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 199.3 ± 71.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
240+	$0.003	29%	+11367%	7.1%	cautela (no operable)	$112
190-214	$0.004	14%	+3869%	3.4%	cautela (no operable)	$18
165-189	$0.004	13%	+3685%	3.2%	cautela (no operable)	$541
215-239	$0.004	13%	+3587%	3.1%	cautela (no operable)	$18
140-164	$0.004	11%	+3096%	2.7%	cautela (no operable)	$541
115-139	$0.011	8%	+697%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$540
90-114	$0.045	6%	+23%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$49

Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 75 · proyeccion 233.0 ± 63.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
320-339	$0.002	4%	+2557%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$45,320
300-319	$0.003	6%	+1932%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$40,830
340-359	$0.002	2%	+1475%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$49,369
280-299	$0.006	8%	+1200%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$34,217
260-279	$0.013	11%	+686%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$22,682
100-119	$0.004	2%	+327%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$70,506
240-259	$0.045	12%	+169%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$18,497
220-239	$0.095	12%	+31%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$18,159
120-139	$0.032	3%	+6%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$73,324

Elon Musk # tweets August 10 - August 12, 2026? 50% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 73.3 ± 43.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
115-139	$0.004	11%	+2588%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$2,840
90-114	$0.013	18%	+1368%	4.3%	cautela (no operable)	$3,303
65-89	$0.155	23%	+46%	2.1%	moderado	$4,912

Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 159 · proyeccion 190.5 ± 28.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
220-239	$0.007	11%	+1380%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$119,463
240-259	$0.003	3%	+1277%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$141,967
200-219	$0.085	22%	+161%	3.7%	cautela (no operable)	$136,498

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,354 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.3%Sobre-dispersion: 11.9x24 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 161.5 ± 43.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.007	14%	+1885%	3.3%	cautela (no operable)	$120
100-119	$0.006	9%	+1407%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$120
80-99	$0.005	5%	+772%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$149
140-159	$0.049	17%	+259%	3.3%	cautela (no operable)	$348
60-79	$0.006	2%	+246%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$169
40-59	$0.005	1%	+46%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$987

White House # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 69 · proyeccion 162.1 ± 33.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.003	7%	+2240%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$461
140-159	$0.049	22%	+349%	4.5%	cautela (no operable)	$1,330
120-139	$0.052	15%	+185%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$729

White House # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 154 · proyeccion 171.5 ± 14.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.017	19%	+1012%	4.4%	cautela (no operable)	$7,969
200+	$0.013	3%	+112%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$12,030

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,099 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.2%Sobre-dispersion: 14.43x29 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 161.0 ± 48.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.003	1%	+370%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$339
20-39	$0.002	0%	+180%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$687
60-79	$0.019	3%	+43%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$331
80-99	$0.045	6%	+24%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$973
200+	$0.200	21%	+6%	0.4%	escalable	$1,157

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 66 · proyeccion 146.7 ± 34.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.009	6%	+593%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$1,623
60-79	$0.004	2%	+448%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$2,457
100-119	$0.056	13%	+131%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,851
120-139	$0.175	20%	+16%	0.9%	moderado	$1,560

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 160 · proyeccion 181.8 ± 17.7

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,496 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.8%Sobre-dispersion: 5.54x22 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 123.2 ± 26.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.021	4%	+89%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$511
140-159	$0.170	18%	+8%	0.4%	moderado	$216

Ted Cruz # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 54 · proyeccion 122.1 ± 19.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.185	32%	+75%	4.3%	moderado	$391
80-99	$0.070	11%	+55%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$435
120-139	$0.275	37%	+34%	3.2%	escalable	$443

Ted Cruz # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 148 · proyeccion 160.0 ± 8.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
180-199	$0.005	1%	+51%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,993
140-159	$0.335	47%	+40%	5.1%	escalable	$3,732

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,654 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.1%Sobre-dispersion: 3.06x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 90.8 ± 16.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.125	26%	+107%	3.8%	moderado	$74
120-139	$0.025	4%	+68%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$90
80-99	$0.405	45%	+11%	1.9%	escalable	$247

Zelenskyy # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 30 · proyeccion 79.9 ± 12.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
80-99	$0.365	46%	+25%	3.6%	escalable	$849
100-119	$0.045	6%	+24%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$570

Zelenskyy # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 60 · proyeccion 69.3 ± 5.3

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 809 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.8%Sobre-dispersion: 2.92x20 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 44.5 ± 11.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.335	58%	+72%	9.1%	escalable	$2,979
60-79	$0.085	9%	+11%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$811

NYC Mayor # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 16 · proyeccion 38.9 ± 8.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
<20	$0.004	1%	+96%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,660
40-59	$0.425	47%	+9%	1.7%	escalable	$4,357

NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 31 · proyeccion 35.5 ± 3.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.085	14%	+59%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$5,695

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 448 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 22.1%Sobre-dispersion: 5.41x19 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 26.2 ± 11.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.006	13%	+1875%	3.1%	cautela (no operable)	$354
20-39	$0.250	58%	+132%	11.0%	escalable	$1,186

CZ # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 15.2 ± 9.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.045	31%	+595%	7.0%	cautela (no operable)	$918

CZ # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 6 · proyeccion 9.5 ± 4.4

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 149 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 16.9%Sobre-dispersion: 13.08x9 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 8.4 ± 10.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
30-34	$0.006	2%	+158%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$12
15-19	$0.055	14%	+146%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$0
20-24	$0.035	8%	+132%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$12
10-14	$0.090	18%	+98%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$0

Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026? 57% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 4.3 ± 7.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.029	16%	+436%	3.3%	cautela (no operable)	$470
15-19	$0.029	7%	+130%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$279
20-24	$0.011	2%	+60%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$275
5-9	$0.200	24%	+22%	1.4%	escalable	$749

Khamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 0.9 ± 3.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.002	1%	+181%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$3,467
5-9	$0.060	14%	+130%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$5,657