CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	80-99	$0.215	46%	+114%	7.8%	escalable	$1,093
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.265	54%	+103%	9.3%	escalable	$2,257
Ted Cruz	120-139	$0.175	33%	+91%	4.8%	moderado	$657
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	80-99	$0.160	28%	+72%	3.4%	moderado	$1,691
Ted Cruz	100-119	$0.123	21%	+70%	2.4%	moderado	$975
Ted Cruz	160-179	$0.320	54%	+68%	8.0%	escalable	$1,912
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.355	52%	+47%	6.5%	escalable	$3,458
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.375	47%	+25%	3.7%	escalable	$4,398
Donald Trump	140-159	$0.155	17%	+12%	0.6%	moderado	$1,200
Ali Khamenei	5-9	$0.230	25%	+10%	0.8%	escalable	$634
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.290	31%	+7%	0.7%	escalable	$7,988
Donald Trump	160-179	$0.190	20%	+6%	0.3%	moderado	$1,697

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 11,386 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.5%Sobre-dispersion: 25.6x41 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? 52% del periodo

lleva 371 · proyeccion 982.5 ± 125.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.060	45%	+644%	10.3%	cautela (no operable)	$6,693
960-999	$0.025	13%	+418%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$9,640
920-959	$0.051	12%	+132%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$4,715
880-919	$0.085	10%	+20%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$4,111

Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 34 · proyeccion 239.8 ± 72.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
280-299	$0.003	9%	+3372%	2.1%	cautela (no operable)	$32,307
300-319	$0.002	7%	+3365%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$49,628
320-339	$0.003	5%	+1952%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$52,057
260-279	$0.009	10%	+1086%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$12,219
240-259	$0.021	11%	+430%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$10,135
80-99	$0.003	1%	+421%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$59,978
220-239	$0.045	11%	+141%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$8,280

Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 133 · proyeccion 212.9 ± 45.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
260-279	$0.003	8%	+3140%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$77,763
280-299	$0.002	4%	+2746%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$80,589
240-259	$0.005	13%	+2206%	3.0%	cautela (no operable)	$84,723
300-319	$0.002	2%	+1137%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$79,652
220-239	$0.034	16%	+389%	3.4%	cautela (no operable)	$63,436
140-159	$0.018	7%	+260%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$163,936

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 4,543 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 7.1%Sobre-dispersion: 11.36x25 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 35 · proyeccion 153.1 ± 36.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.005	18%	+3095%	4.3%	cautela (no operable)	$563
100-119	$0.005	11%	+1860%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$601
140-159	$0.017	21%	+1198%	5.0%	cautela (no operable)	$771
160-179	$0.023	20%	+748%	4.4%	cautela (no operable)	$976

White House # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 141 · proyeccion 182.5 ± 21.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.029	30%	+918%	7.0%	cautela (no operable)	$6,199

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 4,271 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.6%Sobre-dispersion: 14.21x30 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 62 · proyeccion 170.7 ± 39.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.003	1%	+213%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$3,629
100-119	$0.033	6%	+89%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$750
120-139	$0.065	12%	+80%	1.4%	cautela (no operable)	$716
80-99	$0.022	2%	+13%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$1,108
140-159	$0.155	17%	+12%	0.6%	moderado	$1,200
160-179	$0.190	20%	+6%	0.3%	moderado	$1,697

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 141 · proyeccion 190.2 ± 26.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.005	10%	+1634%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$3,549
160-179	$0.085	22%	+159%	3.7%	cautela (no operable)	$5,076
180-199	$0.280	29%	+5%	0.5%	escalable	$3,188

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 2,659 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 11.0%Sobre-dispersion: 6.01x23 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 45 · proyeccion 132.7 ± 23.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
120-139	$0.175	33%	+91%	4.8%	moderado	$657
100-119	$0.123	21%	+70%	2.4%	moderado	$975

Ted Cruz # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 142 · proyeccion 171.8 ± 13.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.045	17%	+279%	3.3%	cautela (no operable)	$2,322
160-179	$0.320	54%	+68%	8.0%	escalable	$1,912

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 1,711 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.4%Sobre-dispersion: 3.21x21 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 17 · proyeccion 82.3 ± 14.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.015	11%	+653%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$562
80-99	$0.215	46%	+114%	7.8%	escalable	$1,093
120-139	$0.004	1%	+14%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$322

Zelenskyy # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 49 · proyeccion 74.2 ± 9.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.017	5%	+209%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$1,224
80-99	$0.160	28%	+72%	3.4%	moderado	$1,691

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 840 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.6%Sobre-dispersion: 2.85x21 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 10 · proyeccion 39.0 ± 9.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
<20	$0.009	2%	+76%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,560
40-59	$0.375	47%	+25%	3.7%	escalable	$4,398

NYC Mayor # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 26 · proyeccion 36.8 ± 5.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.290	31%	+7%	0.7%	escalable	$7,988

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 461 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 20.9%Sobre-dispersion: 5.31x21 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 3 · proyeccion 21.2 ± 9.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.010	3%	+217%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$463
20-39	$0.265	54%	+103%	9.3%	escalable	$2,257

CZ # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 13 · proyeccion 19.9 ± 6.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
20-39	$0.355	52%	+47%	6.5%	escalable	$3,458

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 151 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 15.2%Sobre-dispersion: 11.35x10 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026? 29% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 4.9 ± 7.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
15-19	$0.006	7%	+1018%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$280
20-24	$0.005	2%	+267%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$180
10-14	$0.060	17%	+181%	2.9%	cautela (no operable)	$400
5-9	$0.230	25%	+10%	0.8%	escalable	$634

Khamenei # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 1 · proyeccion 2.6 ± 4.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.003	5%	+1959%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,162
5-9	$0.095	28%	+191%	5.0%	cautela (no operable)	$2,542
15-19	$0.002	0%	+38%	0.0%	cautela (no operable)	$982