CHATTER · conteo de posts como mercado

Mejores picks ahora (solo escalable/moderado — cautela se excluye a proposito, EV inflado no ejecutable)

Cuenta	Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
Elon Musk	1000+	$0.155	80%	+414%	19.0%	moderado	$30,382
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.180	57%	+215%	11.8%	moderado	$106
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	60-79	$0.110	28%	+154%	4.8%	moderado	$1,254
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	60-79	$0.125	29%	+134%	4.8%	moderado	$279
Ted Cruz	160-179	$0.100	23%	+132%	3.7%	moderado	$0
CZ (Binance)	40-59	$0.170	31%	+85%	4.3%	moderado	$0
Donald Trump	200+	$0.270	49%	+82%	7.6%	escalable	$794
Donald Trump	120-139	$0.115	18%	+59%	1.9%	moderado	$2,534
Ted Cruz	140-159	$0.130	19%	+47%	1.7%	moderado	$0
Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)	40-59	$0.318	44%	+37%	4.3%	escalable	$139
Donald Trump	120-139	$0.135	18%	+32%	1.2%	moderado	$2,091
CZ (Binance)	20-39	$0.420	55%	+32%	5.8%	escalable	$0

Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 12,924 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.0%Sobre-dispersion: 24.8x48 ventanas historicas analizadas

Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026? 19% del periodo

lleva 163 · proyeccion 1127.5 ± 154.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
1000+	$0.155	80%	+414%	19.0%	moderado	$30,382

Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 376.6 ± 96.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
500+	$0.002	10%	+6690%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$12,522
420-439	$0.004	7%	+1675%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$5,479
400-419	$0.004	8%	+1629%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$10
380-399	$0.005	8%	+1534%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$10
360-379	$0.005	8%	+1394%	1.9%	cautela (no operable)	$135
340-359	$0.006	8%	+1220%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$310
320-339	$0.009	7%	+761%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$532
300-319	$0.015	6%	+347%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$68
280-299	$0.021	6%	+162%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$34

Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 1 · proyeccion 255.4 ± 79.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
360-379	$0.002	4%	+2291%	0.9%	cautela (no operable)	$6,348
380-399	$0.002	2%	+1516%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$12,715
320-339	$0.004	6%	+1343%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$10,453
340-359	$0.004	5%	+1007%	1.1%	cautela (no operable)	$7,033
300-319	$0.007	8%	+960%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$9,672
280-299	$0.013	9%	+577%	2.0%	cautela (no operable)	$14,802
60-79	$0.002	1%	+229%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$21,582
260-279	$0.034	10%	+190%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$5,934
80-99	$0.006	1%	+76%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$16,341
240-259	$0.075	10%	+33%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$7,369
100-119	$0.015	2%	+29%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$24,682
120-139	$0.026	3%	+10%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$28,836

Elon Musk # tweets October 8 - October 10, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 149.5 ± 60.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-164	$0.003	16%	+6401%	4.0%	cautela (no operable)	$1,129
165-189	$0.004	15%	+3168%	3.6%	cautela (no operable)	$1,159
115-139	$0.006	15%	+2240%	3.7%	cautela (no operable)	$112
90-114	$0.032	12%	+283%	2.3%	cautela (no operable)	$480

Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 102 · proyeccion 212.1 ± 52.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.002	2%	+1408%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$89,165
280-299	$0.004	5%	+1366%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$43,432
300-319	$0.003	3%	+990%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$41,934
320-339	$0.002	1%	+735%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$35,068
260-279	$0.011	8%	+660%	1.8%	cautela (no operable)	$37,030
240-259	$0.023	12%	+412%	2.4%	cautela (no operable)	$51,747
120-139	$0.016	4%	+176%	0.7%	cautela (no operable)	$103,346
220-239	$0.085	14%	+69%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$45,265

Elon Musk # tweets October 5 - October 7, 2026? 100% del periodo

lleva 6 · proyeccion 34.1 ± 26.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
90-114	$0.002	2%	+1021%	0.4%	cautela (no operable)	$38,934
65-89	$0.019	11%	+449%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$43,399
40-64	$0.260	29%	+13%	1.2%	escalable	$37,081

The White House

@WhiteHouse · 6,116 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 6.8%Sobre-dispersion: 11.98x32 ventanas historicas analizadas

White House # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 230.4 ± 52.5

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

White House # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 8 · proyeccion 154.7 ± 41.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
140-159	$0.005	19%	+3643%	4.6%	cautela (no operable)	$165
120-139	$0.005	16%	+3060%	3.8%	cautela (no operable)	$188
100-119	$0.005	11%	+2034%	2.5%	cautela (no operable)	$198
80-99	$0.005	6%	+1052%	1.3%	cautela (no operable)	$265
160-179	$0.018	18%	+858%	4.0%	cautela (no operable)	$87
60-79	$0.003	2%	+729%	0.6%	cautela (no operable)	$298
40-59	$0.005	1%	+72%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$278
180-199	$0.105	13%	+28%	0.8%	moderado	$1,209

White House # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 117 · proyeccion 188.5 ± 29.3

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.010	22%	+2085%	5.3%	cautela (no operable)	$423
180-199	$0.072	27%	+269%	5.2%	cautela (no operable)	$1,781

Donald Trump

@realDonaldTrump · 5,449 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 10.5%Sobre-dispersion: 13.68x37 ventanas historicas analizadas

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 198.6 ± 52.1

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
200+	$0.270	49%	+82%	7.6%	escalable	$794

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 138.2 ± 43.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.005	5%	+969%	1.2%	cautela (no operable)	$98
40-59	$0.010	2%	+136%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$30
120-139	$0.135	18%	+32%	1.2%	moderado	$2,091
100-119	$0.135	15%	+9%	0.3%	moderado	$1,535

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 102 · proyeccion 155.9 ± 27.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
100-119	$0.010	7%	+611%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$1,567
120-139	$0.115	18%	+59%	1.9%	moderado	$2,534

Ted Cruz

@tedcruz · 3,574 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 12.0%Sobre-dispersion: 6.72x30 ventanas historicas analizadas

Ted Cruz # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 171.1 ± 33.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
180-199	$0.075	20%	+168%	3.4%	cautela (no operable)	$0
160-179	$0.100	23%	+132%	3.7%	moderado	$0
200+	$0.095	20%	+112%	2.9%	cautela (no operable)	$10
140-159	$0.130	19%	+47%	1.7%	moderado	$0

Ted Cruz # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 5 · proyeccion 115.4 ± 27.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.015	7%	+391%	1.5%	cautela (no operable)	$133
180-199	$0.005	1%	+66%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$110

Ted Cruz # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 58 · proyeccion 112.4 ± 19.1

Sin picks con EV real ahora mismo.

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

@ZelenskyyUa · 2,431 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.6%Sobre-dispersion: 6.63x28 ventanas historicas analizadas

Zelenskyy # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 122.0 ± 28.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
160-179	$0.005	7%	+1213%	1.7%	cautela (no operable)	$27
140-159	$0.030	18%	+486%	3.8%	cautela (no operable)	$101
180-199	$0.005	2%	+236%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$27
40-59	$0.005	1%	+120%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$57
60-79	$0.035	5%	+53%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$37

Zelenskyy # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 2 · proyeccion 81.9 ± 23.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.004	13%	+3679%	3.2%	cautela (no operable)	$141
20-39	$0.010	3%	+193%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$70
60-79	$0.125	29%	+134%	4.8%	moderado	$279

Zelenskyy # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 50 · proyeccion 86.8 ± 15.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.005	4%	+680%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$510
60-79	$0.110	28%	+154%	4.8%	moderado	$1,254

Zohran Mamdani (NYC Mayor)

@NYCMayor · 1,087 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 8.2%Sobre-dispersion: 2.57x28 ventanas historicas analizadas

NYC Mayor # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 54.2 ± 11.8

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.005	31%	+6087%	7.7%	cautela (no operable)	$324
40-59	$0.180	57%	+215%	11.8%	moderado	$106

NYC Mayor # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 2 · proyeccion 38.3 ± 9.7

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.318	44%	+37%	4.3%	escalable	$139

NYC Mayor # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 22 · proyeccion 37.8 ± 6.4

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
40-59	$0.086	39%	+358%	8.4%	cautela (no operable)	$1,026

CZ (Binance)

@cz_binance · 657 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 19.0%Sobre-dispersion: 4.34x28 ventanas historicas analizadas

CZ # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 34.3 ± 12.2

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
60-79	$0.005	2%	+247%	0.3%	cautela (no operable)	$10
40-59	$0.170	31%	+85%	4.3%	moderado	$0
20-39	$0.420	55%	+32%	5.8%	escalable	$0

CZ # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 2 · proyeccion 24.4 ± 9.9

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
<20	$0.240	30%	+26%	2.1%	escalable	$100
20-39	$0.535	63%	+17%	5.0%	escalable	$95

CZ # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 16 · proyeccion 27.2 ± 7.0

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
<20	$0.110	14%	+23%	0.7%	moderado	$1,841
40-59	$0.032	4%	+21%	0.2%	cautela (no operable)	$80

Ali Khamenei

@khamenei_ir · 156 posts registrados

MAE @75% del periodo: 15.0%Sobre-dispersion: 17.11x10 ventanas historicas analizadas

Khamenei # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026? 0% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 7.8 ± 11.6

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
5-9	$0.025	17%	+581%	3.7%	cautela (no operable)	$105
10-14	$0.025	16%	+541%	3.5%	cautela (no operable)	$92
15-19	$0.025	13%	+403%	2.6%	cautela (no operable)	$9
20-24	$0.021	8%	+300%	1.6%	cautela (no operable)	$120
25-29	$0.025	4%	+78%	0.5%	cautela (no operable)	$105

Khamenei # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026? 14% del periodo

lleva 0 · proyeccion 5.3 ± 9.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
5-9	$0.010	20%	+1935%	4.9%	cautela (no operable)	$114
10-14	$0.010	16%	+1527%	3.9%	cautela (no operable)	$367
20-24	$0.005	5%	+831%	1.0%	cautela (no operable)	$317
15-19	$0.014	10%	+611%	2.2%	cautela (no operable)	$400
25-29	$0.013	2%	+33%	0.1%	cautela (no operable)	$312

Khamenei # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026? 71% del periodo

lleva 1 · proyeccion 3.4 ± 6.5

Bucket	Precio	Modelo	EV	Kelly	Confianza	Vol
10-14	$0.005	13%	+2522%	3.2%	cautela (no operable)	$596
5-9	$0.032	26%	+727%	5.9%	cautela (no operable)	$613
15-19	$0.005	4%	+647%	0.8%	cautela (no operable)	$567